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Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – October 19, 2025 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing early signs of bearish reversal. As mentioned in the previous plan, a daily reversal could occur on Friday or Monday. The strong bearish D1 candle on Friday reinforces this signal. If another bearish D1 candle appears on Monday, it will confirm that the main trend for the coming week is likely to turn bearish, pushing D1 momentum toward the oversold zone. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting that the initial downside movement on Monday may not be too strong. A short-term recovery bounce is likely. However, if this bounce fails to break the previous high and momentum reverses downward again, it will confirm the start of a more stable downtrend. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which indicates a short-term pullback may occur early in Monday’s session. 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: We can see a strong bearish candle — the largest since the beginning of the uptrend, signaling the first warning of exhaustion. Together with the D1 momentum reversal, this suggests the yellow wave 3 is likely coming to an end, and yellow wave 4 is starting to form. In terms of time, wave 4 could take more than a week to complete. H4 Structure: A sharp decline has pushed the price back inside the ascending channel, indicating that the extended wave 5 may have already ended. If confirmed, the market could continue down toward at least the previous blue wave 4 area. However, because H4 momentum is preparing to rise, a short-term upward correction may occur early Monday. If this upward move is slow and overlapping, fails to break the previous high, and H4 momentum turns down again, that will confirm the completion of blue wave 5. H1 Structure: On the H1 chart, the blue wave 5 from H4 is detailed into five smaller red waves. The recent steep and fast decline suggests a five-wave bearish pattern, possibly wave 1 of a new downtrend or wave A of a corrective move. There is also a possibility of a Flat correction, where wave C extends to 1.618 × wave A (as discussed in the October 17 plan). Overall, the market may present a short-term recovery bounce, providing a buy opportunity early in the week. 3️⃣ Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4153 – 4151 Stop Loss: 4141 Take Profit: 4193 Alternative Scenario: If price fails to break below 4193, monitor H1 momentum as it enters the oversold zone and turns upward — that will be a potential buy signal. In that case, key support areas to watch include: 4243 – 4226 – 4207 – 4194.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
4365 Achieved Excellent profits Booked [1350 PIPS Gained]Thanks to traders who followed and stay Active with me on bullish rally As highlighted in yesterday’s session update: My Position: The ongoing bull rally has played out perfectly, with both of my targets achieved ahead of schedule. I identified strong support around $4,220 & 4190 along condition H4 Candle for bullish rally. Iinitiated aggressive swing buys from that zone. When $4,190 was retested, I held off for a healthy pullback before re-entering. At $4205& $4,225, I scaled in aggressively (four entries) aiming for $4,345, which was reached — locking in solid overnight gains. I’m pleased with the overall performance during this multi-month bullish phase and plan to keep accumulating on dips until the $4,490 level is reached from my main re-entry zones. Additional Tip: Once again, I caution traders — avoid counter-trend selling. Many get trapped trying to short Gold in a strong uptrend. Stay aligned with the trend — it’s still firmly bullish.🚀
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAU/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Continuation Setup (1H Chart) Technical Overview: Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1 Hour Current Price: $4,238 Target Price: $4,303 Potential Move: +1.91% (approx. +80 points) --- Chart Analysis: 1. Key Zone (Yellow Box): This area represents a bullish order block / demand zone where price previously reacted strongly. A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists within this zone, suggesting that price may retrace to fill it before continuing higher. 2. Price Action: After a strong bullish impulsive move, price is currently showing a retracement back toward the order block zone. The expectation is for price to retest this support zone and form a higher low, confirming continuation of the uptrend. 3. Moving Averages: EMA 50 (Red) is above EMA 200 (Blue) → indicates a bullish trend structure. Both EMAs are pointing upward, supporting bullish momentum. 4. Projected Move: Once the retracement completes, a bullish push toward the target level at 4,303 is expected. This level aligns with previous structure highs and potential liquidity targets. --- Trading Outlook: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Within the highlighted yellow order block / FVG area Target Point: 4,303 Invalidation: A 1-hour candle close below the order block would weaken the bullish scenario Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, with momentum favoring further upside after a short retracement. Watching for confirmation signals (bullish engulfing, market structure shift) within the order block zone could provide a high-probability long setup. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
Gold Performance Recap for the week📝This week, the price of Gold first rose and then fell. The specific trend is as follows: Monday: Gold broke through the 4059 mark in the Asian trading session, setting a new historical record Tuesday- Wednesday: The price continued to rise. Thursday: Gold reached a maximum of 4298.64. Friday: First, the price surged after the opening, reaching a high of 4379.44, followed by a sharp decline, touching a low of 4186.17. As of now, the price of Gold is 4247.02, continuing to fall compared to the previous day's closing price. 💎The driving factors are as follows: 💡Upward factors in the early stage 1-Impact of Federal Reserve's loose policy expectations: The Federal Reserve launched a new round of interest - rate - cutting cycle in September. The market anticipates that there may be two consecutive interest - rate cuts in October and December. The expected decline in both nominal and real interest rates has increased the attractiveness of holding non - interest - bearing assets such as gold. 2-Surge in geopolitical risks and safe - haven demand: Factors such as the escalation of the China-US trade war and the US's containment of China's chip sector have intensified market panic, and funds have accelerated their inflow into gold as a safe haven. 3-Drive from global central banks’ gold purchase demand: According to data from the World Gold Council, global central banks’ gold reserves increased by 166 tons in the second quarter of 2025. The People’s Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, which has strengthened market confidence in gold. 💡Downward factors in the later stage: 1-Technical level: The 4280 - 4330 area is a key monthly - level resistance zone. On Friday, Gold broke through the important support level of 4280, triggering a large number of stop-loss orders for long positions. Program based trading triggered SL selling, forming a vicious cycle of "breakdown - SL - further decline". 2-Change in risk appetite: On Friday, US President Trump made moderate remarks on trade issues. Market safe-haven sentiment cooled rapidly, leading to a sharp sell-off of gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
5
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Market Opening?! We got a nice pullback on Gold on Friday and the price nicely retraced to a key intraday support. Analysing the market reaction to that, I spotted a cup & handle pattern and a confirmed violation of its neckline. With a high probability, the market will rise after the opening. The price will reach at least 4272 intraday resistance. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
5
Analysis and possible path of goldHi traders One-hour structure of gold: The structure of the one-hour time frame and above is still the bullish structure and the movement that can be imagined this week. The liquidity points and three resistance / support are marked on the chart. They are the market reaction points that can be triggered to enter at these levels in the lower time. The area of ​​4202 is the choch-hunt line that can act as a support pullback and even the main positive reaction can be formed from this area, but ideally the current bottom is collected once again and rises from one of the three supports below the bottom. Have a good week
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
Gold: First signs of a correction after a strong rallyHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept. For the past nine weeks, gold has been flying upward — and now we’re starting to see signs of a pause in growth or even the beginning of a correction. Friday’s candle showed very high volume, and this volume came from the seller side. A similar, though smaller, volume was seen on August 8. This could indicate that we may enter a correction or sideways phase. The range of the most recent buyer initiative on the daily timeframe is quite wide. Yesterday, the price came close to the 50% level of that initiative, but didn’t quite reach it. The key levels to watch for potential buys are: 50% level of the buyer initiative — 4162, upper boundary of the previous buyer initiative — 4059. By the way, on the weekly timeframe, last week’s trading volume was the highest since March 2022. All these signs point to a possible pause in growth. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
How Smart Money Hunts Liquidity on Gold🔶 1. Understanding Liquidity in the Market Liquidity represents the orders resting above or below obvious price levels — mainly stop-losses and pending orders placed by retail traders. In simple terms, where you see equal highs, equal lows, or strong swing points, that’s where liquidity pools exist. On Gold (XAUUSD), because of its volatility, liquidity often accumulates near: Double tops or double bottoms. Previous day highs/lows. Fair value gaps (imbalances). Psychological round levels like $2300, $2350, $2400, etc. These zones attract both buyers and sellers — and that’s exactly where Smart Money (institutional traders) aims to act. 🔶 2. What Smart Money Actually Does Smart Money doesn’t follow retail moves — it creates them. When price consolidates and retail traders position themselves early, institutions push price beyond these zones to: Trigger retail stop losses. Fill their own large institutional orders at better prices. Remove weak hands from the market. This process is called a Liquidity Hunt or Stop Hunt. It’s not manipulation in a malicious sense — it’s simply how large players execute size efficiently in a decentralized market. 🔶 3. The Classic Gold Liquidity Hunt Pattern Let’s break down a typical Smart Money setup on XAUUSD: Step 1: Price builds equal highs (or equal lows) — retail traders see it as a breakout zone. Step 2: Institutions push price slightly beyond that area, creating a false breakout. Stop-losses of early traders are triggered — this is the liquidity grab. Step 3: Immediately after the sweep, structure shifts (Change of Character / CHoCH). This confirms that Smart Money has completed its collection phase and is now ready to move price in the intended direction. Step 4: Price often retraces back into the order block or fair value gap left behind by displacement. This is where the high-probability entry lies — the Smart Money entry point. 🔶 4. Why Gold (XAUUSD) Shows This So Clearly Gold is one of the most liquid and manipulated markets on the planet — ideal for studying Smart Money behavior. Because it trades heavily during London and New York sessions, liquidity is constantly generated and removed. This is why you’ll frequently see: Sudden spikes before major sessions open. Sharp sweeps before news events (CPI, NFP, FOMC). Rapid reversals after stop-hunts. Institutions use gold as a liquidity engine, often hunting both sides of the market before the real move. 🔶 5. How to Identify a Real Liquidity Hunt (Checklist) Use this professional checklist to train your eye: ✅ Look for equal highs/lows forming before the move. ✅ Wait for a stop-hunt candle — a long wick piercing liquidity zone. ✅ Confirm a market structure shift (MSS or CHoCH) in lower timeframe. ✅ Entry only after displacement and a clean retracement into an order block. Avoid reacting emotionally to every breakout — Smart Money uses time + patience to trick impulsive traders. 🔶 6. Practical Educational Example Suppose Gold forms equal highs at $2380 during the London session. Many retail traders place buy stops above $2380 expecting a breakout. Institutions see that as a liquidity pool. Price suddenly spikes to $2385, sweeps those buy stops, and then drops to $2360 — that’s your liquidity hunt. Once the structure shifts bearish after the sweep, Smart Money has filled sell orders at a premium — and the downtrend resumes. 🔶 7. Educational Takeaway Smart Money doesn’t predict — it reacts to liquidity. By understanding where traders are trapped, you align your trades with institutional flow instead of retail emotion. 📘 Key Principles: Trade after the liquidity grab, not before. Always wait for confirmation through structure shift. Focus on zones of interest, not random breakouts. Observe timing — most liquidity hunts occur during session opens or high-impact news. 💬 Final Note: Every chart tells a story — but only those who understand liquidity can read the true language of price. Study it, practice it, and you’ll see how Smart Money creates opportunity through manipulation and order flow. 📘 Follow me for more professional educational content on Smart Money, Liquidity, and Gold market behavior.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
Gold tests below $4,300 amid strengthening USD October 21Joint statement Ukraine – EU – Trump – Europe: => Call for an immediate ceasefire and start peace negotiations. => The market reacts risk-on, money flows out of gold => gold drops sharply. echnical analysis: H1 is in the process of correction after continuously setting the ATH peak, gradually forming a head and shoulders pattern, buyers right at the 4178-4180 area are quite clear. BUY GOLD : 4180 - 4178 SL: 4172 TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS SELL GOLD : 4320 - 4322 SL: 4330 TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS Trade according to price trends, do not trade predictions, manage and be responsible for your account !
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXWARRIOR_TRADING
XAUUSD on verge[ will again buy] Targeting $5500XAUUSD holding the trendline on D1& H4 from 4270- 4245 zone after the implusive drop. Market is drop after rejecting from Double Top ATH. What are my conditions For Today's session? Currently i took buy trade from 4265 zone as bait ,I'm expecting H4 and H1 Candle closing will be above 4270 and on retest then market will left again. ✳️Secondly my last buying area will be around 4245-4250 if H4 remains above trendline on that time. Targets: 4310- 4345-4370 Additional Tip: Keep in mind H4 closed below 4245 then stay away from Buy AND Keep watching drop towards 4080 in extension I will buy in Dips and my Ultimate next target on long run is 5500.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
GOLD - Signals That Gold is On The MoonGOLD Is now hitting the ultra long term 2.272 taking the pivots from the 1980 bear market. Long term does not mean high accuracy expected and it may well have a loose relationship with the eventual top. But its another signal that GOLD is very high. In addition, the month RSI is suddenly as high as its ever been since 1980. Soooo, its time for a cautious trader to take profit. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider that crypto is a dangerous market.
TVC:GOLDShort
by dRends35
1
XAUUSD - Long Term Bullish trend's Target has been achieved ?It so interesting to watch weekly candle time frames. As we could see that long term bullish trend has been started since 2015. It took 10 years until 2025. And as we can see at fibo extention, it has touch level 3 ( around 4300 level ). And we knew that last Friday price has been rejected at 4380 level. It's a hard rejection as price drop almost 2000 pips. Let see for a further movement as a bearish sign has been appeared. Have a blessing week a head !
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RogueXXX
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/21/2025Yesterday gold found support around 4220 and rose by more than 1600 pips to reach previous ATH around 4380. This is crazy, one single day of 1.6k pips difference. As forecasted in my weekly post, I did mention that I see the upside in the initial stage of the week. Currently gold is at the resistance and if this holds, we could see it drop to 4280. If 4380 resistance is broken, gold could rise to 4425 and even 4481. Otherwise, we could see price actions when it reach 4280.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
2
Gold Price Outlook | Buyers Stay in Full ControlGold remains firmly positioned within its broader bullish trajectory, supported by consistent demand from both institutional and retail investors. The market has shown strong resilience, forming a well-defined higher-low structure, which reflects continued accumulation. Price action indicates that buyers are confidently stepping in after each controlled pullback, maintaining upward momentum. The current market tone favors continuation toward the 4,180–4,250 range if momentum persists. Short-term retracements into the 4,070–4,090 area may offer new buying opportunities for position traders aligning with the prevailing trend. Macroeconomic factors such as ongoing inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and cautious monetary policy stance continue to underpin gold’s strength.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Lingrid | GOLD Consolidation - Breakout - Momentum TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD recently made new all-time high inside a steep upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum. The structure suggests a healthy correction phase forming a short-term range above the 4,280 support zone. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline, the bullish structure remains intact with potential continuation toward 4,450 and higher. The ongoing range formation may serve as consolidation before the next impulsive breakout higher. ⚠️ Risks: A sustained break below 4,280 could trigger a deeper correction. Rising U.S. yields or hawkish Fed comments may weigh on gold prices. Reduced geopolitical tension could cool safe-haven demand. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
11
Maintain gold buying pressure above 4400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443 TP1: $4425 TP2: $4412 TP3: $4400 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271 TP1: $4285 TP2: $4298 TP3: $4310 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
5
Gold’s Final Surge Before the Fall: The Herd Joins at the TopGold has rallied over 27% exactly as projected in the previous analysis Now, the structure shows clear signs of exhaustion — price is approaching the end of wave 5, historically the stage where euphoria peaks and reversals are born. Across the world, the crowd is piling into gold in a classic late-cycle buying frenzy. This kind of herd behavior — “everyone rushing to buy at once” — has always marked the final chapter of impulsive moves before major trend reversals. The chart highlights potential trigger zones for the coming reversal: Upper red dashed lines: triggers for aggressive traders Lower red dashed lines: triggers for more conservative entries Once those levels start breaking down, expect momentum to flip hard — and fast — signaling the beginning of a sharp corrective phase for gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by mahdiomidi
GoldGold 🥇 | Comprehensive Technical Analysis - Setting a Significant Rejection Zone Current Price: Around $4,353 | Timeframe: Daily - Weekly Date: October 21, 2025 ══════ 📊 Overview On the Market: Gold has completed an exceptional bullish cycle, reaching new all-time highs above 4,400, which I believe represents the local high for the current phase. However, several technical factors now point to an imminent correction before any potential continuation. ══════ 🔍 Key Technical Notes: ▪️ Price Zone: The stock is currently trading in a bullish zone—an area where institutional investors historically tend to take profits and open short positions. ▪️ Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index: 78/100 (Extreme Greed) These extreme readings in bullish zones precede corrections in 85% of historical cases. ▪️ Structural Analysis: - Overall Structure: Bullish (higher timeframes) - Internal Structure: Showing signs of weakness and bearish divergence - A potential Change in Personality (CHoCH) is forming on medium timeframes ▪️ Supply and Demand Zones: Multiple untested resistance zones below, as well as unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets. ▪️ Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Price is analyzed across multiple timeframes (4-hour, 1-day, 1-week, etc.) using advanced order flow techniques and proprietary market structure mapping tools—all of which point to a potential upcoming correction. ══════ 🎯 Expected Scenario (High Probability): Stage 1 - Initial Correction: 📍 Target 1: $3,777-$3,816 (Balance Zone) 📍 Target 2: $3,688-$3,749 (Discount Zone - Optimal Entry) Stage 2 - Deeper Correction (Moderate Probability): 📍 Target 3: $3,465-$3,580 (Strong Institutional Demand - Buy Orders) In addition to unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets. Note: Additional Confirmation Required After Reaching the Discount Zones: The possibility of a continued uptrend exists, but is not currently highly likely. The situation will be reassessed upon reaching the demand zones. ══════ ⚡ Why this analysis? This analysis is based on: ✓ Advanced order flow analysis techniques ✓ Professional tools for mapping market structure ✓ Premium/Discount Zone Theory ✓ Detecting institutional order blocks ✓ Market sentiment analysis ✓ Liquidity level mapping These are not traditional retail trading tools; they are institutional analysis techniques used by professional traders. ═════ 📚 Previous Record: Some may remember my previous analysis of gold in August 2023: 📌 Analysis for August 13 2023: - Expectations: Rise from 1780 - Targets: 2500 → 2800 → Over 3800 - Result: ✅ 100% Success Rate - Actual Movement: Reaching over 4400 (147% Profit) - Update (April 2024): "Trade Closed at Target" This analysis is based on the same institutional framework applied to this current situation. The methodology is effective because it tracks actual cash flow—not trader sentiment. ═════ ═════ ⚠️ Risk Management (Mandatory): Regardless of your confidence level, risk management is non-negotiable: ✓ Don't risk more than 1-2% of your capital on each trade. ✓ Always set a stop-loss before entering. ✓ Avoid excessive leverage. ✓ Maximize your profits. Steps ✓ Research yourself (DYOR) ══════════════════════════════════════ ═════ ⚖️ Disclaimer: This is educational technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Trading carries a significant risk of capital loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ══════ 💬 Share your opinion with us: What do you think of gold at these levels? 📊 If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to like and follow it for more analysis. 🔔 Turn on notifications to receive updates as soon as this setting develops. ═════
TVC:GOLD
by jewelllc