chartwatchers

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About me "It is much easier to watch a few than many." J. Livermore For analysis I use candlestick patterns, chart patterns, indicators, cycles, sentiment. I’m a trader on the gold market since 2004. I’m watching 5 minutes/1 hour / 4 hour / daily / weekly chart
Joined Hungary ArpiKerenyi
"Markets are never wrong – opinions often are." Jesse Livermore / I called the bottom of oil on 25.02.2016 here at Tradingview.com
Markets Allocation
13 % stocks 9 % forex 1 % indices 77 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX:XAUUSD 27% | 151 USOIL 15% | 85 OANDA:XAUUSD 7% | 41 DXY 6% | 35
chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, 1D, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Back to the future
1901 17 34
XAUUSD, 1D Long
GOLD - Back to the future

There's quite a similar pattern evolving in gold today to the 2009 summer pattern. There were many attempts to break 1000$ at that time. This time the key level is 1360. I think once we break 1360$ gold will print a strong rally up to 1450-1500 in 2-3 months. The only question is she ready to run? Or we still need to visit 1236$ first. In 2009 the last ICL was ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, 1D, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Stranger things
2692 21 37
XAUUSD, 1D Long
GOLD - Stranger things

Interesting things are wvolving in the currency markets and gold. First of all let's start the currencies because I think this is going to drive gold's next cycle. EURUSD https://www.tradingview.com/x/cHEyHbcn/ The last 2 intermediate cycle lasted for 120 and 100 candles and this one is already 126 candles long. After Friday's big reversal into the close - we ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: EurUsd - Descending triangle
3285 19 44
EURUSD, D Long
EurUsd - Descending triangle

As I've mentioned before in the Heavy metal gold post the EurUsd was printing a descending triangle pattern. The pattern broke down a few days ago but I don't think the EurUsd has topped and starting a bear market. As soon as the target price from the pattern completed the rally will start again. The target price is at 1.1963. This target price is the same as the ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, 1D, Short ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Silence of the bulls
3148 10 38
XAUUSD, 1D Short
GOLD - Silence of the bulls

Most probably the previous gold idea will be closed in profit soon. I think the drop is just not finished yet. Before gold breaks upside from the 2-3 years bottoming process we need to wash out all the goldbugs. Today we have a very similar pattern to the 2016 Aug-Oct descending triangle. In 2016 Sept wee tagged the 200 SMA twice before on Monday or Tuesday the ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, 1D, Short ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Heavy metals
2755 13 43
XAUUSD, 1D Short
GOLD - Heavy metals

Neverending range.... The breakout to the upside just doesn't want to come. We are running out of time not just for the daily cycle but for the intermediate cycle too... The chance is high that daily cycle's trendine (blue) going to break down and we are testing the bottom of the range soon. If the range breaks down we might tag the 2017.12.12 low before the ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Range
3962 17 38
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD - Range

Update on the previous long idea - not a new long idea. It's too late to go long here as we can top out anywhere from today to the next 5 days. The top will occur in the next 5 days ( the latest date for the top is the 16th March ) . As we are clearly in a range between 1308 - 1361,45 gold should peek out at the tag or marginal breakout of 1361. I don't ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers NATGASUSD, D, Long ,
NATGASUSD: NatGas - New possibilities
2351 13 26
NATGASUSD, D Long
NatGas - New possibilities

I would like to start with the indicators here. First of all the Slow Stochastic. Every time in the last 3 years when the StowStoch printed a flat bottom at the oversold levels it was followed by a strong rally in NatGas prices. Today the situation is the same : we have a flat bottom again. MACD is also crossing over after the extreme oversold levels and RSI ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, 60, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - afterFED
3412 30 36
XAUUSD, 60 Long
GOLD - afterFED

I'm reloading the longs at a better price we entered the previous time. It might or might not tag 1327... The blue down trend line is broken and we regained the multi-month uptrend line (red) too...

chartwatchers chartwatchers NAS100USD, 240, Long ,
NAS100USD: NASDAQ - The Pennant
4298 57 33
NAS100USD, 240 Long
NASDAQ - The Pennant

It's still not too late to enter this trade. I'm still waiting for a 8500-9000 NAS100USD by the beginning of summer. Maybe even earlier. I see many people waiting for a re-test of the previous low at 6150$. This is not going to come. We had an ICL at 6150 and those are not used to be tested back. Right now we are printing a pennant pattern. The pennant's target ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, 240, Long ,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Trade idea
3226 39 47
XAUUSD, 240 Long
GOLD - Trade idea

I'm starting a long position in gold here strictly using a stop below the current 4hrs candle low (1324$) We tagged the previous daily cycle's trendline and I think this is the last chance for gold to print a right translated daily cycle with a higher high. RSI is leaving oversold from extreme levels. RSI this morning hit the same level what we had at the last ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers SPX500USD, 60, Long ,
SPX500USD: SPX500 - The Untouchable
1389 8 23
SPX500USD, 60 Long
SPX500 - The Untouchable

TrumProtection.This is all we need to know about US Stock Markets. If you invest in this sector you have the support of the President of the United States of America. And as none of the politicians want a stock market collapse overthere I would say you have the support of Washington. Finally the S&P took out the false swing's level yesterday. So it's following ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAGUSD, 60, Long ,
XAGUSD: SILVER - Late runner
996 5 16
XAGUSD, 60 Long
SILVER - Late runner

Comparing silver and gold silver is lagging in this rally. If you missed Tuesday gold pop it's an oppurtunity to join the metal rally at the end of this intermediate cycle. The weakening dollar is the support for our long position. I will take profit in the next 5-10 days most probably in the breakout above 17.697$. ***

chartwatchers chartwatchers NAS100USD, D, Long ,
NAS100USD: NASDAQ - New beginning
3188 38 37
NAS100USD, D Long
NASDAQ - New beginning

A short summary what happened the last 3 days: Price almost tagged the 200 SMA on Friday. Powerful bounce on the same day. Swing on Monday ( breaking above the reversal's candle high) Follow through with a trendline break on Tuesday. The next sign that we'll be testing 7030 again is a break above the 10 and 50 EMA. RSI left oversold territory. MACD also turning ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers NAS100USD, D, Long ,
NAS100USD: NASDAQ - The Bubble
2072 27 25
NAS100USD, D Long
NASDAQ - The Bubble

No question stocks are in the euphoria phase for months now. I'm quite sure the last few days' correction was the final correction before we enter the Bitcoin-like-vertical phase. During the European night the S&P 500 tagged the 200 SMA on the daily chart and bounced powerfully from that level. Though NAS100USD didn't tag it they will run hand in hand to new ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers SPX500USD, D, Long ,
SPX500USD: S&P 500- The Bubble
1538 32 21
SPX500USD, D Long
S&P 500- The Bubble

No question stocks are in the euphoria phase for months now. I'm quite sure the last few days' correction was the final correction before we enter the Bitcoin-like-vertical phase. During the European night we tagged the 200 SMA on the daily chart and bounced powerfully from that level. If I'm right we are going to see something we can see in every 20 ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: GOLD - Trollslayer
6261 57 55
XAUUSD, D
GOLD - Trollslayer

I needed to update gold's last move in a private idea. If you followed it congratulations, we did it. Short again from the bulltrap. If you missed it please say thank to the trolls : below my last gold idea you will find a few. - We might get rid of them if they cannot use their personal message system. Just send them a personal message. I always welcome the ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: OIL - Patience
9577 71 59
USOIL, D Short
OIL - Patience

We are very close to the breakdown.I would like to remind you how much patience was needed for oil's last ICL trade. You needed the patience to wait while the flowers were growing from the stone here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/E7Sa7ilE-OIL-Intermediate-cycle-top/ ... and we were waiting and it suddenly dropped: ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: OIL - Call for the cycle top
4483 104 50
USOIL, D Short
OIL - Call for the cycle top

Oil is due for a drop into its intermediate low. I'm entering an 50% short position here at 60.17$. If we don't erase today's reversal candle I will enter the other 50% short position. My suggested margin impact is 50% for ones whole account. I'm already short with a smaller position from this idea : ...

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