chartwatchers

PRO
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About me "It is much easier to watch a few than many." J. Livermore For analysis I use candlestick patterns, chart patterns, indicators, cycles, sentiment. I’m a trader on the gold market since 2004. I’m watching 5 minutes/1 hour / 4 hour / daily / weekly chart
Last visit Joined 10 months ago Hungary ArpiKerenyi
"Markets are never wrong – opinions often are." Jesse Livermore / I called the bottom of oil on 25.02.2016 here at Tradingview.com
Markets Allocation
14 % stocks 8 % forex 1 % indices 78 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 31% | 121 USOIL 18% | 72 DXY 7% | 27 NGAS 6% | 24
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Short , 15 hours ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Key reversal
639 5 22
NATGASUSD, D Short
NatGas - Key reversal
It's going to be a short term trade. Maybe one day maybe 2-3 days... Today we tested back an important breakdown level from 2014 Q4 (highlighted by blue). After the testback and a new high price started to fall immediately and printed a key reversal on the daily chart . I take the key reversals very seriously : ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USDJPY, D, Short , 2 days ago
USDJPY: USDJPY - BOJ the intervening champion
1485 7 42
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY - BOJ the intervening champion
I don't know what is the Bank of Japan is preparing for... Maybe they got the memo of the Armageddon or they are waiting for the collapse of stock markets... One thing is sure : they printed and sold a terrible amount of Yen during the last month. But enough is enough. Today the MACD has crossed over at extreme ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USOIL, D, Short , 2 days ago
USOIL: Oil - Possible failed breakout
2814 23 78
USOIL, D Short
Oil - Possible failed breakout
That's what I was afraid of.... We printed a bearish pin bar today with a possible failed breakout. I see a decent chance that the daily cycle topped today. This is the 3rd daily cycle in this intermediate cycle and we might start our move down into the ICL. We should not forget about the previous daily cycle low. ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, W, Long , 4 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Santa's bottom
5127 35 99
XAUUSD, W Long
GOLD - Santa's bottom
It's interesting to notice how gold bottomed before Christmas in the last few years before the New Years Rally . I highlighted by green the New Year's rallies. Red arrows are showing the lows. In 2013 : Dec.31. was the bottom and we had a 200$ rally in 2014 Jan-Feb In 2014 : Nov.17. was the bottom and we printed a ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO DXY, 240, Short , 4 days ago
DXY: DXY -  Head and shoulders
1393 6 36
DXY, 240 Short
DXY - Head and shoulders
The megaphone pattern is still in play. On Friday we broke below 100.73 : we are back into the megaphone so there is still a good chance that this was a failed breakout. During the last 2 weeks we printed a H&S pattern and we are breaking down the pattern. The first level we could tag very soon - if the breakdown ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 6 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Midnight short squeeze
2125 22 45
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD - Midnight short squeeze
Though we broke below the Fibonacci 61.8 retracement on Thursday the daily close is still above that level. At the beginning of this year we printed a nice rally from 1045 to 1375$. The 61.8% pullback level of this rally is at 1171$. The Fibonacci 61.8 retracement is a very important level. If we are still in a ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Long , 9 days ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - GasRush
3306 28 67
NATGASUSD, D Long
NatGas - GasRush
No question the ICL is behind us. I underestimated NatGas' first daily cycle. We are near to the previous top and the 1st daily cycle just had begun... We printed the intermediate bottom at the 200 SMA and Fibonacci 50% retracement. We are going to break to new highs in this first daily cycle. Most probably we are ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO EURUSD, D, Long , 16 days ago
EURUSD: EurUsd - The end of panic selling
1296 4 22
EURUSD, D Long
EurUsd - The end of panic selling
I know a lot of traders are waiting for the break of 1.05 and 1.045 and later a parity in EurUsd. So far we are just bouncing from the multi month trendline and printed a daily swing. If I'M waiting for DXY to break down and top in the megaphone top I should be waiting for EurUsd to print a bottom and rally towards ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO DXY, D, Short , 16 days ago
DXY: DXY - Short in the Megaphone Pattern
1063 9 23
DXY, D Short
DXY - Short in the Megaphone Pattern
Yesterday I posted a neutral idea regarding the possible megaphone pattern in DXY. Today we printed a daily swing and the candle is holding by the close we couldn't erase it. RSI is turning down from the overbought levels. TSI is signing divergence. If price breaks back into the megaphone and later below 100.42$ ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 17 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Getting ready
6791 114 77
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD - Getting ready
If we look at gold's previous half year rally (1045 --->1375) as one cycle last Friday we printed the 50% pullback of that rally. We just tagged the 50% Fibonacci retracement on Friday. We might be ready and start the rally from here. Or we might break below 1200$ and reverse quickly from there. The question is if ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO DXY, W, 17 days ago
DXY: DXY - Possible megaphone topping pattern
1246 18 44
DXY, W
DXY - Possible megaphone topping pattern
The US Dollar Index broke out of its range last week. At the first look it is a great buying opportunity as we run to new highs. Normally this kind of breakout would be a buying opportunity. My problem here that we are too late in this intermediate cycle to have a follow through after this breakout. There is a ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAGUSD, D, Long , 18 days ago
XAGUSD: Silver - FIBONACCI 61.8
1115 5 33
XAGUSD, D Long
Silver - FIBONACCI 61.8
On Friday we've arrived to important levels in silver. We hit the support of the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement on Friday (16.49$). We also tagged the the downtrend channel's lower trendline and the 300 SMA. (I changed the 200 SMA to the 300 SMA because in silver it seems to be working better.) In MACD and TSI ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USOIL, D, Long , 18 days ago
USOIL: OIL - Game of ranges
3858 26 57
USOIL, D Long
OIL - Game of ranges
It seems we've entered into the 3rd daily cycle 5 days ago. I don't like too much oil's 3rd daily cycles. Usually it's not too strong.. The other problem that this last DCL has broken below the previous DCL (blue line) generating a failed daily cycle. So the most likely scenario that we bounce for 4-5 days from ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Long , 18 days ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Might be a perfect time for longs
1885 24 45
NATGASUSD, D Long
NatGas - Might be a perfect time for longs
It's starting to be a textbook rally. We had a nice intermediate decline after 3 daily cycles. We tagged the 200 SMA and turned up from there. We had the 50% pullback of the previous ICL (FIBO 50). And we broke out from the down channel. MACD crossed over and heading to the upside. RSI is entering into overbought ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Long , 23 days ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Winter is coming
2021 23 38
NATGASUSD, D Long
NatGas - Winter is coming
Though I don't think winter will have any effect on Natty now looks like we will have higher NatGAs prices during winter. We have a daily swing today. We tagged the 200 SMA and turned up from there. We had the 50% pullback of the previous ICL (FIBO 50). RSI printed a divergence while coming out of oversold ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USOIL, D, Long , a month ago
USOIL: OIL - The level to watch
3584 13 51
USOIL, D Long
OIL - The level to watch
LONG UPDATE based on 200 SMA teset again post. Holding long positions. It's just doesn't want to start.... On Friday we lost the 200 SMA. That's why I told at the last Oil idea : only 10-15% margin impact it's a risky trade. We may or may not start the rally at the 200 SMA. Taking out the 200 SMA is not a drama ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , a month ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - MAKE ACCOUNT GREAT AGAIN
11737 252 74
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD - MAKE ACCOUNT GREAT AGAIN
I told you a week ago there is a big chance this is going to be a second Brexit event... I got a lot of attack again but at the end of the day it was a nice long trade , and it is still a nice long trade. I'm hunting for big gains. I'm not interested in the short term 5-10$ gains in gold. This vehicle is so ...
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , a month ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - COT (2016.11.06)
7327 104 63
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD - COT (2016.11.06)
I have to post the COT again because I see a few beginner traders are starting to misunderstand these numbers again. The COT is not bearish at all yet. The Commitment of Traders report (COT) is published at the close of every Friday's trade and it always shows the Tuesday COT data. The formula for Blees rating ...
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EURUSD
Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
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