chartwatchers

PRO
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About me "It is much easier to watch a few than many." J. Livermore For analysis I use candlestick patterns, chart patterns, indicators, cycles, sentiment. I’m a trader on the gold market since 2004. I’m watching 5 minutes/1 hour / 4 hour / daily / weekly chart
Online Joined a year ago Hungary ArpiKerenyi
"Markets are never wrong – opinions often are." Jesse Livermore / I called the bottom of oil on 25.02.2016 here at Tradingview.com
Markets Allocation
13 % stocks 8 % forex 1 % indices 78 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 31% | 131 USOIL 18% | 77 DXY 6% | 28 NGAS 5% | 24
chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO GDXJ, D, Long , 9 hours ago
GDXJ: GDX/GDXJ - Gap close
405 8 17
GDXJ, D Long
GDX/GDXJ - Gap close

We have a long opportunity evolving in gold miners. As gold broke out gold miners are a bit late in the rally. This is a good opportunity for all those who get left behind at today's gold breakout. Both GDX nad GDXJ has closed the gaps after the open. More details in PI.

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NAS100USD, 60, Short , 10 hours ago
NAS100USD: NASDAQ - Shorting a few days after Soros
330 2 19
NAS100USD, 60 Short
NASDAQ - Shorting a few days after Soros

The daily indicators are showing we are done with this rally. At least the daily cycle is topping. The MACD is turning down , the RSI is leaving the overbought territory. SlowStoch is turning down also. The hourly chart is printing a pullback and I will enter with shorts from 5326-5340. Don't get scared if the dip buyers are turning back up the price. We might ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO SPX500USD, 60, Short , 11 hours ago
SPX500USD: SPX500 - Short entry
489 8 20
SPX500USD, 60 Short
SPX500 - Short entry

Selling short in S&P 500. Details in PI.

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, 240, Long , 14 hours ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Double top's worth
2562 29 56
XAUUSD, 240 Long
GOLD - Double top's worth

Not many people know what gold's failed double top's worth is. I do. Sixty bucks. That's what shorts must bear if we break out today. And that's what we are going to earn at this market in 2-3 days. The pattern many traders believe a double top was just a flag what we tested back on the 21st of February. Yesterday we had a big volume on the 4hrs chart in the last ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Long , 9 days ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Simple as it is
8387 158 70
NATGASUSD, D Long
NatGas - Simple as it is

I think I cannot make it more simple than this chart. It's a clear long now and it's a rare opportunity to get a possibility to go long at the 200 SMA at the end of the first daily cycle. Usually this opportunity comes only at the ICLs like last November...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO UGAZ, D, Long , 12 days ago
UGAZ: UGAZ - NatGas for the brave ones
2706 39 28
UGAZ, D Long
UGAZ - NatGas for the brave ones

Entering long in this vehicle.

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Long , 13 days ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Buying
3341 53 55
NATGASUSD, D Long
NatGas - Buying

I don't want to wait any longer. The only thing indicates that we are done is the divergence in RSI. MACD might want to cross over but no signal yet. Most probably we are in the new daily cycle already and bottomed on 2nd Feb. The volume will show a reversal by the close : it will be higher than yesterday's volume. We might be printing a double bottom... I ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, W, Long , 18 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - The bull awakens
12886 129 120
XAUUSD, W Long
GOLD - The bull awakens

There might be the best few weeks of this year for gold ahead of us in the following 2-3 weeks. Last weeks' gains are very important. We successfully printed a big weekly gain after the previous weeks' red candle. It's not just a green candle, we also run to a higher high and it's the highest close in 12 weeks. We are back to the level of the election week's ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USOIL, D, 18 days ago
USOIL: OIL - Glitch in the matrix
6369 45 73
USOIL, D
OIL - Glitch in the matrix

Let's see the COT in oil today.The last COT report was released on 01.31.2017. Large speculator long contracts: 656.710 ( All time high) Commercial net shorts at record high level also: 509.138 Comm.long: 677.450 contracts Comm.shorts: 1.186.594 contracts (Record high level) It's the 8th week when Blees is zero again. Someone is wrong here. Both group will not ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, 18 days ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Preparation for long
3988 74 69
NATGASUSD, D
NatGas - Preparation for long

We arrived to the profit taking area on Friday. I booked profits on half of the position. We are near to the end of the 1st daily cycle of this IC so this is not the time to be brave with shorts. It can reverse any time now. The volume is decreasing. The indicators are starting to show some divergencies. I used the FIBO retracement to see where could this decline ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 21 days ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Thor's hammer
4666 40 74
XAUUSD, D Long
GOLD - Thor's hammer

I'M releasing last weekend's private idea post - what was posted at twitter and sent out to my email list- at the public post area as we broke above 1220 and our longs will be protected. The original story was posted here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/L3sLrC9b-GOLD-Thor-s-hammer/ We had a hammer printed on Friday. A few weeks ago (price was 1140$) ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USOIL, D, Short , 24 days ago
USOIL: OIL - The longest consolidation ever?
4090 48 76
USOIL, D Short
OIL - The longest consolidation ever?

Many has given up this short by now... I know most of you who is still in this short trade think that this is a never ending consolidation. Actually oil likes to print this kind of range or triangle type of consolidation before it's going down into the intermediate cycle low. It happened in 2015 February, 2015 May, 2015 September, 2016 MAy, 2016 December.... So ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , a month ago
XAUUSD: Gold - V for victory
6505 43 106
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold - V for victory

As we couldn't take out the 2015 December low during last year we can assume it's very possible the bear market has ended in 2015 and we are not going to see sub 1045 prices for a while... If the bear has ended in 2015, the 2016 low at 1123 is also a long term low which should not be taken out. During the bear market we had bear market rallies after the yearly ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO NATGASUSD, D, Short , a month ago
NATGASUSD: NatGas - Shooting star above the hanging man
3326 41 69
NATGASUSD, D Short
NatGas - Shooting star above the hanging man

We have an ultimate fight in Natty as the cycle low is approaching. The market knows that there is still a big potential on the long side but before the next leg up we need to print a bottom. The H&S pattern is still valid. I just see a little triangle evolving in the chart (blue). It's usually a continuation pattern. If it breaks down the target price counted ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, 60, Long , a month ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Short squeeze on the horizon
4065 47 68
XAUUSD, 60 Long
GOLD - Short squeeze on the horizon

Today after 4 days of decline everybody is ready to short gold again. Most of the ideas here in TV are a gold short idea. We have a lamp (or light) button next to the indicators button above the chart. If you click on it you will see how many short and long ideas were published on TV. I love it. This is a very good sentiment indicator. And now I can see a sea of ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO XAUUSD, 60, Long , a month ago
XAUUSD: GOLD - Range and divergencies
2191 15 37
XAUUSD, 60 Long
GOLD - Range and divergencies

I will try a long trade in gold based on the TSI, RSI divergencies and the possible range - what's forming right now. I might be holding these longs only for a few hours.

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO SPX500USD, 240, Short , a month ago
SPX500USD: SPX 500 - Taking some awful chances
1305 8 29
SPX500USD, 240 Short
SPX 500 - Taking some awful chances

New high in SPX. But I don't like this breakout. It seems to me it's forming a false breakout of the range. If it breaks back into the range it's going to tag the bottom of the range at 2250. If it does there could come the trick if it breaks down from the range and starts heading lower... If you enter this trade I suggest just a small position as the breakdown ...

chartwatchers chartwatchers PRO USOIL, D, Short , a month ago
USOIL: OIL - EXXON and CHEVRON
3524 23 53
USOIL, D Short
OIL - EXXON and CHEVRON

Just a short update in oil... On Friday we got a pop again on low volume. The volume was the 25% of the key reversal's volume. I think the small players were stopping out their short positions before the Weekend OPEC meeting , because last time oil gapped up after the OPEC decision... That was the reason of the Friday pop. This time I just put 2 important oil ...

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