BULLISH BTC: MOVING AS EXPECTED!!!!Coming down to VWAP, will bounce back up @ 104K-105K . Next stop 120K!!!
BTCUSD05U2025 trade ideas
Bitcoin to $115k or pullback to $91kGood Evening Traders,
First I would like to say, congratulations to all of you who have been in the game for the last 3 bitcoin halving cycles. Through all of the "You buy fake internet money" comments or the never ending explaining of the Tokenomics of different cryptocurrencies, I have to say KUDOS to all of us who saw the vision, stuck to your guns and intricately added to your bags over the years! We are finally here on the cusp of full regulation and a final hush of the naysayers!
Ok, now down to brass tax! On the chart I have Highlighted a few important details. Something I did not point out on the chart is the massive printing of USDT that has been happening over the past few days. It seems to me that we are on the cusp of a massive influx of capital into the alt coin markets. But, for now lets focus on Bitcoin! As stated, you can see multiple points that I have highlighted... These being mostly bearish for the big dog of market cap and the grandfather coins of crypto Bitcoin. The first few things to notice is the bearish divergence on the MACD histogram, the bearish down cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator. You can also note the overbought area on the RSI right above that. In addition to this we do have some gaps on CME:BTC1! Which generally get filled sooner than later on most charts.
With this in mind, it is possible that we could have some good news amongst the movers and shakers down at the Bitcoin conference this week. Yet, we could get some sell the news type events that could ease the price downward to fill in these gaps that we have below. In my experience at the beginning of each alt coin season Bitcoin generally leads the rally and can trade sideways to down during the upward movement of the majority of the altcoin market.
My personal thoughts on the chart currently is shown at the top of the chart. if we close the daily candle underneath the hyperlocal resistance shown on the red line at the top of the chart, then we will most likely start pulling back to fill the first gap that is shown on the chart below in yellow. Albeit, the MACD is a lagging indicator, we can gain a lot of insight using it and my favorite sign on the MACD is using the histogram to point out bearish and bullish divergences. This shows a lack in momentum in the current trend that is shown through the price action of the assets trend. Especially, after a straight run up like we have just experienced as of late.
In conclusion, you can make the assumption that if we close the current day under the red line above it is very possible that we begin what could turn out to be an ABC correction leading us down to fill in the gaps on BTC1! to the downside. If we hold the first support, BTC may show us a little more juice potentially reaching for just under $115k. This in my opinion would likely be a bull trap for the time being. Summers are not the best when it comes to crypto growth and it always seems like we are waiting for the Ground Hog to see its shadow to find out if we are to the moon or back to McDonalds with our friends!
I hope that this analysis has helped you gain some insight in your research. I have added supports to the chart to show you where we may turn around and start heading back into price discovery.
Stay Profitable,
Savvy
BTC: BULLISH RUN TO 120K HAS BEGUN!!!Using the prior periods triple bottoming tail pivots several months ago, you can visually see that the same pivots occurred several weeks ago and another pivot today confirms the upward trend to $120k.
The trend lines show that the VWAP and the EMA are not being violated in most cases. Candles touch the average, than bounce upwards.
Keep it simple, easier to see the upward/downward trend without Elliot Waves.
BTC CMA 92,000BTC CMA 92,000
We are currently at a temporary peak and strong, but not final, selling zone. We have a price gap reaching 92k, and a strong reversal to it is expected. Stay tuned for any new updates.
I had already taken this trade, just documenting itNothing significant to mention, just that it is a good opportunity of a bounce
CME Futures PREMIUM —Bitcoin Will Continue To GrowThe PREMIUM between Bitcoin's CME Futures and spot price is still on. This means that Bitcoin continues bullish.
In a previous article, I used this signal to predict a bullish breakout and bullish continuation. When there is a bullish bias Bitcoin becomes more expensive on CME vs spot, it means buy demand is very strong. With a strong demand for Bitcoin from the public, prices continue to grow.
There is a huge difference between the double top in 2021 and the chart structure in 2025.
The double top in 2021 came out of a 5-up waves pattern. The current top comes out of a 7 months long consolidation phase. Based on Elliotts law of alternation, the bull market will end in a blow off top in 2025 rather than a double top. This means that we will see one final and very strong move up followed by a crash, and that's how the bull market will end. Think of 2017/2018 and you can get a perfect picture of how the bull market will end. The only question that remains is about how far up prices will go, will the bullish wave end at $157,425 or will it go to $211,855?
Six months is enough to reach the second target.
This is a friendly reminder.
Bitcoin will continue to grow.
Namaste.
The Leap - June 2025 (Pre-Month Analysis)This is my analysis for the upcoming TradingView competition pairs for the month of June. I'll do a weekly analysis each week, starting at the beginning of the month and after each week.
Good luck to all who are joining!
- R2F Trading
Here's your chance to get in on the shortSo btc has failed auction and risen towards the structure POC
it is also the 0.75/0786
if this doesnt hold im looking at the 113,575 (1.25 fib)
and the 1.618 at 115430
i dont know which will hold i just know where i want to look for a hedge.
in order to do so i want a good high (long selling tail) and good oscilation data.
shorts are getting rekt and squeezed.
as we make new ath's
soon there wont be any more liquidity to grab
Short & Long Position on Bitcoin Futuredescription is explained on the chart for better understanding
Bitcoin levels to watchI'm Bullish on this asset, however I'd be interested to engage when the inefficiencies below the current market price has been mitigated. It'll get there sooner or later, and until it happens I'm just going to sit on my hands.
BTC Futures : My first attempt with a target price of 0Hello friends; I think not believing in Bitcoin is as natural as believing in Bitcoin.
I can't express my opinion here with moving averages and/or RSI levels.
The Beyond Technical Analysis might make sense for this trade.
If we are wrong, what is important here is our position and risk management. We do not open a transaction to say "I told you so".
I cannot explain this with any technical analysis method, blockchain data, etc.
Technically; everything that will be built based on this is the same as building a sand castle.
I don't think Bitcoin has an equivalent.
If we consider serious inflation rates, it is obvious that people will have much bigger and more vital priorities than buying Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. I am not even talking about electricity costs.
I definitely don't think it can be in the same class as Gold.
This trade alone offers us a very good risk/reward ratio.
I chose the contract covering the next period ending on May 30th, not the continuous CME contract, in order to save time.
A good place for a first try.
I will definitely try something similar.
I don't think I will have any views other than the short side in the future.
For years I have been asked, "If you don't believe us, why don't you open a short position?" I will try to achieve this.
So there's also an experimental side to this.
HIGHLIGHTS
We are closing our position before the contract switch date of May 30, 2025, without looking at the price. If necessary, we will try again in the next contract.
The value of 113690 is our stop value. We end our trade at this value.
We choose the smallest value as the position size.
If you expect something to be 0,
you should choose trading instruments that evaluate your position in currencies rather than in BTC value.
I chose CME because it is suitable for this.
Contracts that are further away are definitely not liquid.
It may be difficult to find buyers even at high values.
Target : 0
Absolutely no margin addition.
Best regards.
these shorts are getting easy like muscle memoryIn from the CVD absorption value area high retest
my edge is: ES confluence, trapped longs.
CVD data
the past bottoms/tops were failed auctions in electronic trading sessions and not in regular trading hours
the amount of donwside liquidity (24 billion liquidations for 92k)
on a higher timeframe we have hidden bearish divergence.
stop is tight position size is 20400 x2
Bitcoin - Do Or DieThis is the spot where things either get spicy or go limp. If we see weakness here — same old chop, same range, nothing to see.
But if Bitcoin punches through this zone with conviction, we’re looking at some serious upside. Targets are mapped, and the path is clear if bulls step up.
No breakout? Don’t expect fireworks.
Breakout? Strap in.
This is a decisive moment
1 Billion USD+ SHORTs Liquidation —Bitcoin BullishGood morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
We all know that life is not a game of checkers, it is more like fifth dimensional chess. It can be easy once we master how to play but it is actually hard to learn the game. The same goes for trading Cryptocurrencies, it is not an easy game.
Billions of dollars are about to be liquidated from SHORT traders. The All-Time High liquidation. This is a friendly reminder.
» If you are bullish, congratulations. You are good and you will do great.
» If you are bearish, there is still time, you don't have to lose knowing beforehand what will happen next.
The whales and market manipulators are setting up a trap right now, but they can never fool you because you know best.
What do you know?
» You know Bitcoin to be bullish because it is easily trading above 100K.
» You know Bitcoin is rising because it has been moving up since the 7-April low.
» You know a continuation will soon follow because we have signals coming from the Altcoins, the Stock market and Gold. Everything is pointing up.
I know you are smart and thank you for coming back and reading again. In only a matter of days, billions of dollars worth of SHORTs will be liquidated. Make sure not to be caught on the wrong side of the fence.
» Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
When to buy Crypto and when to sell The only measure I've found that seems to have some consistency to assign relative value to crypto is by comparing BTC futures performance VS Nasdaq Total Return...
When BTC futures are in deep discounts it is time to Buy, when in wide premiums, it is time to sell!
Right now it's time to sell!
BTCUSDT - 4H - GAP 92K - Chicago Futures - SHSBTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHS
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_______________________________________________________
BTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHS
LEVELS:
Resistance: 105k
DYNAMIC SL: 101k
2nd SHOULDER: 91k - 92k
Why could BTC make a SHS breakout?
It seems BTC is again topping out at 105k (coinciding with the horizontal shoulder line).
We have a SELL signal at these levels.
And third, we have a GAP at 92k in the Chicago FUTURES.
If BTC makes this correction, we would have a bullish SHS pattern that could take BTC to 140k.
To be successful in trading, it is essential to be faithful to our strategy. Be clear about where we are, where we want to go, and when it is best to be liquid. __________________________________________________
Automated cryptocurrency trading bots: All of these strategic alternatives can be configured with TradeX BoT, as it allows you to position in both directions without having to lock any amount per position. All that's required is for the conditions, either up or down, to be met for the orders to be executed in either direction, withdrawing the necessary deposits from the portfolio.
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This tool is in development, and the beta version will be available soon for testing.
FOLLOW ME and I'll keep you informed of our progress.
I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain securities that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend trading with these indicators. Get informed, educate yourself, and create your own investment strategies. I hope my comments help you on your journey :)
Bearish sign but we think it pushes to MAJOR RESISTANCEYesterday CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed a BEARISH ENGULFING. We've spoken on this pattern countless times.
However, we didn't bring it up because we didn't/don't think it's relevant.
WHY? Look at the paltry volume. Bitcoin volume is SUPER LOW.
BTC is still in Bullish mode from Late 2022.
---
We turned Bullish again on CRYPTOCAP:BTC around early April:
A) We saw that huge Bitcoin selloff 4/7
2) Which reversed that same day
3) Followed by some buying a couple days later
4) More BTC accumulation 4/21 when it was under 88k
Major resistance coming up soon.
Pause HIGHLY LIKELY.
Bitcoin CME Futures Daily Trend AnalysisMarkets move in cycles, and different cycle durations help confirm trends ranging from short-term to long-term. Based on my analysis of the 5-day cycle, the Bitcoin CME Futures show a bearish signal. This suggests that the closing price on May 16, 2025, is likely to be lower than the opening price on May 13, 2025, which is 103100.
The current trend remains bullish, with a trailing stop-loss placed at 101059. A close below this level would confirm a sell signal.
Disclaimer: This is my personal market view and not a buy or sell recommendation. Traders should conduct their own technical analysis and follow sound risk management practices before taking any position.
BTC CME Gap in Play – Will It Pull Price Lower?📉 BTC CME Gap Alert
There’s a visible gap between 91,950 and 92,560—these often act like magnets, with price revisiting them more often than not. 🕳️
🔍 Why It Matters:
CME gaps tend to get filled, especially in trending markets.
🎯 What to Watch:
If BTC shows signs of weakness near local highs, a short-term move toward this gap is possible.
🚨 Stay alert—this zone could offer entry opportunities or fakeouts before further upside develops.
Big, but biggerIn fact, I think it's possible that BTC will leave a CME gap (yellow box) unfilled for the first time since October 2020, and that we're repeating the marked 2020 fractal in a much bigger way.
War of gapsBTC decided to fill the CME gap at 97.3k first, while the gap at 92k remains unfilled, what makes a retracement to 92k at some point still highly likely since CME gaps almost never remain unfilled.
POT Long play $BTCUSDIf by the time that this demand zone get's hit, the red line (retailers) are bearish and atleast 20% line, I'll go for a long play at that Demand zone
