IDX Composite (IHSG) Just try my first trial on Fibonacci, how surprise i am that there is such things and almost accurate to see when the trend line do reversal IDX:COMPOSITE
Trade ideas
Proyeksi IHSGDISCLAIMER ON
Proyeksi IHSG bakal turun sampai mengisi Gap di 5000-4950(Support) dan mengalami koreksi sehat selama sektor finance tidak dinego habis-habisan dan properti mulai bergerak sideway.
Mungkin sektor Consumer akan menjadi penjaga IHSG (UNVR,HMSP), sektor Mining akan mengalami peningkatan yang cukup stagnan yang akan merujuk pada RUPS PTBA besok dan Sektor Infrastructure(GIAA,TOWR,ISAT,EXCL,TLKM) akan mengalami peningkatan karena rata-rata emitennya sudah jenuh oversold.
Kalau IHSG break support di 4950 maka IHSG berpotensi mengalami koreksi sampai menutup Gap di 4772-4752(Support)
Kalau Break lagi sih mending SOS full cash. Seharusnya BBCA mungkin sudah dikisaran 25rb dan BBRI 2600.
Walau FBUY besar tetap Asing punya harga bawah dan kalau mereka TP sekarang ya mereka sudah untung >20% terutama di sektor finance dan property.
Big Caps Movement : Movement Since Semi-Lockdown (PSBB)I monitor this chart to catch Big Banks movement once they start Bottoming and will Rally soon.
Big Caps Movement : Who Outperform and Underperform CompositeBig Banks show underperformance during JKSE crash. As expected, being Market Proxy, only BBCA (as one of Big Banks) relatively has similar performance with JKSE.
As Cyclical Stocks and during PSBB (Semi-Lockdown), understandably ASII underperform JKSE. No one is buying a car this time.
Staples Consumer Stocks such as UNVR and Cigarettes perform well during Semi Lockdown and during a difficult times.
Biggest Market Cap Stocks of Composite : View From 2020I try to predict Composite bottoming by looking at the 7 biggest market cap stocks.
In the chart, There are two categories of those 7 which are : Underperforming (BBRI, BMRI, and ASII) and Outperforming (BBCA, TLKM, UNVR, and HMSP).
Looking at the total Weight of Outperforming stocks (26.5%) and comparing to the Underperforming stocks (12.7%), we can say that the Outperforming stocks might have more influences on Composite that eventually fastening the Bottoming process.
IHSG CRITICAL MOMENT!! BREAKDOWN SUPPORT OR BOUNCE BACK ??Look at the Daily chart,
If the big support line breaks price around (4440-4470) IHSG probably gonna test 3900
And if it bounce back we're going to see sideways movement like seen past two weeks
ADA YANG NUNGGU KEPASTIAN TAPI BUKAN BUAT JADIAN! Overview #IHSG
Sebelum #IHSG break ke atas dan melebihi level resistennya, jangan terlalu banyak berharap deh bakalan ngelanjutin trend (secondary) nya bakalan naik lagi.
Kumpulin Cash dulu aja sementara, jangan gegabah, ntar diambil orang. Eh'
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Stocks To Monitor : Sector That Should Be BetterI believe sector Industrial Area, Property, Food (Poultry) and certain Industry will record good return once JKSE start to rise.
I still believe Investment will come soon after this Pandemic over whether Omnibus Law will be signed or not. So I think Industrial Area Stocks (BEST, DMAS and SSIA) are my choice.
Consumption is proven to be resilient and that is why I believe HOKI (rice) and Poultry (JPFA and MAIN) will be a top choice.
Young demography means the needs of housing will remain high so I think CTRA as a low property class player will be a top choice. Going to the mall is still a preferred vacation and leisure time for many people so PWON should recover their tenancy rate.
Lastly, to support next economy growth, Indonesia need supporting industry such as ESSA (gas and ammonia gas player). Also, I think furniture product demand will be high accordingly with the rise in property demand. That is why I prefer WOOD.
One Last Drop for JKSEThe current advance of JKSE might be a Technical Rebound or a temporary rise during Downtrend.
Since Downtrend is still intact, the future drop might be deeper than this advance.
I predict JKSE will fall below its lowest point (at 3,911) and could reach 3,750.
However, I believe this is one last drop before JKSE starts to form the Bottom or Bullish Reversal pattern to end Downtrend and start the beginning of Uptrend.
Breakout Bullish Continuation Pattern, JKSE Moves To 5,400JKSE (Composite) moved in a small downtrend since April 2020 but this I think this move was part of Bullish Continuation that should continue a Rally from the end of March 2020 (from ~3,900 to ~4,900).
However, I still yet to see Bullish Reversal Pattern that can reverse Downtrend of JKSE that started in early 2020. In that case, the potential upward move to 5,400 doesn't mean that JKSE will reverse Downtrend.
I believe JKSE will fail to Break Resistance at 5,400 and then fall to 4,000 - 4,400. This fall will be part of the Bullish Reversal Pattern that is needed to reverse Downtrend and give birth to a new Uptrend.
For now, let see the current move to 5,400.
Monitor Other Big Caps, beside Big Bank, to better gauge JCIBig Bank tends to be Bullish because of Indonesia's economic structure.
So when Big Bank was kept rising, it didn't show the problem that already boiled (in 2019).
I watch Other Big Caps to better gauge Composite's movement which consists of more Index Sectoral that just Banking Sector.
Other Big Caps already showed Downtrend since early 2019 where Bank just keep rising that made Composite relatively (and manipulative-ly) Sideways.
#IHSG Masih Galau Bro Sist!Pergerakan #IHSG hari ini masih Konsolidasi atau GALAU ya gengs..
Kita doakan saja semoga apapun keputusannya, yang terbaik buat dia.
Kasian sebenernya ngeliat dia Galau terus ckckck..
Bagi temen2 yang punya cash, tahan2 dulu aja cashnya, gak usah gegabah beli saham sana sini yaah..
Kasian dia galau, kasian, ckckck..
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#ihsggalau
Sectoral Stocks Movement of Composite Since Early YearConsumer Goods Stocks (Food, Staples and even Cigarettes) is expectedly Outperform Composite at a bad time.
Cyclical Stocks (ASII and surprisingly TLKM - during this WFH trend) Underperform Composite from the beginning.
Finance Stocks as a backbone of Composite move closely with Composite but in the early days before Market Crash, Finance Stocks was Outperform Composite.
Maybe, Rising Wedge On Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan - 4H resisten terakhir pada rising wedge berada di area 5000, jika benar timeframe 4h chart mengarah pada resisten tersebut sedangkan stoch dan chart bersemuka membentuk lower low - lower high, maka besar kemungkinan rising wedge akan terjadi.
ps : target full rebound saya untuk ihsg berada pada area 3700
JKSE : Monitoring Breakdown SupportIf JKSE breaks Support at 5,900, the bullish continuation pattern that has been forming since 2015 fails and there is a good chance that instead Long Term Uptrend, JKSE might enter an early stage of Long Term Downtrend.
The Primary Trade is monitoring a break of minor support at 6,100.
The threat of breaking down Support at 5,900 is significantly increased if JKSE breaks minor support at 6,100.
Waktu Yang Tepat Untuk "NYEROK" Saham Biar KECE!Janngan napsu atau panic buyinglah, sabar aja sabar..
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IHSG Mencapai Target Turun 5200, Lanjut Atau Dead Cat Bounce?Melanjuti ulasan tim GS PRO sebelumnya: 'Konsolidasi 2 Tahun IHSG Berakhir Negatif. Bagaimana Skenarionya', IHSG akhirnya mencapai target penurunan kami di kisaran +/- 5230 dan tampak tidak ada tanda - tanda tahanan di pasar. Dengan tercapainya target penurunan dalam waktu singkat, membuka peluang terjadinya technical rebound.
Technical rebound bisa dalam 2 skenario:
Pembukaan pasar langsung rebound, atau dibuka melemah namun terjadi rebound intraday.
Potensi rebound ada di level 5557 - 5620. Perhatikan gap down di 5498 dan 5613 yang berpotensi menjadi resisten kuat.
Rebound berarti akhir tren turun? Tidak, rebound adalah dead cat bounce karena selama IHSG masih tidak mampu kembali ke atas 6005, segala kenaikan hanyalah technical rebound dalam fase tren turun. Jika tidak mampu bertahan di atas 5200, target penurunan selanjutnya berada di 4855.
Rekomendasi: Speculative Buy on Weakness saham - saham bluechip jika pasar dibuka turun pada Selasa, 20 Maret 2020. Ikuti panduan di private channel GS PRO Anda.
Disclaimer ON
UPDATE IDX COMPOSITE (W)Here is the update of weekly chart of IDX Composite (Indonesian Stock Exchange). It is on the way completing wave c of iv. Last update was 1 month ago (January 27). If you like my style, please subcribe my instagram @tradingmaps
IHSG HARI INI HIJAU, EH' BENTAR, GIMANA KALO BESOK ?Overview IHSG hari ini dan besok, kalo bisa tembus di level resisten tersebut, aman.
Tapi kalo mantul ke bawah ?
Kuy lanjutin ke bawah lagi tuh bro sist! hahaha
Mau tau detailnya ?
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IHSG MAU TURUN LAGI ???Pada Tanggal 14/02/2020 IHSG sempat break wave 4 dan berpotensi bearish ke wave 5 di 5803
Disclaimer ON
Analisa IHSG dengan time frame weeklyAnalisa dari time Frame weekly , IHSG yang dari Desember mengalami window dressing, Januari mengalami koreksi dikarenakan global issue & profit taking , coba bertahan di area trend line yang terbentuk between July 2018 hingga sekarang
