DOW trade ideas
US30 A Fall Expected! SELL
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for US30 is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 46250
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 46113
My Stop Loss - 46325
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US30: 50K MAGNET ACTIVATED! Historic Breakout Loading# 🚀 US30: 50K MAGNET ACTIVATED! Historic Breakout Loading 📊
Current Price: 49,269.7 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰
📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days)
🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 49,200 - 49,300 📍
Stop Loss: 49,000 🛑
Target 1: 49,600 🎯
Target 2: 49,850 🚀
🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 49,350 - 49,400 📍
Stop Loss: 49,500 🛑
Target 1: 48,900 🎯
Target 2: 48,650 📉
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS:
RSI (14): 64.8 ⚡ *Bullish Momentum Zone*
Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Squeeze 🔥
VWAP: 49,180 - Strong Support Base 💪
EMA 20: 49,150 ✅ *Golden Cross Active*
Volume: Above Average 📊 *Institutional Flow*
🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave: Wave 3 Extension in Progress 🌊
Fibonacci Target: 50,200 (161.8% Extension) 🎯
🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS:
Bullish Cypher Completion at 49,100 ✨
Gartley PRZ Active - 49,050 Zone 🔄
⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)
🚀 BULLISH TARGETS:
Psychological: 50,000 🏆
Weekly Target: 50,300 🌙
Gann Square: 50,625 ⭐
📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION:
Weekly Support: 48,800 ⚠️
Critical Break: 48,500 🚨
🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE:
Trend: Strong Bullish Impulse 💪
Momentum: Accelerating 🔥
Wyckoff Phase: Mark-up Phase 📈
Ichimoku: All Systems Green 🟢
🏆 HISTORIC LEVELS:
50K Psychological: Major Magnet 🧲
All-Time High: 49,450 (Breaking Soon!) 💥
Monthly Pivot: 49,100 Support 🛡️
⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk per Trade: 1% 🛡️
R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:3 ⚖️
Trailing Stops: Every 200 points 📏
🌍 MARKET CATALYSTS:
Economic Data Supporting Rally 📈
Corporate Earnings Momentum 💼
Fed Policy Tailwinds Continue 🏛️
🔥 CRITICAL WATCH ZONES:
Breakout: 49,350 confirmed close 💥
Support: 49,100 | 48,950 | 48,800 🛡️
Resistance: 49,500 | 49,750 | 50,000 🚧
🎯 FINAL VERDICT:
US30 poised for HISTORIC BREAKOUT to 50K! 🚀
Multiple confluences aligning perfectly! 💯
Bull flag formation targeting new ATH! 📈
Trade Management: Buy dips to VWAP support 💎
Key Level: Hold above 49,100 crucial 🔑
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*⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. Use proper position sizing. Educational purposes only.*
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
🔔 Follow for Live Updates | 💬 Drop Your 50K Predictions Below
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/26/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/26/2025
Dow Jones pulled back from its 46,650 peak and dipped under 46,000, now retesting the 46,050 zone. Momentum has shifted bearish short-term, but bulls defending key supports could spark a bounce.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Sharp rejection from recent highs
🔹 EMA crossover showing weakness ⚠️
🔹 Buyers stepping in at 45,800–45,700
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,100 → intraday test zone
46,300 → breakout confirmation
46,650 → major top
🔹 Support Zones:
45,837 → first demand
45,722 → key pivot support
45,456 → deeper retracement
45,181 → strong buffer
🧠 Bias:
Short-term bearish 🔴
Holding 45,700 keeps mid-term bullish case alive.
US30 Technical Analysis 1 Hour chart 📉 US30 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
US30 is currently trading at 45,936 and remains inside a well-defined descending channel, showing strong bearish momentum.
• Trend: Price broke below the previous support (around 46,105 – 46,133) and retested it as resistance, confirming bearish continuation.
• Entry Zone: The rejection candle around the retest zone suggests sellers are still in control.
• Target Levels:
• First support: 45,911
• Next bearish target zone: 45,774 – 45,590 (lower channel support)
• Invalidation: A clean break and 1H close above 46,133 would invalidate the bearish setup and open room for bullish correction.
👉 Bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 46,100. Short-term downside continuation expected toward 45,700 – 45,600.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/25/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/25/2025
US30 dipped into the 46,100–46,000 support zone and held. Buyers stepped in right at demand, keeping the structure intact ✅.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Strong defense of 46K support
🔹 Consolidating after rejection near 46,700
🔹 Bulls need 46,300+ reclaim for momentum
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,300 → First hurdle for buyers
46,430 → Short-term breakout trigger
46,700 → Major top to break
🔹 Support Zones:
46,150 → Current intraday support
46,000 → Must hold for bulls
45,722 → Strong demand area
🧠 Bias:
Neutral → leaning bullish 🟢
Above 46K = healthy structure
Break below 45,700 = bearish shift ⚠️
US30: Late-Cycle Pop or Pullback Setup?The 𝐃𝐨𝐰 is pressing fresh highs into a historically soft seasonal window with stretched momentum and limited follow-through. I’m initiating/adding to a daily timeframe short aiming for a retrace back into prior breakout territory. My baseline path is a drift lower toward 44,500–44,000 (T1) and then the broader demand band near 43,000–42,2500 (T2), where I’ll reassess.
This isn’t a “crash” call—just a tactical mean-reversion as macro tailwinds fade, breadth narrows and the first Fed cut shifts the narrative from “rates down” to “why they’re down.”
Technicals:
• Stretched swing: Price has stair-stepped higher with shallow pullbacks; we’re now extended above the 50/100-DMA stack with waning impulse on push days (smaller real bodies, upper wicks).
• Local resistance: Repeated stalls into the same supply shelf. I’m leaning into the most recent failed extension and fading the box.
Structure map:
• Entry: around/into the failed-break zone 46.4k area.
• Invalidation: daily close > recent spike highs around 47.7k-48.0k.
• Targets: T1 45,000–44,500 (prior ATH retest / micro-POC region); T2 44,000–43,000.
• Risk: 0.5–1.0R per add; scale in only on rejection prints or lower-highs.
Fundamentals:
1) The first Fed cut is not automatically bullish.
The Fed delivered a 25 bps cut in September and signaled more easing, which historically can coincide with late-cycle growth scares and choppier equity returns rather than a straight-line melt-up. The cut was framed around cooling activity and inflation progress. 
2) Growth data is mixed—manufacturing still weak.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August (48.7)—below the 50 expansion line—signaling ongoing softness in goods demand. That is typically a headwind for the Dow’s cyclical mix. 
3) ES500 (S&P 500) breadth is narrow; concentration risk elevated.
Mega-caps continue to dominate performance and index leadership, while equal-weight underperforms and concentration risk stays high—conditions that historically increase pullback vulnerability. 
4) Valuations are rich versus history.
FactSet’s mid-summer forward 12-month P/E for the S&P 500 hovered well above 5- and 10-year averages (>22x vs. ~19x/17x), leaving less cushion if growth wobbles or margins compress. 
5) Sentiment & seasonality aren’t tailwinds.
September/early Q4 are seasonally tricky—historically the weakest stretch for US equities—just as the market tries to price the path of cuts vs. growth. 
6) Policy & trade headline risk.
Tariff timelines and “reciprocal” duties remain in play (with officials signaling Aug-1 implementation and additional measures possible), a rolling overhang for global cyclicals and exporters tied into the Dow complex. 
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Us30 Trade Set Up Sep 24 2025price pushed down hard yesterday but still made a HL on the 1h also created a 1h FVG so i will want to see a test of that, if it respects it i will look for internal 1m bearish structure to look for sells but if it trades through it i will look for buys to PDH
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US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/24/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/24/2025
US30 holding steady around 46,320 after yesterday’s push into the 46,700s before pulling back. Market is consolidating but still above key supports, showing buyers remain in control ✅.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📈 Retest after breakout — healthy pullback
⚡ Buyers defending 46,000 zone strongly
🔄 Consolidation above support → bullish continuation possible
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,430 → Immediate resistance
46,700 → Major upside target
47,000 → Next extension if momentum continues
🔹 Support Zones:
46,093 → First key support
45,722 → Strong demand zone
45,456 → Last line of defense for bulls
🧠 Bias:
Bullish ✅
Above 46,000 keeps momentum alive
Break below 45,700 = bearish shift
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update
On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 – 46,398 after testing the breakout zone.
Key levels:
46,398 – 46,351 → short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170.
46,177 – 45,796 → support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact.
Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance.
Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support.
Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure.
📌 Summary
Above 46,398 → bullish continuation toward 47,170.
Hold above 46,177 – 45,796 → main uptrend safe.
Break below 45,796 → correction risk, broader weakness possible.
41,097 → cycle start and major long-term support.
23 sep 2025 -day one- results 2SL, 1 BEToday I started journaling my trades and emotions again after a 6-month or much more break. I wasn't in my best mood and couldn't think as well as I usually do.
First entry was a sell on a very bullish market, and I took it because I had patterns for it in my strategy, but usually in strong bull or bearish markets, I trust the market momentum for the first 30 minutes, but today my mind wasn't free enough or strong enough to do it on time, and gave me at least 1 reward.
The second trade was a buy, which gave me a break-even result, and there was nothing wrong with that.
On the third trade, I got emotional and didn't hesitate that for this kind of bull market we may start ranging, and I just entered a buy, but unfortunately, I got stopped out.
And I called it a day with minest 2 reward, and I hope I get it all back. I'm thinking about just trading from Wednesday to Friday, because usually I face losses on the first two days of the week, and maybe I will just trade on Wednesday and Friday. I will make the final decision after two more weeks of journaling.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/23/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/23/2025
US30 pushing higher again 🚀 Now trading around 46,420, holding strong after reclaiming the 46,000 key level. Buyers are in control as momentum builds.
EMA structure is bullish — dips are being bought, and price is trending upward toward new highs.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📈 Strong breakout past 46,000
⚡ Higher lows & higher highs forming
🔄 Consolidation breaks leading to expansion
🔥 Momentum still favoring the bulls
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,430 → Immediate intraday resistance
46,600 → Next upside target
46,800 → Extension level
🔹 Support Zones:
46,093 → First line of support
45,722 → Strong demand zone
45,456 → Major support floor
🧠 Bias:
Bullish ✅
Above 46,000 = buyers in full control
Only a break below 45,700 shifts bias
US30 Short
Entry 46216.29
SL 46386.27
TP 45962.07
This is a short setup on US30:
The idea is to short at the rejection from the resistance zone / trendline.
Stop loss is placed safely above recent highs (46,386).
Target is near the previous support zone (46,091 → 45,962).
RSI momentum also supports bearish bias after rejection from overbought territory.
Fundamentally, the asset is currently overvalued against the Treasury Bond.
⚠️ Risk Note: US30 is highly volatile. Manage position sizing carefully.
US30 NY Open | VWAP + Range Breakout Signal → Confirmed EntryWHAT THIS SHOWS
This idea highlights early pre-signals and confirmed breakout entries when price sweeps the previous day’s high or low (PDH/PDL) and aligns with VWAP and short-term range levels. Focus is on US30 around NY Open, when volume and liquidity are at peak levels.
HOW TO USE (NY OPEN FLOW)
1. Ahead of NY Open, mark PDH/PDL and watch how price builds a short-term range.
2. Best setups occur after liquidity is swept (PDH/PDL taken). Look for a pre-signal (early warning), then confirmation when a bar closes above/below the range and VWAP in the direction of trend.
3. Apply filters: SMA trend filter to stay aligned with bias; session filter to focus on London/NY hours.
4. Manage risk with stops beyond range edges or confirmation candle; partials at key intraday levels.
SETTINGS TIPS
Range Lookback → shorter for fast intraday charts, longer for higher TF.
SMA length → adapt to fit your bias framework.
Session filter → on for London/NY, off for continuous monitoring.
NOTES
Educational demonstration only. No financial advice.
For advanced versions with extra confirmations and filters → see my profile signature.
US30 Day-trading Day 001Here we see price has been falling since the beginning of the day.
We can enter a short position on the
fib level ( .75 / .625 )
It all depends on your risk reward ratio.
Here price may also reverse only by targeting liquidity seen almost at the daily high.
Patience is key.
Lets wait for NY session where we may be able to have a clear confirmation of today's session.