Community discussions
📊 Market Outlook:
The HK50 Index is showing a bullish technical structure — price is respecting the Weighted Moving Average and has just confirmed a clean LSMA breakout, signaling potential momentum continuation toward higher zones.
💥 Trade Plan (Swing Setup):
✅ Bias: Bullish
💎 Entry: Flexible — Enter on pullback confirmation or MA retest.
🧨 Stop-Loss: @ 26500 (Thief SL Zone) — adjust per your risk appetite, OGs!
🎯 Target: 28000 zone — strong resistance + possible overbought trap, so secure profits wisely!
⚠️ Risk Note (Thief OG Reminder):
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — this is not a financial recommendation. Adjust your SL/TP according to your trading system. You make money, then you take money — at your own risk.
🌐 Correlated Markets to Watch ($):
🔸 HSI (Hang Seng Index): Direct correlation — tracks HK50’s sentiment & volatility.
🔸 CHINA50: Shares similar regional risk exposure — bullish momentum often aligns.
🔸 SPX / NDX: Global risk sentiment gauge — when US indices rise, Asian markets often follow.
🔸 USDHKD: Watch for Hong Kong Dollar strength/weakness — can influence short-term market sentiment.
🔸 CNH / USDCNH: Yuan stability supports HK equities; CNH strength = confidence flow toward HK50.

tradingview.com/x/vBY8PFxw/
Whatever goes up it comes down and vice versa.
The index didn't stay above the support level 26830 last Friday. It was a bull trap on last two trading days of last week tsk tsk tsk...trying so hard break the resistance level but failed!
Adding on the revived trade war news during US session was not helping at all.
The futures nose-dived due to news - revived trade war.
Some traders say; after the Golden Week holiday, the Index always going thru huge pull back at least 10-15%. then moving sideways till early Jan 2026 (giving Chinese New Year 📦?)
What do you think?
tradingview.com/x/g85405zh/
The Index are moving below the 40MA and 52MA (again this is being pull back to Gravity TrendLine) this break its uptrend channel and likely going to move below within 5% below the GravityTrendLine.
Key support level 24735, then 24200, 23800,23311 (lower band of GravityTrendLine)
Continue to monitor the key support and resistance level and manage your risk for swing trade (either call/sell long/short)
This is very significant pull-back (a range -10% to -15% from the recent Hi). Well, we can't predict the markets. From the HSI movements history, probably we can kind of forecast its path. maybe.History is past, but we can always refer to its pattern.
We don't know what happen to the upcoming revived trade war, but the HSI seems having its own pathway.
Combining the GravityTrendLine and MACD, support and resistance levels; we can try to understand and see how it moving forward... But we need this pause and pitstop.
Let's go through longer term of HSI in another post.