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Gold Context: Reclaiming 4227 & Follow-Through FlowsFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1! Traders. Pre-US Open update on the developing structure. Market Context (Reclaiming Value): Gold has successfully rotated back above 4227, reclaiming Friday's trading range. • The Flow: We observed initial short covering that found genuine follow-through. This indicates that the market is not just covering shorts but finding acceptance at these higher prices. • Structural Shift: By trading back inside Friday's range, the auction has negated the immediate bearish pressure seen at the lows. Structure & Outlook: • The Pivot (4227): This level is now our key reference. As long as Gold facilitates trade above 4227, the bias remains constructive (Long). • The Target: The immediate destination for this rotation is 4250. • Condition: We need to see the US Open maintain this bid and not fall back below the 4227 shelf. Plan & Execution: • Bias: Long / Constructive. • Invalidation: A failure to hold 4227 would put the auction back into a weak position. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026Long
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold Context: Failed Breakdown & Structure ResilienceCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Traders. Update on the opening flows of the week. Market Context (The Defense): Yesterday, the auction probed slightly below Friday's low, but failed to find acceptance or continuation. The Reaction: Instead of triggering a broader liquidation break, we saw immediate short covering. Key Observation: The market barely tested Thursday's low. This inability to extend lower and "repair" the structure indicates a lack of aggressive selling interest. Structure & Outlook: I do not view this price action as a sign of weakness. On the contrary, the rejection of lower prices suggests responsive buying is present. The Expectation: We are looking for this initial short covering to transition into New Money (OTF) buying. The Confirmation: If "New Money" steps in above the current balance, it validates the resilience we saw yesterday and should drive the auction higher. Plan & Execution: Bias: Constructive / Looking for upside rotation. Focus: Monitoring the transition from mechanical short covering to genuine initiative buying. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026Long
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold Outlook – Key Levels I’m WatchingThese are the zones I’m currently expecting on gold. If price continues to move lower, those are the areas I’ll be watching for potential long entries. I’m noticing relatively high volume in the lower region, which suggests the market feels comfortable operating within those levels. However, in the upper zones, volume drops significantly, indicating we are outside the fair value area. In these regions, you don’t need heavy market buy volume to move the price, which implies volatility is likely to increase once price returns there.
COMEX:GC1!
by XAUmmunity
Gold Value Rotation & Lack of ConvictionFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1! Traders. Context update for the remainder of the week. Market Context (The Rotation): The auction has rotated back into yesterday's Value Area and POC (Point of Control). • The Driver: This move was primarily driven by mechanical short covering rather than initiative buying. • The Problem: There is no evidence of "new money" (OTF) entering the market to sustain a directional trend. The auction is simply balancing. Structure & Inventory: • Balancing: Price is chopping between the GEX levels (Gamma levels), finding acceptance around the 4244 POC. • Momentum: Stalled. The market is waiting for a catalyst from the Dollar (DXY), which is currently consolidating at lows. • Behavior: Every breakout attempt is failing to find follow-through, confirming a mean-reversion environment. Plan & Execution: Given the lack of conviction, I am not looking for trend trades this week. • Stance: Range Bound / Two-Way Trade. • Tactics: Fade the edges of the balance. Expect price to remain tethered to the POC until new information enters the market. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Balancing Range & The 4190 PivotCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Traders. Update on the current auction structure. Market Context (No New Money): We have yet to see any "New Money" or Initiative Buying enter the market. Yesterday developed as another Balance Day, capped by some late-session liquidation. The Reality: The auction remains range-bound between 4,290 (High) and 4,190 (Low). Without a fresh catalyst, price is simply rotating within this established bracket. Structure & Key Levels: Bullish Scenario: If Gold can hold acceptance above Yesterday's Low, the rotation favors a re-test of the upper distribution around 4,260 – 4,270 later this week. Bearish Scenario: The line in the sand is 4,190. A breakdown and acceptance below this level changes the context significantly, likely dragging the auction down to repair the November Balance Area (~4,100). Plan: Stance: Neutral / Range Trading. Execution: Fading the extremes of the 4290-4190 range until we see a breakout with volume confirmation. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Symmetrical Triangle🟦 Symmetrical Triangle Behavior It represents a volatility contraction and indecision. It usually follows a strong prior move — and in this case, the run-up before November 27–28. Because the run-up was bullish, statistically the probability leans slightly toward a bullish breakout, but breakouts must be confirmed, not predicted.🚨 What Matters Most 🧾 Levels to Watch (approximate) These need validating as price evolves, but based on your drawing: Breakout Zone (Bullish): ~4,260–4,270 Breakdown Zone (Bearish): ~4,190–4,200 📉 If It Breaks Down Targets could be measured using the height of the triangle: Rough move target: 40–60 points from breakout/breakdown.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by SteveGold325
1
Gold (GC1!) Forecast: The Squeeze & Release Path via DSRTL MatriCategory: Trend Analysis / Chart Patterns Symbol: GC1! (Gold Futures) In this analysis, we use the DSRTL-ML (Dynamic Support & Resistance) engine to map the current structural context for Gold. The indicator is tagging the state as “TESTING RES – Bias: Neutral”, highlighting a consolidation phase right underneath a major resistance band. Structurally, this is a spot where static friction meets dynamic momentum. 1. The Current Structure: Compression Phase The Matrix currently sits at S2 | D3 (Testing Resistance). - The Ceiling (Static R): Price is capped by a high-volume resistance node (orange zone: ~4.24K–4.31K), acting as a lid on price action. - The Floor (Dynamic S): At the same time, the rising DSRTL trend line (dynamic support) is pushing the lows higher inside the channel. Taken together, this can be viewed as an early ascending-triangle–style squeeze: price is consolidating between a flat static lid and a rising dynamic floor, while DSRTL keeps the official bias neutral and labels the state as a resistance test. 2. Path of Least Resistance The dashboard shows a positive Net Delta of +8.36K, suggesting that buyers have been active right below the resistance band. - Projected Path: In the absence of a clear break, price can continue to oscillate within this narrowing pocket between static resistance and the rising channel. - Breakout Vector: The combination of constructive volume flow and an upward-sloping dynamic channel creates a supportive backdrop if an upside break occurs, even though DSRTL itself still prints a Neutral bias here. 3. Scenario & Structural Objectives - Trigger: A confirmed close above the top of the Static R band (~4.31K) would move the Matrix out of its S2 “testing” state toward an S1-type breakout environment. - Next Structural Area: Above that level, the next area of interest becomes the upper rail of the DSRTL dynamic channel (pink line), where the system could start migrating toward its higher “extension” states. Invalidation: If price breaks and closes below the rising pink dynamic support, the bullish squeeze thesis is invalidated. In that case, the Matrix would likely rotate toward Neutral/Bearish or Bearish-Pullback configurations, depending on how price interacts with the underlying static support band. Disclaimer: This forecast is based on structural scenarios derived from the DSRTL-ML engine and is provided strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
COMEX:GC1!
by ata_sabanci
GOLD - H12Since October 27 Gold is recovering into an upward move. The chart is still respecting the Major Blue ascending channel. But recently a new Purple one evolved inside the Blue channel. The Strong support zone was retested twice pushing the chart into a favorable bullish momentum. The 2nd Support zone is actually being confirmed as solid, right now. If it holds, we will have a strong upward move inside the purple channel, or a less powerful one potentially respecting the middle blue line. Both Scenarios will be eventually on the way to breach the red zone & making a new Top. If the actual support zone is weak, Gold will breach down the purple channel, back to the Blue one, closing in again on the Strong Support zone. I still favor an Upward move even if it might go a bit sideways 1st. Trade Safe.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Texsla
Gold | Zone-Based High-RR Long Setup | Bullish BiasGold | Zone-Based High-RR Long Setup | Bullish Bias I currently carry a bullish bias on Gold. Price is approaching a pre-defined demand zone marked on the chart — this is a reaction area, not a prediction. I only engage after confirmation from within the zone. If the zone holds, continuation toward the marked resistance is expected. If it fails, the idea is invalidated immediately. IT WORKS 90% OF THE TIMES THOUGH! This setup is independent of session or time. Execution, risk management, and psychology decide the outcome — analysis only provides the framework. Risk is always predefined. No chasing. No emotional trades. Trade the zone. Manage the risk. Let the market do the rest. Happy Trading.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by ankibnsl
Short Covering vs. New Money (Waiting for the Catalyst)COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Traders. Mid-week context check as we wait for institutional commitment. Market Context (The Mechanical Bounce): As noted in the previous update, yesterday's rotation was driven by Short Covering—old money exiting profitable shorts—rather than Initiative Buying (New Money) entering fresh longs. The Trap: Short covering can lift the auction, but it lacks the sustained energy to break new highs. We are seeing price drift without aggressive volume. Inventory: We are currently balancing above the Previous Week High (PWH). This zone is holding, but the auction feels "heavy" without fresh inflows. The Fundamental "Hold" (Why Big Funds are Waiting): "Big Funds" are likely sidelined ahead of the tier-1 data dump. They need clarity before deploying serious capital for the week. Today (Wed): ADP Payrolls & ISM Services. Friday: The NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls). The Reality: Until these numbers drop, we may remain in a "chop" or "balance" phase as institutions hedge rather than commit. Plan & Execution: Bias: Slightly Long, strictly conditional on holding above the PWH. The Trigger: I need to see Follow Through. We need a volume spike (Initiative Buying) to confirm that "New Money" has arrived to defend this breakout. Caution: If we fail to find acceptance higher and lose the PWH, expect a rotation back inside the previous balance to find liquidity. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki