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1MSTR trade ideas

MSTR Options Flow Screams Bullish — Can $345C Print This Week? # ⚡ MSTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07) **Bias:** 🎯 Mixed → speculative bullish bounce **Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐ (60%) --- ### 📊 Key Takeaways * ✅ **Options flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P = 2.21) * ❌ **Trend:** Still bearish (-16.45% monthly, RSI weak) * ⚠️ **Volume:** Flat (1.0x avg) → no institutional conviction * 🌐 **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap calls * 🧱 **OI Walls:** \$340C & \$345C = resistance / gamma levels --- ### 🎯 Trade Plan (Speculative Play) * **Instrument:** \ NASDAQ:MSTR * **Direction:** CALL (naked) * **Strike:** \$345.00 * **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly) * **Entry Price:** \$8.60 (ask) * **Profit Target:** \$12.90 (≈1.5×) * **Stop Loss:** \$5.59 (\~35% risk) * **Size:** 1 contract (small, punt-sized) * **Entry Timing:** Open (prefer limit near ask) --- ### 🧠 Rationale * Flow is unambiguously bullish, but **price trend & RSI weak** → treat as a bounce, not reversal. * \$345C offers liquidity (OI 14,439) + better risk balance than \$340C. * 5 DTE = **theta risk**, so trade is **binary/speculative**. --- ### ⚠️ Key Risks * 📉 Trend is down → bounce may fail quickly. * ⏳ Time decay fast with only 5 DTE. * 🧱 Gamma/OI walls may cap upside near \$345. * 📰 Macro/news can swamp bullish flow. --- ## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) ```json { "instrument": "MSTR", "direction": "call", "strike": 345.0, "expiry": "2025-09-12", "confidence": 0.60, "profit_target": 12.90, "stop_loss": 5.59, "size": 1, "entry_price": 8.60, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 07:45:34 EDT" } ``` --- 🔥 **Summary:** This is a **flow-driven speculative call punt** — risk small, size small, exit fast. If flow + price action confirm, \ NASDAQ:MSTR \$345C has upside. If not → cut quick.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by quantsignals
Do or Die - Q4 EditionNot stirring controversy with this take. Higher in Q4 followed by a year-long bear market. Using Fibonacci extensions from last cycle's top & bottom to hit a maximum of a 1.618 target by EOY. Open to the possibility of price targets from most recent ATH ($550) and up to the 1.618 fib level. This calls for aggressive appreciation within the next 3.5 months. Price targets will be invalidated by immediate downward move or sideways chop, with the latter scenario resulting in a lower price target. Stated differently, price needs significant upward volatility by the end of September/early October this forecast will not play out Either scenario, this is nearly the end before the an imminent correction lasting a year or more. I predict the next bear market for MSTR will be aggressive, with BTC price likely to fall beneath the Strategy's bitcoin dollar-cost-average of $73k as of 9/8/25.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by w.savage11
MSTR — Triangle Setup Before Crypto SeasonMSTR is sitting on the third touch of its weekly triangle support, a spot that often sparks momentum shifts. On the daily, price is moving within a wedge-like structure while showing bullish divergence on both the daily and 4H charts, signaling buyers may be stepping in. With trendlines holding and crypto seasonality approaching — typically a strong period for Bitcoin-related assets — this setup looks primed for a potential move back toward the top of the triangle, with any break and retest opening room for expansion. Not financial advice, just how I see it.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by lcomerennah
MSTR 1D Time frameMarket Snapshot Current Price: ~$328.50 Daily Change: -0.4% (approx) Technical Overview Indicators & Momentum RSI (14-day): ~40 → Neutral, slightly below the midpoint—no major squeeze yet. MACD: Negative (~–1.6) → Weak bearish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator: Around 31 → Neutral to slightly oversold. Stochastic RSI: Overbought zone → Possible short-term exhaustion. Williams %R: ~–39 → Suggests room for both upside and downside. ADX: ~18–26 → Indicates a weak to moderate trend—market lacks strong direction. Moving Averages Short-term moving averages (like 5-day and 10-day) show buy signals, while broader averages—including the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—are all negative, suggesting broader downward pressure. Support & Resistance Based on various pivot point analyses: Immediate Support: ~$324–325 Near-term Support Zone: ~$320 Immediate Resistance: ~$332–334 Further Resistance: ~$340–345 Broader Technical & Market Context Downtrend in Play: The stock has declined nearly 40% from its July highs and is approaching its lowest levels since April. Death Cross Forming: The 50-day moving average is nearing a bearish crossover below the 200-day average. Diving Technical Ratings: Most moving averages and oscillators point to a negative bias—short-term signals are weak, and longs are retreating. Bullish Divergence? Some chart setups hint at a potential wedge or triangle pattern with possible bullish divergence, but these are speculative and not yet confirmed. MicroStrategy remains under pressure, with indicators pointing overwhelmingly to neutral or bearish signals. While short-term moving averages show minor support, the broader technical picture remains weak—and a breakout above ~$334 would be needed to suggest a reversal.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by LegacyTradingss
$MSTR Micro Strategy 🎯 Technical Setup: Daily demand zone at ~$302-320 providing STRONG support Break of structure (BOS) confirmed with rejection from demand Perfect 1-2 Elliott Wave setup developing after correction Target: 50% retracement minimum = $365+ (15%+ gain from current levels) 🚀 MicroStrategy BITCOIN BEAST: Bitcoin Treasury King: 444,262 BTC worth $49+ billion in reserves Saylor's Vision: World's largest corporate Bitcoin holder Infinite Money Glitch: Issue convertible debt → Buy Bitcoin → Stock rises → Repeat 2.5x Bitcoin Leverage: MSTR moves 2.5x whatever Bitcoin does 💰 The Ultimate Bitcoin Play: Pure Bitcoin Exposure: No mining costs, just pure BTC appreciation Corporate Treasury Revolution: Leading the Bitcoin-as-reserve-asset movement Institutional Gateway: Wall Street's favorite way to get Bitcoin exposure Convertible Debt Machine: $42 billion raised to buy more Bitcoin 🎪 Why This Could Be EXPLOSIVE: Demand Zone Bounce: $302-320 institutional accumulation zone holding Bitcoin Catalyst: Any BTC move above $115K triggers MSTR mania Wave 3 Setup: Most powerful Elliott Wave about to begin Saylor Effect: Michael Saylor's Bitcoin evangelism driving adoption Entry Strategy: Current: $326 (bouncing perfectly off daily demand) Confirmation: Above $340 with volume surge Stop: Below $300 (demand zone violation) Target 1: $365 (50% Fibonacci level) Target 2: $450+ (if Bitcoin breaks $120K) MSTR = Bitcoin on steroids at perfect technical entry! 🚀
CAPITALCOM:MSTRLong
by TheRealHawk
MSTR - $300 > $850Howdy ho! I hope everyone is well. I'm going to put my best foot forward for my expectations for MSTR. Everyone was probably let down by the lack of inclusion in the S&P, on Friday. But that's OK! Hopefully this chart will help you with overall direction for MSTR. So what do we have? A validated fib (it's validated because it is anchored on the trendline and the previous extension gave us an absolutely perfect target at the high in 2024 at the 2.618. I will post this, below. A clear support trendline that perfectly aligns with the 50% retrace. A clear line of support on the 61.8, tested in March/April of 2025 at the $235 level. RSI is also starting to look supportive of a move up. Also of interest is the peak out of the channel, telling me we could explode higher out of this channel in the future. just something to watch for. Thanks and have a great one!
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by novamatic
$MSTR undervalued in terms of $IBITThis is a ratio of NASDAQ:MSTR / NASDAQ:IBIT and the idea here is that NASDAQ:MSTR MicroStrategy is growing undervalued in terms of Bitcoin / NASDAQ:IBIT , and the ratio is about to take out an important low. This seems like an ideal time to consider a buy on NASDAQ:MSTR if you believe the Bitcoin bull market is not yet over, as it has been in a trend of underperformance, and could quickly shift back to outperformance if the Bitcoin bull market gets back underway. How you choose to trade this could take many forms, I mostly just wanted to raise awareness of the setup.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by easycators
MSTR Long Setup at $320 Support — Targets Up to $455MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR is trading at a critical support zone between $320 – $325. This area has historically attracted buyers, and with price consolidating at the lows, we’re eyeing a potential spot long entry if support holds. 📌 Trade Setup: • Entry Zone: $320 – $325 • Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $360 – $390 🥈 $420 – $455 • Stop Loss: Just below $315 #MSTR #MicroStrategy #Stocks #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportZone #StockWatchlist #PriceAction #SwingTrade #LongSetup #MarketAnalysis
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Richtv_official
Microstrategy: Further DeclineAfter a brief consolidation, MSTR continued its decline since our last update, further developing turquoise wave 2, where we still see price positioned. We continue to anticipate the low of this wave above the support at $153.49. In the meantime, we have revised the magenta substructure of wave 2 to a - - formation, with the final (wave- ) leg currently unfolding. Once turquoise wave 2 completes, we expect a strong rally above resistance at $674.18, which should significantly advance the broader upward impulse. However, under our new alternative scenario, a different wave count could prevail: price may currently be forming magenta wave alt. to the upside, developing a blue three-part substructure in the process. In this 25% likely scenario, the next move would be for blue wave alt. (b) to finish within the nearby blue alternative Target Zone between $306.60 and $252.67, before wave alt. (c) pushes up toward the top of magenta wave alt. near $674.18. Within this alternative, the blue zone could offer long entry opportunities, though heightened caution is warranted: since this remains only an alternative scenario, risk is elevated, and we consider strict risk management—such as setting a stop 1% below the lower edge of the zone—absolutely essential.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by MarketIntel
The Next Big Crypto Trade Bitcoin has experienced a notable decline following a failed auction attempt after sweeping all-time high liquidity. This move is now being followed by a significant retracement toward the lower boundary of the broader range, with the current range low positioned around $111K. In contrast, MicroStrategy (MSTR) has exhibited a more structurally defined downtrend, having broken below its previous pivot low. This price action potentially forms a textbook ABC corrective pattern, with the 1:1 extension target clearly identifiable. Should the broader market continue to decline in the lead-up to this week’s FOMC meeting and Powell’s remarks, a compelling long setup may emerge. This could coincide with a potential 'sell-the-news' reaction, particularly if the Federal Reserve moves to cut interest rates. Rate-sensitive equities and assets may initially respond to such news with bullish enthusiasm, possibly triggering a wave of market euphoria and leading to a short squeeze scenario. I’m closely monitoring the $320 level on MSTR, which aligns with three key technical confluences: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the overall move (swing low to swing high). The 1:1 extension target of the possible ABC corrective structure. A key support/resistance flip zone, which may mark a potential structural pivot point. This zone presents a high-probability area for potential price reaction. Let’s see how this plays out.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by afurs1
$MSTR – Bear Flag Breakdown SetupNASDAQ:MSTR – Bear Flag Triggering Despite Crypto Strength MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has been drifting lower even as crypto has ripped the last few months — a clear sign of relative weakness. Every rally attempt has been faded, and now the chart is setting up a clean bear flag breakdown. 🔹 The Setup: Price is pressing the $326 trigger level on a bear flag structure. A breakdown here opens the door to $300 for the first cover zone. Weak price action despite a strong sector = bearish divergence. 🔹 Market Context: The NASDAQ:QQQ is flashing distribution signals — failed breakouts in momentum names and heavy selling under the surface. If indexes continue to weaken, NASDAQ:MSTR could accelerate to the downside as speculative money comes out. 🔹 My Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Entry: Short on breakdown through $326. 2️⃣ Target: First covers into $300. 3️⃣ Stop: Above the flag highs — no need to fight if it reverses. Why I Like This Setup: Relative weakness vs. crypto = red flag for bulls. Bear flag structure + clear trigger + defined target. Broader market weakness adds conviction.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by kunal00
1
$MSTR better not cross $315 or less....While many don't agree with the direction that MSTR is heading, the technicals seem to tell a very clear story. Looking at support and resistance levels, we can see a strong resistance levels - which is miles away from where it is today! - and seems to be encroaching to support levels of around $315. If NASDAQ:MSTR breaks $315, CBOE:MSTZ could be a VERY NICE play..... Have a hunch that we'll see an UltraShort signal soon, and then show will begin!
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by antonini2002
MSTR Short Alert | Lean Short Bias at $335 # ⚡ MSTR Short Alert | Lean Short Bias (Sep 2, 2025) 🪙📉 📊 **Market Summary:** * Daily/Intraday: Bearish (Price < daily EMAs, RSI \~35, MACD negative) 🔻 * Weekly: Weakening but not decisively broken (near/above 50-week EMA) 📈 * Volume: Light — low participation on recent declines ⚖️ * Headlines: Neutral; watch BTC correlation & macro events 📰 **Net Bias:** Lean short on daily timeframe; small position recommended 🐻 --- ## ✅ Trade Plan * 🎯 **Instrument:** MSTR * 🔀 **Direction:** SHORT * 💵 **Entry Price:** \~335.0 (acceptable 333–336) * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 341.13 (daily resistance / pivot) * 🎯 **Take Profit:** 320.00 (scale 60%), trail remaining 40% to 310.00 * 📊 **Position Size:** 1.5% of portfolio * 📈 **Confidence:** 60% * ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open --- ## ⚠️ Key Risks * Low volume → false break / short-squeeze risk ⚡ * MSTR-BTC correlation or S\&P rumors could gap price higher 🪙 * Weekly support \~322–325 may limit downside 🛑 --- ## 💡 Trade Rationale * Daily + 30m confluence: short-term bounce attempts stalling under intraday resistances (336–339) * Weekly momentum weakening → controlled small-size short * Stop above 341.13 → disciplined risk management --- \#️⃣ **Tags / Hashtags:** \#MSTR #ShortTrade #StockTrading #SwingTrade #CryptoCorrelation #DailyRSI #TradingSignal #RiskManagement 🐻🔥
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by quantsignals
MicroStrategy's Chart Patterns Indicate Strong Bullish Breakout Current Price: $331.44 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $350.00 - T2 = $375.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $315.00 - S2 = $300.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in MicroStrategy. **Key Insights:** MicroStrategy has recently captured significant momentum, driven by its strategic focus on Bitcoin holdings and continued operational scaling. The company, actively engaging with cryptocurrency investments, benefits from both asset appreciation and its pioneering role in enterprise adoption of digital assets. Traders are paying close attention to MicroStrategy’s direct correlation to Bitcoin’s price movements, which provide it with additional volatility and speculative trading potential. From a technical perspective, the stock is poised just below a key resistance zone near $335. A confirmed breakout above this level could catalyze further buying interest, aligning with strong upward momentum displayed in recent trading sessions. MicroStrategy’s alignment with the cryptocurrency sector makes it a preferred equity among institutional and speculative investors, providing liquidity and exciting price action. **Recent Performance:** Over the past month, MicroStrategy has steadily climbed from a low of around $280 to its current level, gaining upward momentum alongside a resurgent Bitcoin market. Volumes have been steadily increasing, indicating growing investor interest. The stock remains volatile, offering attractive opportunities for traders seeking to capitalize on breakout trades. **Expert Analysis:** Market strategists view MicroStrategy as a proxy for Bitcoin, with its valuation tying broadly to Bitcoin’s performance due to the company’s aggressive accumulation strategy. Over the medium term, analysts believe the stock could deliver significant gains as long as macroeconomic conditions continue to stabilize and Bitcoin sustains upward trends. On the charts, MicroStrategy has formed a classic ascending triangle pattern, a bullish technical structure suggesting the potential for a breakout. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is approaching but not yet breaching overbought levels, indicating there may be further room for upside growth. **News Impact:** Recent bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency space, particularly with expectations of potential regulatory advancements and broader institutional adoption of Bitcoin, has added tailwinds to MicroStrategy. The company’s reputation as a corporate Bitcoin whale has cemented its position as a major beneficiary of positive news cycles affecting digital assets. Should Bitcoin continue its upward trend, MicroStrategy is likely to see corresponding gains. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on the confluence of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors, MicroStrategy presents a strong LONG opportunity at its current price. Traders should monitor key resistance at $335 closely, as a confirmed breakout past this level could accelerate the stock toward the initial target of $350, with $375 being the next logical extension. The stop-loss levels at $315 and $300 ensure risk is managed appropriately in the event of sharp reversals. This trade is suitable for traders comfortable with volatility and those looking to gain indirect exposure to Bitcoin through equities. Do you want to save hours every week?
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
MSTR ShortThe broader market structure on MSTR is currently bearish, with price making lower highs and lower lows overall. The most recent Break of Structure (BOS) occurred around $337.71, confirming bearish continuation after price failed to sustain higher levels. This BOS suggests that sellers remain in control and a retest of lower demand zones is probable. Looking at supply and demand, the nearest supply zone sits in the $335–338 range, from which price previously dropped sharply, showing strong selling pressure. Demand sits between $328–324, where buyers last stepped in with enough strength to produce a significant rally. The reaction at demand was solid but not impulsive enough to break through supply on the first attempt, suggesting the zone could weaken on another test. Currently, price is approaching the supply zone and showing signs of exhaustion as it nears the 0.5 retracement level at $328.42. If price taps into this supply zone and rejects, we can expect a move back toward the mid-range demand zone around $328–324. The trade bias is bearish, with an expectation of a sell-off after supply is hit. A close above $338 would invalidate this bearish outlook and signal possible continuation to higher supply zones. Momentum currently favors sellers, as the move into supply has been sharp but is beginning to slow, suggesting distribution. No strong bullish engulfing candles are present here, further supporting a likely rejection.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by ProSignalai