Gold Futures Bullish Setup – Entry at Demand Zone1. Channel Formation
The price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (blue lines).
Recently, the price broke below the midline (dashed blue) of the channel, indicating short-term weakness.
2. Trade Setup: Long (Buy) Position
The chart indicates a bullish outlook, expecting a price reversal from the demand zone.
🔹 Entry Zone
Entry Price: ₹116,251 – ₹116,277
This is marked with a grey zone, which aligns with a support area and previous consolidation.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL)
Stop Loss Price: ₹115,705 – ₹115,729
Placed just below the lower boundary of the support zone to protect against a false breakout.
🎯 Target (TP)
Target Price: ₹119,331 – ₹119,338 (LABA target point)
This lies above recent highs and near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio
The blue shaded box indicates a reward zone.
The trade has a favorable Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, which is considered a strong setup.
🧠 Interpretation & Strategy
The red curved arrow indicates expected price action: a short-term pullback into the demand zone, followed by a bullish bounce toward the target.
The structure suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity within an ongoing uptrend.
⚠️ Key Takeaways
Component Value (INR)
Entry Zone 116,251 – 116,277
Stop Loss 115,705 – 115,729
Target 119,331 – 119,338
Trend Bullish inside channel
Risk/Reward Favorable (>2:1)
✅ Conclusion
This setup represents a bullish continuation pattern. If price revisits the highlighted demand/support zone, and forms bullish reversal candles (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing), it could offer a high-probability long entry toward the upper end of the channel near ₹119,338.
Trade ideas
Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels:
Daily High (DH): 3899.5
Monthly High (MH): 3899.5
Daily Low (DL): 3820.4
Weekly High (WH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7
📊 Technical Outlook
Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements.
🌍 Macro Watch
All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight.
If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike.
A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts.
🎯 Trade Idea
Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation.
Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity.
Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH).
✅ Summary
Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key.
⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
Gold | 9/30Gold is acting golden. 4hr fib levels on chart to guess at price movements but the data on the screen that is relevant is a daily candle from yesterday that is holding price in a daily range so far as of writing this.
15min trends marked to track price through a reversal possibly to lower ranges and yesterday median to gain some supportive structure and levels for later this week.
Mcx Gold Profit-taking takes placeA proper analysis and technical analysis(gold)
The latest 4-hour chart of MCX Gold Futures (INR) reveals a strong uptrend supported by channel movement and clear Fibonacci retracement levels. The price has recently tested channel resistance around 116,625 INR and faced a minor pullback to 116,170 INR, suggesting short-term consolidation after a rally.
### Trend and Channel Analysis
- The price is moving within a rising channel, indicating persistent bullish momentum .
- The current price (116,170 INR) is slightly below recent highs, respecting the upper boundary of the channel, which signals overextension and potential for a corrective pullback .
- As long as the price remains inside the channel, the upward trend is intact.
### Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Key Fibonacci levels derived from the recent upmove:
- 0.0%: 116,625 INR (Recent swing high; nearest resistance)
- 23.60%: 113,656 INR (First near-term support; significant for shallow corrections)
- 38.20%: 111,819 INR (Secondary support; may attract buyers on stronger dips)
- 50.00%: 110,335 INR (Critical mid retracement; if broken, trend may weaken)
- 61.80%: 108,850 INR (Key retracement; strong institutional level)
- 78.60%: 106,737 INR (Major support if deep correction occurs)
### Support and Resistance
- Immediate resistance is at 116,625 INR; breaking above could trigger strong bullish momentum .
- Immediate support is at 113,656 INR; a drop below this could bring further downside to 111,819 INR .
- Psychological support is at 110,000 INR, just below the 50% retracement, and another at 108,750 INR near 61.8% .
### Momentum and Outlook
- The trend remains bullish unless the price closes below 113,656 INR .
- Watch for a buying opportunity if the price retests the lower channel or key Fibonacci levels without breaking the channel downward.
- If price sustains above 116,625 INR, next round of buying could push towards 118,000 INR.
### Summary Table
| Level | Price (INR) | Significance |
|-----------------|-------------|-------------------|
| Channel High | 116,625 | Immediate Resistance |
| 23.6% Fib | 113,656 | First Support |
| 38.2% Fib | 111,819 | Deeper Support |
| 50% Fib | 110,335 | Mid-Support |
| 61.8% Fib | 108,850 | Strong Support |
| 78.6% Fib | 106,737 | Deep Correction |
Overall, the outlook is bullish above 113,656 INR, but a close below key retracement levels could invite deeper correction towards 110,335 or 108,850 INR . Aggressive traders can ride the trend with tight stops below key levels, while conservative traders may wait for price action confirmation at or near Fibonacci supports.
Gold & Silver Push Higher as Markets Hunt for Safe HavensGold continues its climb, breaking through past resistance levels as investors flee into safety ahead of U.S. fiscal turmoil and rate ambiguity.
Meanwhile, silver is turning heads — rallying hard on the back of both safe-haven demand and its dual role as an industrial metal.
Together, they’re painting a picture: when anxiety and uncertainty rise, the metals step into the spotlight.
Gold hit an all-time high of $3,833.37/oz, closing at $3,829.63, on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S. shutdown fears and rate cut expectations.
It then extended gains, reaching $3,842.76/oz, putting it on track for its best month since August 2011 with an ~11.4% gain in September.
Silver also surged: it climbed to a 14-year high near $46.85/oz as industrial demand and safe-haven flows bolstered interest.
Earlier this year, silver broke $35/oz, a level not seen in over 13 years, driven by tight supply and robust demand in tech & green energy sectors.
Gold Futures (MGCZ5) – H4 Gap in PlayPrice pushed aggressively bullish all day yesterday with little to no pullbacks. That momentum left behind a fresh H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just above the Weekly High (WH) level.
If we see a pullback into this area, it could offer a solid setup for continuation higher.
⚠️ Key considerations:
If buyers stay strong, price may run liquidity above 3863.7 (D-H) before any meaningful retracement.
If sentiment shifts, a deeper draw into the Daily FVG below 3764 remains on the table.
With global uncertainty (military meetings, de-dollarization, possible U.S. shutdown), volatility risk is elevated.
🎯 Game Plan:
Watch the H4 FVG near WH for rejection / entry signals.
Bias remains bullish while above 3785 (D-L).
Break below D-L opens the door toward the Daily FVG.
How To Spot Stagflation?One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio.
• Gold reflects real money and investor confidence.
• Copper tracks recession.
• Crude oil represents inflation pressures.
When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains.
What could trigger it?
Copper Gold Ratio - A downward trend signals slower growth and potential recession. This does not mean copper prices are falling; rather, if both copper and gold are rising but copper is climbing at a slower rate than gold, the ratio will continue to trend lower.
Crude Gold Ratio - As of now, the trend is still down, indicating that inflation remains under control. However, if crude oil starts moving higher, and its percentage change exceeds that of gold, the ratio will turn upward. Currently, inflation already seems to be pointing upward, and if the copper-gold ratio also rises, inflation is likely to trend higher than its current level.
Video version:
Therefore, stagflation = slow growth (copper-gold ratio) + high inflation (crude-gold ratio). Keep a close watch on the direction of copper and crude oil.
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold Update 29SEP2025: Top Is Soon, Then PullbackGold Futures are following the projected path closely
The first target at $3,900 is now just "miles" away
This level could mark the top of wave (3) of ((5))
After that, we might see a pullback to around $3,660 in wave (4) of ((5)),
which typically revisits the low of the smaller wave 4
On the 4-hour chart, RSI shows bearish divergence,
as it fails to confirm the new high at $3,859 with a lower peak
Despite this signal, the market could still reach the $3,900 level
Once wave (4) of ((5)) completes,
we can reassess and project wave (5) of ((5)) —
which might form as a triangle or another complex correction.
Long GoldSo, without overexplaining: the overall structure is bullish, but the 15-minute timeframe is still bearish for now. You can either wait for the 15-minute to shift bullish before entering long, or take a more aggressive entry from the identified area. Also, keep in mind it’s Monday — the opening can be choppy. Still, the market currently looks bullish overall.
Is Gold Heading Higher?At the beginning of last week, price saw a much needed pullback on the commodity. Earlier news in the week was the catalyst that gold needed to head down.
Some thought we would head down further but gold seems to have traversed the entirety of its pullback, with price trading not too far away from its ATH.
With the dollar still gaining strength from future rate cut uncertainty, is this just a test of the top before further moves down? Could be. But future rate cut uncertainty might not be enough to keep gold from making new highs.
We do have a pretty news heavy week with NFP looming at the end of the week. Remember to always trade with caution.
Gold Futures Weekly Outlook (MGCZ5)📍 Key Levels on Watch
Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5
Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support
Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7
Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2
🧭 Technical Outlook
Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move.
Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point:
If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6.
If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in.
Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails.
🌍 Macro Context
De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term.
Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand.
US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold.
Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6.
Bearish Case:
Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735).
Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG.
📌 My Plan
Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop.
BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries.
Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
Gold MCX Nov. Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 29 Sep. MCX:GOLD2! Gold Futures are consolidating at 114,908, hovering just above the key zero line and prior resistance, after a robust recovery that has shifted the trend for the short term.
Bullish Scenario (Long Logic)
Long Entry (114,584):
Initiate longs above 114,584 as the hourly structure confirms a strong reversal from the recent swing low, and price is respecting the ascending trendline.
Additional positions can be scaled in near 114,432 if retracement holds above this support, aligning with higher lows in price structure and rising volume.
Upside Targets:
115,685 (Target 1): Represents the first major resistance and expected profit-booking zone, corresponding to recent swing highs.
116,175 (Target 2): Upper mapped resistance, extension target for momentum continuation if bullish sentiment escalates.
Stop Loss:
Maintain stops below 114,280, or tighter at 114,156 (Long Exit), protecting against immediate breakdowns and false breakouts.
Bearish Scenario (Short Logic)
Short Entry (114,280):
Shorts activate below 114,280, as this would break both horizontal and trendline supports, shifting bias back in favor of bears.
Downside Targets:
114,097 (Target 1): Bounce area and possible reversal/support from previous sessions.
113,607 (Target 2): Deeper target, highlights aggressive selling and fall to lower end of range.
Stop Loss:
Shorts should be covered above 114,891 if breakdown fails and price recovers above zero line and consolidation resistance.
Neutral/Trend Logic
Zero Line (114,891):
Acting as a pivotal point; hourly close above it favors continuation of uptrend, while failure to hold may result in quick reversion.
Rising trendline support and strengthening volume confirm buyers are in control, unless price slips below 114,432.
This structure supports disciplined setups for both breakout and reversal trades, with each scenario anchored by logical risk management and intraday targets.
Follow Chart Pathik for more Bullion related updates.
Gold Futures – 1H Demand Zone Retest | Bullish Setup📊 Trade Breakdown:
Pair: Gold Futures (MGC1!)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Bias: Bullish
Type: Demand Zone Retest
Entry: Waiting for bullish engulfing confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3770 demand zone
Take Profit:
• TP1: 3785
• TP2: 3813
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2–1:3 depending on entry, but the overall target is 1:1!
⸻
📌 Key Confluences:
• Price broke previous structure high, confirming momentum shift
• Fresh 1H demand zone left behind after breakout
• Waiting for retest + signs of rejection before executing
• Bullish engulfing candle will be my trigger
• Trend bias still showing strength intraday
⸻
⚙️ Trade Setup:
Plan is to let price come back into demand, reject cleanly and print a bullish engulfing candle. That’s when I’ll look to execute long. Stop will be tucked below the zone around 3770 to keep risk defined. First target set at 3785 (recent structure) with extended target at 3813 (previous high/supply zone).
If the zone fails or no bullish confirmation shows, the setup is invalid and I stay flat.
⸻
🧠 Mindset:
Patience is everything. I’d rather wait for price to come back to me than force a trade. No FOMO. Clean invalidation, clean R:R. Confidence comes from the structure break and demand zone. Trusting the process and letting the trade play out on my terms.
“Trade Simple, Live Lavish”
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Gold futuresOver the past four weeks, gold futures have continued their rally, climbing above the 3800 mark. Formally, the trend remains bullish; however, from a historical perspective, it has already lasted nearly 1000 days, which leaves little room for further growth. In the event of a downward correction, gold could target the support level in the 3200-3300 range.
Long-term trend: Up
Resistance level: 3800
Support level: 3200-3300
GC 9/2615min TimeFrame.
I didn't post yesterday but I updated the levels as if I did and made them dotted as "tested"
dashed lines = "untested"
dotted 2x = origin levels where trends originate / bridge&Flip scenarios.
Yesterday we saw how pandora's box operates by laddering into a wedge. We'll watch as it breaks tomorrow.
at a quick glance it looks like a 15min timeframe is where $ is at. I didn't follow the breadcrumbs into the 5min timeframe but sure there are levels down there influencing price and break out scenario better than the 15min timeframe but we'll still see it breakout.
Gold analysis So Gold is in a consolidation in a form of a symmetrical triangle.
I think even though the trend overall is bullish, but we still in a consolodation, and likely the price visits the lower trendline.
other than that, price will break out above the upper trendline, and then we flip bullish then.
Dont go with size on that bearish trade as i could be very very wrong in my analysis.
Global news might have us Stalling on Gold! Chart Context (MGC Futures, H1/H4)
Price stalled out after rejecting the H4 bearish zone (3791.4–3769.9).
Yesterday’s downside move lost steam before fully reaching the deeper H4 bullish demand (3746.3–3735.2).
We’re now compressing between Daily High (3792.1) and Daily Low (3752.0).
Fundamentals:
U.S. geopolitical/military headlines (Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordering hundreds of generals/admirals to an urgent meeting at Quantico, Sep 30) are creating uncertainty, which could trigger safe-haven flows in gold.
Bias Going Into Friday:
Watching for liquidity sweep of yesterday’s lows (~3752/DL). If swept and reclaimed, could trigger bullish continuation.
Alternatively, a clean break & hold above yesterday’s high (~3792/DH) sets up momentum longs targeting 3812+ (previous imbalance).
No trade in the middle of the chop — patience until liquidity is taken on one side.