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17/12/25 Can Bears Get Strong FT Selling Below Nov? Tuesday’s candlestick (Dec. 16) was a follow-through bear bar closing near its low. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see whether the bears could create a follow-through bear bar breaking below the November low, or if the market would stall around the November low area. The market traded down and closed below the November low. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26) and a smaller wedge pattern (Nov 3, Nov 26, and Dec 17). They view the current pullback as a retest of the November 26 low and a reversal from a lower low major trend reversal. They need to create strong consecutive bull bars to show they are back in control. The bears want a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs already in place on November 13 and November 26. The move is underway. They hope to get a retest of the May low. Fundamentals: • Production: Production indicated -3% in for the first 15 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. Reports of high stock levels. • Exports: ITS first 15 days of Dec: down -15.89% Today (Wednesday, Dec. 16), traders will see if the bears can sustain follow-through selling below the November low. Or will the market trade slightly lower but close with long tails or bull bodies in the days ahead instead? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
16/12/25 Bears Need Strong Follow-through Selling Monday’s candlestick (Dec. 15) was a doji bar closing in its lower half with a long tail above. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see whether the bears could create a follow-through bear bar to test near the November low, or if the market would trade higher towards the 20-day EMA instead. The market traded higher, but the follow-through buying was limited, closing near the day's low. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They view the current pullback as a retest of the November 26 low and want it to form a higher low major trend reversal. They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. The move is underway. They hope for a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being on November 13 and November 26. At the least, they want a retest of the November 26 low, even if it only forms a higher low. Fundamentals: • Production: Production indicated +5 to 10% in Pen Malaysia for the first 10 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. Reports of high stock levels. • Exports: ITS first 15 days of Dec: down -15.89% Traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it form a higher low? So far, the retest of the low has formed a higher low (Dec 10) and has overlapping candlesticks, indicating that the bears are not decisively strong. Today (Tuesday, Dec. 16), traders will watch to see whether the bears can create a follow-through bear bar breaking below the November low. Or will the market stall around the November low area? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
18/12/25 Bulls Want Strong Bull Weekly Bar, Bears FT Selling Thursday’s candlestick (Dec. 18) was a bull bar closing below the middle of its range with a long tail above. In our previous report, we stated that traders would see if the bulls could create a strong follow-through bull bar with sustained follow-through buying, or if the market would trade slightly higher but close with a long tail above and a bear body instead. The market traded higher but closed with a long tail above. The bulls got some follow-through buying, albeit not strong yet. The bulls hope the selloff (Dec 17) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Dec 17) and a smaller wedge pattern (Nov 3, Nov 26, and Dec 17). They want a reversal from a lower low major trend reversal and a failed breakout below the November 26 low. They need to create strong consecutive bull bars to show they are back in control. The bears want a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs already in place on November 13 and November 26. They got the third leg down recently (Dec 17). They hope to get a retest of the May low. If the market trades higher, they want it to form a lower high and the 20-day EMA to act as resistance. Fundamentals: • Production: Production down 3% for the first 15 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. Reports of high stock levels. • Exports: ITS first 15 days of Dec: down -15.89% Today (Friday, Dec. 19), traders will see if the bulls can create a strong follow-through bull bar closing near its high. If they do, the weekly candlestick will close near its high, which will increase the odds of next week trading at least a little higher. Or will the bear get a strong bear bar instead? If they do, the weekly candlestick may close near its low, increasing the odds of next week trading at least a little lower. Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
18/12/25 Bulls Need Strong FT Buying for Reversal Wednesday’s candlestick (Dec. 17) was a bull doji closing in its upper half with a long tail below. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see if the bears could sustain follow-through selling below the November low, or if the market would trade slightly lower but close with long tails or bull bodies in the days ahead instead. The market traded down but reversed to close with a long tail and a small bull body. The bulls hope the selloff (Dec 17) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Dec 17) and a smaller wedge pattern (Nov 3, Nov 26, and Dec 17). They view the current move as a retest of the November 26 low. They want a reversal from a lower low major trend reversal and a failed breakout below the November 26 low. They need to create strong consecutive bull bars to show they are back in control. The bears want a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs already in place on November 13 and November 26. They got the third leg down recently (Dec 17). They hope to get a retest of the May low. If the market trades higher, they want it to form a lower high and the 20-day EMA to act as resistance. Fundamentals: • Production: Production down 3% for the first 15 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. Reports of high stock levels. • Exports: ITS first 15 days of Dec: down -15.89% Today (Thursday, Dec. 16), traders will see if the bulls can create a strong follow-through bull bar with sustained follow-through buying. Or will the market trade slightly higher but close with a long tail above and a bear body instead? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
15/12/25 Can Bears Get FT Bear Bar or Fail to Do So? Friday’s candlestick (Dec. 12) was a bear bar closing near its low. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see whether the bulls could create a follow-through test near or above the 20-day EMA, or if the market would trade higher, but close with a long tail above. Thursday traded higher to test the 20-day EMA but reversed, closing with a long tail above. Friday continued down to retest the Wednesday low. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see the current pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. So far, the pullback (Dec 10) is a higher low. They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. They hope for a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being on November 13 and November 26. At the least, they want a retest of the November 26 low, even if it only forms a higher low. So far, it is a higher low (Dec 10). Fundamentals: • Production: Production indicated +5 to 10% in Pen Malaysia for the first 10 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS first 10 days of Dec: down -15% Traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, forming a higher low? So far, the retest of the low has formed a higher low (Dec 10) and has overlapping candlesticks, indicating that the bears are not decisively strong. Today (Monday, Dec. 15), traders will watch to see whether the bears can create a follow-through bear bar to test near the November low. Or will the market trade higher towards the 20-day EMA instead? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
10/12/25 Bulls Need FT Buying Closing Above 20-Day EMA Tuesday’s candlestick (Dec. 9) was a bull bar closing near its high with a long tail below. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see whether the bears could create a follow-through bear bar breaking below the tight trading range (4100) level, or if the market would trade lower, but close with a long tail below, stalling around the December 2 low area. The market traded lower, testing the December 2 low area, but reversed to close near its high with a long tail below. The bears were unable to create a follow-through bull bar. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see any pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. They want a reversal from a small double bottom bull flag (Dec 2 and Dec 9). They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. The move formed in the last few trading days. They hope for a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being on November 13 and November 26. At the least, they want a retest of the November 26 low, even if it only forms a higher low. So far, it is a higher low (Dec 9). Fundamentals: • Production: Production indicated +5 to 10% in Pen Malaysia for the first 5 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS first five days of Dec: down -20.25% The market formed a pullback towards the 20-day EMA and back to the November tight trading range area around 4100-50 recently. If the market trades lower, traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, perhaps stalling around the December 2 low area? So far, the retest of the low has stalled at the December 2 low area. Today (Wednesday, Dec. 10), traders will watch to see whether the bulls can create a follow-through test near or above the 20-day EMA. Or will the market trade slightly higher, but close with a long tail above? The 4100-4150 were the prior tight trading range levels in November and could be choppy. Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
9/12/25 Bears Need Follow-through Selling Monday’s candlestick (Dec. 8) was a bear bar closing near its low. In our previous report, we stated that traders would see whether the bulls could create a follow-through bull bar closing above the 20-day EMA, or if the market would trade lower instead. The market traded lower testing the Thursday's low (Dec 4) and the bulls could not create a follow-through bull bar. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see any pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. The move may be underway. They hope for a strong third leg down to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being Nov 13 and Nov 26. At the least, they want a retest of the November 26 low, even if it only forms a higher low. • Production: Production indicated +5 to 10% in Pen Malaysia for first 5 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS first five days of Dec: down -20.25% The market sold off in a tight bear channel, followed by a tight trading range in November, which could be a possible final flag, followed by a second leg sideways to down (Nov 26). The market formed a pullback towards the 20-day EMA and back to the November tight trading range area around 4100-50 area recently. If the market trades lower, traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, perhaps stalling around the December 2 low area? The move is currently underway. Today (Tuesday, Dec. 9), traders will watch to see whether the bears can create a follow-through bear bar breaking below the tight trading range (4100) level. Or will the market trade lower, but close with a long tail below, stalling around the December 2 low area? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
11/12/25 Bulls Need Strong FT Above 20-Day EMA Wednesday’s candlestick (Dec. 10) was a bear bar closing around the middle of its range with a long tail below. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see whether the bulls could create a follow-through test near or above the 20-day EMA, or if the market would trade slightly higher, but close with a long tail above. The 4100-4150 were the prior tight trading range levels in November and could be choppy. The market traded higher in the morning session, but dropped strongly in the afternoon after the MPOB data. The market has reversed back to the 20-day EMA as of this morning. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see any pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. So far, the pullback (Dec 10) is a higher low. They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Dec 2 and Dec 10). They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. They hope for a strong third leg to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being on November 13 and November 26. At the least, they want a retest of the November 26 low, even if it only forms a higher low. So far, it is a higher low (Dec 10). Fundamentals: • Production: Production indicated +5 to 10% in Pen Malaysia for the first 5 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS first 10 days of Dec: down -15% The market formed a pullback towards the 20-day EMA and back to the November tight trading range area around 4100-50 recently. Traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, perhaps stalling around the December 2 low area? So far, the retest of the low has formed a higher low (Dec 10) and has overlapping candlesticks, indicating that the bears are not decisively strong. Today (Thursday, Dec. 11), traders will watch to see whether the bulls can create a follow-through test near or above the 20-day EMA. Or will the market trade higher, but close with a long tail above? The 4100-4150 were the prior tight trading range levels in November and could be choppy. Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
8/12/25 Market Back to 4100-50 Tight Trading Range Area Friday’s candlestick (Dec. 4) was an inside bull bar closing near its high. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see whether the bears could create follow-through selling and close far below the 20-day EMA, or if the market would trade higher to retest the area near the 20-day EMA instead. The market traded higher to test near the 20-day EMA area. The weekly candlestick closed as a bull bar in its upper half. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see any pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. If the market trades higher, they want the November 19 high to act as resistance (around 4250-4300 area) They hope for a strong third leg down to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being Nov 13 and Nov 26. Fundamentals • Production: Production may be down in December. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS first five days of Dec: TBA The market sold off in a tight bear channel, followed by a tight trading range in November, which could be a possible final flag, followed by a second leg sideways to down (Nov 26). The market formed a pullback towards the 20-day EMA and back to the November tight trading range area around 4100-50 area. If the market trades lower, traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, perhaps stalling around the December 2 low area? Today (Monday, Dec. 8), traders will watch to see whether the bulls can create a follow-through bull bar closing above the 20-day EMA, or will the market trade lower instead? Will the market be choppy around the 4100-4150 range again like in November? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
5/12/25 Can Bears Get FT Selling or Retest Above 20-Day EMA? Thursday’s candlestick (Dec. 4) was a bear bar closing in its lower half with a small tail below. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch if the bears could create follow-through selling and close far below the 20-day EMA, or if the market would trade slightly lower but close with a long tail below and above the middle of the candlestick. The market traded lower and closed below the 20-day EMA. The bulls hope the selloff (Nov 26) will form a major higher low. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see any pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. If the market trades higher, they want the November 19 high to act as resistance (around 4250-4300 area) They hope for a strong third leg down to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being Nov 13 and Nov 26. Fundamentals • Production: Production may be down in December. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS first five days of Dec: TBA The market sold off in a tight bear channel, followed by a tight trading range in November, which could be a possible final flag, followed by a second leg sideways to down (Nov 26). The market formed a pullback towards the 20-day EMA this week. Next, traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, perhaps stalling around the December 2 low area? Bulls want a strong bull bar today so that the weekly candlestick will close in its upper half, while the bears want a strong bear bar today so that the weekly candlestick will have a bear body and a long tail above. Today (Friday, Dec. 5), traders will watch to see whether the bears can create follow-through selling and close far below the 20-day EMA, or will the market trade higher to retest the area near the 20-day EMA instead? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
4/12/25 Can Bears Create Strong Retest of Nov 26 Low? Wednesday’s candlestick (Dec. 3) was a bear doji closing near its low with a long tail above. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch if the bulls could create follow-through buying, or if the market would trade slightly higher but close with a long tail above, closing below the 20-day EMA. The market traded higher in the morning session but pulled back down to close near the 20-day EMA. FCPO is currently trading below the 20-day EMA following the session last night. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They hope the recent tight trading range (in Nov) will be the final flag of the move and want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range and the 20-day EMA. The market is here now. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They see any pullback simply as a retest of the November 26 low, and want it to be weak (overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through selling), forming a higher low major trend reversal. They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. If the market trades higher, they want the November 19 high to act as resistance (around 4250-4300 area) They hope to get a third leg down to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being Nov 13 and Nov 26. Fundamentals • Production: Production may be down in December. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down -19.68% in November. The market sold off in a tight bear channel, followed by a tight trading range in November, which could be a possible final flag, followed by a second leg sideways to down (Nov 26). The market formed a pullback towards the 20-day EMA this week. Next, traders will see the strength of the retest of the November 26 low. Will it be strong, breaking below the Nov 26 low? Or will it be weak, perhaps stalling around the December 2 low area? Today (Thursday, Dec. 4), traders will watch if the bears can create follow-through selling and close far below the 20-day EMA, or will the market trade slightly lower, but close with a long tail below and above the middle of the candlestick? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
3/12/25 Can Bulls Create FT Buying Above the 20-Day EMA? Tuesday’s candlestick (Dec. 2) was an outside bull bar closing near its high with a long tail below. In our previous report, we stated that traders would see whether the bulls could create a retest and close above the 20-day EMA, or if the bears create a strong retest of the November low instead. The market traded slightly lower in the night session but reversed higher, testing the 20-day EMA and closing above it. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They hope the recent tight trading range (in Nov) will be the final flag of the move and want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range and the 20-day EMA. The market is here now. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They must produce strong follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. If the market trades higher, they want the November 19 high to act as resistance (around 4250-4300 area) They hope to get a third leg down to form the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being Nov 13 and Nov 26. Fundamentals • Production: Production may be down in December. • Refineries: Buying interest is there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down -19.68% in November. The market sold off in a tight bear channel, followed by a tight trading range in November, which could be a possible final flag, followed by a second leg sideways to down (Nov 26). The selloff was also climactic and slightly oversold. There could be a minor pullback towards the 20-day EMA. This move is underway. Today (Wednesday, Dec. 3), traders will see if the bulls can create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market trade slightly higher, but close with a long tail above and closing below the 20-day EMA instead? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
2/12/25 Can Bulls Create A Strong PB, or Retest Nov Low? Monday’s candlestick (Dec 1) was a bear bar closing near its low with a long tail above. In our previous report, we stated that bulls wanted the candlestick to close near its high, so the weekly candlestick would close as a strong bull bar. This was the case. The market traded slightly higher but reversed lower towards the evening. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They hope the recent tight trading range will be the final flag of the move and want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range. At the least, they hope for a small pullback to the 20-day EMA. This move is underway. The market reached the tight trading range yesterday (Dec 1) and near the 20-EMA, followed by a small pullback lower. The bulls hope to get a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Jan 17, May 8, and Nov 26). They hope the current pullback will be minor, followed by a reversal above the 20-day EMA. They must produce strong consecutive bull bars to show they are clearly in control. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. They hope to get a third leg sideways to down to form the wedge pattern with the first two legs being Nov 13 and Nov 26. Fundamentals • Production: SPPOMA down 2% in November. Production may be down in December. • Refineries: Buying interest is still there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down -19.68% in November. The market sold off in a tight bear channel, followed by a tight trading range in October, which could be a possible final flag, followed by a second leg sideways to down. The selloff was also climactic and slightly oversold. There could be a minor pullback towards the 20-day EMA. The market tested near the 20-day EMA yesterday. Today (Tuesday, Dec. 2), traders will see if the bulls can create a retest and close above the 20-day EMA, or will the bears create a strong retest of the November low instead. Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
28/11/25 Bulls Want Strong Weekly Bar, Bears Want Tail Above Thursday’s candlestick (Nov 27) was a follow-through bull bar closing near its high. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see if the bulls could create a consecutive bull bar closing near its high, or if the market would trade slightly higher, but the candlestick would close below the middle of its range with a long tail above. The market traded higher towards the 20-day EMA. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They hope the recent tight trading range will be the final flag of the move and want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range. At the least, they hope for a small pullback to the 20-day EMA. This move is underway. They must produce strong consecutive bull bars to show they are clearly in control. The bears reached the measured-move target of the 4000–3950 area this week. The bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level, followed by a retest of the November low. They want any pullback (bounce) to be weak, characterized by overlapping candlesticks and a long tail extending above. Fundamentals • Production: SPPOMA increased by about 5% in the first 25 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is still there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down 18.48% in the first 25 days. Overall, the market sold off in a tight bear channel, indicating strong selling momentum. The market remains Always-In-Short. The selloff was also climactic and slightly oversold. There could be a minor pullback towards the 20-day EMA, which may have begun. Today (Friday, Nov. 28), bulls want the candlestick to close near its high, so the weekly candlestick will close as a strong bull bar. If this is the case, the market may trade at least a little higher next week. Bears want today to close as a strong bear bar, so the weekly candlestick will close with a bear body or a prominent tail above. Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
27/11/25 Can Bulls Create a Strong Pullback? Wednesday’s candlestick (Nov 26) was a bull bar closing in its upper half with a prominent tail above. In our previous report, we stated that traders would watch to see if the bears could create more follow-through selling and extend the second leg sideways to down, or if the market would stall around the 4000 area and form candlesticks with long tails below in the days ahead, which could indicate some profit-taking activity. The market traded slightly lower but closed higher for the day and is holding around the 4000 area for now. The bulls hope the current decline will form a major higher low. They hope the recent tight trading range will be the final flag of the move and want the market to reverse back into the tight trading range. At the least, they hope for a small pullback to the 20-day EMA. They must produce strong consecutive bull bars to show they are clearly in control. The bears reached the measured-move target of the 4000–3950 area this week. The next target for the bears is the May low, around the 3800-50 area. The selloff formed a tight bear channel, indicating strong bearish sentiment and persistent selling pressure. If there is a pullback, the bears want the 20-day EMA to act as a resistance level. They want any pullback (bounce) to be weak, characterized by overlapping candlesticks and a long tail extending above. Fundamentals • Production: SPPOMA increased by about 5% in the first 25 days. • Refineries: Buying interest is still there at these low prices. Not paying premiums vs spot futures. • Exports: ITS said exports are down 18.48% in the first 25 days. Overall, the market sold off in a tight bear channel, indicating strong selling momentum. The market remains Always-In-Short. The selloff was also climactic and slightly oversold. There could be a minor pullback towards the 20-day EMA, which may have begun yesterday. Today (Thursday, Nov. 27), traders will watch to see if the bulls can create a consecutive bull bar closing near its high. Or will the market trade slightly higher, but the candlestick close below the middle of its range with a long tail above? Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
Declining Palm Oil Prices : CSE - WATA/AGAL/NAMU/etcFundamentals Malaysian palm oil futures have entered a corrective phase, plunging to a four-week low with an 8% decline over the period. This price softening is primarily attributed to: • Demand contraction in key export markets • Appreciation of the Malaysian ringgit, reducing competitiveness CSE Companies with exposure to palm oil benefited from favorable pricing over the previous three months, with notable rallies. Strategy The recent price correction is unlikely to impact current quarter earnings. However, next quarter margins may compress if the downtrend persists Given the current trajectory of international prices, think a prudent profit-booking approach is more appropriate. Re-entry opportunities may arise post-stabilization, levels to watch are marked in the chart.
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by HR2302
1