SCSC Earnings Gamble: $45C--Pre-Earnings Lotto Play?
# 🚨 SCSC Earnings Gamble: \$45C 🎯 Pre-Earnings Lotto Play? 📈💰
### 📊 Earnings Prediction Breakdown (2025-08-20)
**Company:** ScanSource, Inc. (SCSC)
#### 🔎 Fundamentals
* 📉 Revenue growth: **-6.3%** (big challenge)
* 💸 Margins: Thin (Profit 2.3%, Operating 3.3%, Gross 13.5%)
* ⚠️ Beat rate: Only **38%** with negative surprise history (-6.1%)
* 🧾 Forward EPS est.: \$3.74 (+34.5% growth expected — may be too optimistic)
**👉 Score:** 5/10 (Weak fundamentals, a few bullish sparks)
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#### 🏦 Options Flow
* ⚡️ IV: Normal, no big expansion
* 📉 Liquidity: Low (79 calls vs 3 puts OI 😬)
* 🛡️ Skew: Slightly bearish (more puts for hedging)
* 🐢 No dark pool or big whale activity
**👉 Score:** 4/10 (Retail-heavy, no big-money conviction)
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#### 📈 Technicals
* 💵 Price: \$43.06 (hovering above MA)
* 📊 RSI: Neutral → leaning overbought
* 🔑 Levels: Support \$41.36, Resistance \$45.00
* 📉 Volume: Weak (0.72x avg)
**👉 Score:** 5/10 (Neutral momentum, low volume support)
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#### 🌎 Macro Context
* 🚚 Supply chain headwinds remain
* 📦 Tech distribution sector under pressure
* 📉 Micro-cap vulnerability → tough environment
**👉 Score:** 5/10 (Neutral sector, not much tailwind)
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### 🎯 Directional Conviction: **53% Neutral / Speculative Bias**
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## ⚡️ TRADE IDEA (Speculative Only) ⚡️
🎯 **\$45 Call @ \$1.25 (Sept 19 expiry)**
* 🛑 Stop Loss: \$0.62 (50%)
* 🎯 Target: \$2.50–\$5.00 (200–400% lotto)
* 📆 Entry: Pre-earnings close
* ⏰ Exit: Within 2 hrs post-earnings
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📊 **Quick Recap Card:**
* 🎯 Instrument: **SCSC**
* 🔀 Direction: **CALL (LONG)**
* 🎯 Strike: **45.00**
* 💵 Entry: **1.25**
* 🛑 Stop: **0.62**
* 📅 Expiry: **2025-09-19**
* 📈 Confidence: **53%**
* ⚠️ Risk: Low liquidity, speculative lotto
