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The Coming EU Recession into 2028, Mercedes BENZ $MBG Triple TopThe principal pillar of the European economy is Germany, recognized as its wealthiest nation. A parallel can be drawn to the adage regarding America: when it experiences a minor setback, the global economy often faces significant repercussions. It is often asserted that the essence of "Deutschland" is deeply rooted in its automotive industry, leading to its moniker as "Autoland." German automobiles have consistently been esteemed as the finest globally. In fact, the most thriving economic engine in Europe has been heavily dependent on the automotive sector, and the initiatives aimed at addressing climate change have been likened to the act of vanquishing a vampire—driving a stake through its heart. Volkswagen, the biggest car maker in Europe, is warning that it might have to cut thousands of jobs and close some factories in Germany. This is happening because they are having tough talks with unions about rising costs. The push for climate-friendly cars has really affected how many people want to buy new vehicles, and they are also facing strong competition in the electric car market. The news about job cuts and possible factory shutdowns is causing a big stir around the world. Other car companies like Mercedes Benz, BMW, and Ford are also making cuts and letting employees go. Volkswagen is planning to lay off tens of thousands of workers and is even thinking about closing some factories, which is a big deal. Bosch, the largest auto parts supplier in the world and a major employer in Germany, is also cutting hours and pay for around 10,000 workers. Even Meyer Werft, a shipbuilding company that has been around since the 1800s, recently needed a huge bailout of $423 million to stay out of bankruptcy. The economic strategies implemented by Brussels have significantly weakened the overall economy of the European Union. Germany has remained committed to the traditional Mercantile economic model, maintaining elevated tax rates to curb inflation while producing goods for export to generate profits. In 2023, the automotive sector is projected to represent as much as 17% of Germany's exports. This sector has created over 750,000 jobs. However, German manufacturing has struggled to achieve a full recovery since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, currently reaching only about 90% of its pre-pandemic output.
XETR:MBGShort
by BallaJi
#MBG Rebound from Key Support Level of Mercedes-Benz Group AG I decided to enter a long position based on the following reasons: Key Support Zone: The price has reached a strong horizontal level around €52, which historically served as a significant support. It is expected that this level might once again act as a reversal point. Oversold Conditions: The current downward movement appears sharp, which could indicate temporary oversold conditions and the possibility of a corrective rebound. Historical Bounce from the Level: The chart shows that the price has repeatedly bounced off this level in the past, creating good entry points for long positions. Anticipation of a Reversal Candle: There is a possibility of a reversal candlestick pattern forming soon (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), which would confirm my strategy. Medium-term Growth Potential: If the level holds, the price could return to the upper boundary of the range (around €79), making the trade potentially profitable. Risks: If the level breaks downward, it may signal the need to reassess the position and limit losses. ⚠️ All trading ideas are published with a time delay. If you want to follow the trading in real-time, please follow the link:
XETR:MBGLong
by S_CAPITAL
Mercedes-Benz group AG- An opportunity to buy/Average down.Hello, Today we will be looking at a buy opportunity from Mercedes solely using the tools available on Tradingview. Mercedes-Benz Group AG engages in the business of manufacturing and distributing premium cars. It operates through the following segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mercedes-Benz Cars segment includes the brands Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ. All this is found in overview section www.tradingview.com TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data) Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock has corrected and is at the bottom of a flat pattern Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- The indicator is confirming purchase. Zero crossover on MACD soon. (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- Future wave as shown Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price EUR 76 (A good stock to buy/average down) Key highlights from the Mercedes-Benz Group's Q3 2024 interim report Revenue: €34.5 billion in Q3 2024, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023. For the first nine months, revenue totalled €107.14 billion, down by 5%. Net Profit: €1.7 billion in Q3, down by 54%, and €7.7 billion over nine months, a 31% reduction. Mercedes-Benz Cars: Unit sales were down by 1% to 503,600 vehicles in Q3. Electrified vehicle sales fell by 15%, and BEV sales dropped by 31%. Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sales declined by 13% to 91,100 units in Q3. Electrified van sales also decreased by 31%. Mercedes-Benz Mobility: New financing and leasing contracts fell by 14% compared to Q3 2023 R&D expenditure increased by 13% to €2.9 billion in Q3, with a focus on digitalization and electrification Company highlights can be found on the statements section or the news flow section www.tradingview.com Next earnings report date: February 13, 2025 (Q4 report 2024) The next earnings date can be found for each company www.tradingview.com Opportunities Mercedes-Benz is a globally recognized and respected brand in premium and luxury automobiles, giving it some resilience against fluctuations in car sales. The company’s strong focus on research and development, especially in electric powertrains, positions it well for growth as clean-air regulations continue to tighten worldwide. Management’s long-term goals for return on sales indicate that there is opportunity for further growth, suggesting potential upside to valuation. Risks to consider The global premium car market is highly competitive, and consumers have many choices, making it easy for them to switch between brands. The auto industry faces increasing global overcapacity, leading to pricing pressure. Given its capital-intensive nature, achieving strong economic returns over a 10-year period remains challenging. While Mercedes has maintained good union relations with its German workforce, union influence is substantial, with employees electing half of the supervisory board members. This strong union presence can limit profit margins due to wage demands during prosperous times and work rules that reduce flexibility in manufacturing. Our recommendation Since November 2021, Mercedes-Benz stock has traded in a sideways range between EUR 52 and EUR 76. Despite this, the company remains a globally recognized premium and luxury brand. This positioning continues to provide resilience against high sales fluctuations, making it a standout in the competitive global luxury car market. Mercedes-Benz Cars continue to face weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia. The company is actively undertaking a share buyback. In Q4 2024 the Mercedes-Benz Group opened Europe’s first battery recycling factory in Kuppenheim, southern Germany. Valuable, limited raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt can be recovered and are to be used to manufacture new battery cells for Mercedes-Benz vehicles. This buyback, along with the company’s strong positioning and stock’s trading range, presents a potential buying opportunity with a target price of EUR 76 despite the weak Q3 results. Our recommendation is buy/Average down. Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to research and development, particularly in electric powertrains, positions it advantageously for growth amid tightening clean-air regulations worldwide. Goodluck & all the best.
XETR:MBGLong
by thesharkke
9
Mercedes-Benz cuts forecasts due to weakness in ChinaMercedes-Benz shares fell more than 7% after announcing a cut in its profit forecast due to economic weakness in China. The company adjusted its adjusted return on sales forecast for its auto division to between 7.5% and 8.5%, down from the previous range of 10%-11%. The slowdown in consumption and problems in the Chinese real estate sector have reduced demand for luxury cars, affecting the automaker's sales. Mercedes also warned that pricing pressure will continue during the second half of the year, which could further deteriorate its results. The forecast cut is in line with the trend seen at other manufacturers such as BMW and Volkswagen, which have also seen weaker demand. Although some adjustment was expected, the magnitude of the warning has been larger than expected, affecting sentiment towards the brand. Since April 2024, Mercedes-Benz shares have fallen 29.85%. However, in the last nine days it has recovered 8.73%. Balance sheets for the last three years show a weakening in its profits since 2021. In addition, increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers, which are expanding into Europe, has increased the pressure on German manufacturers. Chinese consumers are opting for local brands that offer more tailored products and better value for money. In terms of technical analysis, Mercedes-Benz shares are in a rebound on key support dating back to February 2021. If the upcoming financial results do not meet expectations, there is a risk that this support around €50.63 could be broken, which could exacerbate the company's downtrend. Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
XETR:MBGShort
by ActivTrades
Technical Analysis of Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG)### Technical Analysis of Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG) #### Overview The chart shows the daily price movement of Mercedes-Benz Group AG, indicating significant technical levels and trends. Key aspects include the Fibonacci retracement levels, support and resistance lines, and trend lines. #### Fibonacci Retracement Levels The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the swing low around the end of 2020 to the swing high in early 2022. The key levels are: - **0.236 (60.77 EUR)** - **0.382 (63.95 EUR)** - **0.5 (66.53 EUR)** - **0.618 (69.11 EUR)** - **0.786 (72.77 EUR)** These levels often act as potential support and resistance zones. #### Current Price Action The current price is around **64.98 EUR**, slightly above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (63.95 EUR), suggesting that this level may act as support. The recent price action shows a decline from the highs near the 0.786 level (72.77 EUR), testing lower support levels. #### Trend Lines The chart indicates a long-term ascending trend line starting from the lows of early 2020, intersecting with the 0.236 Fibonacci level around **60.77 EUR**. There is also a shorter-term ascending trend line from early 2023, providing additional support levels. #### Resistance Levels - **66.53 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci level)** - **69.11 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci level)** - **72.77 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci level)** These levels are crucial to monitor as potential resistance if the price attempts to move higher. #### Support Levels - **63.95 EUR (0.382 Fibonacci level)** - **60.77 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci level)** The ascending trend line also provides dynamic support around these levels. #### Projection Given the current positioning, the price might continue to test the 0.382 Fibonacci level (63.95 EUR) for support. If this level holds, a potential rebound towards 66.53 EUR or higher might occur. Conversely, a break below 63.95 EUR could see the price testing the next support around 60.77 EUR, where the ascending trend line also provides a confluence of support. ### Conclusion Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG) is currently in a consolidation phase, with key support at 63.95 EUR and resistance around 66.53 EUR. Traders should watch these levels for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios, keeping an eye on the broader market trends and any significant news that might impact the stock. ### Disclaimer This analysis is just an opinion and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading stocks involves risk, and you should do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Any profit or loss is the responsibility of the audience, and I do not take any responsibility in this regard.
GETTEX:MBGLong
by arblb1366
MERCEDES-BENZ Long IDEA The stock seems to have support here with a developing cup & handle patten which will target gap close at 61.40 Bullish MACD crossover Buyzone: 57-56 Stoploss: 55 A **Cup and Handle** pattern is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. This pattern is considered a bullish signal, extending an uptrend, and is used to spot opportunities to go long. Here are some key points to consider when detecting cup and handle patterns: - **Length**: Cups with longer and more "U" shaped bottoms provide a stronger signal. Avoid cups with sharp "V" bottoms. - **Depth**: The cup should not be overly deep. Also, handles should form in the top half of the cup pattern. - **Volume**: Volume should decrease as prices decline and remain lower than average in the base of the bowl; it should then increase when the stock begins to make its move higher, back up to test the previous high. The pattern was first described by William J. O'Neil in his 1988 classic book on technical analysis, "How to Make Money in Stocks". The full pattern is complete when price breaks out of this consolidation in the direction of the cup's advance. The price will likely continue in that direction though conservative traders may look for additional confirmation.
XETR:MBGLong
by Trader-Dan
MERCEDES GROUP, LONG POSITIONGood fundamentals Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Germany and internationally. The company develops, manufactures, and sells premium and luxury cars and vans under the Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ brands, as well as related spare parts and accessories. It also provides financing, leasing, car subscription and rental, fleet management, insurance brokerage, and mobility services, as well as digital services for charging and payment. High shareholder yield Has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years Stock generally trades with low price volatility Prominent player in the Automobiles industry Stockholders receive high returns on book equity Analysts predict the company will be profitable this year
XETR:MBGLong
by SANMARTIN_M
Mercedes-Benz Group: Parking 🚘Mercedes is about to park wave (2) in magenta in our green target zone between €67.31 and €77.90. Once this top is placed, the share should continue the overarching downward trend, dropping below the support at €60.72 and (after a short countermovement) further southwards. There is a 30% chance, though, that Mercedes could leave the green zone on the northern side and thus climb above the resistance at €77.90. In that case, we would expect the share to develop a higher top first before heading downwards. Wave alt.B in green would then expand into the magenta-colored zone between €84.44 and €89.37.
XETR:MBG
by MarketIntel
Mercedes-Benz is at a multi-month resistance of 75Why should we short Mercedes-Benz? 1 - they hung up on the phone with Hitler who made them millions of dollars in WWI 2 - There's a huge resistance at 75 dollars 3 - they refused to pay for a car they invented that was literally my address: 63 Madison ave AMG 4 - I already asked Doug Clark (my former manager at ITG Global) to alert the CEO of Credit suiSSe to create some complex bearish derivatives more advanced than those of Fabrice les 2 Tours from GS
XETR:MBGShort
by Monsieur_Lumberg
Mercedez-Benz consolidated and is on a strong rallyMercedes-Benz is still making high quality cars despite inflationary pressures reducing profitability in the auto-industry. Hitler had a special relationship with Mercedes (the name of a Spanish relative of mine connected to Carmen Gabriel). It will be interesting to see whether or not the price will break above the overhead resistance. I guess it will depend on how much money the Rothschilds/Reichmanns/Bronfmans and the Rockefellers have left. BUY PS: why does Mercedes-Benz Kitchener have a random yellow hat? Pierre Gabriel CEO
XETR:MBGLong
by Monsieur_Lumberg
Mercedes-Benz Group: In the Parking Lot 🚗 🚗 🚗Mercedes-Benz has found a parking spot in the big green parking lot between €67.31 and €77.90 and is about to finish wave in green. Though, as the course has just turned slightly downwards, the current movement could also already be complete. As soon as this high is finalized, the share should pay its parking ticket, leave the parking lot and drive southwards, crossing the support at €62.41 and subsequently heading for the next one at €50.19 as well.
XETR:MBG
by MarketIntel