VOW - Volkswagen - Long position BUY and HOLDDear all,
Not bad idea start open long positions in VOW, close to 100$ is a very good level for buying.
It is a position with a potential 50% return, but it is for medium long term so buy and hold.
VWA trade ideas
VW to target 136 after crossing 119Daily chart, the stock is forming a chart pattern, and after crossing the resistance line (blue) at 119, the target will be 136 soon
Technical indicators RSI and MACD support this view.
Stop loss 117 to be considered
VOW3 • Volkswagen • XETRA LONG TF H1#VOW3 • Volkswagen • XETRA LONG TF H1
TP = 115.30 , SL = 104.44
The trend continues, the nearest support level according to my calculations TP 115.30
VOW3 about to hit resistance line started in 2009...As we can see in the graph, VOW3 is about to hit a resistance line which started on March 9th, 2009. This line was solidified on March 18th, 2020. Morningstar currently classifies Volkswagen as five stars, with almost 70% discount to fair value. The extremely large dividend yield is ice on the cake...
VW BULLISH SENTIMENTVolkswagen plans to focus solely on profitability amid cutthroat competition from the Chinese automakers. Volkswagen said it would not participate in the discount battle like its Chinese competitors. Instead of expanding its market share and sales volume, the German carmaker plans to leverage its strong market position to build a sustainable business.
The company's deliveries for April 2023 jumped 39% year-on-year to 720,200 cars.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
VOLKSWAGEN: Bull-trap? Potential formation of Three Black CrowsAfter Job openings, JOLTS data and macroeconomic data weakening in US; a potential formation of Three Black Crows on Daily graph of Volkswagen could be underway jeopardising the last 6 positive candles. Tomorrow's closing candle will confirm if the Three Black Crows take place and next week we will see whether the prophecy ("sell") takes place.
Volkswagen it's about time to buy!Hello traders,
I hope you are doing great!
I know it's been a long time since the previous trade idea here in Trading view but a lot is going on with "The Greek Traders" community along with the V.I.P trading mentorship programme.
We can see a trade we have also shared on the V.I.P group since the previous week.
We are reffering to the "Volkswagen" stock trade of course, let's see why we are long on the stock as always combining fundamental analysis with technical analysis!As noted in the "The Greek Trader" seminars also, if fundamental analysis doesn't align with technical analysis we don't enter any trade!
Firstly we are in clear bear market in Volkswagen stock since almost 2 years now from the high of 357.40 euros at 15/03/2021, as uncertainty from Covid-19 hit the markets.Also less incetives from the governments for the purchase of an EV vechicle as the maket is entering a more mature stage along with supply chain bottlenecks, rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainty also took a toll on many companies in 2022.
Technical Observations
1.As we can see after that 2 year downtrend RSI has already started to build a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe since June of 2022, that's very strong indication of the slowly shifting momentum especially when we are reffering to the weekly timeframe!
2.We can seet the 5 Elliott waves since the high, we are currently on the 3rd wave and we can trade the counter trend 4th wave to the upside.
3.The 4th Elliott wave that's an equal projection of the 1st wave we can see that coincides perfectly with the Fair value gap that has not been filled and with a previous support/resistance level that has been respected multiple times.That's the reason we will have our TP in that area (162-167 Euros).
4.We have also put the FIbonacci timezones and fibonacci retracements levels and we can see that both of the are aligned with the previous Elliott wave theory.
5.We are waiting a double bottom to be formed or a lower low with bullish divergence and a bullish candlestick formation to enter long at 113-116 Euros area.
Fundamentals Observations
1. The Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent global lockdowns in 2020 saw the stock's price fall to its lowest level in almost five years. After starting at €175.60 on 19 March 2020, it sank to €79.38. Over the later months of the year, as economies began opening up, VOW3 seemingly began to recover and closed the year at €152.40.
2. In 2021, the carmaker announced it was increasing its EV capacity and scaling up MEB (modular electric drive matrix) use. In March, the company stated it planned to deliver a total of 450,000 EVs to customers – more than twice the figure delivered the year before. Volkswagen’s EV sales during the first three-quarters of the year put it in third place, with a 10.1% market share compared to 21.5% for Tesla, reaching an all-time high of 357.40 euros at 15/03/2021.
3. VW group had invested a lot on biofules but as part of the revision of the Renewable Energy Directive (RED), the European Commission proposed reducing the contribution of conventional biofuels in transport from a maximum of 7% in 2021 to 3.8% in 2030, that was a blow for the VW group.Now with the FY23 budget VW is turning it's main focus on the EV sector with more than 200$ billions investments for the next 5 years.
4. 2022 proved to be interesting for the EV market, Iola Hughes of Rho Motion told INN at last year’s Benchmark Week. Headwinds for the sector came following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s lockdowns in the first few months of the year.EV-volumes.com sales data shows that the global total for last year came in at 10.5 million units across BEVs and PHEVs.
“An impressive growth of 55,4 percent in a difficult vehicle market as a whole. BEV sales increased by 59 percent to 7,65 million units, PHEVs by 46 percent to 2,86 million units,” the firm states. “The global EV share in light vehicle sales is 13 percent for 2022.”
5.Supply chain constraints appear to be easing and sales expectations for 2023 for passenger cars and light-duty vehicles, Rho Motion forecasts over 14 million global BEV and PHEV sales in 2023.
6.(Reuters) - South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster on Monday signed legislation approving $1.29 billion in state incentives for Volkswagen's off-road brand Scout Motors to build a $2 billion manufacturing plant for trucks and SUVs.
The project could also receive up to $180 million in job development tax credits based on hiring, said South Carolina Commerce Secretary Harry Lightsey.
In May, VW said it would reintroduce the Scout off-road brand in the United States, offering new electric pickup and sport-utility vehicles. Scout said it hopes to eventually create 4,000 jobs and produce 200,000 Scout vehicles annually.
Groundbreaking is planned for mid-2023 and production is projected to begin by the end of 2026.
7.Earlier this month Volkswagen said 2023 sales will rise by between 10-15%, and the operating profit margin will be between 7.5 and 8.5% compared with 7.9% in 2022.
POSSIBLE LONG TRADE
ENTRY AT THE RETEST OF 113-1.116 EUROS LEVEL
TP1 163 EUROS
TP2 167 EUROS
STOP LOSS 111.80-112 EUROS
RISK/REWARD 17.60-17.70 !
THANK YOU ALL FOR SUPPORT!!
KEEP FOLLOWING AND SUPPORTING MEANS A LOT TO OUR ME!
Happy profits everyone!!
THE GREEK TRADER
Trading Idea - #Volkswagen #VWMy trading idea for #Volkswagen #VW - LONG
Entry: 122.80 EUR
Target: 197.00 EUR (profit +58%)
- So far, there are few affordable small electric cars on the market. Volkswagen wants to change that and presents the ID.2all for less than 25,000 EUR. According to VW, the fully electric compact car will have a range of up to 450 km and will be launched on the market in 2025. The quick charge is supposed to take only 20 minutes.
- Volkswagen is pushing ahead with the electrification of its vehicles and plans to invest a total of 180 billion euros by 2027. With net liquidity of 43 billion euros, including 16 billion from the IPO of the Porsche sports car division, the Wolfsburg-based company considers itself in a solid position to handle the investments.
- Record profit at Audi! They sell fewer cars but earn more money.
VOLKSWAGEN - BEARISH CONTINUATIONVolkswagen, one of the largest European manufacturers of electric cars, is putting its plans to build more battery factories in eastern Europe on hold until the EU decides how it will respond to the IRA with manufacturing incentives of its own. That is not favorable for the asset and there are not many reasons to expect short-term surges, therefore that downtrend channel might continue to range the asset, and considering we are close to the resistance line it is likely to depreciate in the near future.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Monthly 2-1-2 reversalHello dear Traders,
Here is my idea for #VOW
Targets marked in the chart
Invalidation level marked with red line
Good luck!
❤️Please feel free to ask any question in comments. I will try to answer all! Thank you.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
VOW3 // Flag formationWhile there is a flag formation on the chart, pay attention to the wedge resistance on the weekly timeframe.
Trading Idea - VW/PORSCHE Pair Trade Pair Trade:
#VW (Vz) LONG
#Porsche SHORT
VW and PORSCHE have a correlation of 84%. Reason enough to try out a pair trade. Currently the values have drifted apart by approx. 7%!
Porsche is currently performing better (relatively), which means a SHORT signal. VW, on the other hand, is lagging somewhat behind!
Will Volkswagen earnings satisfy?Volkswagen - 30d expiry- We look to Buy a break of 134.02 (stop at 127.96)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
A break of the recent high at 133.46 should result in a further move higher.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 149.48 and 157.48
Resistance: 133 / 140 / 150
Support: 127 / 120 / 115
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Special Dividend upcomingFollowing the IPO of Porsche in October, Volkswagen will propose a special dividend to its shareholders at the Extraordinary AGM on 16th of December. The special dividend is in the amount of 19.06 EUR per share (ordinary or preference).
In my opinion this special dividend, in combination with Volkswagen's current valuation, is an excellent way to get some short term yield on this stock.
Given the current share price (just under 140 EUR), the special dividend will provide share holders an instant yield of around 13.5% (gross). Of course, the share will drop as a result of the dividend at the ex-dividend date. With the current share price it's expected to drop to a level around 120 EUR, which is near recent lows.
At 120 EUR Volkswagen is trading just over a P/E ratio of 4. Hence, downside risks seem to be limited, even with a macro-economic downturn ahead.
I'll be adding to my current long position in the next couple of days to pick up the special dividend.
Rough Winter ahead VW look like they have reached yet another lokal top during this downtrend, market turmoil ahead
VOW3 // Inverted shoulder head shoulder formationInverted shoulder head shoulder formation Let's look for closures in the place I indicated with X for the formation to be valid. Pay attention to the wedge indicator resistance in the weekly time frame. Targets are determined according to Fibonacci.
Volkswagen (VOW3.de) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the German company Volkswagen AG (VOW3.de). Volkswagen AG, known internationally as the Volkswagen Group, is a German multinational automotive manufacturer. The company designs, manufactures and distributes passenger and commercial vehicles, motorcycles, engines and turbomachinery, as well as offering related services, including financing, leasing and fleet management. In 2016, it was the world's largest automaker by sales, and keeping this title in 2017, 2018 and 2019, selling 10.9 million vehicles. It has maintained the largest market share in Europe for over two decades. It ranked seventh in the 2020 Fortune Global 500 list of the world's largest companies. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 02/11/2022. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 141.98 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 125.40 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
VW reported $4.3 billion in third quarter operating profit. Wall Street was looking for $4.5 billion. Shares are down 3.8% in overseas trading.
Financial guidance hasn’t changed, but delivery guidance has. Back in July, Volkswagen believed total deliveries in 2022 would rise 5% to 10% compared with the 2021 total of 8.9 million units. Now the company expects 2022 deliveries to be the same as 2021. Supply chain constraints are to blame.
Despite that headwind VW’s EV business continued to expand in the quarter. Battery electric vehicles amounted to 6.8% of total VW deliveries. Year to date, VW has delivered 366,400 EVs, up from 293,000 delivered in the same period of 2021. China accounted for 112,700 of those 2022 EV deliveries. VW’s Chinese EV sales are up 139% so far in 2022 compared with the same span of 2021.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Volkswagen going wild soon Germany's largest carmaker and DAX40 group Volkswagen did not perform well on the stock market in recent months and the share price went south. Since the beginning of the Ukraine war, the price lost slightly over 50% or 126€.
On the overarching chart picture, however, this sell-off is only part of an overarching correction according to my assessment. The market is catching its breath to be able to survive the upcoming wave 3 well.
Due to the current market situation on the indices, especially the strong sell-off in the German economy, the price will probably come down to the 0.887 retracement at the 99€, before the trend direction of the market turns.
From there, a price increase of at least 300% is possible on a multi-year level. The 1.618 extension is at 396€ per share.
VOW | VolkswagenLooking forward to a bullish hustle.
More like a continuation of what it once was recently.
Volkswagen stuck in reverse?Volkswagen - Short Term - We look to Sell at 145.76 (stop at 152.42)
The medium term bias remains bearish. Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. We have a Gap open at 145.76 from 19/08/2022 to 22/08/2022. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 120.52 and 115.00
Resistance: 145.76 / 151.50 / 160.86
Support: 137.68 / 128.10 / 120.56
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
VOW short term bullishCould be in a leading diagonal and correcting in wave 4 now
Long term holders should wait till 125 is met before entering
