HINDUNILVR - RISING WEDGE PATTERN BREAKOUT [ SELL SIDE ]I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. The information provided here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Please do your own research or consult with a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
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HINDUNILVR: Investment IDEA, GST Impact => New HorizonOverview
The stock is currently trading at ₹2,536.20, up ₹21.80 (0.87%) from the previous close, with an open of ₹2,515.40, high of ₹2,550.00, and low of ₹2,497.90. Volume for the session is 1.48 million shares. Overall, the stock has shown volatility amid a mix of macroeconomic factors, company-specific developments, and sector trends in the FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) space.
Hindustan Unilever, a subsidiary of Unilever, reported solid first-half 2025 results with underlying sales growth of 3.4%, driven by 1.5% volume growth and 1.9% price increases, supporting full-year confidence. However, temporary sales disruptions arose from goods and services tax (GST) cuts on consumer products in September 2025, leading to a short-term hit on sales. Shares pared early losses on hopes of demand recovery as prices stabilize. A leadership change occurred with Priya Nair appointed as CEO effective August 1, 2025 , succeeding Rohit Jawa, amid efforts to invigorate the sluggish consumer giant. Brokerages view HINDUNILVR (in BSE: HUL) as a long-term buy with potential 16-31% returns in 2025.
Some views posted recently in Social Network discussions reflect positive trader sentiment, with mentions of bullish breakouts, long positions, and high-frequency trading (HFT) indicators performing well on HINDUNILVR. Some users highlighted it as a portfolio winner (up 8.79% in one example) and a watchlist stock alongside other FMCG names like Britannia and Nestle.
Price Action and Trends
The chart depicts a volatile year for HINDUNILVR, with distinct phases:
• Downtrend (September 2024 to March 2025): The stock opened the period around ₹968.85 (All time High) but faced sustained selling pressure, declining steadily to a Swing low near ₹2,113.75 by mid-March. This ~ 28.80% drop was marked by red candlesticks and increasing volume spikes (reaching highs around 2-3 million shares), suggesting distribution or profit-taking amid broader market concerns or weak rural demand in India. This phase aligns with reports of a sluggish consumer environment early in the year.
• Uptrend (March to July 2025): A strong rebound began in late March, with the price climbing in a series of higher highs and lows to peak around ₹2,750 by July. Green candlesticks dominated, supported by rising volume during breakouts. This rally (~30.1% from Swing low) likely coincided with Unilever's positive first-half results announced in July, boosting investor confidence in volume recovery. The CEO transition announcement around this time may have added to the optimism.
• Correction and Consolidation (July to October 2025): Post-peak, the stock entered a downtrend, dropping to around ₹2,443 by September amid volatility. Volume remained elevated during the decline, with a notable spike possibly tied to GST cut announcements causing temporary sales disruptions. In early October, a minor rebound is evident, with the latest session closing up 0.87% on moderate volume. The price is now consolidating near ₹2,500-₹2,600, forming what appears to be a potential rounding bottom or base-building pattern, as noted in trader discussions.
Key levels from the chart:
Level Type Price (₹) Significance
Recent High ~2750 Late Aug-Early Sep 2025 peak; potential resistance if rally resumes
Recent Low ~2,114 March 2025 bottom; major support
Current Support 2,500 Psychological level and recent consolidation base
Current Resistance 2,560-2,633 Near-term overhead from moving averages
Moving Averages (EMAs)
Current values include:
• EMA (20): ~₹2,585.42 (possibly the blue line, acting as resistance).
• Other EMAs: ~₹2,538.50 and ~₹2,556.94 .
The price is trading just below the shorter-term EMAs, indicating short-term bearish pressure, but above the longer-term ~₹2,500 range, suggesting underlying support. A "death cross" (short-term EMA crossing below long-term) occurred during the July-September decline, but the lines appear to be flattening, hinting at potential stabilization. traders view this setup as bullish for longs, with breakouts above EMAs signaling upside.
Volume Analysis
Volume bars (in teal and red) show average daily volume around 1-2 million shares, with spikes up to 3-4 million during key turning points:
• High volume during the March low (capitulation selling).
• Sustained volume in the April-June rally (accumulation).
• Elevated levels in September decline (distribution on GST news).
Current volume (1.48M) is average, not signaling strong conviction, but a pickup could confirm the recent uptick.
RSI (14)
The RSI is at 45.04, in neutral territory (30-70 range). Trend:
• Dipped below 30 (oversold) in February-March, preceding the rebound.
• Peaked above 70 (overbought) in June-July, warning of the subsequent pullback.
• Now declining but stabilizing around 40-50, showing loss of upward momentum but no extreme weakness. A move above 50 could signal renewed buying interest.
MACD:
Current values: MACD line -6.17, signal line -28.99, histogram -22.83. Note: The histogram appears positive ( turning upward), suggesting a discrepancy—likely the histogram is MACD minus signal (+22.82), indicating a bullish crossover.
• The MACD was deeply negative during the early 2025 decline.
• Crossed positive in the spring rally.
• Turned negative again in summer but shows a recent bullish crossover (MACD above signal), with histogram improving. This is a potential buy signal, aligning with trader optimism on momentum plays.
Overall Technical Analysis and Outlook
HINDUNILVR exhibits a classic recovery pattern after an early-year slump, with the Sep 25 peak marking a cycle high followed by GST-induced correction. The chart suggests consolidation, with bullish hints from the MACD crossover and neutral RSI, but bearish pressure from price below short-term EMAs. Potential chart patterns include a rounding bottom (bullish if it breaks above ₹2,660) or a double top if it fails at ₹2,750. Support at ₹2,480 could hold on demand recovery hopes, while resistance at ₹2,630-₹2,660 may cap upside without volume surge.
Fundamentally, the stock benefits from leadership refresh and solid H1 results, but faces near-term headwinds from tax changes. Trader sentiment on X is tilted positive, with calls for longs and breakouts. For long-term investors, it's a quality FMCG play with recovery potential; short-term traders might watch for EMA breakout or MACD confirmation. Always consider broader market risks like inflation or rural demand tren
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. (NSE) (W)- Institutional buying Price Action: Price closed at ₹2,629.90 (+6.02%), breaking out of a multi-week consolidation range with strong bullish momentum.
Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate: ₹2,854–₹2,900
Major: ₹3,001–₹3,080
Extended: ₹3,302–₹3,525 (Fibonacci targets)
Support Levels:
Immediate: ₹2,630 (breakout retest level)
Critical: ₹2,407 (range support; invalidation level)
Volume: Breakout accompanied by above-average volume, indicating institutional buying interest.
Pattern: Price has completed a rectangle breakout after a long base, signaling potential for a medium-term trend reversal to bullish.
Conclusion:
Trend has turned bullish with potential upside toward ₹3,000+ if price sustains above ₹2,630. Any pullback toward ₹2,630–₹2,550 could offer a buying opportunity, while a close below ₹2,407 would negate the bullish setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note: We are an independent development team. Our services are not registered or licensed by any regulatory body in India, the U.S., the U.K., or any global financial authority. Please consult a licensed advisor before making trading decisions.
Hindustan Unilever looks strong. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. engages in the manufacture of consumer goods. It operates through the following segments: Home Care, Beauty and Personal Care, Foods and Refreshments, and Others. It is one of leading company in FMCG sector.
Hindustan Unilever Closing price is 2453.60. Dividend Yield @CMP = 1.78%. The positive aspects of the company are Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 53.9), Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, Declining Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters and PEG greater than Industry PEG.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2460 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 2498 and 2534. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 2571 and 2601. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2391 or 2369 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
HINDUSTAN UNILEVERHindustan Unilever Ltd. is India’s leading fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) company, with a portfolio spanning personal care, home care, foods, and beverages. Backed by strong brand equity, extensive distribution, and consistent innovation, the company maintains dominant market share across categories like soaps, shampoos, detergents, tea, and ice creams. The stock is currently trading at ₹2441.
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
Sales – ₹52,446 Cr → ₹56,370 Cr → ₹59,625 Cr → ₹63,180 Cr – Steady topline growth driven by volume and premiumization
Net Profit – ₹9,846 Cr → ₹10,340 Cr → ₹10,790 Cr → ₹11,270 Cr – Margins stable across business lines with cost leverage
Order Book – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Strong urban retail and rural penetration continuing Dividend Yield (%) – 1.43% → 1.48% → 1.52% → 1.57% – Consistent payouts reflecting robust free cash flows Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Strong → Strong – Operational discipline and category leadership Equity Capital – ₹234.96 Cr (constant) – No dilution Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (debt-free) – Fully equity-funded operations
Total Liabilities – ₹12,740 Cr → ₹13,180 Cr → ₹13,560 Cr → ₹13,970 Cr – Stable and aligned with scale
Fixed Assets – ₹3,985 Cr → ₹4,100 Cr → ₹4,240 Cr → ₹4,390 Cr – Modest capex focused on automation and digitization
Latest Highlights FY25 net profit rose 4.4% YoY to ₹11,270 Cr; revenue grew 5.9% to ₹63,180 Cr EPS: ₹48.00 | EBITDA Margin: 24.2% | Net Margin: 17.83% Return on Equity: 22.44% | Return on Assets: 17.15% Promoter holding: 61.90% | Dividend Yield: 1.57% Premium personal care and food innovations led category outperformance Expansion in digital-first channels and rural activation remained strong
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends Promoter holding stands high at 61.90%, with no pledging or dilution. FIIs and DIIs maintain steady positions given HUL’s status as a portfolio staple. Mutual fund holdings are concentrated in consumption and defensives, and delivery data reflects sustained long-term holding.
Business Growth Verdict Yes, Hindustan Unilever continues to demonstrate category leadership and resilience Margins and cash flows are consistently strong with minimal volatility Debt-free operations underscore financial strength Capex remains targeted, driving process and product innovation
Company Guidance Management expects low-to-mid single-digit revenue growth in FY26, led by continued premiumization, cost optimization, and digital outreach initiatives.
Final Investment Verdict Hindustan Unilever Ltd. remains one of India’s most durable compounders in the FMCG sector. With iconic brands, robust financials, and operational excellence, the company continues to deliver steady returns for long-term investors. Its balance sheet strength, innovation-led strategy, and defensive positioning make it ideal for sustained accumulation in consumption-focused portfolios.
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. – Bullish Breakout with Strong MomentumHindustan Unilever opened the session with a gap-up accompanied by above-average volume, signaling strong buying interest right from the start. While the stock saw some early profit-booking, it quickly regained momentum and is currently trading near the day’s high—an encouraging sign of sustained demand.
Weekly Chart: The formation of a large bullish candle this week suggests aggressive buying and a potential shift in sentiment. This pattern indicates that the bullish momentum is likely to continue into the coming week.
Daily Chart: The stock has successfully broken out above multiple resistance levels, confirming a bullish breakout structure. The breakout is backed by volume, adding credibility to the move.
Trading Strategy:
Given the alignment of bullish signals on both the daily and weekly timeframes, a swing long position is warranted for the upcoming week. Traders may consider the following approach:
Entry: On a minor intraday pullback or a break above the current day’s high for confirmation
Stop-loss: Below the breakout level or this week’s low
Target: Next key resistance or a measured move based on the breakout range , approximately 10% from current levels
The technical setup reflects strong bullish momentum and suggests further upside potential in the near term.
HINDUSTAN UNIL. Long term safe bet for investmentHUL: being a blue chip in the safest sector for FMCG in this extremely volatile market.
Add in this every fall in small quantity to reach 300 quantity so that this position can be used to hedge against CE sell or creating hedge position by sellign Fut lot, or buyin a PE.
But as HUL is a blue chip and has good growth expected in the coming years so this can be a safe bet.
This will have a good rally above 2500 and then above 2700
acc. till 2100-2400, good support at 2100 below 211
Disclaimer: only for educational purposes. not a buy-sell rec.
HindustanUnilver 2375 - Will history repeatHUL 2375 has given breakout from round bottom pattern but resisted by long trend resistance line. Though pattern was similar to that of last year breakout, it seems to fail this time as the last year breakout was clearly above the resistance line.
We expect history will not repeat this time and HUL will drop to 2271 before further breakdown to 1600.
Hindustan Unilever (HUL) – Prime Setup for BTST & Investment!Description:
🔎 Market Overview & Technical Structure
Hindustan Unilever (HUL) is showing a strong technical setup for both short-term (BTST) and long-term investment opportunities. After a prolonged 2-year consolidation phase, the stock has finally broken out of its previous high from September 2021, indicating the potential for a strong upward move.
📉 Stock Correction from High:
All-Time High: ₹2,859 (September 2021)
Recent Low: ₹2,136 (September 2024)
Correction from High: ~30%
Current Price: ₹2,200 (Approx.)
💡 Why is This a Strong Investment Zone?
✅ Major 2-Year Consolidation Breakout – After a long consolidation period, stocks often witness strong movements.
✅ Previous Swing Low Taken – The stock has swiped the monthly swing low of ₹2,172.05 before rebounding, indicating potential accumulation.
✅ Higher Timeframe Confirmation – Strong price structure formation, confirming a bullish outlook.
✅ Low-Risk, High-Reward Setup – The entry provides a good risk-reward ratio, making it attractive for both traders and investors.
📌 Trading & Investment Plan:
🔹 📍Entry Strategy:
Conservative Approach: Wait for price to cross ₹2,200 for a confirmed breaks
Aggressive Approach: Enter at current levels but with a strict stop-loss.
🔹 🎯 Target Projections:
✅ Target 1: ₹2,368 (Short-term Target)
✅ Target 2: ₹2,604 (Medium-term Target)
✅ Target 3: ₹2,864++ (Long-term Potential)
🔹 📉 Stop Loss:
🔺 Strict Stop-Loss: ₹2,136 (Recent Low) – Keeps risk controlled in case of further downside.
🔹 Risk Management & Position Sizing:
Always allocate capital wisely based on risk tolerance.
Avoid over-leveraging and use stop-loss discipline to protect capital.
📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade Looks Promising?
📊 HUL has corrected ~30% from its all-time high and is showing strong accumulation signs.
📊 After swiping key swing lows, the stock is indicating a bullish reversal.
📊 A clean breakout could take the stock to new highs in the coming months!
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