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🎯 Bias: Bullish | Style: Swing Trade
A compelling setup is forming on XPD/USD. The strategy capitalizes on a confirmed double pullback at two critical support levels, signaling strong buyer commitment.
✅ Double Pullback Confirmation: Price has successfully retested and respected both the Kijun-sen (Baseline) and the 200 Simple Moving Average.
✅ Trend Alignment: This bounce aligns with the broader bullish structure, suggesting a potential continuation move.
Entry & Execution Strategy ("The Thief's Layer")
🧠 Strategy: "The Thief" - A layered limit order approach to optimize your average entry price.
Do NOT market buy. Use pending limit orders at the following key levels to build a position:
Layer 1: 1400.000 🟢
Layer 2: 1440.000 🟢
Layer 3: 1480.000 🟢
You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital and risk appetite.
Risk Management (Your Shield) ⚔️
Stop Loss (SL):
A conservative stop loss can be placed below the recent swing low at 1380.000.
⚠️ Disclaimer (PLEASE READ): I am NOT recommending you use only my SL. You MUST adjust your position size and stop loss based on your own risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital!
Profit Targets (The Escape Plan) 🏃♂️💨
Take Profit (TP):
Primary Target: 1660.000
Rationale: This zone acts as a major "Police Barricade" – a confluence of:
🚧 Strong Historical Resistance
📊 Potential Overbought Conditions
⚠️ A classic bull trap area
Escape with profits here!
⚠️ Disclaimer (PLEASE READ): This is my target. You are free to take profits earlier or scale out. "Make money then take money" at your own risk.

XPDUSD long

Palladium (XPD/USD) in the metals market is showing a bullish confirmation after a pullback to the Kijun moving average. This setup aligns with our “Thief style” momentum play — hunting breakouts and scaling entries like a pro 🧠💰
🎯 Entry Strategy (Thief Style Explained):
After the breakout above ~99.200, you can enter at any favorable level once momentum confirms.
The Thief strategy uses multiple layered limit orders — a scaling technique that allows better average entries:
💎 Buy Limit Layers: 1360 / 1380 / 1400 / 1420 (+ you can add more based on your plan)
🛡️ Stop Loss: ~1300 (“Thief SL”)
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending you stick strictly to my SL — trade smart, manage your own risk, and secure your capital!
🎯 Target: ~1620
💡 MA acts as a strong resistance zone + overbought conditions may trigger a trap. So, book profits smartly — remember, money made is money kept!
🔍 Why This Setup Matters:
✅ The Kijun MA pullback hints at price accumulation before a potential bullish push.
✅ Metals correlation: Palladium often tracks the broader metals sentiment — follow Gold (XAU/USD) and Platinum (XPT/USD) for confirmation.
✅ USD connection: A weakening Dollar (DXY) tends to fuel Palladium upside.
✅ Layering strategy: Reduces risk by averaging entries instead of going all-in.
✅ Swing/Day flexibility: Works on both 4H & Daily structures for traders of any rhythm.

