Possible Nasdaq shorts Looking for shorts on Nasdaq for a day trade- 15min time frame possible movement
Trade ideas
US 100 Index – Upside Momentum to be Put to the TestThe US 100 registered its first down week of September when it closed at 24507 last Friday, a weekly loss of 0.4%. Hardly a collapse but a warning that no market moves in a straight line, especially one so sensitive to many of the key drivers that traders are focused on, namely AI and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate moves.
It seems that last week’s dip may have been driven by some profit taking into the end of what has been a strong third quarter performance for this technology heavy index (8%, July 1st to September 26th). That drop has already been unwound by yesterday’s 0.4% rally which has continued this morning to current levels around 24640 (0730 BST), as traders’ position for some key economic data on the US labour market, which could clear up whether the Fed has room to cut interest rates again when they meet next on October 29th.
While there is a US labour market data release scheduled for every day across the remainder of this week, the focus could be Friday’s Payrolls update, where traders are anticipating a modest gain of around 39k and the unemployment rate to remain at its current level of 4.3%. Any deviation from these expectations could impact the market’s pricing of around a 90% chance of an October Fed rate cut, and a 60% chance of another December rate cut, with knock on implications for the direction of the US 100 at the start of Q4.
One obstacle impacting Friday’s Payrolls could be the possibility for a US Federal government shutdown from October 1st, which could delay the release of the labour market data, creating an extra level of uncertainty into the end of the week. Congressional leaders met with President Trump at the White House yesterday and talks to avoid a shutdown are on-going, although the latest updates provided by Vice President Vance suggests that a funding agreement is still some way off.
It may be worthwhile monitoring progress on this throughout the day ahead, just in case an agreement isn’t reached, and it leads to some extra US 100 volatility.
Technical Update: Price Decline Finding Support
Price corrections are a natural part of a broader uptrend and often reflect a healthy reaction to recent upside extremes. Following last week’s sell-off in the US 100 index, traders may now be assessing whether the latest weakness is simply a limited pullback ahead of renewed attempts to extend what still appears to be a constructive trend, or the beginning of a more extended price decline.
While it’s impossible to confirm whether a renewed phase of strength is underway, last week’s initial weakness found support at lower levels. As the chart above shows, fresh upside attempts may now be emerging, suggesting the possibility of a resumption of the uptrend pattern.
While positive sentiment may still be evident, this week’s upcoming data releases could prove pivotal, with the potential to shift momentum and drive notable price moves across key assets and traders will be watching closely for confirmation, or disruption, of the current US 100 index trend.
As a result, it may be important to identify and then monitor key support and resistance levels in case an increased spell of volatility emerges.
Potential Support Levels:
As the chart below shows, the latest price strength seen on Monday and into this morning, appears to be emerging from an initial support zone between 24211 and 24103. This range is marked by both the rising Bollinger mid-average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of September’s advance.
A closing break below these levels wouldn’t confirm a downside shift but could pave the way for a test of 23891, the 50% retracement, and possibly even extend towards 23679, which is the 61.8% level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
After marking a new all-time high at 24795 on September 22nd, traders may now be monitoring this level as the initial resistance focus this week.
If the positive trend does remain, fresh attempts at price strength are possible. It could be worthwhile monitoring how the 24795 all-time high is defended on a closing basis, with successful breaks higher potentially leading to a further phase of price strength.
While a closing break above 24795 doesn’t guarantee further upside, it could trigger fresh attempts to push first towards 24971, the 100% Fibonacci extension, and potentially up to 25347, the 138.2% extension level.
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Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsCAPITALCOM:US100 The trendline I drew on the lower timeframe yesterday worked perfectly, and price is still respecting it. We did see a break, but right after that, a Bearish FVG and a Breaker Block formed. This trendline will remain my pilot line for analysis.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
On the daily chart, the FVG formed on Sep 15th has been revisited, but price couldn't hold in this zone and was quickly rejected. The trendline I've drawn is still active and guiding the move.
⚡️Volatility note: Daily volatility is starting to compress (blue print on my model), meaning the next breakout move could expand strongly. If price breaks above the trendline with momentum, buyers may look beyond 24,650 toward 24,720–24,800 before reevaluating. If rejection holds, compressed volatility could fuel an accelerated drop into the 24,520 → 24,440 FVG zone, and possibly 24,300.
🦖 If a bullish candle closes back above the trendline, I’ll be looking at 24,650 as a buy trigger. A confirmed break here could open the door toward 24,720 → 24,780 liquidity levels.
🐼 If sellers keep control below the trend, downside targets remain at the FVGs around 24,520 → 24,440, and potentially 24,300 (Discount PD Array).
⚡️ Bottom line:
Today’s US data (Chicago PMI, JOLTS, Consumer Confidence) + multiple FOMC speeches will likely decide direction.
📉 Hot data or hawkish tone → sellers push deeper.
📈 Softer numbers or dovish Fed comments → bulls may retest higher levels.
Nas100 Trading ZonesTechnical Outlook
Zone 1 - Potential sell zone / supply area
Price is now trading below this level, which means the zone has shifted into a potential supply area. If the market retests this zone, sellers may step back in to defend it. Only a clean breakout and sustained hold above would flip the bias bullish and open the way for higher targets.
Zone 2 - Yesterday’s low and consolidation
This zone is an immediate support area. Price has reacted here before, and buyers will likely defend it again in the short term. A decisive break below would shift sentiment towards a deeper pullback and open the door for a test of Zone 3.
Zone 3 - Strong buy zone
This is the most significant demand area on the chart. It has shown strong buyer absorption in previous sessions and could provide a solid base for a rebound. If price revisits this level, aggressive buyers may step in, but a clean breakdown here would flip the overall bias to bearish.
Overall, sentiment around the Nasdaq-100 is positive but cautiously optimistic. Technical indicators continue to point toward further upside, with moving averages aligned in a bullish structure and strong momentum in the tech sector driven by AI and growth expectations. At the same time, fundamentals remain supportive, as investors anticipate potential rate cuts and a stable inflation backdrop in the U.S.
However, risks are still present. A significant share of retail traders are positioned short, suggesting that not all market participants are convinced of the rally’s sustainability. This creates a tension between institutional optimism and retail caution, which could lead to heightened volatility.
In short, the Nasdaq-100 currently trades with bullish momentum and constructive fundamentals, but the market remains sensitive to macroeconomic data and external shocks that could quickly shift sentiment.
NASDAQ Bullish Continuation Pattern in Control | New ATHsThe current bullish continuation pattern I have mapped out on the H1 TF is still at play.
Price has now pullback to a support zone to give new entries for longs and new ATHs.
Positioning for a government shutdown: gold, Nasdaq 100, EURUSDUnless Congress can reach an agreement before 1 October, the federal government will shut down. The last major shutdown, during President Trump’s first term, lasted 34 days.
Markets are already weighing the risks of plummeting confidence in the US and its currency and disruptions to the release of important economic data. For traders, this can create volatility and opportunity across major asset classes.
Gold
Gold often benefits from political and fiscal uncertainty. If a shutdown occurs, safe-haven flows could push the metal higher.
Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 has been sensitive to swings in sentiment around government stability and interest rate expectations. A shutdown could amplify volatility. Traders should be mindful of potential gap moves at the weekly open if negotiations falter over the weekend.
EUR/USD
A shutdown that undermines confidence in U.S. fiscal management could weigh on the EUR/USD in the short term. However, Europe faces its own economic issues, potentially keeping the pair range-bound for now.
NASDAQ in no action zone. Buy break-out or pull-back.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and its most recent low has been on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) 2 days ago.
As long as it holds, it maintains the short-term bullish trend but a confirmed buy signal would be after the price breaks above its previous 24800 High.
Until it does, it might be within a technical Bearish Leg similar to late August's and mid June's that both broke below the 4H MA100 before bottoming on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up and rebounded. The 4H RSI Lower Highs structure shows that we might be on such a pull-back sequence, which turns into a buy below 33.00 (RSI).
As a result, we will either wait for a 24800 break-out or a 1D MA50 (black trend-line) pull-back before initiating a buy again. In both cases, our Target is 25500 (just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
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NAS100 Technical Analysis – Key Resistance TestAfter a strong recovery from 24,300, NAS100 pushed higher but is now facing rejection at the 24,750 resistance zone. The index is holding above short-term structure but has yet to clear this key barrier.
Support at: 24,300 🔽 / 23,900 🔽
Resistance at: 24,750 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A clean breakout and hold above 24,750 could open the way for further upside momentum.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to break higher and a sustained drop below 24,300 may trigger deeper retracements toward 23,900.
shortim looking for retest trade, this isn't the entry, will be looking at 1m, around this zone. but not this tp. just putting it out there, should have some move around here, for a real try to retest this down, if 1m, just keeps pumping and closes above the zone will look to switch long.
wednesday and friday no trade. will trade live with our group.
NASDAQ-NAS100 4H Analysis: Buy OpportunityHello Guys,
I’ve prepared a 4-hour NAS100 analysis for you.
I’ll be entering a buy position from 24,500.00 with a target set at 24,748.00.
Set your stop level according to your own margin.
Once the markets open, I’ll definitely take my shot on the buy side of NAS100.
Let’s see how this analysis plays out together.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nas100 Trade Set Up Sep 29 2025Price is now bullish making HH/HL and trading above PDH so will want to see a sweep of SSl or a test of the 4h FVG to go higher towards BSL
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NASDAQ H1 OUTLOOKLets Nasdaq Sell
Reasons
Bearish Order Block
Who Is With Me Comment Your Opinion
Good Luck Guys
Strong Short Order signalShort signal liquidity grab means there are buy stop orders executed/triggered by the smart money to provide liquidity for the reversal.
As long as it's closing under the previous swing high, the situation all good.
NASDAQ | Diagonal resistance | GTradingmethodGood morning Traders,
I hope everyone has had a winning week so far :)
The US100 is sitting at a pivotal point. Price is currently at all-time highs but also testing two key diagonal resistance levels — one medium-term and one short-term. These resistance lines are intersecting right now, which adds extra weight to this resistance zone.
The big question:
👉 Will the US100 break through resistance and push higher into uncharted territory, or are we about to see a short-term correction from here?
📊 Trade Plan:
Not entering a trade just yet — waiting for confirmation of either a breakout with retest or rejection and reversal.
Very keen to hear what everyone thinks, let me know please :)
Peace
G
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsThe trendline I drew last week played out perfectly. Price has carved out a fresh trend on the lower timeframe and is breaking to the upside. But the real confirmation comes only if the FVG is fully filled and we get a strong bullish close above 24,700.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
👉Hold above 24,500 – 24,520 → BUY targeting 24,700 (upper FVG). Break & hourly close above 24,700 → room to push toward 24,850 – 24,900.
👉24,700 – 24,750 → strong SELL zone (Premium PD Array + FVG overlap). First downside target: 24,400 – 24,350.
⚡️Bottom line:
• Bullish case→ If inflation comes in lower and the Fed takes a softer tone → buyers could step in and push levels higher.
• Bearish case → If data runs hot and the Fed signals more tightening → selling pressure kicks in, and your short levels become key.
NAS100 - Stock Market Awaits Employment Data!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand range and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk.
According to reports released over the weekend, UBS stated that there is a 93% probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year. This figure implicitly suggests that the country may already be in recession, though some analysts remain skeptical of such a direct conclusion. UBS’s projection is based on indicators such as personal income, consumption, industrial production, and employment.
The bank warned that the U.S. economy has reached “historically troubling levels,” though no outright collapse has yet occurred. Analysts at UBS described the economy as “weak, soft, and fragile,” while noting that a definitive declaration of recession has not been made.
In the United States, an official declaration of recession is the responsibility of the Business Cycle Dating Committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which typically makes such calls with a lag of 6 to 18 months after the recession has started. Their assessment relies on revised data covering GDP, employment, income, sales, and production, and they generally avoid premature decisions.
In the meantime, policymakers and markets tend to act on real-time indicators such as GDP estimates, jobs data, yield curve signals, and credit spreads. In practice, traders react more strongly to price movements than to formal definitions of recession.
Separately, Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at J.P. Morgan, dismissed Fed board member Steven Miran’s call for cutting rates to 2.5% or lower. The bank has maintained its forecast for gradual 25-basis-point cuts, targeting a range of 3.25% to 3.5% by early next year.
A potential Supreme Court case involving Fed board member Lisa Cook has also emerged as a “wild card,” since a ruling against her could undermine the positions of other members as well. J.P. Morgan has warned that politicization of the Federal Reserve would leave the institution more vulnerable to pressure from a Trump administration on monetary policy.
The U.S. dollar remained relatively strong this week, as investors continued to parse the Fed’s less-dovish stance. While the latest dot plot showed policymakers aligned with the market on two additional rate cuts this year, the median dot for 2026 pointed to only one more 25-basis-point reduction. By contrast, markets still expect as many as three cuts next year.
However, following Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious tone on Tuesday—emphasizing that the Fed must continue balancing the competing risks of elevated inflation and a weakening labor market—investors scaled back some of their bets.
Inflation risks remain significant. The OECD highlighted this week that the full effects of tariff hikes are still unfolding. What supports Powell’s cautious approach is that, despite signs of labor market weakness, the Fed’s own forecasts remain relatively optimistic, with economic activity showing resilience. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects 3.3% growth for Q3.
Although last week’s inflation data failed to dampen market optimism for rate cuts—and equities continued their rally—the focus in the coming week will shift back to labor market conditions.
The week begins Monday with pending home sales data. On Tuesday, the JOLTS job openings report and the consumer confidence index will be released. Wednesday brings private-sector employment data from ADP, followed by the ISM Manufacturing PMI. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims will be published as usual.
All of these releases will build up to Friday’s critical nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report, widely seen as the market’s ultimate test.Investors will closely monitor whether recent labor market weakness persists, and whether the Fed can move another step toward a rate cut at the October meeting. Finally, the ISM Services Index will provide a more comprehensive picture of U.S. economic health.
Ahead of the jobs data, traders may also take note of remarks from several Fed officials, including Vice Chair Jefferson, New York Fed President Williams, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, and Dallas Fed President Logan. The ADP and NFP releases on Wednesday will likely provide the first snapshot of September labor market performance.
US100: Approaching resistance, pullback likely before breakoutThe IG:NASDAQ has shown a strong short-term recovery after breaking a major descending trendline. However, price is now testing a significant resistance zone, and a technical pullback is likely before the uptrend can continue.
📊 Technical Analysis: 30-minute Chart
📉 1. Overall Trend
Price has successfully broken above a descending trendline (red line), shifting market structure from bearish to bullish.
An uptrend line (green) is now acting as dynamic support.
Price is trading near the upper band of the Keltner Channel, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
🟥 2. Resistance Zone: 24,596 – 24,681
This zone has acted as a strong supply area in the past, causing multiple rejections.
Price is currently testing this area again → a rejection or short-term pullback is highly probable.
🟦 3. Support Zone: 24,383 – 24,500
This zone overlaps with previous consolidation and aligns with the uptrend line.
If a pullback occurs, this area could attract buyers and act as a launchpad for the next leg up.
🔁 Potential Trade Setups
✳️ Primary Scenario (preferred):
Price rejects at resistance → pulls back to support → bounces and resumes the uptrend
Wait for a pullback toward 24,500 – 24,383
Look for bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) for entry
Enter long if support holds:
🎯 TP1: 24,650
🎯 TP2: 24,700+
🛑 SL: Below 24,350 (trendline invalidation)
🔻 Alternative Scenario (risk):
If price breaks below 24,383 and the uptrend line fails → short-term trend could shift sideways or bearish
Avoid long entries without a confirmed recovery
Re-evaluate trend structure if support fails
✅ Conclusion
A short-term uptrend is in place
However, price is now testing a major resistance zone, and a healthy pullback is likely
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NAS100We have completed a major Wave 3, and we are now in a corrective Wave 4. The entry zone with targets has been identified, and the final target will be at the new historical highs of 25,200.
NAS100 Long Idea: Bullish Break and Retest ScenarioHello TradingView Community,
This is a technical analysis of a potential long opportunity on the US 100 Cash CFD (NAS100) on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
The chart is displaying a bullish structure. We can identify a key horizontal level at approximately 24,410.03. This level previously acted as a ceiling, providing significant resistance to the price.
Recently, the market has shown strong momentum by breaking out above this resistance zone. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control. The trading idea is based on the expectation of a "break and retest" pattern, where the price pulls back to this former resistance level, confirms it as new support, and then continues its upward trajectory.
Trade Setup:
The long position tool on the chart outlines a potential trade plan based on this bullish outlook:
Entry: Approximately 24,410.03 (at the retest of the new support level).
Stop Loss: 24,117.96 (placed below the support structure to allow for some volatility and to invalidate the idea if the level fails).
Take Profit: 25,299.42 (targeting a new higher high, continuing the bullish trend).
This setup provides a structured plan with a clear risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move higher.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading CFDs and indices involves a high level of risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
NAS100We looking for buying opportunities as the market is now in a continuous momentum to the upside resulting in buying opportunities|30 MIN TIMEFRAME
