US30 Asia is always f ing up my us30 trades, it doesnโt do anything here, i understand itโs American and its best in New York time but still, very frustratingโฆCommunity discussions
๏ปฟUS30 Asia is always f ing up my us30 trades, it doesnโt do anything here, i understand itโs American and its best in New York time but still, very frustratingโฆ
US30 waiting for 48650 for a sale
US30 I caught a small profit 2nd entry! MY apologies i didn't post the before, with US30 you have to act quick sometimes. US30 touched 4 of my quarter levels. Good enough to walk away!
US30 On the Hourly, if the bulls rise up to breach the Swing High of 47,926 with a candle close past that price, then more moves to the upside, but with a S&R Zone to deal with.If no breach of the Swing High of 47,926, then back down again.
Here's the sequence of the three swings of the Popgun pattern that move like a See-Saw: Up-Down-Up. After this bull run is over, we'll see a pivot for the bears to go Down. And, when the bear run is over, a pivot for the last swing by the bulls to go back Up again.
US30 Just to let you know in advance, the last three candles on the Hourly formed a Popgun pattern. That means we'll see wide consolidation with three swings that move like a See-Saw. I don't know until the new hour what the first swing of the three swings will be.
US30 Something to Consider:We're going to get an interest rate decision that will initially move the markets. A secondary, after-effect move can potentially happen as many markets globally assimilate the decision, then react to it. So, be careful.
US30 is it possible that buyers get trapped within the next hour??? Let's seeUS30 We've got a lower wick to fill on the Hourly's bearish candle. Watch to see if a bearish candle shows up to fill that lower wick partially or in full, then head up. If no lower wick fill in the new hour, then eventually.Also, if the bears show up to do a lower wick fill and create a candle close past the low of the previous bearish candle at 47,697, then the intent is to drop down more.
DJI ๐ Fundamental AnalysisUS30 tracks 30 blue-chip giants like Boeing & Nvidia. Recent dips from consumer staples (P&G -3.64%) offset tech gains (Nvidia +1.50%). Earnings steady amid policy shifts. Solid consumer demand fuels resilience. ๐ผ
๐ Macro Economics
Growth moderating to 1.4% GDP in 2025. Foreign expansion slows on trade hurdles. U.S.-China talks key for exports. Policy uncertainty lingers. โ๏ธ
๐ Seasonal Tendencies
December favors upside: Avg +1.2% gain historically. Santa Claus Rally boosts late-month volume drop, yet positive skew (63% up years). Festive flows lift industrials. ๐
๐ฐ Interest Rates
Fed funds steady post-50bps cut; 72% odds for 25bps ease Dec 9-10. 10-year Treasury 3.4-4.8%. Easing supports borrowing, counters tariff drag. ๐
๐ Inflation Rates
CPI 3.0% YoY (Sep); PCE 2.9% core. Easing to 2% by 2027, but tariffs nudge upside. Services subdued, manufacturing elevated. ๐
๐ Economic Growth
Q3 solidified at 1.9% full-year est. Business investment steady; immigration curbs weigh. Rebound from shutdown drag expected Q1 2026. ๐
๐ท Jobs Market
Unemployment 4.2%; payrolls softened (22k Aug net). Wage growth modest. Labor steady, no sharp weakness. Hiring dips signal caution. ๐ญ
๐ฆ Bank Orders
Commercial banks hold stable NBFI funding (3.5% liabilities). Discount window access up for liquidity shocks. Foreign branches active in reserves. Institutional flows net positive on equities. ๐๏ธ
๐ค Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail: 70% short (crowd bearish signal ๐ป). Institutional: Net long bias (smart money bullish ๐). Overall mood cautious amid volatility.
๐ง Fear & Greed Index
10/100 - Extreme Fear ๐ฑ. Low momentum, rising puts signal skittish investors. VIX spikes amplify caution.
๐ Correlations
S&P 500: +0.92 (tight equity sync). Gold: -0.15 (mild safe-haven). Oil: +0.28 (energy tie). VIX: -0.75 (strong inverse fear gauge).
๐ฏ Overall Market Outlook
Neutral โ๏ธ. Bullish policy tailwinds clash with inflation risks; stay diversified.
US30 in hopes people caught the buys around 10A I got out at 47,815. Could be a second move either before after news it's still early. US30 tends to move around noon so we'll see!