Trade ideas
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 46,211.24
1st Support: 45,848.06
1st Resistance: 45,759.22
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30 Trade Plan – Range Breakout + Smart Money ManipulationI’m currently watching the US30 (Dow Jones Index) 🏦. On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a strong uptrend forming — higher highs and higher lows 📈. Whether this trend continues remains to be seen, but having a solid trading plan is key ✅.
Here’s mine: On the 30-minute timeframe, price is currently moving within a defined range. If we see a break above the range, followed by a retracement and failed retest of the range high, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity 🚀.
If price instead breaks below the range, there could also be a short opportunity, though my preference is to stay long given the higher-timeframe bullish structure ⚙️.
⚠️ Keep an eye out for market manipulation — smart money algorithms often trigger fake breakouts to draw in buyers before sweeping liquidity and continuing the move. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
📉 Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
US30: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 46,422.01 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 46,148.32 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones Returns to the 46,000 Level Since the beginning of the week, the Dow Jones Index has maintained a notable bullish bias, extending a two-day winning streak as the equity benchmark posts a gain of around 2.20% in the short term. For now, buying pressure has supported the price recovery following the sharp correction seen last Friday, which was triggered by the escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States.
Although no major trade agreement has been announced, the aggressive tone of the tariff threats appears to have eased slightly, helping the market regain confidence in the short term. However, it’s important to note that if tensions escalate again, the Dow Jones could once more show heightened sensitivity to such developments, quickly reactivating selling pressure in the coming trading sessions.
Uptrend at Risk
The uptrend line, which had been sustained through much of 2025, has started to weaken following last Friday’s sharp correction. As a result, the average bullish momentum has entered a neutral zone in the short term. Currently, there is a recovery attempt from the previous downward move, though it has not yet been strong enough to bring prices back to recent highs.
If buying pressure fails to remain decisive over the next few sessions, a period of market indecision could emerge, potentially leading to a sideways range in the short term.
RSI
The RSI line continues to hover around the 50 level, reflecting a neutral momentum over the past 14 sessions. As long as the indicator stays within this range, neutrality may dominate the market bias, leading to indecisive price movements in the coming days.
MACD
The MACD histogram also remains near the neutral (0) level, indicating that there is no clear directional strength in short-term moving averages. This reinforces the idea of indecision in the market, suggesting that the price action may remain range-bound without a defined trend in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
46,790 points – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the all-time high area of the index. Buying activity approaching or surpassing this level could reactivate the bullish trend and establish a dominant buying bias.
45,741 points – Near-Term Barrier: Aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. As long as prices continue to fluctuate around this level, a new short-term consolidation range could form.
44,834 points – Critical Support: Represents the most stable neutral zone in recent weeks and coincides with the Ichimoku cloud boundary in the short term. A decisive break below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the year-long uptrend at risk and potentially signaling the start of a new downward phase in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DowJones key trading levels Friday 10th OctoberKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46726
Resistance Level 2: 46930
Resistance Level 3: 47060
Support Level 1: 46290
Support Level 2: 46190
Support Level 3: 46070
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Key Pivot Test at 46,400 Before Directional BreakoutUS30 – Overview | Key Levels in Focus Before Next Move
The Dow Jones remains in a consolidation phase, awaiting a clear breakout signal as traders weigh broader U.S. market uncertainty.
The price is holding around a key technical zone, with 46,400 acting as the short-term pivot between bullish and bearish momentum.
Technical Outlook
A 1H close below 46,400 would confirm a bearish continuation, targeting 46,120 → 46,000, and a sustained break below this zone could extend toward 45,680.
On the other hand, if the price closes above 46,510, it would reinforce bullish momentum toward 46,630 → 46,810, with potential to test 47,090 if buying pressure strengthens.
Pivot Line: 46,400
Resistance: 46,630 · 46,810 · 47,090
Support: 46,120 · 46,000 · 45,680
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) could rise to the pivot, whichis a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 46,211.80
1st Support: 45,274.72
1st Resistance: 46,876.77
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Us30 Trade Set Up Oct 16 2025Price is trading in between PDH/PDL and has filled a 4h and 1h bearish FVG so for sells id want to see London highs/BSL swept but closed under followed by internal 1m bearish structure to take sells to Asia lows/SSL or PDL but for buys id want to see Asia lows/SSl swept first to then look for bullish structure on the 1m to catch buys to PDH
DOW JONES LONE WITH MOTHLY DEMNADDOW JONES – MTF Trade Setup (Long)
Trend Overview
All MTF & ITF aligned UP → Strong bullish structure.
Confluence Zones: Quarterly & Monthly demand.
Current Levels: Standing on Weekly & Daily MIPs.
Secondary Entry: Weekly MIP 42,711 (if price dips).
Key Levels
Timeframe Trend Demand Logic Avg / Key Level
HTF Avg (Yearly/Half/Qtr) UP Support 36,682
MTF Avg (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) UP DMIP / BUFL 42,580
ITF Avg (240M/180M/60M) UP DMIP / BUFL 109,230
Trade Plan
Parameter Value
Entry-1 44,500
Stop Loss (SL) 43,318
Target 54,000
Risk 1,182 (3%)
Reward 9,500 (21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio 8.04
Net RR 6.63
Capital & Profit
Parameter Value
Qty to Buy 1
Total Buy Value 44,500
Brokerage & Taxes 218
Net Profit (Target Hit) 9,282
Net Loss (Stop Hit) 1,400
Real ROI (4 Months) 21%
Gann Points
High (Uptrend) → 104,985
Low (Downtrend) → 93,395
Summary: Strong bullish trend across all timeframes. Key entry at 44,500 with secondary support at 42,711. Risk-Reward favorable; target achievable in ~4 months.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 46,388.60
1st Support: 45,835.17
1st Resistance: 47,231.62
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The next market crash is nearhello everyone, its been some time since i last posted but i want to post a market update and warn investors/ traders around the world about a near market correction/recession.
for some months already we have seen markets hit ATH back to back showing great market strength and a very bullish trend. i do think this will continue for a bit of time or continue into a range before having a final pump up to another ATH as shown in the charts below.
first i will start off with the patterns that was seen before the 2008 recession.
as we see in the chart from 2008 we enter what i call "the final range" here is where we see markets ranging right at all time high or near it right after a strong bullish movement. after this range we can see markets enter the "final pump up" zone where we see the markets give off the final movement up which usually is the strongest move out of any previous movement in this cycle. typically when you see a market pump up the last candle before a strong sell off is usually a strong pump up.
now looking at these patterns from 2008 we will see how similar the compare to the ones from 2020.
this chart from 2020 we can see a similar pattern forming like we did in 2008.
first we enter that ranging zone near all time highs for a bit of time before entering into a not very strong push up but it did break this zone giving us new all time highs. after that we enter into a sell off phase.
now looking back at these two instances we will look at how they compare to todays market and what we can expect in the upcoming months/ years.
looking at todays market we can see markets are right about all time highs but due to it reaching a important fib level i do think that it is perfect set up for the market to start ranging in this zone as we saw near the 1.68 fib level. here is where i think we will see the final range before we get a final pump up.
taking a fractal back from around 2018-2019 and placing it on the patterns forming in todays market as we see below:
here we can see how similar the fractal and todays market look. i think this is a very important confirmation supporting my claims.
that being said that is not the only thing supporting my idea. next i will show you the yield inversions and what patterns are forming and what they all had in common before a market crash.
in this chart we see the 10 year 2 year yield curve chart. now this chart is very important because before any major crash/ recession usually we see a inversion between these two.
markets don't usually correct right after it inverts but looking at the chart we can see that once it reaches .7-1.0% that is usually when the market tops off and the start of the recession starts.
we seen this happen in 1990, 2001, 2008, 2020, and now present day we see it coming real close to those levels right after a inversion meaning we could be soon see a market recession coming extremely soon after the final steps of this cycle are complete.
in my personal opinion i think markets could reach levels up to 50-60k before selling off but after that i do think a significant market crash will occur.
The ugliest crash in our history close? I truly believe with western powers developing digital IDs and other technology, etc. to monitor and control the public... and in some cases replace the human race... it's in line with what I believe will be one of the biggest market crashes in human history, equal or bigger to 1929.
GET READY.
IT WILL HAPPEN WITHIN THE BLACK ZONE.
The powers in control know!
The 2030 Agenda is prepared for this.
And they are keeping the public distracted.
History repeats!
There is a purpose to everything!
Can Dow Jones Maintain Bullish Momentum? Analysis🎯 US30 Dow Jones: The Great Heist Setup! 🏦💰
📊 Asset Overview
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) - CFD Index
Trade Type: Swing/Day Trade
Bias: BULLISH 🐂
🔍 The Master Plan: Double Moving Average Confirmation
We're hunting for a pullback retest at two critical moving averages acting as dynamic support:
✅ Simple Moving Average (SMA) alignment
✅ Kijun-Sen (Ichimoku baseline) confluence
This double confirmation gives us the green light to ride the bullish trend with institutional-level precision. Think of it as the market leaving the vault door slightly open... 🚪💎
🎯 Entry Strategy: The "Thief Layering" Method
Primary Approach: Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Layering Strategy)
Recommended Layer Entry Zones:
🟢 Layer 1: 46,000
🟢 Layer 2: 46,200
🟢 Layer 3: 46,400
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and position sizing. This strategy allows you to average into the position as price pulls back to support—like catching falling diamonds! 💎
Alternative: Market execution at any pullback to the moving average confluence zone.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: 45,600
⚠️ Important: This is MY stop loss level based on technical invalidation. You're the captain of your own ship—adjust according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Target Zone: The Police Barricade
Take Profit Target: 47,600 🚨
This level represents:
🚧 Strong resistance zone (the "Police Barricade")
📈 Potential overbought conditions
Bull trap territory
Strategy: Scale out or secure profits as we approach this level. Remember: realized profits are better than paper gains!
⚠️ Reminder: This is MY take profit target. Your exit strategy should align with your trading plan and risk management rules. Lock in profits when YOU'RE comfortable!
🌐 Correlated Assets to Watch
Keep an eye on these related instruments for confluence:
SP:SPX (S&P 500): Broad market sentiment indicator—if SPX shows strength, US30 typically follows
SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ (Nasdaq 100): Tech-heavy index correlation—risk-on appetite confirmation
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation—weaker dollar often supports equity indices
TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rate sensitivity—lower yields can fuel equity rallies
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index): Fear gauge—declining VIX supports bullish setups
Key Correlation Note: When these indices move in harmony with declining dollar strength, it strengthens the bullish case for US30. Watch for synchronized moves!
📝 Technical Summary
Trend: Bullish structure intact
Confirmation: Dual moving average support
Risk/Reward: Favorable with 400-1,600 point profit potential (depending on entry layer)
Time Frame: Swing to day trade duration
Strategy Style: "Thief layering" - accumulate on pullbacks
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
⚠️ Disclaimer
This "Thief Style" trading strategy is shared for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own analysis, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.
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