Trade ideas
GER30 H4 | Potential Bearish Reversal FormingGER30 is reacting off the sell entry at 24,390.79, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 24,760.34, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 23,846.69, which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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GER30 Trading Plan: Pending Orders, Breakout Levels, and Targets📉 GER30 (Germany Index) – Market Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏦
Hey Traders 👋,
Here’s a swing/day trade plan I’m watching on the GER30 (Germany Index). This setup is designed with a layered pending order strategy once confirmation hits.
🔑 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish (waiting for sellers to breach the 4H Moving Average ✅ confirmation needed)
Entry Trigger: Breakout of MA @ 23300 ➝ after breakout confirmation, entries can be considered at different price levels.
Layered Entries (Sell Limits):
23500
23450
23400
23350
23300
(You can expand layering based on your own strategy)
⚠️ Important Note: Only activate sell limit layers after breakout confirmation. No confirmation = no entry.
🛑 Stop Loss
Suggested SL: 23650
But remember: risk management is personal! 🎯 Set your SL at your own comfort level.
🎯 Target
Exit Zone: 22900
Why? SMA acting as strong dynamic support, plus oversold conditions & potential liquidity traps.
Again ➝ this TP is optional. You’re in control of your profits. 💰
📌 Core Notes (Read Carefully!)
This plan uses multiple layered sell-limit entries (cash flow layering style).
Don’t jump in blindly! Wait for the moving average breach on 4H to confirm bearish momentum.
SL & TP are not recommendations, just references. Trade at your own risk.
🔗 Correlation / Related Pairs to Watch
FX:GER30 – Core instrument
XETR:DAX – Same Germany Index benchmark (futures)
FX:EURUSD – Often inversely correlated with DAX strength when EUR reacts to macro events
SP:SPX / CAPITALCOM:US30 – Global equity indices; U.S. flows can impact German equities
OANDA:XAUUSD – Gold as a hedge; risk-off flows sometimes push capital out of equities and into gold
Watching these pairs can give better context to the strength/weakness of GER30 📊.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#GER30 #DAX #Germany30 #IndexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockIndices #MarketFlow
DAX: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,671.00 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,764.14 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Bullish continuation breakout ahead?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Attacking New ATH German DAX is in a very nice recovery, breaking above the corrective channel resistance line, so apparently we are in risk-on mode on this index, which sooner or later could revisit all-time highs. Keep in mind this could already be a fifth wave, but there’s still room for 25,000 or even 25,500. What I really like on the smaller intraday time frame is the strong recovery since October 1st, and notice there’s a gap from October 2nd — these gaps can often act as reversal points, especially once they get filled on the cash market. L
ooking at the cash chart, it seems that gap could still get filled during the current fourth-wave correction, which could be a very nice spot for the market to resume higher toward the previous July 2025 highs. The gap fill could be an important support, while the short-term invalidation level is at 23,834 — as long as this one holds, the intraday trend remains up.
DAX eyes breakout to 25KFollowing last week's powerful rally, the DAX’s overall uptrend remains intact, with this week's consolidation serving as a healthy pause for momentum to reset. As long as short term support around 23,750 holds, any pullbacks could be supported by the bullish traders looking to chase momentum, rather than signs of weakness. Even if the index dips a bit lower, this wouldn't necessarily invalidate the bullish breakout, but ideally the 23800-24000 area will need to hold.
Traders will be watching for indications of renewed upward momentum as the week unfolds. A breakout above the trend resistance of the mini consolidation pattern could pave the way for July high near 24,650, which appears increasingly likely. And above that level, we could see the onset of a rally towards 25,000 and potentially higher.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DAX40 Bullish breakout sideways consolidation supported at 24255The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Review October 7 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
As expected from yesterday’s forecast, the price tested the daily long FVG, after which we received confirmations on the 4H timeframe. At the moment, the price is located within the 4H area of interest, where it has just swept the Asian session low — a strong trigger for a potential continuation of the upward movement. If this liquidity sweep is confirmed, we can then consider opening a long position with the target of updating the previous high.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
Germany 40 – Bearish Outlook with ECB and US CPI in Focus🔥 Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy: Germany 40 CFD Bearish Setup 🚨
Asset: Germany 40 Index CFD (DAX)Trade Type: Swing/Scalping (Bearish Pending Order Plan)Date: September 11, 2025Current Price: 23,632.95 (-0.36% daily change)
💰 The Thief Strategy: Layered Precision for Profits
The Thief Strategy is all about stealing profits with disciplined, layered sell limit orders. By targeting the 23,500 support zone breakout, we capitalize on bearish momentum with precision. This setup is perfect for scalpers and swing traders looking to ride the wave of macro-driven volatility. Set your TradingView alarms to catch the breakout! 🚨
🔹 Why This Works?
Technical Edge: Price rejection at 23,800 + overbought RSI signals a potential drop.
Macro Triggers: ECB policy (11 Sept) and US CPI data could fuel bearish moves.
Sentiment: Fear-driven hedging and sector rotation (defense/energy outperforming tech).
📊 Market Snapshot (11 Sept 2025)
Daily Change: -85.50 (-0.36%)
52-Week Range: 18,382.26 - 24,639.10
1-Year Performance: +29.38%
😨 Sentiment & Fear/Greed Index
Retail Traders: 🟡 Cautious
Mixed earnings: Siemens Energy (+4.57%), Rheinmetall (+3.29%) vs. SAP (-2.87%), Deutsche Telekom (-2.16%).
Eyes on ECB policy and US CPI data.
Institutional Traders: 🟠 Neutral to Slightly Bearish
Defensive moves in chemicals/financials.
Higher put/call ratios in options show hedging.
Fear & Greed Index: Fear
Elevated volatility from ECB/US data uncertainty.
Bonds slightly outperforming stocks short-term.
📉 Fundamental & Macro Score
Economic Data:
German Inflation (Aug 2025): 2.2%
Interest Rate: 2.15%
Unemployment: 6.3%
Score: 6/10 (Neutral)
Corporate Performance:
Top Gainers: Siemens Energy, Rheinmetall
Top Losers: SAP, Deutsche Telekom
Score: 5/10 (Mixed)
Global Risks:
EU tariff pressures (India/China).
French political uncertainty.
Score: 4/10 (Slightly Negative)
🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Short-Term: Bearish
Resistance at 23,800; downside risk if ECB delays rate cuts or US CPI spikes.
Medium-Term: Neutral
YoY +27.76%, but momentum slowing.
Q3 2025 forecast: 23,412.92 (Trading Economics).
🎯 Thief Strategy: Bearish Layering Plan
🔹 Entry (Pending Sell Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 23,650
Layer 2: 23,600
Layer 3: 23,550
Layer 4: 23,500 (Key Breakout Level ⚡)
Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk tolerance. Confirm entry after a 23,500 breakout. Set a TradingView alarm at 23,500 to stay sharp!
🔹 Stop Loss (SL):
Place at 23,750 after breakout confirmation.
Note: Dear Thief OG’s, adjust SL based on your strategy and risk. I’m not your boss—manage your risk, steal the profits! 💸
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
Target 23,300 (strong support + oversold zone + potential bear trap).
Note: Escape with your loot at your discretion. My TP is a guide—take profits at your own risk!
🔹 Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% per trade.
Use trailing stops during high-volatility events (e.g., ECB, US CPI).
Avoid new trades during major news to dodge whipsaws.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 23,800 (immediate), 24,100 (strong).
Support: 23,500 (breakout zone), 23,300 (target), 23,200 (deeper support).
Breakout Confirmation: Daily close below 23,500 signals bearish continuation.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD )
FX:EURUSD ($): Bearish DAX may align with a stronger USD if US CPI surprises. Watch 1.1578 (current), support at 1.1254.
FX:GBPUSD ($): Bullish at 1.3581; DAX drop could pressure GBP on risk-off sentiment.
FX:USDJPY ($): Bearish correction at 144.09; monitor for risk-off flows impacting DAX.
📰 Key Events to Monitor
ECB Announcement (11 Sept): Delayed rate cuts could push DAX lower.
US CPI Data (11 Sept): Higher inflation may trigger global risk-off moves.
Sector Rotation: Defense/energy (e.g., Rheinmetall) outperforming tech (e.g., SAP).
🚀 Why This Setup Steals the Show
The Thief Strategy is built for precision and adaptability. Layered entries at 23,650–23,500 let you exploit the breakout with confidence, backed by macro signals (ECB, US CPI) and technical rejection at 23,800. This setup is designed to maximize engagement and visibility for scalpers and swing traders. Let’s steal those profits together! 💰
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#DAX #Germany40 #ThiefStrategy #Bearish #TradingView #Scalping #SwingTrading #ECB #USCPI
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is testing the top of its sideways trend in a new impulsive phase that looks set to be followed by a breakout. Price is trading at 24,414, significantly above its VWAP of 23,744. The RSI at 66.4 indicates upward momentum. Support lies at 23,057 with resistance at 24,500.
UK 100 has broken out with a fresh leg into record highs, continuing its bullish trajectory. Price is at 9,498, clearly above the VWAP at 9,282. The RSI at 72.4 shows strong momentum, in overbought territory. Support is at 9,072 and resistance aligns with the current price.
Wall Street extends its bullish impulsive phase, reaching new record highs, currently at 46,863. VWAP is at 46,236, affirming the strong trend. The RSI at 71.9 shows overbought conditions. Support is at 45,637 while resistance is untested at these highs.
Brent Crude remains in a neutral range phase, trading at 6,535 just below its VWAP of 6,680. The RSI at 43.0 suggests a lack of buying pressure. Support is at 6,394, while resistance is higher at 6,967.
Gold continues its very strong bullish impulsive run with no signs yet of any major pullback, currently trading at 3,936 and well above its VWAP of 3,760. The RSI at 85.8 indicates extreme overbought conditions. Support lies at 3,576, while resistance is at the current high.
EUR/USD remains range-bound in a neutral trend, trading at 1.1664, just below its VWAP of 1.1749. RSI at 42.7 suggests weakening momentum. Support is at 1.1664 with resistance at 1.1850.
GBP/USD stays in a neutral trend and range phase, with price at 1.3422 and VWAP at 1.3491. RSI at 44.8 shows mildly bearish sentiment. Support is at 1.3331 and resistance at 1.3651.
USD/JPY is attempting a breakout of its neutral range phase to set up a new uptrend, trading at 150.33 above its VWAP of 148.11. The RSI at 63.7 indicates bullish momentum building. Support is at 145.99, with resistance at the current level.
Research Shows That Trading Harmonic Pattern Could Improve IQ. Hey everyone, in this video, I broke down a fantastic trading setup on the EUR/USD pair using harmonic patterns. I love trading harmonics because it constantly challenges your IQ and makes you a smarter, more analytical trader.
I focused on my three-step framework that I apply to any pair:
Key Level: First, I identified a crucial order block on the higher time frame (weekly). This is our potential reversal zone.
Harmonic Pattern: Next, I moved to the 4-hour and daily charts to find a harmonic pattern aligned with that key level. I found a beautiful bearish Butterfly pattern. It's crucial to match the pattern with the trend—since the overall structure was bullish, we looked for an extension pattern (like the Butterfly) into the key level, not a retracement pattern.
Liquidity Sweep & Entry: The final step was confirming the setup. We waited for a liquidity sweep (a break of the Previous Daily High - PDH) and then a close below a key bullish candle. Entry is on the retest of that break, with a stop loss placed just above the key level.
I showed how the Fibonacci measurements (the 1.272 and 2.0 extensions) converged perfectly in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), making it a high-probability trade. We also discussed profit targets and how to manage the trade by moving stop losses to maximize profits.
This exact same process is what I've used successfully on pairs like GBP/JPY, USD/JPY, and indices like the German 40. It's a structured, repeatable method that filters out market noise.
If you have any questions, drop them in the comments below! Don't forget to like, subscribe, and watch out for more videos like this.
Happy trading!
DAX: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,374.42 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,546.68 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX INDEX | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market CycleDAX INDEX | Super Cycle Wave (3) In Progress | Micro Wave (iv) Correction Expected | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market Cycle
This macro outlook on the DAX Index (GER40) combines Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , and Fibonacci Analysis , tracking the long-term price structure from the 1990s into the expected 2029 Super Cycle top .
We are currently nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) , with a correction expected as Micro Wave (iv) before a final leg Wave (v) to complete the 20-year Super Cycle advance.
🌀 SUPER CYCLE STRUCTURE (Wave Count Recap)
🔵 Supercycle Wave (1)
📈 Topped in 2000
📐 Five-wave impulse from early 90s
💡 Marked the first major peak of the new macro bull cycle
🔴 Super Cycle Wave (2)
🕰 2000–2009
📉 Multi-year W-X-Y complex correction
🔻 Pulled back to 0.618 retracement of Wave (1)
📍 Bottomed Jan–Feb 2009 — Smart Money accumulation zone
🚀 Supercycle Wave (3) — Now in Progress (2009–2029 Target)
This is a multi-decade impulse wave , subdividing into Micro Waves (i) through (v) .
🟠 Micro Wave (i)
🕰 2009–2018
✅ Clean 5-wave impulsive structure
🔓 Broke above Super Cycle Wave (1) high
📊 Confirmed initiation of Wave (3)
🟠 Micro Wave (ii)
🕰 2018–2020 (COVID crash)
🔻 Pulled back to 0.50 retracement of Wave (i)
📦 Retested key order blocks
💧 Liquidity swept beneath 2016–2018 lows
📈 Smart Money reaccumulation before major expansion
🟠 Micro Wave (iii) — Currently Unfolding
🕰 2020 – Expected top by end of 2025 or early 2026
🚀 Strongest wave in the structure
🔼 Targeting 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (i)
🎯 Target zone: 30,941 (~32K)
📊 Multiple internal impulses have formed
🧠 Price delivery:
Consistent BoS
Minimal retracement
No parabolic blow-off yet → confirming institutional flow
🟠 Micro Wave (iv) — Correction Expected Next
🕰 Expected: 2026 to early 2027
🔻 Projected retracement:
0.382 – 0.5 of Wave (iii)
Target zone: 23,350 – 22,165
💧 Confluence with:
Sell-side liquidity pools
Prior OBs and imbalance zones
⚠️ Reaccumulation phase likely before final rally
🟠 Micro Wave (v) — Final Advance to Complete Supercycle Wave (3)
🕰 Expected top by 2029
🎯 Target range: Above 32,000, possibly toward 35,000+ depending on extensions
🔄 Will mark the peak of Supercycle Wave (3)
📉 Anticipate a major correction in Supercycle Wave (4) after that
📐 FIBONACCI LEVELS OF INTEREST
Structure Key Fib Levels
Supercycle (2) 0.618 retracement of (1)
Micro Wave (ii) 0.50 retracement of (i)
Micro Wave (iii) 2.618 extension of (i) → 30,941–32K
Micro Wave (iv) 0.382–0.5 retracement → 23,350–22K
Micro Wave (v) Possible extension to 38K+
🧠 SMART MONEY CONCEPTS (SMC)
🔓 Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed trend shifts at Wave (i), (ii), and internal impulses
📦 Order Blocks respected at retracement zones (2020 low, 2022 correction)
💧 Liquidity Grabs below previous lows fuel impulsive breakouts
🧱 Price Delivery = Institutional — no euphoric parabolas yet
🎯 Expect engineered liquidity sweep before Wave (iv) reaccumulation
📌 CONCLUSION
We are now nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) of the DAX. Price is approaching major extension targets (30,941–32,000), from where Wave (iv) correction is due.
This pullback (2026–2027) is expected to offer high-probability re-accumulation opportunities within a Smart Money demand zone before the final macro rally to new ATHs into 2029.
⚠️ After 2029 , expect a larger Supercycle Wave (4) correction phase.
📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.