
DAX Index forum
๏ปฟ
Current Level: 24,219 points
Daily Change: ๐ป -0.22%
Monthly Performance: ๐ +1.04%
Yearly Performance: ๐ +29.64%
All-Time High: ๐ 24,641.50 (July 2025)
๐ฐ FEAR & GREED INDEX (Investor Sentiment)
Current Value: 59/100 โ Greed
Market Mood: Moderately Optimistic
Key Drivers:
โ ๏ธ Political uncertainty in France
๐ถ ECB rate cuts & foreign inflows
๐ Strong annual gains supporting confidence
๐ง RETAIL vs. INSTITUTIONAL SENTIMENT
๐ฅ Retail Traders
Sentiment: Cautious โ 60% Net Short
Reason: High leverage risks + political volatility
๐ฆ Institutional Traders
Sentiment: Bullish โ 70% Net Long
Reasons:
๐ฐ Foreign inflows (โฌ236B in MayโJune 2025)
๐ญ Strong corporate earnings (Siemens, Airbus)
๐ฆ ECB stimulus + lower energy prices
๐ FUNDAMENTAL & MACRO SCORE (0โ10 Scale):
๐ฆ ECB Policy Support: 8/10 (Rate cuts aiding growth)
German Economic Health: 7/10 (ifo Business Climate at 89.0)
โ ๏ธ Political Risks: 4/10 (French instability spreading)
๐ Global Trade Tensions: 5/10 (Trump tariff threats)
๐ผ Corporate Performance: 9/10 (DAX sectors showing resilience)
๐๐ OVERALL MARKET OUTLOOK
Bullish Score: 65% (Long Bias)
โ Bull Factors:
๐ Technical support at 24,150 holding
๐ Breakout target at 25,000 if resistance at 24,500 breaks
๐ฆ Strong institutional inflows
โ ๏ธ Bear Risks:
French political collapse (Sept. 8 confidence vote)
Fed rate cut delays (impacting global risk assets)
๐ก KEY TAKEAWAYS
โ Short-Term: Range-bound between 24,150 โ 24,500
โ Medium-Term: Bullish bias if geopolitical risks stabilize
โ ๏ธ Watch For: French politics (Sept. 8) + Fed PCE data (Aug 29)
price made a triangle patten followed by a breakout, retest and now the bearish impulse starts
