30.06.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
FX:EURJPY
FX:GBPJPY
FX:GBPUSD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
HKG50 trade ideas
The HK50 Robbery: Can You Grab the Cash Before the Cops Arrive?🚨 HK50 "Hong Kong 50" HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot & Trap Escape Plan! 🚨
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting the ultimate heist on the HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Market Cash market! Our master plan focuses on a long entry—targeting the high-risk ATR Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). Beware: Bears are lurking, and traps are set! 🏆💸 Book profits fast, stay wealthy, and trade safe! 💪🎉
🔓 ENTRY: The Vault Is Open – Swipe the Bullish Loot!
Buy Limit Orders: Place within 15-30min (recent swing low/high).
Alert Recommended! Don’t miss the heist.
🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route
Set near the latest swing low or below 4H MA (~23500.00).
Adjust based on risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 TARGET: 24700.00 (or Run Before It Hits!)
Scalpers: Only long-side plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Execute the robbery plan patiently.
📡 MARKET INTEL: Why HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Market is a Bullish Target
Fundamental Drivers: Macro trends, COT data, geopolitics, sentiment.
Intermarket & Index-Specific Factors in play.
👉 For full analysis, check the linkss below! 🔗🔗
⚠️ TRADING ALERTS: News & Position Safety
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL is a MUST to protect profits.
💥 BOOST THE HEIST! Hit Like & Follow!
Support the plan → More profits → Easier robberies! 💰🚀
Stay tuned for the next heist! 🤑🐱👤🤩
Hong Kong 50: Bulls Back in Business Above 23,700Monday’s bounce from support at 23,200 has seen the Hong Kong 50 push above minor resistance at 23,700, generating a potential long setup to play the broader improvement in risk appetite seen in recent hours.
Longs could be initiated above 23,700 with a stop beneath for protection, initially targeting the June 12 high of 24,429. A break above that would open the door for a possible run towards the March 20 swing high of 24,895.
RSI (14) has broken its downtrend and remains above 50, suggesting bullish momentum may be starting to build again. While not yet confirmed by MACD, it’s beginning to curl back towards the signal line above zero, hinting that too may not be far away.
Good luck!
DS
I opt for Option 2 for HSINow, I hope the HSI will moves to option 2 instead of option 1. I think the latter is less likely to happen since the central government has already thrown in a lot of stimulus and time to prop up the market. To let it fall back to this low level will be discouraging and harder to get people interested to invest in the market once again.
I am also hoping the government will release more stimulus to people on the ground as consumer demand is still weak, crippling property market and weak job market. The silver lining seems to be the US- China trade tariffs issue which was resolved much quicker than expected. While there is no signed agreement for now, there are also no further escalation as well which is viewed positively by the market.
I am getting more ammunition to buy in those quality companies that i am eyeing on or averaging down some of the stocks that i am currently holding. No rush for now, just patiently awaiting..........
HK50 bearish momentumWe see this index coming down much lower due to Investors being underwhelmed by Beijing's latest economic support measures, with some stimulus lacking detail—similar to a previous sharp drop (~–9%) after disappointing announcements .
Mixed Chinese PMI and retail data also dampen sentiment.
U.S.–China tariff fears:
Ongoing trade tensions and tariff worries continue to pressure Chinese-connected stocks, impacting the Hang Seng disproportionately .
Foreign fund outflows & shifting global appetite:
Capital has been flowing out toward safer or higher-growth markets, especially as U.S. and European equities show more stability. A weaker yuan adds to pressure .
Hong Kong another index ready to rally to new ATHHang Seng is another index set for upside.
Seems like between Asia, America and JSE upside is inevitable along with Europe (Which seem to be the turtles of moving.) But why the upside?
We don't know for sure, but we can speculate.
China stimulus: Beijing is rolling out fresh stimulus to support its economy.
Tech rebound: Major Chinese tech stocks like Alibaba and Tencent are bouncing back.
Property relief: Easing in real estate policies is reviving investor confidence.
Cheap valuations: Hang Seng stocks remain deeply undervalued compared to peers.
Global inflows: Foreign investors are rotating into emerging and Asia-Pacific markets.
And the technicals are self evident with a breakout pattern and momentum strategy approach.
Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200
Target 2,6944
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HK50 Short OpportunityHello,
The HK50 is encountering strong resistance at the upper range, with price action showing difficulty breaking through, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum. A bearish crossover at the zero line on the MACD further supports a possible downward move.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Enter a short position upon confirmation of a strong bearish candle at the current resistance, indicating a clear rejection.
Target 1: HKD 19,165 – a conservative level for initial profit-taking.
Final Target: HKD 16,766 – the primary downside target, aligned with key support and historical price action.
Stop Loss: Set above the recent high to guard against unexpected breakouts, maintaining disciplined risk management.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HK33 to find buyers at curren support?HS50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
A move through 23600 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
The measured move target is 24250.
We look to Buy at 23200 (stop at 22700)
Our profit targets will be 24200 and 24250
Resistance: 23600 / 24000 / 24250
Support: 23200 / 23000 / 22750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HK50 "HongKong" Index Market Bullish Robbery (Swing Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (21000.0) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 24200.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Head and shoulder formation - HSI The fun part of charting is painting across different scenarios and see how it pans out in the near future. If you get it right more often than wrong, it gives you both satisfaction and rewards (financially).
Like the saying, there is many ways to slice a fish , be it steamed, fried or charcoal grilled. The same thing for charting - some like to use indicators like EMA, RSI, MACD while others swear by candle stick patterns, Fibonacci , support and resistance and the list goes on. There are probably more indicators in the market that you can ever use in your chart but whatever make sense to you that is the most important.
Now that it has broken out of the resistance at 22, 701 , I believe the rally will continue, never mind if it is at snail pace. If you examine closely , since Apr 22, it has been 5 times that the price action attempt to break out but unsuccessfully. This time, I believe it will sustain the rally and move up higher.
What happens after 90 days pause for the tariffs? Your guess is as good as mine. It could be a further kick down the road to extend another 60 to 90 days or perhaps some sorts of mutual agreements between US and China.
Let's take one step at a time, enjoy the ride up and not worry excessively.........
As usual, please DYODD
HK50 Short 1. This trade is against the H4 trend however, there is a pattern on M15 and M30
2. All timeframes are overbought, and there is a triple top with divergence
3. This is the week's high, and it will have a lot of resistance at this level.
4. Stop loss of 200 pips
5. 1st target is at 23150
HK50 Heist Alert: Snatch the Bullish Loot & Escape the Red Zone!🌎 Greetings, global fortune hunters! Bonjour, Shalom, Salut, Hola! 🌟
Dear Cash Commanders & Market Marauders, 💰⚡️
Forged in the 🔥 Rogue Trader’s crucible of technical and fundamental sorcery 🔥, here’s our sly scheme to plunder the HK50 “HongKong50” Index Market. Stick to the chart’s blueprint, homing in on long entries. Our endgame? Sneak out near the perilous ATR Red Zone, where overbought signals, consolidation, trend reversals, and traps await, with bearish outlaws ready to pounce. 🏴☠️💸 “Lock in profits and spoil yourself, traders—you’re unstoppable!” 🎉💥
**Entry 📈**: The safe’s wide open! Grab the bullish treasure at any price—the raid’s in motion!
For sharper moves, place buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute chart at the most recent swing low or high. Hot tip: set chart alerts to stay one step ahead!
**Stop Loss 🛑**:
📍 Rogue SL anchored at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (22700.00) for day or swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders.
**Target 🎯**: Aim for 24700.00—or slip away early if the market turns dicey!
🧲 **Scalpers, stay sharp!** 👀: Focus on long-side scalps only. Big bankroll? Jump in now! Smaller stack? Team up with swing traders for the heist. Use trailing SL to guard your gold 💰.
💵 **HK50 Market Heist (Swing Trade Breakdown)**: Sitting in a neutral zone with a bullish spark, driven by key market currents. ☝
🗞️ **Dig into the details**: Explore Fundamental Insights, Macroeconomic Trends, COT Reports, Geopolitical Shifts, Sentiment Signals, Intermarket Connections, Index-Specific Factors, Positioning, and Future Targets for the full picture! 👉🔗🌍
⚠️ **Trading Alert: News & Position Tactics** 📰🚨
News events can rattle markets like a tempest. To protect your profits:
- Steer clear of new trades during news releases.
- Deploy trailing stop-losses to secure gains and shield open positions.
💖 **Power up our raid!** 💥 Tap the Boost Button 💥 to amplify our profit-snatching prowess. Join the Rogue Trading Style posse and rake in riches daily with finesse. 🏆🤝🚀
See you at the next market ambush—stay vigilant! 🤑🐱👤🎯
HK50: A medium term sell setup formingHello,
I see an opportunity for a short position on the HK50. The price is currently facing strong resistance at the upper range, struggling to break through, which suggests weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, the MACD indicator has aligned at a zero-line bearish crossover, reinforcing a potential downward move.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Initiate a short position on confirmation of a strong bearish candle forming at the current resistance level, indicating rejection from the top.
Target 1: HKD 19,165 – a conservative level where initial profit-taking could be considered.
Final Target: HKD 16,766 – the primary downside target based on key support levels and historical price action.
Stop Loss: Place above the recent high to protect against unexpected breakouts, ensuring disciplined risk management.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hang Seng Index Pulls Back as Trade Deal Optimism FadesHang Seng Index Pulls Back as Trade Deal Optimism Fades
Yesterday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) climbed above the 23,600 mark, supported by progress made during US–China tariff negotiations.
However, today the Hang Seng Index (HSI) has dropped towards the 23,100 level, which may be explained by fading optimism that dominated the market a day earlier.
According to Reuters, Christopher Hodge, Chief Economist at investment bank Natixis, stated that “these talks will yield nothing of long-term value. Ultimately, tariffs will still be significantly higher and will weigh on US economic growth.”
Technical Analysis of the Hang Seng Index (HSI) Chart
Price movements are forming an upward trend channel (marked in blue), with the following features:
→ The price is situated in the upper half of the channel (a sign of demand), and the upper boundary appears to act clearly as resistance;
→ Yesterday’s reversal suggests that bears became active above the former support area near the 23,385 level.
In this context, it is reasonable to assume that the Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) may test the support zone formed by the psychological level of 23,000 and the median line of the ascending channel. If the fundamental backdrop gives markets more reasons for caution, a deeper correction towards the lower boundary of the blue channel cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
HSI may gap down tomorrowPrice Action Recap (Last 4 Trading Days):
Day 1 (8/5 Thu): High volatility
Day 2 (9/5 Fri): Inside bar — consolidation
Day 3 (12/5 Mon): Gapped up post-15:00 on tariff news
Day 4 (13/5 Tue): Failed to follow through → another inside bar
🧯 Volatility is now at recent lows, and today's price action lacked direction.
📊 Despite still trading above MA10 and MA58, the short-term momentum seems to be fading.
My View:
We're potentially in a short-term reinforcement or minor retracement phase.
Some wave-based projections see HSI in the 2nd wave of an irregular flat (335), aiming for 24,800+,
but I'm sceptical due to weak local fundamentals and earnings outlook.
📌 Watch for tomorrow’s open — a gap down would confirm short-term weakness.
HSI on the climb—ride the waves with your own strategy!6May2025
Hello everyone! how was the HSI trade so far?
From the previous updates trust everyone likely knows how the movement of the Index.
Paying attention on how it moved and the forecast of futures movement seems predicted. Of course, some times it may not go according to what you forecasted. Hence, to develop your own trade plan is essential.
From previous posts:-
MACD - Deadcross formed 20/3/2025 on D Chart.
MACD - Goldencross formed 21Apr2025 on D chart, although still within bearish zone but it did a short bull run since then; opened at 21015 on 22Apr and as of writing 22613; it gives around 1598pts ~7.6% gained.
CAPITALCOM:HK50
Fast forward to now:-
4H chart
at point of writing ✍️: the Index uptrend mode is on track again.
Trade for profit requires persistency and consistence. The constancy is kind of boring.
Buy into support Sell at resistance.
Set your TP/SL & protect your capital.
currently on D Chart -
20EMA:22065; 50EMA:22080 (both are sticking together at the moment and curving up)
🚨 as of ✍️ :
🗝️ Resistance Level : 22700-22730
🗝️ Support Level : 22360-22400
🗝️ Strong Support Level : 21950-21990
W Chart:- HSI:HSI
HSI continues its Bullish mode with strong pullback! Recovery could expected to see in end Jun - early Jul'25.
17Mar2025 -
24Mar2025 -
7Apr2025 -
6May2025 -
Continue the Long call for HSI:HSI with the forecast and repetitive of history the next 4-6weeks might be a good profit taking level; hold any long position and manage the risk as well.
Target to take profit: 24630-24910 (it may break 25000 level, and paused at 25300 strong resistance level, you may crosscheck with Month chart for the Bullish trend; last week the MACD signal line break above the zero level.)
For current markets condition, the CHN & HKG continue to be volatile with the continuing noise from tariff and on macro the numbers could be mixed.
🎯 Reminder: For long term (6-18 months) continue to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point. Again, everything is impermanence. Manage your risk, position sizing. Take only the risk that you can afford.
🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. If you don't know how or where, you may ask Deepseek/Chatgpt for most reputable Trading courses nearest to you.
Stay sharp, trade smart, and let consistency be your superpower. 📈🍵📙
Continue to trade; continue your life as it is!
Happy Trading!
** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage peoples who pursing the same journey.
HKMA's Bold Move: HK$46.5 Billion Purchase Fuels HKD SurgeA spokesman for the HKMA announced that the Hong Kong dollar activated the linked exchange rate mechanism at HK$7.75 to US$1 during New York trading on Friday, 2 May 2025. The HKMA purchased US dollars and sold HK dollars, amounting to HK$46.539 billion. By Wednesday, 7 May 2025, the total balance of the banking system will rise to HK$91.309 billion.
The spokesperson noted that the recent strength of the Hong Kong dollar stems from increased demand related to stock investments, which bolsters the exchange rate. Additionally, the appreciation of several regional currencies against the US dollar has contributed to the Hong Kong dollar's strength. The last activation of the strong side redemption guarantee occurred on 28 October 2020.
Reuters reported that European equity funds attracted their largest weekly inflow in over a year, totalling $14.64 billion for the week ending 30 April. In contrast, U.S. funds experienced outflows for the third consecutive week due to ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs and their impact on global economic growth. Investments in Asian funds reached $6.68 billion.(source Reuters).
Although comparing the report time, they are reporting different fund flow; the inflow of money into Hong Kong is currently modest, at HK$46.539 billion (approximately $5.99 billion), it is comparable to the figures reported by Reuters for Asian funds.
In the Hong Kong property market, Sun Hung Kai Properties’ Sierra Sea project has sold all 318 flats in its first sales round last week and the second batch of 288 flats. In total, 606 flats were purchased over two weekends. Property agents report that 20 to 40 per cent of prospective buyers are from mainland China. Prices for these units range from HK$3.27 million to HK$8.99 million (US$422,000 to US$1.16 million), with a price per square foot between HK$9,992 and HK$13,533.(source: SCMP)
These cases indicate that money is flowing into Hong Kong, with the HKD strengthening to the strong side of 7.75. This influx will increase bank balances, suggesting that the Hang Seng Index (HSI) is unlikely to weaken in the coming weeks, despite the negative impact of US tariffs on business sentiment.
Technically, the HSI has potential for further gains, with targets set between 26,700 and 27,600. It remains within an upward channel, and cycle analysis indicates that this upward trend could continue until June.
Why is money flowing into Hong Kong? Is it due to the attractive price-to-earnings ratio, Chinese investors relocating funds from the US, or rumours about the government? These factors need to be validated in the future.
"HK50" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "HK50" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (23100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (24200) Swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 22000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"HK50 / HongKong50" Indices Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Hang Seng Short: Completion of correctionAs I mentioned, I was wrong in the previous analysis. And this time, I would short again with the stop loss above where I put the end of E wave.
A double sell pattern on HK50 at price21000 to 21100
Why?
1) This pair is still in a downtrend both of H4 and D1
2) We can see the pair had a pattern earlier yesterday for a sell, now it is a type 2
3) There is another pattern forming for the sell off around the same area
We will observe for another 1 hour to get the best price to enter.
The target if everything falls again would be 1:10 Risk to reward.
