Can Pi Network(PI) Bounce +15% From PRZ?In recent days, Pi Network ( OKX:PIUSDT ) has dropped more than -40% , raising the big question: Is Pi still a project we can rely on, or is momentum fading away?
Main Reasons Behind the Drop:
1-Mass token unlocks in September → Huge increase in supply created heavy selling pressure.
2-Rising exchange reserves → More than 420M now sitting on CEX wallets, a sign of potential sell waves.
3-Fast-track KYC & protocol upgrades → Gave many users access to their tokens, fueling more selling activity.
4-Low liquidity + whale sell-offs → A few large orders accelerated the decline.
The Pi community remains strong, but current supply shocks are outweighing demand. Until the project reaches full exchange listings and sustainable utility, traders should stay cautious and manage risk carefully.
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Now let’s take a look at the PI Token chart on the 15-minute time frame .
The PI Token has formed a descending channel over the past day.
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like PI Token is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) in the descending channel .
I expect PI Token to start rising as it enters or touches the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again and rise to $0.289(+15%) . In general, a break of the upper line of the descending channel is a good sign for the PI token to rise .
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Pi Network Analysis (PIUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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PIUSDT.P trade ideas
PIUSDT Range Play Within a Potential Descending TriangleAfter reaching a high of $2.9645, PIUSDT has experienced a sharp decline, establishing a base near the $0.38 zone. This base continues to hold, suggesting the formation of a potential descending triangle.
For now, the strategy is to trade the range while the structure matures. A break below $0.38 would likely trigger further downside toward $0.16, where a strong external demand zone aligns with the completion of a possible WXY corrective formation.
On the flip side, a breakout above the upper trendline of the triangle would be a strong bullish signal, potentially igniting a significant rally. Upside targets are already projected on the chart.
As the structure develops, all eyes remain on the key levels that will determine the next major move.
PI Shows Weakening MomentumPI’s Average True Range (ATR) is steadily falling, signaling weakening momentum among spot market participants. The one-day ATR on PI/USD has trended downward since the sideways movement began on September 23.
This suggests narrowing price fluctuations and declining trader participation, highlighting the potential for a breakdown of the $0.2565 support level.
Price action confirms the bearish outlook, as PI trades below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which now acts as dynamic resistance.
The 20-day EMA gives more weight to recent price action, and trading below it indicates sellers are dominating and upward momentum is limited.
Overall, PI faces subdued trading activity and may continue its sideways movement, or potentially experience further downside if market sentiment does not improve.
Is $Pi actually following my Assumption?As posted earlier, a break out of the golden circle to the UPSIDE is crucial for the NASDAQ:PI Network price chart. I don't think any experienced trader or investor will buy into an asset that is still in a price recovery, however this is Cryptocurrency where building infrastructure is KEY and sentiment drives prices easily.
PI Market Update📊 PI Market Update
PI has moved strongly down, and there are two key levels to watch:
🔹 Support Zone – If the price keeps retracing into this level, it could potentially bounce up, as buyers previously accumulated here.
🔹 Red Resistance Zone – Still strong with sellers. If PI moves back here, it could face rejection and push down again.
⚠️ At the moment, there is no clear sign of stabilization. Entering now carries high risk of losses. Be smart and patient.
✅ If the red resistance zone breaks out with confirmation, it could signal the trend turning bullish again.
Pi Coin Price Eyes Breakout, Avoids All-Time Low ThreatPi Coin PAt the time of writing, Pi Coin is priced at $0.353, trading just below the critical resistance of $0.360. Flipping this level into a support floor would open the door for a rally toward $0.381, marking the first step in reversing its downtrend.
If achieved, this breakout would effectively end the ongoing decline. Considering both the RSI divergence and the MACD’s sustained bullish outlook. This scenario appears increasingly likely, provided broader market conditions remain neutral to positive.
However, risks remain. Should bullish momentum weaken, Pi Coin could slip through $0.351 and drop to $0.340. Falling below this would bring the threat of testing its all-time low, invalidating the bullish outlook and causing further concern for investors.
Pi Coin Price Downtrend Meets Resistance From Bitcoin’s RallyPi Coin is trading at $0.356 at the time of writing, sitting just below the $0.360 resistance level. The token has been caught in a month-long downtrend, making this resistance an important test for bullish sentiment.
If market support strengthens, Pi Coin could push past $0.360 and rise to $0.381. A successful breach would mark the end of the recent downtrend. This would open the possibility of further gains, supported by improving correlation with Bitcoin.
However, failure to clear $0.360 could leave Pi Coin vulnerable to renewed losses. The token risks slipping to $0.343 or lower, which would invalidate the bullish outlook. This would extend its period of weak performance, delaying any meaningful recovery.
PI Faces Growing Selling PressureDaily chart readings for PI now indicate strengthening selloffs, signaling a declining chance of the sideways trend resuming.
The Elder-Ray Index, which tracks the balance between bulls and bears, highlights a clear shift toward sellers. After two consecutive days of bullish histogram bars, the indicator has flipped negative, suggesting that selling pressure is beginning to dominate the market.
This reversal in the Elder-Ray Index points to waning buying interest. Unless bulls regain momentum, PI may struggle to reclaim previous breakout levels and could face additional downward pressure in the coming sessions.
PI’s RSI Stalls Below MidlineThe PI spot market has struggled to show momentum since early September, a trend reflected in its Relative Strength Index (RSI). On the PI/USD daily chart, the RSI has remained flat.
The RSI measures overbought and oversold conditions on a scale of 0–100. Levels above 70 suggest overbought conditions and potential downside, while values below 30 point to oversold territory and possible recovery. With PI hovering near the midline, neither scenario is in play.
A flat RSI highlights a balance between buying and selling pressure, suggesting that neither bulls nor bears are in control. This equilibrium points to muted volatility. Unless momentum picks up, PI’s price is likely to stay constrained within its current narrow range.
Pi Coin Inflows Rise But Price Maintains Its Footing Under $0.35At the time of writing, Pi Coin is priced at $0.345, stuck just below the $0.351 resistance level. Attempts to break past this barrier over the last ten days have failed, underscoring the lack of sufficient buying power.
The cryptocurrency continues to hold steady near its $0.343 support level. Should investor inflows strengthen, Pi Coin could breach $0.351, flip it into support, and climb toward $0.360 in the short term.
However, weak market conditions pose a significant risk. If sentiment fails to improve, Pi Coin could slip toward $0.334 support. Such a drop would bring the token dangerously close to its all-time low of $0.322, invalidating the bullish outlook.
PI/USD Shows Bullish Divergence on CMFOn the one-day chart, PI/USD displays a steady climb in its Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, even as the token’s price remains largely sideways. This divergence between price and money flow is a classic bullish signal, suggesting that buying interest is quietly accumulating despite the lack of immediate price movement.
The CMF measures the volume-weighted flow of capital into and out of an asset, indicating whether buying or selling pressure dominates. A rising CMF while the price stays flat often points to a gradual build-up of demand, as buyers accumulate positions under the radar.
This accumulation phase implies that PI could be setting up for a potential breakout. If buying pressure continues to grow, the token may soon move above its current range, signaling a shift from consolidation to upward momentum.
Can Upcoming Pi Network Upgrade Save Price From All-Time Low?
At the time of writing, Pi Coin trades at $0.345, holding above its crucial $0.344 support level. This line has acted as a foundation for weeks, helping the altcoin avoid setting new lows despite ongoing volatility.
Given the mixed cues from investors, Pi Coin is likely to remain rangebound. The price may hover between $0.344 and $0.360 until stronger momentum develops. Sideways movement could dominate trading as investors assess the impact of the upcoming upgrade.
If market conditions worsen, Pi Coin risks slipping through $0.334 support. A failure to hold this level could drag the token down to $0.322, matching or even forming a new all-time low, and invalidating any short-term bullish outlook.
PI Network, Now or NeverPi Network's native cryptocurrency, Pi Coin (PI), has experienced a significant price drop from its all-time high of $2.98 to around $0.3, representing an 88% decline. Despite this sharp fall, the coin is attempting to find support around the $0.3 mark, which could potentially signal a buying opportunity.
What To Expect From Pi Coin In September 2025?OKX:PIUSDT trades at $0.353, just below resistance at $0.362. The altcoin remains trapped in a downtrend lasting more than three months. Attempts to break out have failed four times, leaving the token vulnerable and positioned close to its all-time low as selling pressure intensifies.
If these conditions persist, OKX:PIUSDT could lose support at $0.344 . A decline to $0.322 would retest its all-time low, and continued selling may even push the price further down to $0.300. Such a move would confirm new weakness and mark fresh historic lows for the token.
If OKX:PIUSDT breaks the downtrend and reclaims $0.362 as support, it could rally toward $0.401 . This move would stabilize the market structure and counter bearish conditions. A recovery of this magnitude would challenge the ongoing selling narrative and provide short-term relief for investors holding the token.
PI part 2For months I have been following PI, it has been repeating the pattern of false breakout and rapid fall, but when we broke the liquidity of the .39 zone there the matter was different, we were able to break the ceiling of the wedge although with a strong retreat to the lowest support zone, now we have to enter volume to comply with the MONTHS analysis to go look for the first strong resistance zone
PI Balance of Power Signals Bearish OutlookPI is flashing a strong bearish signal as its Balance of Power (BoP) sits at -0.70 and trending lower. This highlights weakening demand and growing control by sellers, suggesting the asset could face further downside pressure.
The BoP indicator measures the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. A positive reading reflects buyer dominance, while a negative value highlights selling pressure. With PI firmly in negative territory, bears currently have the upper hand in driving price action.
Pi Coin Holders Exit Amid Altcoin's Shift from BitcoinAt present, Pi Coin is priced at $0.40, attempting to hold above this level as support. While the price is distancing itself from its ATL, it remains trapped in a persistent downtrend. Unless there is a significant shift in investor sentiment, Pi Coin may struggle to break free from this ongoing decline.
Pi Coin's correlation with Bitcoin has been declining, now standing at just 0.52. This reduction in correlation is especially troubling given Bitcoin’s recent surge, which saw the cryptocurrency form a new all-time high (ATH) within the last 24 hours.
Given the continued bearish behavior from investors, Pi Coin’s price may drop further towards the next support level at $0.36. If this support level fails to hold, Pi Coin could head back toward its ATL of $0.32, erasing recent gains and possibly setting the stage for further losses.
However, if Pi Coin can successfully bounce off the $0.40 support, there may be a chance for a rebound. A rise above this level could break the downtrend and push Pi Coin toward $0.44. This move would be crucial for Pi Coin’s recovery, but it would require significant investor confidence and buying pressure to materialize.