APPLE Just formed its Cycle Top. Best sell opportunity is here.Almost 3 months ago (September 19, see chart below), we gave a buy signal on Apple Inc. (AAPL), which recently hit our final $290 Target:
This week we go back to the long-term 1W time-frame as the Bullish Leg (green) since the April 07 bottom just hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 4-year Channel Up.
The 2023 Bullish Leg also peaked on its 1.236 Fibonacci extension and eventually corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), hitting its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at the same time. The 2022 and early 2025 Bearish Legs even broke below the 1W MA50 and bottomed after a minimum -32.05% decline. The April 2025 bottom even hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
All of those Channel Up (Cycle) Tops have taken place while the 1W RSI broke above the overbought level (70.00). This has already taken place since last week and we also se the 1W MACD to start reversing, which is something that has also happened every time after a Top.
Based on all the above evidence (1.236 Fib hit, Channel Up top hit, 1W RSI overbought, 1W MACD reversing), we expect Apple to start a long-term correction (Bear Cycle), technically the new Bearish Leg of the 4-year Channel Up and initially make contact with the 1W MA50 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $236.00. If the price closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50, then we expect a second Target to be fulfilled at the bottom of the Channel Up at $200, below the 1W MA200 but still almost -32.00% from the top.
The most efficient long-term buy signal is perhaps given by the 1W RSI again, when it hits the 33.20 Support. Use that to time your buy entry accordingly.
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Trade ideas
Apple - This stock will collapse!🥊Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing right now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back five years ago, Apple established a major rising channel pattern. Following this channel, Apple recently created a textbook +40% move higher. But with the current retest of resistance, we will certainly see another pullback of -30% in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
let's buy appleMy analysis is purely technical, supported by multiple factors:
1) We've been within an ascending channel for several months now, specifically since August. This gives us a sense of the market's general trend and allows us to identify potential retracement zones.
2) Subsequently, we can observe a descending structural pattern between October 29th and November 25th, which we can consider an accumulation zone, given the previous bullish performance in the preceding months.
3) The accumulation just described has been stopped numerous times in a specific zone that we consider resistance deriving from a psychological round number (275.00), the area described and the area colored purple.
4) As we can see, our accumulation zone has been broken upward, significantly increasing trading volumes and confirming the breakout.
5) This breakout has continued the momentum started by the November 21 candlestick until the end of the December 3 impulse. This causes a huge imbalance between buyers and sellers.
6) In my opinion, this equilibrium will be restored once a retracement of approximately 61.8% (from the Fibonacci retracement level) is made from the impulse described previously, which coincidentally is in the same zone as the psychological round number, both at the bottom of the main channel and as the last point at the top of the accumulation zone.
The Second Chance on a 71% Probability SetupThe Second Chance on a 71% Probability Setup
I warned you.
The market rarely gives second chances so clearly, but when it does, ignoring them is a capital sin in trading.
Recently, I analyzed this Bull Flag on Apple (AAPL) and warned that a breakout was imminent . The chart didn't lie, the explosion happened exactly as expected , confirming the pattern.
But right now, we are staring at something arguably better than the initial breakout . We are looking at the perfect tactical re-entry.
⚠️ The Pullback. This is Fuel, Not Weakness.
Many novice traders see the recent red candles following the breakout and panic.
They think the move has failed. Big mistake.
What we are witnessing is technical behavior 101: a pullback to the breakout zone and the minor trendline. This is where the smart money reloads their positions, not where they sell.
Think of it like a slingshot. The market is pulling the price back into this support zone, creating tension . To the untrained eye, this backward movement looks like a retreat. But in reality, it might just be loading the energy for a violent launch forward.
If you get scared out of the trade here, you are standing in front of the slingshot right before it fires with over 71% chances to fly far away.
🎯 The 71% Statistic
As the chart indicates, this confirmed Bull Flag Pullback structure carries a historical success rate of 71% in reaching its projected target.
Here is the beauty of the current setup: The Risk/Reward ratio is actually better now than it was at the initial breakout . Why? Because our invalidation point (Stop Loss) is tighter , and the upside potential remains massive.
We are looking at a double scenario:
The Slingshot: Support holds, the "throwback" completes, and we launch toward the target.
The Failure: Price falls back deep into the flag, invalidating the structure (we cut losses small).
We don't guess. We execute with surgical precision at key levels.
⭐ Here is where the Pattern makes you money
The structure tells you exactly where to enter to minimize risk, providing a clear Stop Loss level and a mathematical target.
Remember: 80% of trading success isn't finding the pattern, it's executing the exit strategy properly.
👇 WANT THE EXACT NUMBERS?
I have broken down this complete analysis with the precise execution levels (Entry Price, Stop Loss, Profit Target) for this specific Second Chance setup.
🚀 Check my SIGNATURE to start trading seriously.
APPLE The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 278.82
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 274.28
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
How To Trade a Bull Flag and The AAPL OpportunityHow To Trade a Bull Flag and The AAPL Opportunity
Have you ever felt stuck waiting for the perfect trade?
Apple just gave us a rare gift. After a strong rally, the price stopped and drew two parallel lines, each with two clear touches. This is what we call a bull flag. It looks simple, but it means a lot.
What Does This Pattern Tell Us?
A bull flag warns us that the market paused to take profits . It is a sign the bulls are resting, but planning to push again .
We got confirmation!
Apple made new highs, breaking out in a surprising way. The price pulled back, giving careful traders a low-risk chance to join.
This rarely happens so quickly.
If price drops below the bull flag, that’s a mega bearish sign, and a stop-loss is a must .
Above , there’s no clear limit. If stats play out, the move could be 5% or more in just a few days.
Why Is This Setup Special?
This is not our first bull flag. Recently, NYSE:JNJ flashed one and rallied 7% fast.
NYSE:LLY had an even bigger run, jumping 27% in under a month , and it still hasn’t stopped.
Bull flags are really simple but rare. If you find one, wait for confirmation, manage risk, and be ready to act fast.
In my profile, you will find guides to spot and trade bull flags easily , turning tough moments into real opportunities.
Apple May Be AcceleratingApple spent November quietly consolidating, and it may be accelerating in December.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $260.10 level, a previous all-time high from December 2024. AAPL crossed above that price in late October and has remained there since, which could mean old resistance has broken.
Second, the smartphone giant made a weekly low of $264.65 on October 27. It’s remained above that level since. That may suggest that new support has been established.
Third, last week’s range featured a higher high and a higher low relative to the previous week. The stock also closed above a previous high of $277.32 from October 31.
Such price action is potentially consistent with a gradual breakout.
Next, the stock is above its 50-day simple moving average and its 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above its 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals may reflect a bullish trend.
Finally, AAPL is a highly active underlier in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 808,100 contracts ranks fifth in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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AAPL Chart AnalysisHi!
AAPL is trading inside a clean long-term ascending channel, showing a strong uptrend. Recently, the price formed a bullish flag (pink zone) after a sharp move up. The breakout above the flag signals continuation of the trend.
The chart projects two key upside levels:
$288.52 as the first target (flag breakout objective / mid-channel resistance)
$300.53 as the second target (upper channel boundary + psychological level)
As long as price stays above the flag range and respects the channel, the bullish structure remains intact.
AAPL FlaggingNASDAQ:AAPL Flagging on the hourly, bouncing right off the 20-day EMA, expecting a push upwards to 280. If bulls can hold 280, looking for a move to the 286+ area. Watching this setup closely for a swing. Until then, some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on, watching closely
AAPL 1-Month Projection: Low-Volatility Neutral PatternAAPL QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-12-08
QuantSignals Katy AI Stock Analysis
Analyzed 1 stock(s): AAPL
AAPL Analysis
Current Price: $276.54
Final Prediction: $276.97 (+0.16%)
30min Target: $277.86 (+0.48%)
Trend: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 49.3%
Volatility: 5.7%
Summary: Generated 0 trade signals from 1 successful analyses out of 1 symbols.
Apple : It is awaiting correctionCurrently it is at head to correction.
according to my chart reading.
ideal buy entry after correction to 225-230 if decline and come to those levels.
Target 400
SL : Below 199.
Manage your Risk .
I don't have anything to see to buy at current price.
And also I am not in favor of Short Sell.
AAPL Listen to the "BRAIN"1. The "Breathing" Cloud (Changing Thickness)
The changing thickness of the White Cloud is the most important visual cue. Think of it as the "Lungs" of the Trend.
Expansion (Thickening Cloud):
What it means: The "Fast Core" (Cyan) is pulling away from the "Slow Core" (Magenta).
Analysis: This indicates Momentum Acceleration. The market is moving faster than its baseline. This is a "High Confidence" phase where you want to be aggressively holding or adding to positions.
On Chart: You can see massive expansions during the rallies (May, June, Oct). The cloud gets huge, signaling a "Power Trend".
Contraction (Thinning Cloud):
What it means: The cores are converging (pinching together).
Analysis: This indicates Momentum Deceleration or Consolidation. The market is "exhaling" or taking a rest.
On Chart: Notice how the cloud gets very thin before the trend either reverses or explodes again. A thin cloud is a "Decision Point".
2. Dashboard Analysis (The "Brain")
The Dashboard confirms what the Cloud is showing visually:
Spread (Price): 5.77: This is a Wide Spread.
Verdict: The trend is currently Expanded. It is not in a "compression" phase; it is in a "run" phase.
Efficiency Score: 0.56 (MIXED):
Verdict: While the trend is up, the price action isn't a straight line. It's a bit "choppy" or "grinding" (Mixed). It's not a "Clean Trend" (0.8+), but it's not "Noise" (<0.3) either.
AI Strategy: TRACKING (Standard):
Verdict: Because the trend is Strong (Wide Spread) but the action is Mixed, the AI decides the best course of action is simply to Track it. Don't get shaken out by the wiggles, but don't be too aggressive. Just trail your stop.
Summary
Current Status: STRONG BULLISH TREND. Action: HOLD. The Cloud is thick (High Momentum), and the Dashboard is signaling "Strong Bullish". Even though the Efficiency is "Mixed" (some minor chop), the sheer width of the cloud protects you from getting stopped out prematurely. Ride the expansion.
AAPL — WEEK 49 TREND REPORTNASDAQ:AAPL — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT
Ticker: NASDAQ:AAPL — 12/02/2025 @ 286.19$
Timeframe: WEEKLY
This is a reactive structural classification of NASDAQ:AAPL based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition
• Trend Duration: +22 weeks (Bullish)
• Trend Reversal Level (Bearish): 265.7$
• Trend Reversal Level (Bearish Confirmation): 241.24$
• Pullback Support: 237.27$
⸻
2) Structure Health
• Retracement Phase:
Uptrend (operating above 78.6%)
• Position Status:
Healthy (price above both structural layers)
⸻
3) Temperature
Warming Phase
⸻
4) Momentum
Bullish
⸻
5) Market Sentiment
Bullish
⸻
Author’s Note
This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached.
Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions.
The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions.
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
AAPL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AAPL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 278.86
Target Level: 262.87
Stop Loss: 289.53
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AAPL Alert: High-Risk Short & Explosive Call Opportunities This AAPL Weekly Signals | 2025-12-04
Short-Term Speculative PUT (2-Day Expiry)
Direction: PUT (Short)
Strike: $265.00
Entry: $0.03
Target 1 / 2: $0.05 / $0.08
Stop Loss: $0.01
Confidence: 56% (Low / Speculative)
Momentum: Neutral, bearish bias (-0.02% 1W)
Flow: Bearish, PCR 1.76
Risk: High – very small position (1% max) recommended
Notes: Katy AI shows 71% prediction points below current price, overriding weekly “BUY CALLS” guidance. High gamma risk.
Medium-Term CALL (8-Day Expiry)
Direction: CALL (Long)
Strike: $280.00
Entry: $3.30
Target 1 / 2: $5.00 / $6.50
Stop Loss: $2.00
Confidence: 57% (Low)
Momentum: Neutral (-0.13% 1W), MACD bullish divergence
Flow: Neutral, PCR 0.81
Risk: Moderate – position size 2%
Notes: Katy AI shows consistent upward trajectory to $283–$285 range. Conflict with weekly momentum; tight stop recommended.
AAPL Outlook — Dec 1 to Dec 5AAPL Outlook — Dec 1 to Dec 5
(Price Action + Multi-Timeframe Story + GEX for Options Traders)
Weekly timeframe
The weekly chart still holds its long-term uptrend, but you can tell momentum is cooling off. The candles are getting smaller as price pushes toward the upper trendline, which usually means buyers are running into an area where profit-taking becomes more attractive. Nothing bearish yet—just a sign that the push is losing steam.
Daily timeframe
The daily view fits that slowdown perfectly. Price is sitting right inside a supply zone that was created during the last big push. Ever since AAPL entered this zone, the market hasn’t shown a strong follow-through candle. Instead, it’s been chopping inside 276–280.
The first little shift in character already appeared, which tells you sellers are at least testing the waters.
The weekly hints “momentum is fading,” and the daily basically confirms, “yes, we’re stuck under some pressure.”
1-Hour timeframe
Dropping into the 1H makes the battle more obvious. Price keeps rejecting the same ceiling near 279–280 again and again. Even though the trendline from below is still supporting the move, the highs are getting slightly lower each attempt. That’s usually the first sign that buyers are defending, but they’re not dominating anymore.
So now all three timeframes are telling the same story:
Uptrend intact → momentum slowing → pressure at the top.
15-Minute timeframe
The 15m chart is where you can really see how tight things have become.
Price is compressing right underneath that ceiling. Volume is tapering off, candles are getting smaller, and every bounce looks weaker than the last.
This kind of behavior usually means the market is coiling up for a move—either a clean breakout above 280 or a release to the downside if the base around 277.50 gives out.
The smaller the timeframe, the more it reveals what the bigger timeframes were already hinting.
Where GEX Fits Into All of This (the real edge)
Now here’s where everything clicks:
All timeframes point to the same resistance near 279–280.
When you overlay the options data, the biggest call wall also sits right there. That’s the level where dealers hedge the most aggressively, which naturally creates resistance—and it just so happens to line up with the zones that the charts have already shown.
Below that, the negative gamma area starts opening up around 276–274.
This means that if price slips under that base, dealers shift into selling hedges, which increases volatility and makes pullbacks move faster.
So the charts show the structure…
GEX shows the “fuel” behind the structure.
That’s why I like combining them: the price action tells the story, and GEX tells you who’s on the other side of the trade.
Trading Bias for the Week (Options + Price Action)
Upside idea
Only valid if 280 breaks clean. If that happens, the next magnet is around 282.5 where the next batch of calls cluster.
Downside idea
If 277.50 cracks, the move usually releases toward 276, then 274.
That lines up with both the lower timeframe CHoCH and the negative gamma pocket.
Final Thoughts
Each timeframe is showing the same thing, just in different levels of detail: the trend is still healthy, but buyers are clearly struggling at the top. GEX reinforces why price behaves that way and gives option traders the roadmap for the week.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This is just my personal market observation and for educational use only.
AAPL Breaks Out: Bull Flag Targets Point to $287–$295!After a strong rally (black trendline), AAPL entered a descending corrective channel, which looks like a classic bull flag pattern.
Now the price is breaking above the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting that the correction may be over.
Bullish Scenario (More likely now)
If the price holds above the channel, continuation upward is expected.
Bullish Targets:
• $282
• $287
• $295 (extended target)
Bearish Scenario (Failed breakout)
If price falls back inside the channel, the correction resumes.
Bearish Targets:
• $273
• $268
• $262 (major support)
Stop Loss
• Long: Below $274
• Short: Above $280.50
AAPL - Correction ahead?Bearish Scenario for AAPL (4H Analysis)
AAPL is currently trading at an extended level after a steep multi-week rally. The structure is forming a potential rising wedge, which typically signals trend exhaustion and an increased risk of a corrective move.
Key Breakdown Trigger
A confirmed break below 270 USD (4H close) would invalidate the current short-term uptrend and open the door for a deeper correction.
Downside Levels to Watch
260–262 USD
First major support zone. A retest here would be a normal pullback in the broader uptrend.
248–250 USD
Weekly orderblock + strong horizontal support.
If price reaches this zone, increased buying interest is likely — but if it fails, downside pressure accelerates.
237 USD
High-confluence structural level.
This is the most probable target in a more significant correction.
223–224 USD (Weekly Low)
Only relevant if the market enters a broader risk-off phase.
Bearish Confluence Factors
Sharp overextension from mid-trend support
Momentum weakening after parabolic move
Declining volume while making new highs
Rising wedge structure tightening
Summary
AAPL remains bullish on higher timeframes, but the risk of a larger corrective move is elevated. Losing 270 USD would likely trigger a multi-level retracement toward 260 → 250 → 237.
AAPLHow to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
AAPL Pulled Back After the Morning Spike — TA for Nov 26AAPL Pulled Back After the Morning Spike — Here’s What I’m Watching for Nov 26
AAPL opened with a strong vertical move this morning, but after that first burst, the stock spent the rest of the day bleeding slowly back down into the mid-270s. You can see it clearly on the 15-minute chart — a sharp breakout that couldn’t find a second leg, followed by a steady drift back toward the rising trendline underneath. This kind of price action usually means the opening drive was driven by short-term momentum players, and once they took profit, the stock settled into a more balanced state.
The candles in the afternoon tell that story pretty well. Volume dropped off, body sizes shrank, and everything tightened into a flat band around 276–277. Nothing about the pullback looks aggressive — it’s more of a cooldown after a big morning run. The trendline beneath price hasn’t been threatened, and AAPL is still trading inside yesterday’s upper range.
Check the 1-hour GEX chart below, you can see the behavior becomes even more logical. The entire 280 area is sitting on top of thick call walls. There’s a stack of hedging resistance between 278.5, 280, and even higher into the 282.5 zone. When a big name like AAPL pushes into a cluster of call walls right after a vertical move, the stock often stalls because market makers hedge against the push.
Below price, there’s a very clean cluster of put support around 272–273, and a stronger cushion down at 267.5. That’s why today’s pullback wasn’t dramatic — there’s option structure acting like a net underneath.
So for Nov 26, here’s what stands out:
If AAPL can climb back above 278 and actually hold it, then the stock has another shot at 280. But 280 isn’t a free level — that’s where the heaviest call resistance sits, so it needs momentum or a catalyst to push through.
If AAPL loses 275 with real conviction, then the drift toward 273 becomes much more likely. And if the broader market is weak, 272–273 is the zone where buyers typically step in because it lines up with both intraday demand and put flow support.
My thoughts on Option trading
Calls only make sense if AAPL reclaims 278 and shows actual strength. That’s where the momentum window opens toward 280.
Puts don’t really make sense unless 275 breaks cleanly. Below that, 273 and 272 are the first magnets, and premiums can expand quicker because there’s less hedging friction in the way. Above 275, put decay will be heavy because the GEX layout still leans slightly supportive.
Disclaimer
This is just my personal read on the chart and options landscape. It’s not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk.






















