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NVDA Wave Analysis – 5 November 2025 - NVDA reversed from resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 193.75 NVDA recently reversed from the resistance area between the key resistance level 210.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from June and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area started the active short-term ABC correction ii – which belongs to wave iii from last month. Given the strength of the resistance level 210.00 and the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, NVDA can be expected to fall to the next support level 193.75, former resistance from the start of October.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by FxPro
Inflation and Interest Rates Impact in the Global Market1. Understanding Inflation and Interest Rates Inflation refers to the sustained increase in the general price level of goods and services over time. It reduces the purchasing power of money—meaning each unit of currency buys fewer goods than before. Moderate inflation is a sign of economic growth, while excessive inflation (hyperinflation) can destabilize economies. Interest rates, on the other hand, represent the cost of borrowing money. They are typically set by a country's central bank, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), the European Central Bank (ECB), or the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). When inflation rises, central banks usually raise interest rates to control it; when inflation falls, they lower rates to stimulate borrowing and investment. 2. The Relationship Between Inflation and Interest Rates The link between inflation and interest rates is both direct and inverse: When inflation increases, central banks raise interest rates to slow down demand and stabilize prices. When inflation decreases, interest rates are lowered to encourage spending and investment. This balancing act aims to maintain price stability without hurting economic growth. However, in a globally connected economy, these changes affect not just domestic markets but also cross-border trade, capital flows, and investment sentiment. 3. Impact on Global Financial Markets a. Stock Markets Inflation and interest rates play a major role in determining stock market trends. High Inflation: When inflation is high, companies face higher input costs (such as raw materials and wages), which reduce profit margins. Investors may anticipate lower earnings and reduce exposure to equities, causing stock prices to fall. Rising Interest Rates: As borrowing becomes more expensive, businesses cut down on expansion plans, and consumers reduce spending. This lowers corporate revenues and earnings, leading to a bearish market. For example, in 2022, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes to curb inflation caused major global indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ to decline sharply. Technology and growth stocks were particularly affected due to their dependency on low borrowing costs. b. Bond Markets Bond prices and interest rates move in opposite directions. When interest rates rise, the yields on newly issued bonds become more attractive, leading to a decline in the prices of existing bonds. When rates fall, older bonds with higher yields gain value. Global investors often shift between bonds and equities depending on the interest rate environment. For instance, when inflation is high and rates rise, investors may prefer short-term bonds or inflation-protected securities. c. Currency Markets (Forex) Inflation and interest rates significantly affect currency values. A country with high interest rates often attracts foreign investors seeking higher returns, leading to currency appreciation. Conversely, high inflation tends to devalue a currency, as its purchasing power erodes. This dynamic can create volatility in foreign exchange markets. For example, the U.S. dollar typically strengthens when the Federal Reserve raises rates, as global investors move capital to dollar-denominated assets. d. Commodity Markets Commodities such as gold, oil, and agricultural products are closely tied to inflation trends. High Inflation: Commodities often rise in price because investors use them as a hedge against inflation. Gold, for instance, tends to perform well when inflation is high or when real interest rates are negative. Interest Rate Hikes: Higher interest rates can reduce demand for commodities by strengthening the currency and making holding physical assets less attractive. In 2022–2023, oil and gold prices fluctuated heavily in response to inflationary pressures and central bank rate adjustments worldwide. 4. Impact on International Trade and Investment a. Trade Balances Inflation can affect a country's trade competitiveness. When domestic prices rise faster than those of trading partners, exports become more expensive, reducing demand from foreign buyers. Meanwhile, imports may become cheaper, worsening the trade balance. Interest rates also influence trade. Higher rates tend to strengthen the domestic currency, making exports less competitive and imports cheaper—again, affecting trade dynamics. b. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Global investors closely monitor inflation and interest rate trends before committing capital. Stable inflation and moderate interest rates attract long-term investment, as they indicate economic predictability. High inflation and volatile rates discourage FDI due to uncertainty about future returns and exchange rate risks. For example, emerging markets like India or Brazil attract foreign capital when inflation is under control and real interest rates are favorable. 5. Impact on Emerging and Developed Economies a. Developed Economies In advanced economies like the U.S., Japan, or the Eurozone, central banks use sophisticated tools to manage inflation and interest rates. However, global shocks—such as the COVID-19 pandemic or energy price spikes—can still cause inflationary surges that ripple through global markets. Rising rates in these economies often lead to capital outflows from emerging markets as investors seek safer returns in stable currencies. This can cause volatility in developing countries’ stock and bond markets. b. Emerging Markets Emerging economies are more vulnerable to inflation and interest rate fluctuations because they rely heavily on foreign investment and imported goods. When global interest rates rise, these countries face higher borrowing costs and currency depreciation. For instance, when the U.S. Federal Reserve increases rates, countries like India, Indonesia, or South Africa often experience currency pressure and foreign capital outflows. This impacts their stock markets and economic growth prospects. 6. Central Bank Strategies and Global Coordination Central banks play a crucial role in managing inflation and interest rates. Major institutions such as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan use tools like: Open market operations (buying or selling government bonds) Reserve requirements Policy interest rate adjustments Global coordination among central banks is often necessary to avoid severe currency fluctuations or market shocks. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic, major central banks collaborated to maintain global liquidity and stabilize financial systems. 7. Long-Term Implications for Global Markets The long-term impact of inflation and interest rate movements includes: Shift in Investment Strategies: Investors move between asset classes (equities, bonds, commodities) depending on rate trends. Corporate Debt Management: Companies may restructure their debt portfolios to minimize interest burdens. Economic Growth Patterns: Prolonged high rates may slow global growth, while ultra-low rates risk creating asset bubbles. Policy Dilemmas: Central banks must balance fighting inflation with avoiding recession—a challenge seen frequently in recent years. 8. Conclusion Inflation and interest rates act as the twin levers of the global economy. Their interplay determines the rhythm of economic growth, the flow of international capital, and the behavior of financial markets. While moderate inflation and balanced interest rates indicate a healthy economy, extreme conditions—either high inflation or rapid rate hikes—can trigger global instability. For investors and policymakers, understanding this relationship is crucial. A rise in inflation signals the need for vigilance in portfolio management and monetary policy, while changing interest rates dictate shifts in market behavior across sectors and nations. In an interconnected world, the effects of these two forces transcend borders, shaping the future of trade, investment, and financial stability worldwide.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
NVDA at the $200 BattlefieldThe daily chart of NVIDIA (NVDA) shows that after a sharp rally from around $180, the price is now consolidating near a key resistance zone between $200–$205. This level has previously acted as a major resistance area, and it’s now a critical decision point for the next move. Short-Term Outlook (next few days to weeks): In the short term, how the price reacts to the $200 zone will be crucial. The latest candle shows a long upper wick and a close below the day’s high, signaling selling pressure. If the price fails to hold $200, a pullback toward the 50-day SMA near $183 is likely. However, if NVDA can regain and close firmly above $205, bullish momentum could accelerate, targeting the $215–$220 area next. • Bullish short-term target: $215–$220 • Bullish stop loss: Below $198 • Bearish short-term target: $185 (near the 50-day SMA) • Bearish stop loss: Above $206 Long-Term Outlook (1–3 months): The broader trend remains bullish as the 50-day SMA is sloping upward and price remains above it. Sustained closes above $205–$210 would likely confirm a continuation of the uptrend, potentially leading to new highs around $230–$245. If the $180 support fails, however, the medium-term structure would weaken, opening the door for a deeper correction toward $160. • Bullish long-term target: $230–$245 • Long-term stop loss: Below $180 In summary, the $200 level is the market’s decision point — a confirmed breakout above it could spark another leg higher, while a breakdown below may lead to a healthy but notable correction.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by isahebdadi
Regional Growth Strategies in the Global Market1. Understanding Regional Growth Strategies A regional growth strategy is a structured plan that focuses on expanding a company’s presence and market share within a specific geographic area—such as Asia-Pacific, Europe, Latin America, or Africa—rather than globally all at once. The strategy involves understanding local consumer behavior, economic conditions, legal frameworks, and cultural norms to align business goals with regional opportunities. For example, a multinational company might apply different strategies in North America and Southeast Asia, depending on the maturity of markets, consumer preferences, and economic development levels. Regional strategies often integrate global goals with local execution—creating a balance between standardization and localization. 2. Importance of Regional Growth in the Global Market Global markets are not uniform. Every region has unique growth potential and challenges. Companies that focus on regional strategies gain several advantages: Market Diversification: Expanding regionally helps reduce dependence on a single country or market. For instance, if a business faces a slowdown in Europe, strong demand in Asia can balance overall performance. Adaptation to Local Needs: Regional strategies allow businesses to adapt their offerings to local cultures, tastes, and regulations, increasing acceptance and customer loyalty. Cost Efficiency and Supply Chain Optimization: Regional production hubs can reduce logistics costs and improve efficiency. For instance, companies may set up manufacturing in Southeast Asia to serve Asia-Pacific markets. Regulatory Compliance: Understanding and aligning with local rules and trade policies help avoid legal risks and penalties. Competitive Advantage: A company that understands local consumer behavior and cultural nuances gains an edge over global rivals that use one-size-fits-all approaches. Thus, regional growth strategies are not just about expansion—they are about sustainable adaptation and long-term competitiveness. 3. Core Elements of a Regional Growth Strategy A well-structured regional growth plan typically involves several interconnected components: a. Market Research and Segmentation Understanding the market is the first step. Businesses analyze demographic trends, purchasing power, consumer behavior, and local competitors. For example, companies entering India must understand price sensitivity and the growing demand for value-for-money products. b. Localization of Products and Services Localization goes beyond language translation. It involves adapting products to suit regional preferences. For instance, McDonald’s offers McSpicy Paneer burgers in India and Teriyaki burgers in Japan, catering to local tastes. c. Strategic Partnerships and Alliances Local partnerships—such as joint ventures or distribution alliances—help global firms navigate regulatory and cultural complexities. Partnerships also provide access to established networks and regional expertise. d. Supply Chain and Infrastructure Development Building regional supply chains ensures faster delivery and lower costs. For instance, automobile companies often establish regional assembly plants to meet local demand efficiently. e. Branding and Marketing Adaptation Marketing strategies should reflect regional culture, values, and communication styles. For example, Coca-Cola’s campaigns in Asia often emphasize community and celebration, aligning with cultural values. f. Regulatory and Policy Alignment Businesses must understand trade laws, tariffs, and regional trade agreements like ASEAN, EU, or NAFTA (now USMCA). Complying with local policies is key to smooth operations. 4. Types of Regional Growth Strategies Different approaches are used depending on company goals, market maturity, and competition levels: a. Market Penetration Strategy Focusing on increasing market share within an existing regional market through pricing strategies, promotions, or better customer service. b. Market Development Strategy Introducing existing products into new regional markets. For instance, a European skincare brand entering Middle Eastern markets. c. Product Development Strategy Developing new or modified products to fit regional needs. For example, Samsung designs region-specific smartphone models based on network availability and local preferences. d. Diversification Strategy Entering new regions with entirely new products or services. This approach is riskier but can lead to higher rewards in emerging markets. e. Regional Hub Strategy Establishing a key operational hub (for example, Singapore for Southeast Asia or Dubai for the Middle East) to coordinate and manage operations across multiple countries. 5. Challenges in Implementing Regional Growth Strategies While regional expansion offers great potential, it also presents significant challenges: Cultural Barriers: Misunderstanding local customs and consumer behavior can lead to marketing failures or brand rejection. Regulatory Complexity: Each country has its own laws, tax systems, and labor regulations that complicate operations. Political Instability: In some regions, political changes or conflicts can disrupt business continuity. Infrastructure Gaps: Emerging regions may lack efficient transportation or technology infrastructure, affecting supply chains. Currency and Economic Risks: Fluctuations in exchange rates and inflation can affect profitability. Talent Management: Recruiting and retaining skilled employees with regional expertise can be difficult. Successful firms must anticipate and manage these risks through careful planning and local engagement. 6. Successful Examples of Regional Growth Apple in China and India Apple has strategically localized its regional operations in Asia. It opened retail stores in major Indian cities, offered region-specific financing options, and even began assembling iPhones locally to reduce import taxes. This regional approach improved affordability and expanded market reach. Toyota in North America Toyota localized production in the United States and Canada, adapting car designs to local preferences and regulatory standards. This reduced costs and built a strong regional brand image. Netflix in Latin America and Asia Netflix produces regional content like Korean dramas and Indian web series, reflecting cultural preferences and expanding its subscriber base. This localization has been key to its global dominance. 7. The Role of Digital Transformation in Regional Growth Technology plays a vital role in modern regional strategies. Digital platforms enable companies to understand consumer data, predict trends, and market products regionally. E-commerce platforms like Amazon or Alibaba use data analytics to tailor regional offers. Social media marketing allows precise targeting of regional audiences. Digital payment systems and mobile apps make products accessible in regions with developing banking systems. The integration of technology allows companies to achieve scalable, efficient, and localized growth. 8. Future Outlook for Regional Strategies As global markets become more interconnected yet regionally diverse, companies will increasingly adopt “glocalization”—thinking globally but acting locally. Regional trade blocs, sustainability goals, and digital ecosystems will shape the next phase of growth. Businesses that blend global expertise with regional sensitivity will thrive in this evolving landscape. Emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America will continue to offer high-growth potential, while digital tools will make regional adaptation faster and smarter. Conclusion Regional growth strategies are at the heart of global business success. They enable companies to bridge the gap between global ambitions and local realities by understanding regional diversity and adapting operations accordingly. Through careful research, localization, partnerships, and technological integration, businesses can capture regional opportunities and build long-term competitiveness. While challenges exist—from cultural barriers to regulatory complexity—firms that master regional strategies not only expand their market reach but also create stronger, more resilient global brands.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
NVDA-Bulls Defend Trendline Into Gamma Week (Nov. 3–7)NVDA Weekly Squeeze Setup 🔥 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure NVDA remains in a strong macro uptrend on the weekly. Recent BOS confirmations to the upside are intact, and the latest pullback retested the long-term ascending trendline perfectly. We’ve seen a subtle CHoCH attempt in prior weeks, but buyers stepped in aggressively on structure breaks. Liquidity remains stacked below around $153–$160, and smart money continues defending dips rather than chasing breakouts — a healthy sign of accumulation rather than distribution. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks There’s a key demand pocket sitting around $180–$190 from previous imbalance fills. The closest unmitigated bullish order block lives near $153 — that’s the nuclear level if we ever wash out. On the supply side, overhead inefficiency spans between $220–$230, where sellers historically rotate in. If price pushes into that region with thin volume, expect reactions. 3. Indicator Confluence The 9EMA remains firmly above the 21EMA with a positive slope, confirming trend continuation. MACD histogram is still green, though showing early signs of momentum slowing — not reversal. RSI is elevated, but not at exhaustion levels. Weekly volume looks constructive; we’re not seeing blow-off distribution. 4. Weekly Tone As long as NVDA stays above the weekly trendline near $195, bulls maintain control. Break below that, and things could get uncomfortable fast. The structure favors continuation, but expect profit-taking wicks. DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure Daily structure flipped bullish after a clean BOS from the prior swing high. The recent pullback respected support at $195.62 and reclaimed structure. Liquidity is still stacked at $190 and $184 — levels shorts would love to hunt. Smart money tends to dip price into these zones before running it into fresh highs. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks There’s a visible demand block at $184–$190 that has been tapped, but not fully mitigated. Supply overhead sits around $212–$217, which aligns with prior liquidity sweeps. If price pushes into that band with increasing volume, we could see continuation; otherwise, emotional wicks can form. 3. Indicator Confluence 9EMA curling sharply upward over the 21EMA — textbook bullish engine. MACD histogram shows expansion but with minor slowing bars; keep an eye on that slope. RSI remains healthy around mid–upper band, signaling momentum not overheated. Volume expansion shows the buyers aren’t exhausted yet. 4. Daily Tone Bulls want to keep price above $200 to avoid gamma pressure on the downside. Below $198, we start inviting liquidity hunts. 15–MINUTE INTRADAY STRUCTURE 1. Market Structure Short-term structure on 15m printed a CHoCH followed by BOS continuation into the closing session. We now have a small wedge structure forming just above intraday liquidity around $202.08–$202.36. If bulls defend these micro OBs, we can see a morning leg up. Weak hands got shaken near $201, and smart money collected stops. Classic intraday accumulation profile. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks Demand sits at:
• $202.30–$202.60
• $201.80–$202.10
Below that? $199–$200 is the bigger reload pocket. Supply zones to watch:
• $204.75–$205.10
• $207.90–$208.20 Everything in between is chop bait. 3. Indicator Confluence 9EMA trying to curl back up toward 21EMA. MACD histogram contracting to flat — sign of potential inflection. RSI pushing toward mid-band, which usually favors a scalp bounce early session if defended. 4. Intraday Tone Expect a morning decision candle. If bulls can take $204.75 clean, we likely rotate into the $207 liquidity pocket. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & OPTIONS SENTIMENT Options flow favors call-side interest, with meaningful call walls stacked at:
• $210
• $217.5
• $220 Gamma walls often behave like magnets when price gets within 1–2%. Noteworthy negative gamma sits lower at:
• $179–$180 If NVDA ever flushes below $195, dealers must hedge into downside momentum — accelerating moves. Conversely, above $205, dealer hedging acts as fuel for upside squeezes. Max pain appears around $200 — this explains why price has gravitated around this area into the weekend. How to use this:
• Above $205 → scalp continuation long into $207–$210.
• Below $200 → volatility spikes, favor puts. Expect volatility compression between $200–$205 early week, then a directional release. TRADE SCENARIOS (Nov. 3–7) ✅ Bullish Setup Trigger: Break and hold above $204.75
Entry: Retest of $204.40–$204.60
Targets: $207.80 → $210 → potential wick into $217
Stop: Below $202.50 Invalidation: 15m CHoCH to downside at $202.10. ✅ Bearish Setup Trigger: Break below $200 with heavy volume
Entry: Retest of $200–$200.30
Targets: $195.60 → $190 liquidity sweep
Stop: Above $202.50 Invalidation: reclaim of $204.75. CLOSING OUTLOOK This week sets up like a controlled grind with pockets of volatility. If bulls defend $200–$202 early, it can ignite a squeeze toward $210 and possibly tap the $217 gamma pocket. Failure at $200, especially with broad market weakness, flips this into a liquidity hunt down to $190. Personally, I’m watching for liquidity traps around $202 early week — if I see absorption, I’ll lean long into call walls. But if we reject from $204.75 again with declining volume, expect a fast unwind. DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and trade based on your own plan.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA Bull Flag: Breakout Toward 220–230NVDA’s 1D chart remains firmly bullish. Price cleared the ~$195 “BOS” and pushed to fresh highs above $205, with MA20 > MA60 > MA120 and widening bands supporting momentum. The near-term map is clear: Demand sits around $183 (former ceiling turned floor), while supply is forming at the new swing high near $209.50. Primary path: I’m looking for continuation on strength. A daily close above 209.50 would confirm buyers in control and opens room toward 220–225, with a stretch scope to 230 if momentum persists. If price hesitates first, a constructive retest of 195–198 (prior breakout area) can serve as the higher-low buy zone—especially if volume firms and intraday closes reclaim $200–203 quickly. Alternative: Failure to hold recent gains brings a deeper check. A daily close below 203.00 risks a slide toward the $200 psych handle and then $195–198. The broader bullish thesis is invalidated on a decisive daily close below 183.00, which would mark a clear break of structure and shift the bias back to neutral/bearish until reclaimed. Triggers to watch: daily close > 209.50 for continuation; weakness below 203.00 for a corrective leg. Manage entries around 195–198 or on strength through 209.50, and keep risk tight relative to 203/183 lines. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bbqgio
Nvidia Daily Outlook!NVDA is in an uptrend! Those who are already holding the stock can use $200 as a stop loss for short-term traders. Long-term traders can use $176 as a stop loss if the price falls below $176, it breaks below the short-term channel, which could push the price down first to the 200-day EMA(156.50$) and then to the horizontal support around $150. For those looking to make additional or new entries, they should wait for $183 and place a stop loss just below that level. I can’t predict whether it will go up or down I’m not a fortune teller :)) but this is what the technical analysis suggests. Good luck and profitable trades! This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MrWyckof
2
NVIDIA hit $5 Trillion but the end of the rally may be near.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke this week the $5 Trillion market cap barrier, becoming the first company to do so. In the meantime, it is extending the rally that started on the April 07 Low on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), following the end of the Tariff War. This rally has been nothing more than a part of the larger technical Bullish Leg inside the 10-year Channel Up that NVIDIA has been trading in. Within this pattern, the price has had rather asymmetric Bullish Legs in terms of rise % but has always been rejected at the top of the Channel Up and corrected back to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Following the mid-Bullish Leg corrections to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the final rallies of the Bullish Legs before their Tops have been around +200%. Then their corrections/ Bearish Legs have always hit the 1W MA200 (as mentioned), with one time bottoming just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and the other below it (0.5 Fib). We previously had NVIDIA's top at around $240, which is slightly below this expected +200% rise from the 1W MA100 bottom. As a result, we project that a potential contact with the 1W MA200 for the 2026 Bearish Leg can be achieved around $100, which is above the 0.382 Fib, similar to 2018. Note that a very reliable Top indicator has also been the 1M RSI and its 9-year Lower Highs Zone. Every time the RSI entered the Zone and then broke below its MA (yellow trend-line) and rebounded, the next hit was the Bullish Leg's Top. Right now the 1M RSI is about to enter this Zone for the second time, indicating that we may be approaching the end of this long-term rally. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
6
NVDA Bullish Breakout: Retest or Close Above 212.19 Toward 225NVDA’s daily chart remains firmly bullish after a clean breakout from a multi-month rectangle. Price is riding a MA20 > MA60 > MA120 stack, Bollinger Bands are expanding, and MACD momentum has flipped higher. The last close near $207.04 came on strong breadth, keeping buyers in control while price consolidates just under the recent high. Primary path: look for a controlled pullback into the former ceiling at $198.00–$202.00 to act as demand. A constructive reaction there keeps the breakout intact and favors a grind into $210–$215 first, with the measured move pointing toward $225 as momentum persists. Alternatively, strength can skip the retest— a decisive daily close above $212.19 would confirm continuation and unlock the same upside roadmap. Invalidation sits below the range top: a daily close back under $195.00 would negate the breakout and re-open downside toward the prior consolidation zone, with risk of a slide toward the $188 area if sellers press. Until then, the bias stays bullish with $198.00–$202.00 as the key line in the sand and $212.19 the trigger for fresh highs. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bbqgio
NVIDIA At New HighsNvidia is making more upside this week, now trading above the 200 level on optimism that the US and China could reach a tariff deal. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the stock still appears to be in wave five, with an extended higher-degree black wave three now approaching its first resistance around the 38.2% projection. If risk-on sentiment continues, the price may even retest the upper side of the Elliott Wave channel near the 230 area. This suggests that Nvidia could be entering an important zone where the higher-degree black wave three might complete, followed later by a deeper fourth-wave retracement before more upside resumes. So, I would stay patient and watch for a possible dip toward the 164–185 area once wave four begins. Highlights: Trend: Ongoing uptrend; wave five still in progress Potential: Reaching 230 resistance before wave four pullback Support: 164–185 zone Invalidation: Below 164 Note: Watch for signs of exhaustion near 230; next deep could offer new opportunity
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ew-forecast
NVIDIA – A New World First, Where Next?A mere 24 hours after Apple become the third company in history to reach a $4 trillion valuation, NVIDIA set a new benchmark by becoming the first company ever to register a market capitalisation of $5 trillion. Despite concerns about over extended valuations, the news flow for NVIDIA was initially positive to start this new week as the company attempts to solidify its future at the centre of the potential AI revolution. CEO Jensen Huang revealed the company had received $500 billion of AI chip orders, including contracts to build supercomputers for the US government and then President Trump commented on Wednesday that NVIDIA’s latest Blackwell chips could be a discussion point when he meets with President Xi at Thursday’s summit in South Korea. Putting this into numbers, after opening on Monday at 189.25, the stock soared 12% across the first 3 trading days to a high of 212.19 on Wednesday. That move brought its year-to-date rally to 54%, very impressive indeed! Although, it must be said that prices did slip back to close the day at 207.04. However, overnight the positive sentiment may have stalled slightly, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates 25bps as expected but Chairman Powell provided a more cautious outlook on future cuts than had been anticipated. Also, earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta released late on Wednesday were mixed, with strong profits offset by rising costs. Looking forward, the initial updates from the President Trump and President Xi meeting has started to arrive on newswires and traders will be keen to assess the actual details of what was discussed about NVIDIA chip sales between the two countries. A crucial aspect could be whether sales of NVIDIA’s latest Blackwell chip was discussed and if not, what were the reasons why. Then it’s eyes down for the release of Amazon and Apple earnings after the close tonight which could either confirm the recent bullish moves or throw a sentiment curve ball which could negatively impact in positioning into the weekend. Technical Update: Acceleration Higher Shifts Focus to Extension Resistance In just six trading sessions, NVIDIA's share price has rallied over 20%, reaching fresh all-time highs. Such a rapid acceleration can often signal strong momentum but also raises the risk of short-term upside exhaustion, although it's difficult to pinpoint where such moves might slow or even see risks of possible reversal. In this environment, traders might monitor support and resistance levels, with resistance zones signalling potential for profit-taking, while breaks below support could lead to further price weakness. [b Potential Resistance Levels: As price action pushes into uncharted territory with new all-time highs, identifying resistance becomes a challenge. However, traders often turn to Fibonacci extension levels, derived from the most recent correction, to highlight potential areas where upside momentum may slow or even reverse. As the chart above shows, for NVIDIA, this last correction developed between October 10th and October 22nd and the latest strength appears to be stalling in the short term ahead of 213.23, a level equal to the 100% Fibonacci extension. There is no guarantee such extension levels will be successful in capping price strength and closing breaks above the 213.23 resistance may shift focus to 220.14, which is the higher 138.2% extension level. Potential Support Levels: To maintain NVIDIA’s current price strength, traders may now be focused on Wednesday’s low at 204.78 as near-term support; if price weakness tests this level, its defense will be watched, as a closing break below 204.78 could trigger further downside pressure. A close below 204.78 could lead to tests of 198.59, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October 22nd to 29th rally, but if that support gives way, risks may extend toward 194.39, the deeper 50% retracement level. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Pepperstone
4
NVDA 5 trln USD market cap up next? Key fundamentals and upside.Is $5T reasonable for NVDA? • Mechanically, yes: The market only needs ~10% near-term appreciation from today’s levels to print $5T. That’s within one strong quarter or a guidance beat. • Fundamentally, the math works if (a) FY26–27 revenue tracks the guide/Street trajectory (TTM already $165B with Q3 guide $54B), (b) non-GAAP GMs hover low-to-mid-70s, and (c) opex discipline holds. Under those, forward EPS path supports ~35× at $5T, a premium but not outlandish for a category-defining compute platform. • Free-cash optionality: With ~$48B net cash and massive FCF, NVDA can keep funding buybacks (already $60B fresh authorization) and capacity, smoothing cycles. ________________________________________ • Stock price at $5T market cap: ≈ $205.8 per share (on ~24.3B shares). • Gain needed from $186.6: +$19.2 (~+10.3%). The quick math (market cap ⇒ price) • Shares outstanding (basic): ~24.3 B (as of Aug 22, 2025, per 10-Q). • Stock @ $5T market cap: $5,000,000,000,000 ÷ 24.3B ≈ $205.8/share. • From today’s price $186.6: needs +$19.2 or ~+10.3%. That also implies P/E (TTM) at $5T of roughly ~56× (using TTM EPS ~3.68). Today’s trailing P/E is ~50–53× depending on feed. ________________________________________ Core fundamentals snapshot 🧩 Latest quarter (Q2 FY26, reported Aug 27, 2025) • Revenue: $46.7B (+56% y/y; +6% q/q). • Data Center revenue: $41.1B (+56% y/y). • GAAP gross margin: 72.4%; non-GAAP 72.7%; Q3 guide ~73.3–73.5%. • GAAP EPS: $1.08 (non-GAAP: $1.05; excl. $180M inventory release: $1.04). TTM scale & profitability • Revenue (TTM): ~$165.2B. • Net income (TTM): ~$86.6B. • Diluted EPS (TTM): ~$3.5–3.7. • Cash & marketable securities: $56.8B; debt: ~$8.5–10.6B ⇒ net cash ≈ $48B. Capital returns • $24.3B returned in 1H FY26; new $60B buyback authorization (no expiration). Remaining buyback capacity ~$71B as of Aug 26. ________________________________________ Valuation read (today vs. $5T) Using widely watched metrics: • P/E (TTM): ~50–53× today; at $5T it rises to ~56× (assuming flat TTM EPS). • Forward P/E: Street FY27 EPS ≈ $5.91 → ~31–33× today; ~35× at $5T — still below many AI hyper-growth narratives that trade at 40–50× forward when growth visibility is high. • EV/EBITDA (TTM): EV ≈ market cap – net cash. Today EV ~$4.45T; EBITDA TTM ≈ $98–103B ⇒ EV/EBITDA ~43–45×; at $5T EV/EBITDA drifts to ~48–50×. • P/S (TTM): ~27× today (at $4.5T) and ~30× at $5T on $165.2B TTM revenue. • FCF yield: TTM FCF range $60.9–72.0B ⇒ ~1.35–1.60% today; ~1.22–1.44% at $5T. Takeaway: $5T doesn’t require a heroic repricing — it’s ~10% above spot and implies ~35× forward earnings if consensus holds. That’s rich vs. the S&P (~22.5× forward) but arguably reasonable given NVDA’s growth, margins, and quasi-platform status in AI compute. ________________________________________ What must be true to justify $5T (and beyond) ✅ 1. AI capex “supercycle” persists/expands. Citi now models $490B hyperscaler AI capex in 2026 (up from $420B) and trillions through 2029–30. A sustained 40–50% NVDA wallet share across compute+networking underwrites revenue momentum and margin sustainment. 2. Annual product cadence holds. Blackwell today → Rubin in 2026 with higher power & bandwidth, widening the perf gap vs. AMD MI450 — supports pricing power and mix. 3. Margins stay “mid-70s” non-GAAP. Company guides ~73.3–73.5% near term; sustaining 70%+ through transitions offsets any unit price compression. 4. Networking, software & systems scale. NVLink/Spectrum, NVL systems and CUDA/Enterprise subscriptions deepen the moat and smooth cyclicality; attach expands TAM (improves EV/EBITDA vs. pure-GPU lens). 5. China/export workarounds do not derail mix. Q2 had no H20 China sales; guidance and commentary frame this as manageable with non-China demand and limited H20 redirection. ________________________________________ A contrarian check (where the model could break) 🧨 • Power & grid bottlenecks. Even bulls (Citi) note AI buildouts imply tens of GW of incremental power; slippage in datacenter electrification can defer GPU racks, elongating deployments (and revenue recognition). • Debt-funded AI spend. Rising share of AI DC capex is being levered (Oracle’s $18B bonds; neoclouds borrowing against NVDA GPUs). If credit windows tighten, orders could wobble. • Customer consolidation & vertical ASICs. Hyperscalers iterating custom silicon could cap NVDA’s mix/price in some workloads; edge inference may fragment. • China policy volatility. Export rules already forced product pivots; rebounds are uncertain and not fully in NVDA’s control. • Multiple risk. At ~50× TTM and >40× EV/EBITDA, any growth decel (unit or pricing) can de-rate the multiple faster than earnings make up the gap. Bottom line of the bear case: If AI capex normalizes faster (say +10–15% CAGR instead of +25–35%), forward EPS still grows, but the stock would likely need multiple compression (toward ~25–30× forward), making $5T less sticky near-term. ________________________________________ Street positioning (latest bullish calls) 📣 • KeyBanc: $250 (Overweight) — Rubin cycle deepens moat → ~+34% implied upside. • Barclays: $240 (Overweight) — AI infra wave; higher multiple to 35×. ~+29% upside. • Bank of America: $235 (Buy). ~+26% upside. • Bernstein: $225 (Outperform). ~+21% upside. • Citi: $210 (Buy) — reiterates annual cadence & rising AI capex. • Morgan Stanley: $206–210 (Overweight). ~+11–13% upside; 33× CY25 EPS framework. • Consensus: Avg 12-mo PT ~$211, ~+13% from here. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ Extra color you can trade on 🎯 • Where bulls may be too conservative: o Networking/NVLink attach could outgrow GPUs as Blackwell/Rubin systems standardize on NVIDIA fabric, defending blended margins longer. o Software monetization (CUDA ecosystem, NIMs, enterprise inference toolchains) is still under-modeled in many sell-side DCFs. • Where bulls may be too aggressive: o China rebound timing & magnitude. o Power/real-estate constraints delaying deployments into 2026. o Credit-driven AI capex — watch for any signs of tightening in private credit / neocloud financing that uses GPUs as collateral. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ Sources: NVIDIA IR & 10-Q; Yahoo Finance stats; StockAnalysis (TTM financials); company Q2 FY26 press release and CFO commentary; recent analyst notes from KeyBanc, Citi, Barclays, BofA, Morgan Stanley; financial media coverage (WSJ/FT).
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ProjectSyndicate
49
NVDA Wave Analysis – 29 October 2025- NVDA opened with the upward gap - Likely to rise to resistance level 215.00 NVDA stock opened today with the sharp upward gap, which follows the earlier breakout of the resistance zone between the resistance levels 193.75 and 200.00. The breakout of the these resistance levels accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the extended intermediate impulse sequence 5 from April Given the overriding daily uptrend, NVDA can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 215.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii).
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FxPro
Will NVIDIA Retest Back at 1k Like in 2024 ?NVIDIA has been forming a clean long-term bullish structure: After its 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024, the post-split equivalent of the previous all-time high (~$1,150+) becomes the ~$1,000 zone. Price is currently establishing higher-lows around the $180-$200 range, which suggests support is stabilizing and a breakout could follow. The resistance cluster appears in the ~$230-$300 range next. Once that zone is decisively cleared, momentum toward ~$1,000 becomes far more plausible. Analysts have publicly discussed the possibility of NVIDIA reaching $1,000 or more, which adds a structural framework for the move. InvestorPlace Institutional demand for AI-infrastructure chips gives underlying support to the bullish case — the technical pattern is supported by real business strength. Why a Retest of ~$1,000 Makes Sense to me? The ~$1,000+ level represents the company’s prior pre-split peak, a major psychological barrier and structural target. With the lower base (support zone) forming now and the demand side robust, the next leg higher is likely to unfold once resistance around ~$300 is cleared. A move from ~$200 current to ~$1,000 is steep (~5×), but given the multi-year horizon and NVIDIA’s growth environment in AI, such a move aligns with long-term structural breakout patterns. The consolidation phase now gives the market time to absorb recent gains, allowing for a cleaner push higher rather than a sharp parabolic rise (which often leads to rapid pull-backs). Key Levels to Watch Support zone: ~$180-$200 — if this holds, the setup remains valid. Critical resistance: ~$230-$300 — a confirmed breakout above this zone should trigger acceleration. Structural target: ~$1,000 — once the midpoint breakout structure is in motion, this level becomes a logical target. Alternate scenario caution: If price drops below ~$180 and fails to regain ~$200 quickly, the setup would require reevaluation. My Belief I believe NVIDIA will retest the ~$1,000 level (or higher) over the next 1-2 years based on the clean structure, support formation, and macro-tailwinds in AI infrastructure. If the ~$230-$300 resistance is cleared convincingly, we’re entering the next leg of a multi-year bull run. Links NVIDIA 2024 1K
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MoNi_MoN