SILVER.F trade ideas
$50 Silver"Decade of zero returns" for the stock market = Shortening Bear Market for Commodities
Price target = $50
Fractal backbone + Room in technicals for such move.
Price target was established in June 2021.
Time frame pushed up in anticipation of 2023 bear.
#SILVER XAG/USDChart Setup
Asset: Silver (Silver / US Dollar - XAG/USD)
Timeframe:12 Month (very long-term view from 1954 onwards)
Scale: Logarithmic chart, which effectively shows long-term percentage growth.
Major Breakout: The chart shows silver breaking out of a multi-year consolidation pattern that formed after the 2011 peak. This pattern resembles a bull flag or a large pennant.
Resistance Becomes Support: Once Silver has decisively broken above the critical horizontal resistance level around $50, which was the peak in 1980 and 2011. This is a very strong bullish signal.
Ascending Channel: The price is trading within a well-defined, multi-decade ascending parallel channel. Currently, it has broken above the channel's midpoint, suggesting a move towards the upper boundary is possible.
Projected Path: I expect the price to confirm the breakout by potentially retesting the ~$50 level as support before continuing its upward trajectory.
Fibonacci Targets: A Trend-based Fibonacci extension tool is used to project future price targets.
Next Target Zone: The primary target is set around $130.
Long-Term Potential Targets: Much higher, longer-term targets are identified at approximately $783 and $4,752.
XAGUSDCOT Positioning:
Longs: 72,318 (78.3%)
Shorts: 20,042 (21.7%)
Net Position: +52,276 → strongly bullish bias.
Open Interest: Moderate rise, confirming market participation.
Economic Data:
GDP strong (3.8%), but Manufacturing PMI (49.1) shows contraction.
Services PMI (50.0) flat → neutral.
Retail sales (+0.60%) supportive but slightly weaker than expected.
Sentiment: Neutral-to-bullish with seasonality slightly supportive.
Interpretation:
Institutions remain net-long silver, supporting medium-term bullish bias. However, weaker retail and PMI readings warn of pullbacks.
Primary Trade Setup (Bullish Continuation)
Entry: Buy around 47.50 – 47.90
Stop-Loss: 46.80
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 48.50
TP2: 49.20
Alternative Setup (If Primary Fails / Breakdown)
Entry: Sell below 46.70 (breakdown confirmation).
Stop-Loss: 47.50
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 46.00
TP2: 45.20
Silver resistance retest at 4745The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4595 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4595 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4745 – initial resistance
4822 – psychological and structural level
4886 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4595 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4555 – minor support
4525 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4595. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 46.69523
💰TP: 44.62143
⛔️SL: 48.59440
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The buying culmination is also approaching its final phase in silver. Currently, silver has formed a bearish divergence, suggesting a downward technical reversal. The medium- and long-term priorities are more confident for sellers, but short-term factors also seem to indicate selling.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
silverHI GUYS
update and correction on my technical analysis . we are selling to test a shoulder then we buy again soon.
the signal area had an uptrend tilt , or bulish tilt which led to price patterns creating higher highs however if u know how to read the patterns u can easily find them.
silver is still bullish however the upcoming head shoulder next week is going to create an exhaustion price pattern like i illustrated in the pic above.
remember weekly RT is demanding for sells so lets trade with that future in mind
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 47.830 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Will US government shutdown add further fuel to silver’s rally?
Concerns over a weakening US labor market, expectations for further Fed rate cuts, and heightened government shutdown risks have fueled sustained demand for silver as a safe haven.
September ADP private payrolls fell by 32,000, the steepest drop since March 2023, while August figures were sharply revised from a 54,000 gain to a 3,000 loss, underscoring labor market softness.
Meanwhile, the shutdown has officially begun after bipartisan talks failed to reach an agreement, with the key uncertainty now being its duration. A shutdown lasting more than a month could have widespread economic repercussions.
XAGUSD sustains its uptrend above EMA21. The diverging EMAs indicate to a potential expansion of bullish momentum. If XAGUSD closes above EMA21, the price may advance toward the psychological resistance at 48.00. Conversely, if XAGUSD breaks below EMA21, the price could retreat toward the support at 46.00.
XAGUSD Long Idea: Bullish Retest of Former ResistanceHello TradingView Community,
This post outlines a potential long trade setup on the Silver / U.S. Dollar (XAGUSD) pair, based on the 15-minute chart.
Technical Analysis:
The chart is currently in a clear uptrend, demonstrating strong buying momentum. A key horizontal level can be identified at approximately $45.947. This level previously acted as a significant resistance, where the price struggled to break through on multiple occasions.
We have recently witnessed a decisive breakout above this resistance zone, which is a strong bullish signal. The trading idea is based on the classic "resistance-turned-support" principle. We are looking for a pullback to this broken level, which is now expected to act as a new support floor. A bounce from this area would confirm bullish continuation and present a potential entry point.
Trade Setup:
The long position tool on the chart visualizes a potential trade plan for this scenario:
Entry: Approximately $45.947 (at the retest of the new support).
Stop Loss: $45.041 (placed below the support structure to invalidate the idea if the level fails to hold).
Take Profit: $48.646 (targeting a new higher high in the prevailing trend).
This setup provides a structured plan with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move higher.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
Silver’s Deficit Dilemma: Buy the Dip or Wait?Silver prices eased after touching a 14-year high, but the structural story remains intact. The Silver Institute projects a 100 mln ounce shortfall in 2025, marking the fifth consecutive annual deficit. Fiscal uncertainty and US government shutdown fears have bolstered safe-haven demand, while industrial momentum remains strong, especially from solar and electronics. Persistent deficits and rising demand suggest dips may attract renewed buying rather than signal a trend reversal.
From a technical perspective, XAGUSD broke out of the ascending channel and extended its rally, with prices testing the 100% Fibonacci Extension at 48.00. An extension of the bullish momentum may prompt further upside toward the 127.2% Fibonacci Extension and psychological resistance at 50.00. Conversely, retreating below 48.00 may see XAGUSD retrace and retest the support and bullish fair value gap at 46.00.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
HIGHEST QUARTERLY CLOSE EVER!!!!!!Folks...we made history today...we have the highest quarterly close in silver in HISTORY! (yes this is in nominal terms and is not adjusting for CPI) but none the less is a historic moment. I do not now what lies ahead, but something tells me October will bring some major "happenings" that will cause precious metals to explode higher! I for one am fully loaded for the ride.
All the best to all of you!
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 46.228 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 46.568.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025
- Silver broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 48.00
Silver recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 45.00 (previous upward target set for Silver) and the resistance trendlines of the 2 up channels from August and April.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from July.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 48.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 46.999 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Bullish breakout support at 4595The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4595 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4595 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4745 – initial resistance
4822 – psychological and structural level
4886 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4595 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4555 – minor support
4525 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4595. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.