XAGUSD--Ascending Channel--Long bias, heading through all time high
--Ascending channel
--tp and entry levels are as shown on chart
Trade ideas
Silver : After a Buy Signal,rally continues
Silver : After a Buy Signal, rally continues
( Not a Buy / Sell Recommendation
Do your own due diligence ,Market is subject to risks, This is my own view and for learning only .)
Silver is in an 11-year Uptrend using Time@Mode MethodThe Silver market has been chopping around between $50 at $8.5 for the last 20 years but has been following the methodology I call "Time At Mode" from the observation that markets tend to trend for the same amount of time as the most common price across an accumulation level (or distribution level).
As you can see here with Silver, from 1993 to 2002, it went sideways and every year touched the $5 level and if you look carefully the "highest low" was in 1999 at $4.87. That is the official mode for the uptrend starting from the low in 1991.
Why did the uptrend start in 1991? 1991 was the lowest low for the following 5 bars, so we can methodically label the 1991 low the "start" of the uptrend. Counting forward from 1991 we can see the wide range from $4 to $7 across the following 10 years.
In 2003 I have marked a "range expansion" bar where the advance to the high that year was greater than the previous year's range. That "range expansion" is the sign of a change in the market and a signal that the market has detached from the mode and is ready to trend. What I have noticed is that the market will trend for the same number of bars as touch one single price line across the mode.
The 10th year wasn't the highest high of the uptrend of 10 years, but it was the "highest low" for the uptrend. You can also notice that the price moved up by 3x the range around the mode. The "range" is the highest to lowest measurement of those bars that between the start and end of the mode line.
By adding the "RAM" (range around mode) to the mode, you establish a likely price target for the trend. In this case, silver moved 3x the RAM or Range.
Since the peak in silver in 2011, silver has built a new mode at the $15 level and it too started to trend in 2019 by Range Expanding but then 2020 reversed that jump start and stopped out that signal.
2020 again saw a range expansion out of the mode and triggered a new 11-year uptrend which is labeled now ending in 2030.
The upside target is measured using a %-graph and measuring from $8.458 in 2008 to the high in 2011 at $48.8 and using that % to project up from the mode at $15.1897, which is the low of the year 2017.
So, the target is for $93 by the year 2030 which sounds impressive but is a bit over 143% spread out over 5 years for a compound gain of 19.5% per year.
The typical way to trade Time@Mode is to hold 2 positions, one to exit when the price target is hit and one to exit when the time expires.
See you in 2030 to see if this trade panned out.
Cheers,
Tim
8/27/2025 10:39AM EST
Silver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial streSilver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial strength
Technical Perspective
XAGUSD is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a continuation pattern that implies a bullish breakout post accumulation phase.
Bullish alignment of EMA cross also reinforces the positive outlook within consolidation.
Currently, XAGUSD is testing the upper boundary of the sideways range. A close above the 41.50 upper bound resistance would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target at 44.80 based on the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, failure to break above 41.50 may trigger a pullback toward the ascending trendline. A breakdown below this line would expose the key psychological support at 40.00.
Fundamental Perspective
Silver maintains a high correlation with gold, often rallying alongside it when gold prices rise.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding silver, boosting demand.
Industrial demand remains robust, especially in solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, with China driving consumption. Meanwhile, years of persistent supply deficits have tightened the market, providing strong fundamental support.
Geopolitical risks and safe-haven flows attract capital into broadly precious metals including silver.
In summary, silver’s latest rally is supported by monetary easing expectations, strong industrial demand, and heightened geopolitical tensions that reinforce safe-haven demand.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Silver uptrend sideways consolidation supported at 4067The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4067 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4067 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4181 – initial resistance
4224 – psychological and structural level
4260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4067 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4042 – minor support
4014 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 4067. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
🧐 Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 41.29
🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,066.6
Target Level: 3,923.7
Stop Loss: 4,160.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
SILVER H1 | Price signals a potential bearish dropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 40.93, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 40.36, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Consolidation & Bullish MovementThe price of SILVER is currently exhibiting trading behavior within a broad horizontal range.
Following a test of its support level, an inverted head and shoulders pattern was formed.
It is anticipated that this consolidation will persist, with a probable price increase towards the range's resistance level.
SILVER DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS let’s break this XAG/USD (Silver, Daily timeframe) chart down step by step:
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1. Current Market Context
Price is trading at 40.95, very close to recent highs.
Momentum is clearly bullish, with strong impulsive candles breaking above previous resistance zones.
Structure shows consistent higher highs & higher lows, confirming a bullish trend.
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2. Key Institutional Zones (Marked on Chart)
🔴 Supply / Short Zones
39.57 – 38.81:
This red zone was a major supply area where sellers previously stepped in.
Price consolidated, then broke above strongly.
This zone is now flipped into demand — meaning institutions may defend it on any pullback.
🔵 Demand / Long Zones
36.53 – 35.77:
Strong institutional demand zone. Previous breakout base.
If price retraces deep, expect institutions to re-enter longs here.
35.01 – 34.25:
Secondary demand zone. Historically defended with multiple reactions.
33.49 – 32.73:
Key structural base where the last big rally originated. Very strong institutional footprint.
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3. Trendline & Price Action
The ascending trendline drawn from May – July 2025 supports the bullish continuation narrative.
Price respected it multiple times before the breakout toward 40+.
If price corrects, watch for retests of trendline + demand zones aligning (confluence)
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4. Next Possible Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation (Most Probable)
A breakout and sustained close above 41.00–41.20 could accelerate a move toward 42.50 – 43.00 (next liquidity pool).
Momentum buyers likely target liquidity sitting above 41.85.
🔵 Bullish Pullback
A correction toward 39.50 zone (recent breakout level) would be healthy and could serve as a high-probability long re-entry.
Deeper retracement could retest 36.50 – 35.70 (major demand), offering swing long opportunities.
🔴 Bearish Reversal (Low Probability for Now)
Only a daily close below 35.70 would threaten the bullish structure.
That would open doors for a bigger drop back toward 34.20 – 33.50 demand.
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5. Institutional Positioning Perspective
Longs or Buy orders are likely built around the 36.50 → 35.00 demand levels.
Short-term profit-taking could occur near 41.00 – 42.00 supply, but unless institutions dump massively, dips remain buy opportunities.
Current momentum suggests institutions are defending longs and running price into higher liquidity pools.
---
✅ Summary:
Silver (XAG/USD) is in a strong bullish trend. As long as price holds above 39.50, buyers remain in control with targets at 42.50–43.00. Pullbacks into 39.50 or deeper 36.50–35.70 zones are opportunities for institutional re-accumulation (longs). A bearish reversal would only be confirmed below 35.70.
#SILVER - $3 Swing? 42 or 34.87?Date: 28-07-2205
#silver
Current Price: 38.15
Pivot Point: 38.440 Support: 37.740 Resistance: 39.145
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 39.812
Target 2: 40.480
Target 3: 41.245
Target 4: 42.010
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 37.070
Target 2: 36.400
Target 3: 35.635
Target 4: 34.870
#TradingView #Stocks #Equities #StockMarket #Investing #Trading #silver
#TechnicalAnalysis #StockCharts #Finance
#Gold #Bitcoin #Silver #TradingView #PivotPoints #SupportResistance
Silver(XAG/USD)-BullishBreakout&Continuation Setup Towards$4,200Silver has completed a prolonged sideways consolidation and successfully broken above the resistance area, showing strong bullish momentum. Price is now retesting the breakout zone, which may act as support before the next upward move. If the bullish trend holds above $3,750–$3,800, the next target lies near $4,200.
Key levels:
Resistance: $4,000 – $4,202
Support: $3,600 – $3,750
Trend Bias: Bullish above support zone
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice
Spot Silver analysis
With RSI and CVD showing divergence to price, probability for a decent pullback increases. Buyers may start to become exhausted within the 41 - 40.5 range, despite strong fundamentals.
Price acceptance above VAH on the Yearly VP with a clean test of the same in confluence with the first deviation of the Yearly VWAP, indicating to a strong uptrend and suggesting a shift of value area to higher territory, with ~38.15 as the potential POC.
Price is currently sitting at the second deviation of the Yearly VWAP, suggesting an over-streched condition.
A pullback on the VAH of the Quarterly VP in confluence with the first deviation of the Quarterly VWAP and the broken resistance of 39.5, in my opinion, makes a solid long entry point as the uptrend persists, supported by strong fundamentals. If buyers, on the other hand, fail to defend 39.5, the next potential entry would be around the Quarterly VWAP and POC; however, we do have volumes accumulated just above 39.5 (~39.8), meaning that it is likely buyers will jump in to defend that zone.
In the short-term/intraday view, price continues to accept 41 as resistance despite positive news on Friday. The VAL of the Weekly VP showed consistent buyers with 40.5 and the area 40.7/75 as accepted support.
If sellers continue to defend 41 and show intention of shifting volumes lower, a break of the 40.7/75 area would indicate buyers exhaustion and a break of 40.5 would indicate sellers control. Weekly CVD shows sellers stepping in on Friday; however, one danger for a short position in the current price level is potential sellers absorption just a tick or two below 41, making it a key level for both buyers and sellers.
Overall, a pullback can be expected in Silver but it's not wise to jump in a short just yet.
XAGUSD 4HTrading Outlook for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we review trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to—or breakout from—this zone will determine the next price movement toward the specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight key levels ahead of the price and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
Waiting to decide on silverSilver is currently in a very important supply range mpl and we should be very cautious in trading this commodity. And the most important ceilings and floors are the two red trend lines that have been drawn and I can expect an upward or downward trend with the failure of either of these.
XAGUSD--keep rising up to the all time high?very strong bullish momentum. it seems silver will keep rising to the all time high.
please also check the chart I published at 30 Aug, below.
SILVER XAGUSD SILVER BULLS WINS ON ECONOMIC DATA REPORT AND KEEPS GAINS
BREAKDOWN.
Indicator Current Forecast Previous
Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Non-Farm Employment Change 22,000 75,000 79,000
Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
Fed Interpretation:
Average Hourly Earnings (0.3% m/m): In line with forecasts and previous data, showing steady wage growth. Stable wage growth suggests moderate inflation pressure from labor costs.
Non-Farm Employment Change (22,000): Significantly below forecast (75,000) and previous month (79,000), indicating a sharp slowdown in job creation. This suggests labor market cooling, potentially reflecting economic slowdown or more cautious hiring by employers.
The agency responsible for the US Non-Farm Employment Change data is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor
The report, often released on the first Friday of each month, measures the change in the number of people employed in the US excluding farm workers, private household employees, and nonprofit organization employees.
It is based on the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey which covers about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 worksites.
The data provides detailed insights into employment, hours worked, and earnings across various industries.
The report is closely watched as a key indicator of labor market health and overall economic performance.
Unemployment Rate (4.3%): Slightly increased from previous 4.2%, matching forecast. A rising unemployment rate confirms some softening in labor market conditions.
The agency responsible for measuring and reporting the Unemployment Rate in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL).
Key Points:
The Unemployment Rate is part of the monthly Employment Situation Report produced by the BLS.
It measures the percentage of the labor force that is jobless but actively seeking work.
Data for the unemployment rate is collected through the Current Population Survey (CPS), which surveys approximately 60,000 households.
The BLS releases the unemployment rate and other labor statistics on the first Friday of every month.
The Department of Labor oversees the BLS, which is responsible for gathering and disseminating this critical labor market data that influences economic policy, including Federal Reserve decisions.
Summary:
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): the official source for the unemployment rate.
U.S. Department of Labor (DOL): the parent department supervising BLS operations.
The unemployment rate data helps assess economic health and guides policy decisions on employment and inflation.
Overall Fed Takeaway:
The marked slowdown in job growth combined with a slight rise in unemployment signals weakening labor market strength
Stable wage growth limits upside inflation risks from labor costs.
These signals suggest easing inflation pressures and a slowing economy, which might encourage the Fed to pause further rate hikes or consider cutting rates soon to support growth.
The Fed will likely weigh this data alongside other inflation and economic indicators to decide the next policy step but may lean cautiously towards easing given the weaker jobs data.
In summary, today’s data points to a moderating labor market with controlled wage inflation that supports a more dovish Fed approach in upcoming meetings.
DXY DEFENDED 97,428 ON DATA RPORT AND CLOSE THE 4HR ABOVE KEY SUPPORT STRUCTURE TO 97.722 AS AT REPORTING.
THE US 10Y BOND YIELD 4.056% SINKING TODAY BUT ON STRUCTURE THE US10Y IS ON DEMANDFLOOR AND BOND BUYING COULD OFFSET GOLS GAINS TODAY.
OPEN OF NEXT WEEK GOLD WILL CORRECT BECAUSE ITS OVER BOUGHT.
#GOLD #DXY #US10Y #DOLLAR
Silver’s Bullish Transition: $50 and BeyondSilver OANDA:XAGUSD FX:XAGUSD TVC:SILVER COMEX:SI1! has completed a multi-decade accumulation phase and is now entering a global bullish supercycle, capable of reshaping the balance of power in the precious metals market. Below is the current view across timeframes, structures, and macro drivers.
🔭 Global Perspective
Since the early 1980s, silver has been moving within a broad corrective structure, with two major corrections: from 1980 to 1995 and from 2011 to 2020.
Now there is strong evidence that a transition phase — wave (III) — has begun, which could potentially break historic highs and push prices toward $100+.
Upon reaching the $50 mark, the chart would complete a classic institutional "cup with handle" pattern, similar to gold, potentially triggering an exponential rally.
⏱ Mid-Term View
Since August 2022, silver has been developing an impulsive structure.
The deep correction we observed in April 2025 likely represents wave C of a flat correction, completing wave (4) of the current impulse.
Currently, silver is building wave (5). Within it, the first subwave (i) has either been completed or is still forming.
In the coming weeks or month, a local pullback is possible, followed by a continuation of the bullish rally, with a medium-term target in the $42–50 range.
🌐 Macro and Fundamental Drivers of Growth:
📈 Inflation and declining real interest rates — Silver, like gold, acts as an inflation hedge, especially during periods of monetary easing.
💵 Weakening U.S. Dollar — A falling DXY and potential QE strengthen demand for silver.
⚙️ Growing industrial demand — Silver is essential for solar panels, electronics, electric vehicles, and the medical sector.
🌍 Green energy transition — Silver is a critical material for photovoltaic technologies and the expansion of renewable energy.
📉 Structural supply deficit — Declining mining investment and ore grades are forming a long-term supply shortage.
🏦 Increasing institutional interest — ETFs, hedge funds, and banks are expanding their exposure to silver, boosting liquidity and long-term price support.
⚠️ Geopolitical risks — Metals act as a safe-haven amid rising global instability and de-dollarization trends.
📌
The supercycle is intact — we are likely within wave (III).
Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall structure remains bullish.
Medium-term target — $42–50.
The full cycle may take years, but the directional bias is clear.
Fundamental factors strongly support the technical outlook, pointing to significant long-term upside.
(Alchemy Markets) Silver Sees 45 Year Trend LineSilver has rallied nearly 45% from the April low reaching $41/oz. Silver prices can now see a very long-term trend line connecting the 1980 and 2011 price highs , a 45-year trend line in the making. (red line)
If Silver were to rally that high, a bearish reaction would likely be felt.
However, Silver has a wall of Elliott wave relationships and market geometry it needs to contend with first.
The rally from the September 2022 low is quite mature from an Elliott wave perspective. The rally is unfolding as an impulse wave pattern labeled 1-2-3-4-5 and it appears Silver is in the late stages of wave 5.
Wave 5 would need to subdivide as 5-waves and current prices appear to have completed wave ((iv)) at the July 31 low.
If this wave labeling is correct, then Silver is in wave ((v)) of 5 of (C)...an ending wave at 3 degrees of trend.
We can use common wave relationships and market geometry measurements to estimate where this current up wave may travel to.
There is a cluster of wave relationships between 41.59 - 44.92 plus a parallel price channel to help hold down Silver.
Lastly, there is some histogram divergence noted on the MACD indicator.
All of these symptoms mixed together suggest rallies in Silver may be limited with the bulk of the trend behind it.
IF this is correct, then another down-up sequence may finish silver off and lead to a decline back to the wave 4 extreme, near $29.
Though not expected, if silver does plow above $44.92, then the 1980 trend line will likely offer a bearish reaction.
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 40.955 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 41.109.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m watching silver closely for a potential short setup. Price action suggests a possible head and shoulders formation, but I’m still waiting for confirmation from key variables before committing. For example:
- I’d like to see the current 1H candle close within my range
- Lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.0
Entry price = 40.88
Stop loss price = 41.14
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 40.17
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 39.77
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation before entering means fewer trades, but higher-quality ones.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts – I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
