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Silver | Long Setup | Industrial Demand Breakout | Aug 27, 2025📌 XAGUSD | Long Setup | Historic Undervaluation + Industrial Demand Breakout | Aug 27, 2025 ROI: $160M Risk: $5.7M 🔹 Thesis Summary Silver remains one of the most structurally undervalued assets in the commodities space. With accelerating institutional accumulation (COT data), surging industrial demand, and constrained mine supply, this setup offers asymmetric upside into the next commodity supercycle. 🔹 Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry Zone: $27.00 – $38.50 Stop Loss: $10.65 (below liquidity shelf and structural invalidation) Take-Profits: TP1: $44.50 (previous high retest) TP2: $64.14 (channel median + prior fib confluence) TP3: $83.12 (partial TP near long-term resistance) Max Target: $128.22+ (structural breakout projection) Risk/Reward: Up to 7.5R Timeline: Multi-year (targeting 2030–2036 commodity rotation cycle) 🔹 Narrative & Context Silver’s current technical posture reflects a multi-decade accumulation breakout within a rising channel structure dating back to 2011. Institutional positioning confirms smart money is re-entering (per COT data), aligning with surging industrial demand from solar, electronics, and EV sectors. From a relative value lens, the silver-to-gold ratio remains elevated, historically signaling upside reversion potential. The undervaluation is amplified by physical shortages, as indicated by U.S. Mint supply constraints and rising dealer premiums. As a dual-purpose metal, silver benefits from both risk-off macro hedging and real-world industrial pull. It remains accessible to retail yet remains institutionally underweighted. 🔹 Macro Considerations Tailwinds: Global inflation persistence or fiat distrust (BRICS dedollarization) Renewed solar/green energy investment cycles Physical shortages or COMEX delivery strains Fed pause or dovish pivot sustaining commodities bid Risks: Strong USD resurgence / higher real yields Industrial demand substitution (e.g., graphene or other conductors) Regulatory interventions or taxation shifts on precious metals 🔹 Forward Path Should this thesis gain traction, a follow-up will cover: Monthly timeframe structural pivots Silver-to-Gold ratio mean reversion mechanics SLV ETF flows and miner outperformance signals Key levels to watch for parabolic breakout validation Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Silver Eyes 40-Resistance for a Record High BreakoutIn line with gold’s momentum and the industrial demand for silver—particularly from the growing tech and AI sectors—a clear hold above the 40 mark may extend gains toward 42, aligning with the upper border of the uptrending channel respected since 2023. A breakout beyond that border may offer a more comfortable bullish outlook for silver, with potential upside toward 46 and 50, in line with the 2011 peaks and possibly beyond. On the downside, should momentum pull back, a clean break below 37 may extend losses toward the channel’s mid-zone near 35, where a potential rebound could emerge. If not, the next key level I’m eyeing is the lower boundary of that channel near the 30 mark, which may offer another long-term bullish positioning opportunity on the silver chart. — Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREXcom
Silver’s Roadmap: Support at 37, Eyes on 451. What happened last week As I mentioned in previous analyses, Silver is more bullish than Gold. Last week confirmed this view once again: the dip from 37 was quickly absorbed by buyers, showing strong demand. On the weekly chart (left), the reversal from the lows printed a clear bullish engulfing candle, while on the daily chart (right), the bounce shaped a classic three white soldiers pattern. 2. Key resistance and current challenge Friday’s advance, however, stalled exactly at the resistance zone around 39, an area defined by the high from previous months. This makes 39 the immediate hurdle for bulls. Without a clean breakout above this zone, the risk of another short-term pullback remains. 3. Bigger picture outlook Looking further ahead, many traders might see a move toward 45 as “stretched,” considering it implies a rally of nearly 6000 pips from here. But in percentage terms, that’s only about 15%, which is well within Silver’s historical volatility. In fact, such moves are not unusual for Silver market when momentum builds. 4. Trading plan With this in mind, as long as the 37 level holds as support, the strategy remains to buy dips into weakness. A decisive break above 39 would provide confirmation for continuation, opening the door toward the 45 target area. 5. Final note Silver continues to show relative strength compared to Gold. The technical picture is bullish, the levels are well-defined, and the price action is clean. Now the market simply needs confirmation above resistance. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
10
XAGUSD Final TP Hit BeautifullySILVER Hit our TAKE PROFIT PRICE LEVEL which doesnt surprise us " SOMFX TRADING TEAM " because this was what we were eagerly waiting for weeks. The structure of the market was clear to every one who understands the dynamics of the market move. if you go back to the original post of silver at 29/July/2025 you will clearly see that i have predicted the first move, the second move and also i have clerly pointed that the sellers will try to come back to the market at 39.00 and they will be doomed by point a horizontal line saying " So many willing sellers will be doomed here " and that is clearly what happened. GUYS HAPPY TARDING.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Somfx_Trading
Silver breakout support at 3830The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3830 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3830 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3965 – initial resistance 4000 – psychological and structural level 4040 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3830 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3800 – minor support 3755 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 3830. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
A 45-Year Trend Breakout Signal in the Silver/S&P 500 Ratio This analysis presents a long-term case for a secular trend reversal in the Silver-to-S&P 500 ratio. The ratio appears to be breaking out from a multi-year consolidation pattern that is nested within a massive 45-year descending channel. This alignment of short-term and long-term patterns, supported by fundamental drivers, suggests the extended period of equity outperformance over silver may be approaching a major inflection point. Technical Analysis: A Generational Reversal The monthly chart displays a rare confluence of technical formations, with each pattern reinforcing the others across different time horizons. * The 45-Year Descending Channel: The entire modern history of the ratio is framed by a massive descending channel originating from the 1980 peak. This structure has defined the long-term bear market. The key insight is that the ratio bottomed at the lower boundary of this channel in the early 2000s and has spent two decades building a base in the lower half of the channel. * The Macro Rounding Bottom: The large green arc (highlighted by the white circle) visualizes the generational bottoming process that has been forming since the 2011 peak. This classic reversal pattern suggests a gradual but powerful shift from a bearish regime to a new bullish accumulation phase. * The Nested Triangle Breakout: Within the larger rounding bottom, the price has been consolidating in a multi-year symmetrical triangle. The ratio is currently attempting to break out from this nested pattern, signaling the potential start of the next major upward impulse. * Bullish Moving Average Crossover: Confirming this breakout is a rare "golden cross" on the monthly chart, with the 12/24-month SMAs crossing above the 50-month SMA. This signals a significant shift in long-term momentum, mirroring a similar event that preceded the major bull market that peaked in 2011. Fundamental Drivers This technical setup is underpinned by powerful fundamental catalysts: * Strategic Mineral Classification: The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has designated silver as a "Critical Mineral," essential for national security and the economy. * Emerging Sovereign Demand: Reports indicate potential new interest from sovereign entities, like Saudi Arabia and Russia, in adding silver to their national reserves. * Structural Supply Deficit: This new demand is emerging against a backdrop of a persistent structural deficit in the silver market. Synthesis and a Two-Stage Thesis The technicals suggest a two-stage process for a major trend reversal. The breakout from the nested triangle, driven by the rounding bottom, represents the initial move. This is the start of a potential journey from the lower half of the 45-year channel toward its upper boundary. Should the initial breakout be confirmed, it could represent the beginning of the parabolic, multi-year phase of outperformance that many long-term investors have anticipated for decades. - Stage 1 Confirmation: A sustained monthly close above the 0.0060 level is the critical threshold for confirming the breakout from the nested triangle. - Stage 2 Macro Target: A successful breakout would imply an eventual long-term move toward the upper boundary of the 45-year descending channel. Disclaimer : This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investment decisions should be made with the consultation of a qualified professional.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AnttiKokkoo_
Silver - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:XAGUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
SILVER Will Keep Growing! Buy! Hello,Traders! SILVER is trading in an Uptrend and the price Made a bullish breakout Of the key horizontal Level of 39.53$ and the Breakout is confirmed so We are bullish biased And we will be expecting A further bullish continuation Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
SILVER AT RESISTANCE ZONE-READ CAPTIONHi trade's Silver price is currently approaching the resistance zone near 39.100, while the risk level remains at 39.500. If price respects this resistance, we may see a rejection and a move back toward the demand zone at 37.900. However, if buyers push above 39.500, the bearish setup becomes invalid. This setup highlights a short opportunity from resistance with demand zone as the key target. Risk management is crucial, as a breakout above 39.500 may shift the trend Resistance 39.100 Demand 37.900 Risk 39.500
TVC:SILVERShort
by haleh120
Silver (XAG/USD), Major Technical Resistance at $41/42The silver price (XAG/USD) has risen significantly since our bullish analysis of July 29; now a major technical resistance is approaching Precious metals prices are directly influenced by the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook, and the Fed will announce a decisive monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 17. This Friday’s NFP report (September 5) will also strongly affect the probability of Fed action on September 17. By clicking on the chart below, you can first revisit our bullish analysis of July 29, which proved accurate. Since last spring, gold prices have been capped by the major technical resistance at $3500/3550, with several potential scenarios depending on the Fed’s decision. These scenarios were detailed in our full analysis yesterday, accessible via the chart below. From a technical perspective, a major resistance zone at $41/42 is approaching The XAG/USD price has appreciated sharply since our late July bullish technical analysis. We now highlight the proximity of significant technical targets that could influence the market in the short term. There is indeed a confluence of technical resistances between $41 and $42: a horizontal resistance dating back to 2011, the upper bound of a bullish channel in place since 2020, and a Fibonacci extension within the C-wave fractal count. It would therefore not be surprising to see silver consolidating in the short term. The first strong technical support lies between $35 and $37. In the longer term, the historical record high remains the natural bullish target for XAG/USD. Institutional positioning on XAG/USD will be decisive, especially capital inflows into US spot Silver ETFs The underlying bullish trend in silver appears healthy given the strong capital inflows into Silver ETFs since early 2025. This positive dynamic is directly linked to the fact that the US dollar (DXY) has been the weakest major currency on Forex in 2025. How can one anticipate the end of the bullish trend in XAG/USD? Technical analysis signals matter, but monitoring the capital dynamics in Silver ETFs will be just as critical. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by Swissquote