Trade ideas
Silver Roadmap: Key Supply at 38.8 or a Breakout to 39.6?Price is consolidating around 38.0, after recovering from July’s breakdown, currently sitting just below the weekly supply/resistance zone at 38.3–38.8, with liquidity resting above 39.2–39.6. The nearest and strongest daily demand lies at 36.6–35.5 (origin of the prior impulse and multi-touch base).
Momentum/RSI on the daily chart is neutral (not overbought), with the latest rally built on shallow pullbacks → a favorable context for potential “stop-hunts” above supply before the market makes a decision.
COT (Aug 12): Non-commercials remain net long but have been trimming positions (longs ↓, shorts ↑), while commercials stay net short → bullish positioning is cooling, often a precursor to range-bound or corrective phases.
Retail sentiment: roughly 52% short / 48% long, not at extremes → no strong contrarian signal.
Seasonality: August tends to be slightly bullish for silver on 10–20 year averages, while September is historically negative → current tailwind may turn into a headwind ahead.
🔎 Bias: Neutral with a bearish tilt at 38.3–38.8, unless a breakout is confirmed; elevated risk of false breaks toward 39.3–39.6 before potential downside rotation.
Key catalysts to watch: DXY and real yields (inverse correlation), gold performance, US macro releases (CPI, ISM, NFP), and Chinese data (PMIs/industrial growth).
A stronger USD or rising yields would favor the bearish case from 38.8, while a weaker USD combined with a gold breakout would increase the odds of a liquidity sweep toward 39.6.
XAGUSD 4HIn this series of analyses, we have reviewed trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current asset price, and the market’s reaction or breakout at this level will determine the next price trend toward the specified targets.
Important note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to highlight significant levels ahead of the price and potential market reactions to these levels. The provided analyses are by no means trading signals!
SILVER H9 | Market OutlookWhen you look at silver market has actually been in an uptrend for about three years. It’s very possible that we go sideways or correction for the short term. But over the longer term, it goes from the lower left to the upper right, and there’s really no way to dispute that.
4 Step Explanation: What Is the Short Squeeze Mindset?Silver (XAG/USD) BUY Setup – Short Squeeze Mindset in Action 🪙📈
Silver is one of the most exciting assets to trade. It’s volatile, emotional, and attracts both institutional players and retail traders. But that same volatility can
often feel like a trap. One minute the price looks ready to fly, the next minute it pulls back sharply — leaving traders frustrated and shaken out of positions.
This is why you need a structured approach to trading Silver. Today, I’ll walk you through how the Short Squeeze Mindset gave me a BUY signal on XAG/USD and how you can apply the same process.
What Is the Short Squeeze Mindset?
The short squeeze mindset is about aligning the bigger picture trend with short-term traps.
On higher timeframes (like the daily chart), you look for trend direction.
On lower timeframes (like the 4H chart), you look for pullbacks that suck in shorts.
Once momentum flips back in favor of the trend, those shorts are forced to cover — fueling a breakout.
This isn’t just theory. It happens all the time in volatile markets like Silver. And right now, Silver is flashing a setup.
What Silver Is Showing Us Now 🚀
Daily Chart: Silver just printed a green bar 🟩, confirming that buyers remain in control.
4H Chart: At the same time, a red bar 🟥 appeared, luring short sellers into the market.
Result: Shorts think they’ve found safety, but in reality, they’re walking into a trap.
This mismatch between the daily green bar and the 4H red bar is the exact pattern the Short Squeeze Mindset looks for.
The 4 Steps for Silver BUY Setup
Here’s how I break it down:
1️⃣ Rocket Booster Strategy
Always begin by identifying strong trending markets. On the daily timeframe, Silver is pressing higher, showing bullish continuation.
2️⃣ Momentum Trading Style
Momentum is not just about one chart — it’s about flows. Precious metals are catching bids in line with broader commodity strength. Silver is participating in that momentum.
3️⃣ Short Squeeze Mindset
This is where the magic happens:
Daily = 🟩 Green (trend up)
4H = 🟥 Red (pullback trap)
Shorts load in on the red bar, but they’re trading against the larger bullish trend.
When price flips back up, their stop-losses fuel the breakout.
4️⃣ Stochastic Overbought Zone
Most traders panic when stochastic hits “overbought.” But in a squeeze, this is confirmation of strength. Silver can remain overbought for extended periods when buyers dominate.
How To Trade This Silver Setup 🔑
Here’s a practical breakdown of how to structure the trade:
Daily Confirmation
Daily bar is green = higher timeframe bias is BUY.
4H Pullback Trap
Shorts are entering on red bar 🟥.
This is where patient traders prepare to fade weakness.
Entry Trigger
Wait for a bullish candlestick reversal pattern on the 4H chart:
Bullish engulfing
Morning star
Hammer
Enter after confirmation, not before.
Profit Targets & Risk
Take Profit 1 (TP1): Previous daily swing high
Take Profit 2 (TP2): Major psychological level (e.g., $30)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below the most recent 4H swing low
What This Means 🌍
Silver’s volatility is often seen as a weakness, but with the Short Squeeze Mindset, it becomes your advantage. Instead of chasing breakouts late or panicking during pullbacks, you’re using volatility as a tool.
This means:
You’re trading in line with the higher timeframe trend.
You’re entering when shorts are most vulnerable.
You’re letting trapped sellers provide the momentum for your trade.
That’s how you turn volatility into confidence.
Final Thoughts
Silver (XAG/USD) is setting up for a BUY based on the Short Squeeze Mindset. By combining the daily bullish trend with the 4H pullback trap, you’re positioning yourself ahead of the breakout — not after it.
This is the type of setup you want to practice spotting again and again until it becomes second nature.
🚀 Keep this play in your trading journal.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only. Trading is risky. Always use proper risk management and test strategies on a demo account before trading with real money.
SILVER MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅SILVER is about to retest
A key structure level of 39.50$
Which implies a high likelihood
Of a move down as some market
Participants will be taking profit
From long positions while others
Will find this price level to be
Good for selling so as usual we
Will have a chance to ride the
Wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Beware...one more drop very possible!It would be a typical market maker move to drop the metals mkts one more time early next week following the elation we all felt on Friday...I find it a bit suspicious that everyone is now stating "to the moon" for PMs...yes metals will almost certainly be higher a month or two than they are right now, but...done be surprised if they dump on us early next week trying to shake loose some weak hands!
SILVER: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell SILVER.
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SILVER Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and Silver shot
Up sharply today and it
Is now locally overbought
So after the retest of the
Horizontal resistance above
At 39.53$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is Silver Breaking Out?Silver hit a 14-year high last month, and now traders may think the white metal has further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since late July. XAGUSD pushed above that falling trendline today, potentially signaling a breakout.
Second, prices held the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is still positive.
Short-term signals may paint a similar picture because the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD could also be trying to turn higher.
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Markets Await PowellMarkets are pulling back slightly ahead of Powell’s speech, where traders hope to catch hints on where the Fed’s policy may take us next.
For now, I don’t see my setups on the charts, and this uncertainty makes me cautious. That’s why I’ll be mapping out trade plans for each interesting asset — where to enter, where to place stop-losses, and so on.
I like silver.
It’s holding strong, with massive upside potential toward 41, 44, and even 48.
Volatility is calming down, price is resting on the moving averages, and it looks like it’s begging for a long.
📝Trading Plan
🟢Entry: From the current level, though, it feels a bit pricey. Ideally, I’d like to see a dip to 37.50 or at least 37.75 before going long. I won’t place orders until the US session opens — I’ll be watching and setting orders closer to the open.
🔴Stop: Stop at 37.25.
🎯Target: Straight to the moon 🚀
XAGUSD Channel Up still valid, targeting $40.500.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 07 market bottom. Right now it is consolidating with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as Support, following the recent 1-month pull-back.
We have seen the very same consolidation pattern after every Higher High, as also shown on the 1D RSI.
As long as it holds, this is a strong buy opportunity near the bottom of the Channel Up, targeting $40.50 based on the +11.90% rise that the previous Bullish Leg did.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVERtogether☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 38.010 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Solver range trading supported at 3753The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3753 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3753 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3875 – initial resistance
3913 – psychological and structural level
3954 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3753 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3720 – minor support
3676 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 3753. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVER (XAGUSD) – 2H Outlook | ACCUMULATION PHASEStructure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is testing a Decision Zone (38.2 – 38.4) ⚔️ near the descending trendline.
Order blocks & liquidity pools are stacked on both sides.
Market Overview
📉 Bearish Scenario → Rejection from 38.2 – 38.4 may send price lower:
🎯 Target 1: 37.5
🎯 Target 2: 36.9
🚀 Bullish Scenario → Breakout above 38.4 could drive momentum higher:
🎯 Target 1: 39.0
🎯 Target 2: 39.5
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance: 38.2 – 38.4 ❌
Support: 37.5 ✅, 36.9 ✅
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
SILVER XAGUSDUnemployment Claims: 235,000 (previous 226,000 and 224,000), indicating a slight rise in weekly jobless claims, which may suggest some softening in the labor market.
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -0.3 (previous readings 6.8 and 15.9), signaling contraction in manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region, a notable decline from recent positive readings.
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 53.3 (previous 49.7 and 49.8), indicating expansion in the manufacturing sector nationwide with improvement from contraction in prior months.
Flash Services PMI: 55.4 (previous 54.2 and 55.7), showing continued growth in the services sector, with a slight increase compared to the previous month.
These mixed signals suggest some regional manufacturing weakness but overall continued expansion in US manufacturing and services, while the recent rise in unemployment claims is worth monitoring for any emerging labor market softness.
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 38.101 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.980.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAGUSD - ShortXAGUSD – SELL Setup
📊 H1 Timeframe Analysis by Nii_Billions
🔹 Outlook: BEARISH
Using multiple timeframe confirmation for direction.
Strategy blends technicals, fundamentals, and sentiment.
Entry, SL, and TP structured with risk management in mind.
🟢 Educational purposes only 🟢
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