XAGUSD - Bullish ReversalXAGUSD has formed a double bottom on 1H. Placing buy stop on break of neckline.
Trade ideas
#XAGUSD(SILVER): Price is likely to drop at $41 area. The current trading price of XAGUSD (SILVER) is at an all-time high. This is attributed to global uncertainty and the decline of the US Dollar. However, the lack of significant volume to support this level suggests a potential rapid decline. This decline could facilitate the price reaching a key level of $41.
There are two potential benefits from this drop. Firstly, it would allow for maximisation of trading by selling. Secondly, when the price reaches this level, we can purchase at the discounted price.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
DEAD RECKONING: Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin vs. the Empire of DebtWhy This Time, Silver's Surge Might Signal a Systemic Shift—Not Another 1980 or 2011 Collapse
The world built on credit is sailing blind through heavy seas. Gold leads, silver amplifies, and Bitcoin holds the digital line as the Empire of Debt drifts toward its reckoning.
The Setup: A Colossus on the Brink
Picture the scene: a sovereign-debt Goliath staggering under $38 trillion in outstanding U.S. obligations—124 percent Debt to GDP ratio—while $600 trillion in derivatives lurk like a ready-to-blitzkrieg enemy beneath the surface.
The financial establishment, floating inside an $8 trillion post-GFC and COVID bailout bubble, ignores the real economy’s warnings. Re-industrialization is a mere concept and future hope, purchasing managers’ indexes are sliding, consumer defaults are climbing, housing is staggeringly unaffordable, and wages are dramatically lagging.
Gold, piercing $4,000 per ounce after a 62 percent 2025 surge, flashes the first distress signal. Central banks are buying more than 1,000 tons a year, and BRICS nations have piled up 6,000 tons , shifting half their trade off the dollar grid.
Silver, breaking above $50 and up 79 percent in 2025, exposes the weakening grip of paper suppression: 179 million ounces short, backwardation over $ 3, and a 265-million-ounce deficit that the derivatives complex can’t conceal.
NOTE: It will be interesting to see if the emergency cargo flights of Silver from New York to the LBMA in London will resolve the supply squeeze occurring across the pond.
Bitcoin, climbing to $126,000 and a $2.65 trillion market cap , thought recently struggling, up only 16.8% in 2025, fights beside them—half rebel, half captive—its decentralized ideals tangled in ETF custody, tech-related risk, and institutional leverage.
NOTE: Many argue that BITCOIN may have reached its 4-year cycle top with the recent print high of $126,272 . So long as any primary 4th wave bear market drop can stay above the old high at $69,000 , BITCOIN will then be poised to make new all-time-highs in the next bull phase. Caution is warranted for HODLERS if the $69,000 level is breached amid the next bear market, as that might suggest that the $126k crest marked a Super-Cycle first wave advance, and that an 80-90% decline would likely follow, bringing BTC down as far as $12,600 before the next bullish super cycle ensues.
These are not rival camps but brothers-in-arms: gold as the signal, silver as the amplifier, Bitcoin as the experiment in digital sovereignty.
Gold: The Beacon of the Sovereign-Debt Era
Gold’s ascent isn’t speculative froth—it’s a barometer of political and fiscal exhaustion.
Central-bank demand has turned relentless, with over 6,000 tons amassed in emerging-market vaults. The dollar’s share of global reserves, once dominant, is slipping below 58 percent as trade settles increasingly in local currencies or metals.
In a historic shift, the value of central banks’ gold reserves, now exceeding $4.5 trillion at $4,200 per ounce, has surpassed their U.S. Treasury holdings of approximately $3.8 trillion, marking the first such crossover since 1996.
This milestone underscores a growing preference for gold as a sanctions-proof, inflation-resistant asset amid rising geopolitical and fiscal uncertainties.
Behind the curtain, Washington’s debt mountain grows steeper, and an $8 trillion Fed balance sheet props up a system whose real wages stagnate. Gold sees through the façade.
Historically, gold rallies when confidence in sovereign debt erodes. 2025’s move feels structural, not cyclical. As technology enables tokenized gold settlement, physical bullion could soon anchor cross-border trade— $15 trillion a year moving outside the dollar’s orbit.
If that transition accelerates, gold’s total market value could multiply several times, transforming from a commodity to a monetary foundation once more.
Gold knows when governments lie; it rises on truth withheld.
Silver: The Fierce Ally
Silver’s run above $50 signifies more than nostalgia for 1980 or 2011. Industrial demand is devouring supply—solar, EVs, and India’s record imports have created a five-year deficit exceeding 265 million ounces .
Only about 100 million ounces remain deliverable on COMEX, a fraction of the market. Bullion banks sit on short positions equal to 12 percen t of global above-ground stock—an exposure large enough to spark contagion if prices keep climbing.
Backwardation above $3 per ounce and lease rates near 35-100 percent reveal a tightness the paper market can’t disguise. Supply discipline, not speculative frenzy, defines this cycle.
Following their ongoing pilots in tokenized gold, though entirely speculative, BRICS nations could extend similar efforts to silver, enabling scalable trading on blockchain platforms and restoring the metal’s monetary role alongside its yellow counterpart.
Unlike the boom-and-bust manias of the past, this move is grounded in fundamentals: dwindling supply, soaring utility, and faith migrating from financial promises to tangible reality.
Silver is gold’s conscience—smaller, scrappier, and impossible to suppress indefinitely.
BITCOIN: Brother in Arms, Bound by Chains
Bitcoin remains the digital insurgent in this triad. ETFs and state holdings—about 207,000 coins —have mainstreamed it, yet also blunted its radical edge. Transaction fees, volatility, and custodial control keep it from fulfilling the dream of instant, peer-to-peer cash.
Still, Bitcoin’s resilience commands respect. Its artificial 21-million-coin limit mirrors gold’s authentic scarcity, and its censorship resistance has made it a refuge in sanctioned economies. While institutional adoption ties it to Wall Street’s boom-bust rhythm, the core idea—money without permission—endures.
A major equity or credit unwind could knock it hard, but each cycle burns away speculation and strengthens the hands of true believers. Its role may ultimately be symbolic: proving that digital trust can exist outside the fiat web, even if imperfectly.
Gold has history, silver has utility, and Bitcoin has possibility.
The Cracks in the Real Economy
Beneath obscene market valuations lies stagnation. Small businesses close faster than they open. Household debt delinquencies rise while wage gains stagnate. Wall Street’s financialized economy levitates; Main Street’s productive one flounders.
Gold and silver prices are the seismograph warnings of such disparity and injustice. Their message: the ground beneath policy orthodoxy is giving way.
The next downturn may not mimic the inflationary shocks of the 1970s, the liquidity crunch of 2008, or the devastation of the 1930s depressionary deflation, but it will feel every bit as harsh.
Following a blow-off bubble top, a deflationary contraction could emerge—credit imploding under its own weight—forcing the Fed to choose between saving markets or saving the dollar’s credibility.
After Wall Street’s bubble mania peaks, an epic crash looms—forcing the Fed to choose: prop up markets or preserve the dollar’s fading trust. Desperate reflation efforts will likely follow, unleashing brutal stagflation with no clear ending.
Zero interest rates are unlikely to return; their side effects were too corrosive. Too strong a run toward the safe-haven dollar could shatter global balance sheets. The Fed walks a narrowing ridge.
Expect a world of oscillation—temporary rallies in the dollar and bonds, followed by renewed bids for tangible assets.
In such turbulence, metals may take up some safe-haven slack and regain their ancient role as monetary anchors, not investments. Bitcoin will need to prove itself amid such chaos.
America’s Fortress—But Not Forever
The United States is not Venezuela or Argentina.
Its reserve-currency status, military reach, and deep capital markets insulate it from runaway inflation. The dollar’s 58 percent reserve share and $3.5 trillion in foreign Treasury holdings remain formidable bulwarks.
But even fortresses erode.
BRICS nations now settle roughly half their trade outside the dollar. Their 6,000-ton gold cache is both insurance and a declaration.
If tokenized trade systems gain traction, the dollar’s unique privilege—to export inflation and import goods—will weaken.
America will likely manage a softer dollar to stay competitive, avoiding extremes that could trigger global chaos. Despite this, cracks are evident. Tariffs, debts, and deficits gnaw at the foundation—each with second, third, and fourth-order effects.
The empire won’t collapse in a day, but the margin of invincibility is gone.
The Establishment’s Countermoves
The narrow class of financial elites won’t surrender quietly. Expect renewed quantitative easing , aggressive swap lines , and tariffs or sanctions to defend dollar dominance and hegemony.
As digital-asset rules and surveillance intensify, governments adopt digital IDs, CBDCs, and tokenized gold —a desperate bid and admission that the fiat system is dying.
Such measures may stabilize the surface but could deepen the underlying rift between protected financial power and genuine merit-based wealth. Each intervention buys time while eroding trust—a classic symptom of late-cycle finance.
When manipulation becomes policy, markets stop believing in miracles.
The United Front
Gold, silver, and Bitcoin tell variations of the same story: distrust in promises backed only by debt.
Each represents a different path toward autonomy—physical, industrial, or digital—but all push against the same current of engineered dependence.
Gold leads as the monetary lodestar.
Silver echoes its signal through scarcity and utility.
Bitcoin experiments at the frontier, still volatile but alive with intent.
Together they form a loose alliance of realists—investors, savers, and skeptics—who sense that something fundamental has shifted.
Following the late 2020s and early 2030s—the expected fallout of the Fourth Turning—the world may witness a new architecture: metals backing trade, blockchains verifying trust, and fiat reduced to what it was always meant to be—credit, not creed.
Watch unemployment, the housing and credit markets, silver deliveries, and BRICS’ next summit. Those are potential fuses in this quiet pre-revolution stage of seismic transition.
Closing Reflection
We navigate by dead reckoning now—plotting our course from known hazards rather than clear horizons.
The Empire of Debt still commands vast power, but every chart, every ounce, and every block on the chain suggests the same direction: away from illusion and back toward something real.
Gold leads.
Silver shines.
Bitcoin fights.
And somewhere beyond the coming revolution, a sounder form of money waits to be rediscovered.
Correction Incoming – Silver Eyes Fib ZoneSILVER Weekly Analysis 🪙
At first, Silver faced strong rejection from the resistance zone, but once it finally broke out, the price came back to retest that same resistance — which then turned into a powerful launchpad, sending prices to new all-time highs.
Currently, the price is showing early signs of a correction. I’m expecting a possible retest of the Golden Fib Zone (0.5–0.618), where there’s also an unfilled gap near the 0.5 level. A move toward that area would make sense before the next major leg higher.
Resistance becomes the launchpad.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement 🙏
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 48.240 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 47.777.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 4,794.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 4,123.0 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Silver Price Falls Below $50Silver Price Falls Below $50
According to the XAG/USD chart, silver has fallen below the $50 mark after setting a historic high on 17 October, when the price briefly climbed above $54.40 for the first time.
Since then, the market has turned lower:
→ Silver formed a bearish ABCD pattern and broke below the key $50 psychological level.
→ A similar move occurred in gold, which dropped this week from around $4,375 to nearly $4,000 per ounce.
As many media outlets have noted:
→ The decline in precious metals appears to be a correction within a broader uptrend;
→ The fundamental outlook remains strong.
However, the aggressive nature of the sell-off raises concern.
→ On one hand, the drop may have been driven by an overheated rally and heavily leveraged long positions.
→ On the other, the speed of the decline suggests the autumn metals rally could be nearing exhaustion.
Technical Analysis of the XAG/USD Chart
An analysis of XAG/USD reveals several key turning points, allowing the construction of a widened ascending channel. This week’s drop has stretched the channel downward, effectively turning the former lower boundary into the new median line.
Bullish perspective:
→ The new lower boundary of the expanded channel acts as strong support.
→ A bullish RSI divergence has formed.
→ Price action near point D this morning resembles a potential Triple Bottom pattern.
Bearish perspective:
→ Selling pressure this week has been highly effective, with bears managing to break through:
$52.60, which has now flipped from support to resistance;
The $50 psychological level.
Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that bulls may attempt to use the lower boundary of the expanded channel to restart the autumn uptrend. However, after such a sharp sell-off, confidence may remain fragile. Should $50 now act as resistance, bears could target the next support near $45.88.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAGUSD formed a head and shoulders patternOn the 4-hour chart, XAGUSD has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern. Currently, attention should be paid to resistance near 50.6. If a rebound encounters resistance, consider continuing to sell. Support is expected near 47.5, and if it falls below, further support is expected near 45.7. If the price of XAGUSD breaks back above 52.8, the bullish trend will resume.
long on XAGUSD. Silver tap into weekly fvg and and after that taking previous day liquidity and after that failed 4 hour bearish fvg. So market into ullish mood.
mrmoney limited XAG/USD swing trading ideaprice formed a range demand zone which will aid price for its bullish trends
XAGUSD retreated from recent highs. Could we see a rebound here?Silver prices fell, posting their steepest daily drop since 2021, as profit-taking and a firmer US dollar weighed on the market. The ongoing US government shutdown has created a data vacuum, limiting insight into trader positions in silver futures. Despite the short-term pullback, long-term fundamentals remain supportive, driven by strong industrial demand and potential Fed easing. In the near term, US dollar strength and stabilizing Treasury yields may cap silver's upside.
XAGUS is testing support at 48.00, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement. A rebound above this level may prompt prices to retest the swing high at 54.20 and the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension. If XAGUSD breaks the 54.20 resistance, the price may resume its uptrend and approach the psychological level at 60.00. Conversely, closing below 48.00 may prompt a deeper retracement toward the following support and channel's breakout zone at 45.00.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
The ratio of Silver / M2 reached an important resistanceThe ratio of Silver / M2 (x$1T) has reached an important resistance last Thursday. It also reached rare overbought condition (see the monthly RSI14 at the 78 resistance area). It is now due for a consolidation phase, support seen near 0.18 (implying a pullback of about 18% to $44 from the recent high of $54 on silver. This could take a few months (normally, but who knows) before exploding above the down trend line towards the 0.53 area. In summary, the rise of silver has just started.
SILVER XAGUSD THE price of silver took correction along side GOLD ,dollar index rebound sent gold and SILVER sell off.
layer by layer.
#silver #xagusd #dollar #us10y
XAG/USD UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Structure was bullish.
2. price grab sell side liquidity.
3. Fresh strong low + demand zone formation.
4. Possible Bullish move expected from this zone.
This is not a financial advise. Let's see how it will work.
Silver corrective pullback supported at 5130The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5130 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5130 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5360 – initial resistance
5445 – psychological and structural level
5500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5130 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
5065 – minor support
4980 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 5130. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Parabolic pipedream (cont'd)This is an update to my parabolic pipedream idea. I have adjusted the parabola slightly. We now have two touch points on the parabola.
- Middle point was moved to the recent low from Tuesday Oct. 21 2025
- Upper point moved to adjust trajectory (now we have two touches on the parabola)
My thought is the more spots we can get it to touch the parabola the more accurate it should be, and the more confidence I personally have about the idea.
Invalidation: I think the way this idea is invalidated is either by trading sideways too long or a horrific crash through parabola making it impossible to draw anymore. If it no longer can be portrayed as a parabola, we have lost.
Again I am not a trader, I am not a TA expert, I am just a noob watching Silver and making predictions. My track record is pretty bad, I would advise against trading on any of my ideas.
(some TA expert is looking at this and shaking their head lol)
Silver Squeeze – Risk Reversals and Dollar Strength Sets InSilver has broken lower after recent highs, with the much-anticipated “silver squeeze” losing momentum. The market is now facing renewed pressure from a stronger U.S. dollar and broad risk-off sentiment, as investors trim exposure to commodities and metals.
The weekly close will be crucial — a bearish candlestick could confirm further downside potential, opening the door toward the USD 40.00 area, a key technical support zone.
Several factors are currently weighing on Silver:
- DXY rebound: The U.S. Dollar Index has bounced from support, attracting safe-haven demand and pressuring metals.
- Higher real yields: As inflation expectations ease, rising real yields make precious metals less attractive.
- ETF outflows: Institutional investors are trimming Silver ETF holdings, reducing speculative support.
- Weakness in industrial metals: A slowdown in China’s manufacturing sector is dragging down sentiment for Silver, which also has industrial demand.
- Technical exhaustion: After repeated tests of the USD 53.00 zone, momentum faded, and a breakdown below short-term moving averages confirmed a shift in tone.
If the current move continues, Silver could test USD 40.00 in the coming sessions. Only a decisive recovery above USD 52.00 would ease the short-term bearish outlook.
Pullback to 47 range then up in my opinionThis sell off is a perfect chance to add to your silver physical and miners...I think the pb will hit be to around $47 where it should find support. It could to down to the $44-$45 range but I think that would be the max for this pull back...good luck to all.
Silver: After New All-Time Highs, a Sharp CorrectionLast week, Silver reached a new all-time high, almost touching my $55 target.
However, on Friday, the market delivered a powerful sell-off, with the price dropping by around 4,000 pips — from the $54.50 ATH down to the $50.50 support zone.
At this stage, I expect the price to stabilize and form a temporary base of consolidation.
My focus now shifts to the $53.50 resistance zone, which could act as a short-term decision point.
If I observe signs of weakness or rejection in that area, I’ll consider short positions, targeting a potential retest of the $50 support zone.
SILVER Strong Rejection! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER Price just reacted from a horizontal demand area after a deep liquidity sweep below the previous low. Buyers stepped in strongly, hinting at a possible continuation higher toward the target zone near $52.80 where unfilled orders remain. Expect bullish momentum to extend if the demand zone holds.
Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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Silver is in the Down TrendHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 52.292 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER (XAG/USD): Trend-Following Signal📈SILVER experienced a notable pullback on Friday, with the price subsequently retracing to a critical intraday support level.
Analyzing the hourly chart, I spotted the formation of a cup and handle pattern, followed by a confirmed breakout above its neckline.
Based on this analysis, there is a strong likelihood of further upward movement, potentially reaching a target of 53.31.
