JPMorgan's (JPM:NYSE) Q2 '23 Financial Results Anticipated
JPMorgan, one of the leading global financial institutions, is scheduled to release its Q2 '23 financial results on July 14th, 2023. Analysts have high expectations, predicting earnings per share (EPS) of $4.00 on revenue of $38.86 billion for the quarter.
Exceeding Consensus Estimates in Q1 '23:
In the previous quarter, Q1 '23, JPMorgan surpassed consensus estimates, demonstrating robust performance. The bank exceeded expectations by 21% in EPS and 6% in revenue. The strong performance was primarily driven by net interest income, which amounted to $20.7 billion.
Current Stock Valuation:
JPMorgan's stock valuation metrics indicate an attractive investment proposition. Currently, the bank's stock is trading at 10 times the expected EPS for the next three years, highlighting favourable growth prospects. Furthermore, the stock is valued at 1.5 times its book value and 1.9 times its tangible book value, suggesting that it may be undervalued in relation to its assets.
Conclusion:
Anticipation is high as JPMorgan prepares to announce its Q2 '23 financial results. Analysts are predicting strong performance with expected EPS of $4.00 and revenue of $38.86 billion for the quarter. The bank's track record of surpassing consensus estimates, coupled with its current stock valuation metrics, indicate the potential for a positive market reaction to the upcoming results. Investors and stakeholders eagerly await JPMorgan's announcement on July 14th, 2023, as they assess the bank's financial performance and strategic outlook.
This content is provided for general information purposes only and is not to be taken as investment advice nor as a recommendation for any security, investment strategy or investment account.
JPM trade ideas
Holding the Key to the Kingdom?Does Dimon hold the keys to the market? Every timeframe is overbought but JPM is holding above a key level. There are a few stocks in the DJI index that look like this. AXP is also very interesting.
Presently, just watching this intently. Also, noticing that the Fed Reverse Repo is draining at an extraordinary rate. The money ($0.5 T so far) is going somewhere...
www.newyorkfed.org
JPMorganstock is breaking through the upper limit!JP Morgan stock is breaking through the upper limit!
This chart shows the weekly level candle chart of JP Morgan stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021. As shown in the figure, the low point of JP Morgan stock at the end of 2022 happens to be around 3.414 points in the golden section, and the high point in November happens to be 1.618 points in the golden section. The high points in January, March, and May this year are exactly 1.382 points in the golden section! Now that JP Morgan stock has broken the upper limit, it is about to test the first wave of low points at the end of 2021 from the top to the bottom!
JPM - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Price surges after double bottom formation break through 124 resistance.
🔹Next resistance at 144.
🔹RSI curve shows rising trend for uptrend.
🔹Technically slightly POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
JPMThis is my channel setup with cross hairs of target and expirations for options ideas. I have the indicator to set the 2 zone accumulation boxes that we break and reverse down to if we reject at the top of the rectangle The first green zone is the accumulation for the potential run up.
We have to break above 144-149 chop to start signal our bullish divergence if we fall below 130 we will watch for a theta burn CUP drop accumulation move menaing this was a bulltrap accumulation setup and have to look at the contraction point 98-112. This is macro so its a funnel opportunity
"Potential Downward Trend in JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Stock - A Put Our analysis of the JPMorgan Chase (JPM) stock, utilizing the Rising Wedge method, indicates a potential downward trend in the near term. The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern and often signals a reversal in the uptrend, especially when formed in an overall bearish market context.
The current trading price of JPM is around $142.32. Considering the bearish trend indicated by the Rising Wedge, a Put Option could be a strategic play here. We recommend selling at a strike price of $141.30.
Following this potential downtrend, a Call Option could provide an excellent opportunity to capitalize on subsequent market adjustments. Please stay tuned for further analysis and specific Call Option strategies as market conditions evolve.
Mid-Range Trade opportunity on JP MorganHere is a good trade opportunity on JP Morgan.
I will wait for the breakout of the resistance level and then enter after a successful retest to the resistance level, and if it fails to break the resistance level and breaks the lower trend I will Exit and close the trade.
1- You can get around 11% profit easily.
2- It might take 1-2 months.
3- There is also a dividend declared by the company ( Ex-date: 5th July 2023).
4- This is one of the most reputed and large-cap companies, so it should be considered safe!
5- Follow the instructions on the chart carefully, Feel free to modify the trade according to your risk.
Disclaimer: This is not a piece of investment advice and I am not a certified financial advisor, I just found an opportunity and thought it would be great to share it with the community, Invest at your own risk, and feel free to modify the trade according to your risk profile.
long term going above $180+ uptrend still in tact buy the dipslooking for another breakout set up on jpm, from a c wave buy.. buy zones $119, $143 is breakout level... but im a buyer of the dips on jpm for the long term. Notice the continuation of the upward trend (seen in the parallel channel) you can then count 2 sets of Elliott waves (which can be argued against) ..There are multiple time frames such as the 1hr, 30mi, and the 4hr time. what starts on smaller time frames leads to bigger times frames until there is an invalidation.. the uptrend is not invalidated as of yet..a breakout above 143 sets up the weekly and monthly time frame breakouts, which of course takes longer...
Trading JPM in current range.JPMorgan Chase - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 134.65 (stop at 131.65)
We look to trade the current range.
This is currently an actively traded stock.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Bespoke support is located at 134.50.
Our profit targets will be 142.15 and 144.15
Resistance: 141.50 / 143.37 / 144.34
Support: 138.13 / 136.50 / 134.50
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JPMorgan: A Wise Investment Choice Amidst Market FluctuationsOver the past few months, the stock market for banks has undergone significant fluctuations due to various factors, including interest rates, economic conditions, and notable bank failures. It's important to note that not all banks have been affected in the same manner. Despite the volatility, several major banks have adeptly navigated through these challenging times and achieved positive financial results.
One standout performer in the previous quarter was JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the United States. As we enter the uncertain second half of 2023, it's worth examining the position of this influential player in the industry. Investors may also be interested in determining whether this particular stock is a wise investment choice.
Even before the regional banking crisis unfolded in March, JPMorgan Chase had already distinguished itself as one of the most resilient large banks in the country. In fact, it appears that the bank may have emerged even stronger from that period of turmoil. Several key factors contribute to this assessment, which we will explore further.
First and foremost, while many banks experienced a decrease in deposits, JPMorgan Chase saw a notable 2% increase in Q1 compared to the previous quarter, bringing the total to $2.4 trillion. This growth in deposits can be attributed to concerns among customers of smaller and regional banks, who feared widespread deposit runs following the collapses of Silicon Valley and Signature banks. As a result, these customers sought refuge in larger institutions, driven by a flight towards perceived safety and stability. JPMorgan Chase, being a well-capitalized, highly liquid, and heavily regulated bank, became an attractive option for depositors seeking these qualities.
The flight to safety observed during the challenging period proved beneficial for JPMorgan Chase, resulting in a strong performance during the first quarter. The company experienced a significant 25% increase in net revenue, amounting to $39.3 billion, primarily driven by a substantial 49% year-over-year growth in net interest income. Notably, during their investor day on May 22, JPMorgan Chase's executives shared that the bank is on track to add 1.8 million accounts this year, surpassing the previous year's gain of 1.6 million accounts.
The bank's net income showed remarkable progress, rising by 52% compared to the previous year and 15% compared to the fourth quarter, reaching $12.6 billion. This growth can be attributed to positive developments in consumer banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management, which offset declines in investment banking. Additionally, JPMorgan Chase achieved an impressive efficiency ratio, with overhead costs as a percentage of revenue improving from 62% in Q1 of the previous year to a commendable 52%, the best performance among large banks (lower values are preferable). Moreover, the bank's overall return on equity, a measure of management efficiency, surged from 13% a year ago to 18% by the end of the first quarter.
While JPMorgan Chase may face challenges in the event of an economic slowdown or recession, it possesses key strengths that enable it to navigate short-term volatility. These strengths include operational efficiency, a high Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 13.9%, a rising book value (up 9% year over year), and a substantial $1.4 trillion in cash and marketable securities. These factors contribute to the bank's robust balance sheet, providing resilience in difficult market conditions.
Furthermore, JPMorgan Chase is well-positioned to seize growth opportunities beyond any potential downturn. As the markets improve, the bank is expected to experience long-term gains in investment banking, trading, and asset management. Additionally, the acquisition of First Republic Bank, which serves high-net-worth clients, is anticipated to enhance JPMorgan Chase's annual profit by $500 million, acting as a catalyst for further growth.
The company also foresees greater net interest income (NII) than initially projected. JPMorgan Chase has raised its NII forecast for 2023 to $81 billion, up from the previous estimate of $80 billion. This upward revision is based on the assumption that deposit and other funding costs will decrease, driven by expected interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve later in the year.
Furthermore, JPMorgan Chase's stock is currently trading at a relatively inexpensive price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 10. This makes it an appealing investment choice, as the bank is well-equipped to handle short-term challenges while aiming for long-term growth.
Taking everything into consideration, including its resilience, growth prospects, and favorable valuation, JPMorgan Chase appears to be an excellent buy at present, offering a combination of stability and potential for long-term gains. The bank's solid performance, strong financial position, and strategic initiatives position it favorably in the industry. However, as with any investment, it is important for investors to conduct thorough research and consider their own risk tolerance before making any decisions.
JPM 💎 TopDiamond top to kick things off next week..
Fridays price closed above 50sma.
Once price breaks the 50 , JPM should test the
200sma on the flush at 128.
As you can see 126 is an area of High support, So I think it will be a dead cat bounce there before the next leg lower.
My fib levels are
High - 172.96
Low - 50.07
If you are wondering how I got 50 for the low, you'll have to go to your monthly chart and place a horizontal bar at 50 and then you'll see years of price action there.
The diamond top target is usually the length of the diamond once the candle breaks down like so
RSI has already lost support
How I'm going to play this ?
130p
5/26
Entry - Below 50sma
Target - 126 or 200sma
Stop loss 136
I'll cover on 126 and wait for 125 to reenter short
JPM is the XLF sector leader, I don't think this banking crisis is over, regional banks are still seeing large outflows on the top of that, this Debt ceiling situation will hurt this sector the most
JPM Head and Shoulders....JPM's rate of change has already been breaking down. Now, it looks like a possible head and shoulders pattern has emerged. If it breaks to the downside, look for a knees then toes pattern next! BTW, If this guy breaks down, EVERYTHING breaks down... Cant have a bull market without financials
JPM bullish move to the or notJPM looks weak. Some are saying we are going to ATH, JPM will save the banks and etc I can say only two things: I see it is forming a mega Head and Shoulder pattern and it is forming a lower high and lower low.. Therefore I can't be bullish on it in any case.
However with huge volume and strong move above the "Head" of the pattern I could say it is forming something else.
JP Morgan boss plays down risk of crisisBEARISH MID TEM
BULLISH SHORT TERM
JP Morgan boss plays down risk of crisis
THE MARKET IS FULL OF MANIPULATIONS Spoofing
Spoofing - This involves placing orders with no intention of executing them, in order to create a false impression of market demand or supply, and then cancelling the orders once the market has moved in the desired direction.
We're keeping an eye on the market makers, zooming in for a closer look."
Spoofing and Volume Point of Control (VPOC) are terms used in the context of market manipulation and market analysis in financial markets.
A spoofing detector is a tool developed to detect the spoofing of orders. Spoofing refers to a practice where a market participant places large orders to deceive other market participants and influence the price of a stock. These large orders, however, are not executed but cancelled shortly after, creating a false demand for a specific stock and influencing the price. A spoofing detector can use algorithms to detect and report these practices to maintain the integrity of the market.
The Volume Point of Control (VPOC) is a concept in technical analysis aimed at identifying the key price level at which a stock was bought and sold. VPOC is calculated by analyzing the volume data of a stock and determining the price level at which the largest volume was traded for a specific period. This price level can serve as an indicator of the current market trend and market interest in a specific stock.
There is a substantive connection between a spoofing detector and VPOC because both tools can be used to gain a better understanding of the stock markets and detect potential forms of market manipulation. For example, VPOC can be used as an indicator of potential market manipulation when an abnormal distribution of trading volume is observed at a specific price level. A spoofing detector can then be used to detect and report these activities.
Jamie Dimon, the boss of JP Morgan, has played down the risk of a spiralling banking crisis after America’s biggest bank stepped in to buy most of collapsed lender First Republic in a $10.6bn (£8.5bn) takeover hurriedly brokered by US regulators.
After weekend talks to secure a sale of First Republic, the third US lender to fail this year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) confirmed JP Morgan as the buyer.
The regulator is providing $50bn of financing and promising to share loan losses, as part of a deal that further cements JP Morgan’s position as the largest lender in the US.
First Republic’s failure is the second largest in US banking history, beaten only by the 2008 demise of Washington Mutual – which was also seized by the FDIC and sold to JP Morgan.
Speaking on a conference call, Dimon played down any other similarities with the 2008 crash, which triggered the start of an international financial crisis that plunged the global economy into recession.
He said the US banking system was “extraordinarily sound”, adding that the takeover meant the sector was “getting near the end” of the spate of bank collapses and would “hopefully help stabilise everything”.
The failure of First Republic follows that of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank. The sequence has prompted concerns about a repeat of the contagion that characterised the global banking crisis.
Dimon said conditions were “nothing like 2008 and 2009 for a lot of different reasons”. However, he conceded that if the US economy went into recession and high interest rates persisted, that could lead to “other cracks in the system”.
Under the terms of the First Republic deal, JP Morgan will acquire all of the California-based bank’s deposits and “substantially all of the assets”, winning out over as many as five rivals reportedly in the running.
Dimon said: “Our government invited us and others to step up, and we did. This acquisition modestly benefits our company overall, it is accretive to shareholders, it helps further advance our wealth strategy, and it is complementary to our existing franchise.”
First Republic, which focused on high-net-worth clients, got into financial difficulty after customers began pulling deposits from any US lender perceived as weak, after the SVB collapse.
Growing anxiety about the health of the US banking sector has forced the Federal Reserve to launch emergency measures to stabilise the markets.
A group of 11 Wall Street banks had pumped $30bn into First Republic last month in an attempt to avoid the third bank failure of 2023. However, shares in the San Francisco-based bank fell by more than 75% last week after it revealed customers had withdrawn $100bn of deposits in March.
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