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MSFT trade ideas

MSFT EARNINGSMicrosoft (MSFT) is consolidating near the upper edge of its ascending channel, with strong institutional defense between 490–500. The 510–520 range shows absorption and may trigger a directional breakout. A close above 515 could ignite momentum toward 530. Upside target: 530 Downside target: 490 (support) then 480 #MSFT #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #btc #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by alexpv73
Indicator Decoded: RSI Mega Zones: Signals from the EdgeMost traders are familiar with the textbook RSI levels—70 indicating overbought and 30 indicating oversold. But markets, especially in strong momentum phases, do not always obey these boundaries. That is where the concept of Mega Overbought and Mega Oversold zones becomes vital. These are not fixed thresholds, but adaptive zones often beyond 80 and below 20, where the RSI reflects extreme strength or weakness. Rather than acting as reversal points, these levels often signal trend continuation. A reading above 80 is typically seen during powerful uptrends or post-breakout rallies. It indicates not just buying, but unhesitating, aggressive demand, especially after key resistance zones have been cleared. Such RSI levels have often not been seen in several months—if not more than a year—making their appearance especially significant. Rather than a signal of exhaustion, this may be the start of a major trend, suggesting that the broader structure of the stock or index has shifted decisively. Traders who misinterpret this as a reversal signal often find themselves fighting momentum. Instead, price tends to grind higher, sometimes pausing briefly before further gains. This is why the chapter suggests using Mega Overbought zones as confirmation of bullish control, not a trigger for counter-trades. The inverse applies to the Mega Oversold zone—RSI falling below 20. This is usually not a buy-the-dip moment, especially if the broader trend and chart structure are bearish. Such readings typically accompany panic-driven breakdowns, where sellers dominate without any counterforce. These extreme values are often rare and may not have appeared for months or even over a year, marking a moment where the market’s character may be undergoing a structural change. As with Mega Overbought, context is critical. If RSI hits such depths after prolonged distribution or a topping pattern, it does not indicate value—it confirms that the tide has turned, and a strong downtrend may be setting in. Both Mega zones are best used in conjunction with structure—trendlines, volume shifts, anchored VWAP zones, or price patterns. The RSI alone is not enough. But when it aligns with other technical signals, a Mega Overbought or Oversold status becomes a momentum amplifier, not a contrarian prompt. In fact, your RSI chapter rightly warns that entering against such zones can be fatal unless clear divergences, climax patterns, or volume exhaustion are also present. Think of these extremes not as ceilings or floors, but as accelerators when backed by structure. A word of caution: These signals are rare and often widely spaced. The real challenge lies in managing risk–reward, as strong momentum and shallow pullbacks can make it difficult to find entries with favourable R:R ratios. Chart: Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) – Daily Chart with 20-DMA and RSI (as on July 25, 2025) Microsoft continues its strong upward trajectory, with price action staying well above the rising 20-day simple moving average. The recent surge in RSI into the mega overbought zone marks a significant shift in momentum, as the indicator revisits such elevated levels after nearly a year—an occurrence that often coincides with extended bullish phases.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by Gautam_Mazumdar
Don't Short MSFT. 2 long scenarios. Hi, I’m The Cafe Trader. Today we’re diving into the heart of this very bullish run on MSFT. One of the key lessons I’ve learned: Never get in the way of a strong bull trend — especially just after a breakout. ⸻ 🔍 Price Action Overview: MSFT has been respecting a strong trendline since its initial gap-up. This has created multiple breakout trade opportunities — and we’ve just spotted another one. I’ve also outlined a secondary setup worth watching. We recently completed a 3-bar break. Combine that with rising volume, and this suggests a potential move to $522.23. ⏳ I’m expecting a brief consolidation (2–3 trading days) before the next leg up. ⸻ 🟢 Trade Setup: • Entry: $511.70 • Risk Level: Trade remains valid until a daily close below $500 • Reward: TP at $522.23 • Risk-to-Reward: 1:1 at entry; improves with any dip before breakout ⸻ 💡 Optional Trade: Swing Trading Options Options are about two things: price and timing. Right now, timing looks great — but option pricing is a bit high. The key is to go from out-of-the-money to in-the-money, and to give yourself at least 5 days on your contracts. Here are some strike prices I’m watching (assumes expiration 7/25 or later): • $515 Call — Entry: $2.00 or less → TP: $6.00+ • $517.5 Call — Entry: $1.30 or less → TP: $3.90+ • $520 Call — Entry: $0.70 or less → TP: $2.10+ These levels give you a strong RR if you can catch the right pullback. ⸻ 🔁 Secondary Trade Idea: Bounce at $500 The $500 level is both a psychological number and a reinforced demand zone. While it overlaps with the stop on our main setup, this trade assumes MSFT pushes higher first, then retraces to $500 for a fresh leg up. This area will likely play a key role in future price action. If we see a pullback into this zone with contextual selling pressure, it could offer a clean high-probability bounce. Take profit levels would depend on how price behaves as it sells into this level — but keep this area marked. ⸻ Thanks for reading — be sure to check out my other MAG 7 analysis. @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by thecafetrader
Microsoft hits record highs days before earnings dayMicrosoft Corporation (symbol ‘MSFT’) share price reached a new all-time high on July 17 at $511.70 while on July 18 it even reached $514.64 intraday. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending June 2025 is expected to be released on Wednesday, July 30th, after market close. The consensus EPS is $3.35 against $2.95 of the same quarter last year. Microsoft is still holding its higher market cap compared to its main competitor, Apple, with $3.75 trillion against $3.02 trillion. Recently, Microsoft’s web-based platform “SharePoint” was hijacked, with Microsoft quickly reacting with patches to resolve the issue. As of today, there was no significant effect on the share price, but as the story unfolds, we might see some market reaction. Technical analysis shows that the price has found sufficient support on the lower band of the Bollinger bands in early April and has since entered a rather aggressive bullish rally until the day of this report being written. As a result of the bullish rally, the Stochastic oscillator has been pushed to extreme overbought levels and has recently corrected to neutral levels, hinting that the price could move in either direction in the near short term. On the other hand, the moving averages are still validating an overall bullish trend in the market while the Bollinger bands are quite contracted, showing that volatility has dried up, and it might take some time to witness any significant moves.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Does Everyone Remember Why The Bubble Popped in Y2K?I heard on Bloomberg Television this morning that they didn't have any recollection of a good reason for the stock market bubble of 1995-2000 to pop. I was stunned that a portfolio manager of such standing had the guts to say that he didn't understand why the market topped in 2000. This is how history gets re-written by people who didn't pay attention and didn't learn from the past, so how can we trust anything that we read, see, hear today? People don't remember. Why don't people remember? I think that is the fodder for someone to write a book, which isn't the point of this publication today. What I think "market history" means to us is that there is a fair and unbiased reporting of history and what TradingView does by keeping people's published charts online and not deleting bad forecasts is very refreshing. When TradingView started, I knew immediately that this model was the way to go. It was easy for people to "delete a Tweet" about their "buy recommendation" that didn't pan out. It was easy for people to "lie by omission" by removing the bad forecasts and keeping the ones that worked. I can add a couple of other points about the Y2K top: One of them was the SEC chairman Arthur Levitt starting the idea of a rule in December 1999 for "Fair Disclosure". This eliminated anyone getting any special information ahead of the crowd and assured a 'level playing field.' There was another Government Regulation to limit the speed of dial up internet access to 53K from the stated 56K speed. This was in 2000. The chart published is the close of March 31, 2000 when the Gov't announced their ANTI-TRUST CASE AGAINST MICROSOFT with the stock at $53.13. On Monday, NASDAQ:MSFT opened at $47.22 closed at $45.44, -7.69 that day and proceeded to drop to $20.13 over the ensuing bear market. $53.13 to $20.13 is a massive $33 point drop.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by timwest
1
Microsoft Sees Declining Trading Volume Despite All Time HighsSince December of 2021, MSFT traded within a Rising Wedge structure that has gradually resulted in lower and lower highs in volume, at the same time IV on the Options Chain has begun to price down the strikes above $515 while Shorter Term Downside IV has begun to price up all the way out to $240.00. If this trend continues we will likely see the $515 area act as strong resistance as liquid interest above it begins to dry out. This could be the beginning of a move to break down the wedge and trade down to the lower strikes first targeting the $365 price level and resolving around $240 near the 200 Period SMA.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by RizeSenpai
MICROSOFT Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 071525Trading idea - Hit the top > 507/423.60% Chart time frame:D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:E A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by fibonacci6180
Microsoft from 2000 to 2017 - Ranging Moments - 13/07/2025A lot of patience is required by Investors. Stakeholders' Trust and good faith are required in company products & services. Also Board of Directors and Company Management play a big role in growing the company. An amazing point I can notice, During this period, Steve Ballmer was from 2000 to 2014. The CEO plays a crucial role in determining the company's hard pocket returns for investors or the highest risk for investors. After Stever Ballmer left his position, Microsoft did 10X in stock price. From approx $50 to $500 within the period of 8 years only. So What made Microsoft in ranging price points for that period? Innovation? Bad Choices of Acquisition? If you have any good points to connect, comment down on this post? Happy trading.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by VishalBudhrani
Microsoft (MSFT) 4H Buy Signal – Rocket Booster Strategy🚀 Microsoft (MSFT) 4H Buy Signal – Rocket Booster Strategy Activates on Gap-Up, Volume Spike, and Stoch RSI Reversal 📈 - Microsoft (MSFT) has just triggered a compelling buy signal on the 4-hour chart, with multiple layers of confluence aligning to - support a bullish continuation. This setup fits perfectly into what I call the Rocket Booster Strategy — a system built to catch strong - upside moves right before they ignite. - Here’s what’s happening on the chart: - 1. High Volume on the 4H Entry Candle We’re seeing an above-average volume spike on the recent bullish 4H candle, - which tells me there’s strong participation behind the move — possibly institutional activity. High volume at key price levels - often acts as the first stage of a breakout acceleration. - 2. Stochastic RSI Reversal from Oversold - The Stochastic RSI has curled back up from below the 20 line, printing a clear buy signal. - This reversal suggests that upward momentum is returning just as price confirms strength — a powerful combination. - 3. Price Trading Above Both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA - MSFT is now well above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart. - This alignment confirms a strong underlying trend. When price is supported by both short- and long-term moving averages, - it's a green light for trend-following strategies. - 4. Bullish Gap-Up - The session began with a bullish gap-up, which acts like a "booster rocket" for momentum. - Gaps on tech stocks like Microsoft often attract short squeezes and breakout buyers - — this one could be the start of a new leg higher. Strategy Context: Why This Setup Matters - The Rocket Booster Strategy works best when these four elements align: - Volume spike Momentum reversal EMA trend structure Gap-up catalyst - With Microsoft showing all four in perfect sync, this becomes a high-probability continuation entry. - Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) - Entry: Current 4H candle close or next retracement Stop Loss: Just below the gap or the 50 EMA Target: Previous swing high and extended target based on Fibonacci expansion - Final Thoughts - Microsoft rarely gives such clean setups, and when it does, it pays to watch closely. If momentum continues, this could set the tone for the rest of the week. - Always manage risk — no rocket launches without backup systems. - Let me know if you’re trading this setup too or have your own spin on the strategy. Feedback and chart ideas welcome! Rocket booster engaged for MSFT? 🔥 Rocket Boost This Content To Learn More Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by lubosi
1
$MSFT: A Teflon stock turning hot, will it catch fire? Before you wonder why we call it a Teflon stock please check my blog on 27 April 2025. NASDAQ:MSFT : A 'Teflon' stock refusing to budge under pressure for NASDAQ:MSFT by RabishankarBiswal I pointed out the reason why this stock refused to go down below critical levels and held onto some impressive gains. And since then, we have rallied 33% from the lows of 360 and reached an ATH of 480 $. The buying pressure on the stock has pushed it above our upward sloping parallel channel which we have been following for more than 2 quarters. We always argued that the stock has support around 350 $ and is unlikely to break the support. We bounced back exactly 350 $ with 25 RSI indicating oversold conditions. Currently with stock price above 480 $ the RSI looks over bought at 73. But in my opinion the bull run can continue for some more time unless we see a double top in the RSI just like in 2022 and 2024. Double tops usually result in breakdown. But until then there is a lot of runway ahead of us. If we plot the Fib extension levels from the top before Liberation Day to the bottom after the liberation day, then we see that the next level on the chart is 1.612 Fib level with a price of 542 $. NASDAQ:MSFT is a Teflon stock which is hot but might not catch fire and go to the moon. 😊 Verdict: More potential upside in $MSFT. Near term target 542 $.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by RabishankarBiswal
Velocity Market Conditions Explained.There are 6 primary upside Market Conditions. Currently the stock market is in a Velocity Market Condition where price and runs are controlled by retail investors, retail swing traders, retail day traders and the huge group of Small Funds Managers using VWAP ORDERS to buy shares of stock with an automated systematic buy order trigger when the volume in that stock starts to rise. The more volume in a stock the faster the VWAP order will trigger. You task is to study Dark Pool hidden and quiet accumulation bottoming formations to be ready for the Velocity Market Condition that always follows. Price is a primary indicator. Volume is a primary Indicator. These are the most important indicators in your trading charting software tools. The next most important indicator is Large lot versus Small lot indicators which are NOT based on volume but more complex formulations. HFTs use algorithms, AI, social media discussions etc. To ride the Velocity wave upward, you must enter the stock before the run upward. Learning to read charts as easily takes practice and experience. The benefit is the ability to forecast with a very high degree of accuracy what that stock will due in terms of rising profits, over the next few days or longer. Candlesticks have many new candle patterns that have just developed in the past couple of years. The stock market is evolving at a fast pace and the internal market structure that you can't see is only visible in the candlesticks, large lot vs small lot indicators, and other semi professional to professional level tools for analyzing stocks. The stock market is changing and becoming far more tiered with more off exchange transactions. Learn to read charts so that you can trade with higher confidence and higher revenues.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Microsoft Wave Analysis – 24 June 2025- Microsoft broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 500.00 Microsoft recently broke through the resistance area between the resistance levels 468.15 (a former multi-month high from the middle of 2024) and 455.85 (which reversed wave B in December). The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5 – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April. Given the clear daily uptrend, Microsoft can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 500.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FxProGlobal
MICROSOFT: 1D Golden Cross to slingshot it to $590MSFT turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.199, MACD = 13.580, ADX = 52.584), extending the rise to a new ATH today, having formed a 1D Golden Cross on June 9th. That was the first 1D Golden Cross since March 20th 2023, which validated a bullish extenstion to +71.50% from the bottom. Since the long term Channel Up has already started its new bullish wave, we are expecting the uptrend to continue up to +71.50% at least. Go long, TP = $590. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by InvestingScope
Trading at the Market OpenTrading at the Market Open The market open marks a critical juncture in the financial world, presenting a unique blend of opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores the essence of trading at the open across stocks, forex, and commodities. It delves into the heightened volatility and liquidity characteristic of this period, offering insights and strategies to navigate these early market hours effectively, setting the stage for trading opportunities. What Does the Open Mean in Stocks, Forex, and Commodities? The open signifies the start of the trading day for various financial markets. It's a time when trading activity surges, marked by a rush of orders that have accumulated since the previous close. In stock markets, this includes shares, indices, and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The influx of orders often leads to significant price movements as the market absorbs overnight news and global economic developments. For forex and commodity markets, the open can vary by region, reflecting their 24-hour nature. This period is crucial for setting the tone of the trading day, offering insights into sentiment and potential trends. Traders closely watch the market open to gauge the strength of these movements, which can indicate broader market trends or sector-specific shifts. Volatility and Liquidity at Market Open Trading at the open is often marked by enhanced volatility and liquidity. Heightened volatility is primarily due to the influx of orders accumulated overnight, reacting to various global events and news. As traders and investors assimilate this information, rapid price movements are common, especially in the first few minutes of the session. These price fluctuations can present both opportunities and risks for traders. Increased liquidity, which refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing significant price movements, is also a characteristic of the open. A higher number of market participants during this period may result in better order execution and tighter bid-ask spreads, particularly in highly liquid markets like forex and major stock indices. What to Know Before the Market Opens In terms of things to know before the stock market opens, it's essential to review the overnight and early morning news that can affect stocks. This includes company earnings reports, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. Traders also check pre-market trading activity to gauge sentiment and potential opening price movements. For forex and commodities, understanding global events is crucial. Developments in different time zones, like policy changes by central banks or shifts in political scenarios, can significantly impact these markets. Additionally, reviewing the performance of international markets can provide insights, as they often influence the US open. It's also vital to analyse futures markets, as they can indicate how stock indices might open. Lastly, around the forex, commodity, and stock market openings, indicators and other technical analysis tools applied to the previous day can also offer valuable context for the day ahead. Market Open in Different Time Zones Market open times vary globally due to different time zones, significantly impacting trading strategies. For instance, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) opens at 9:30 AM Eastern Time, which corresponds to different times in other parts of the world. For traders in London, this translates to an afternoon session, while for those in Asian markets like Tokyo, it's late evening. Forex, operating 24 hours a day during weekdays, see overlapping sessions across different regions. For example, when the Asian trading session is concluding, the European session begins and later overlaps with the North American session. Such global interconnectivity ensures that forex markets are active round the clock, offering continuous trading opportunities but also requiring traders to be mindful of time zone differences and their impact on liquidity and volatility. Strategies for Trading at Market Open Trading at market open requires strategies that can handle rapid price movements across all markets. Here are some effective approaches: - Pay Attention to Pre-Market Trends: This helps traders assess how a stock might behave at the market open. If a stock is fading from post-market highs, it might be wise to wait for a trend change before entering​​. - Gap and Go Strategy: This involves focusing on stocks that gap up on positive news at market open, an indicator of potential further bullishness. Traders look for high relative volume in pre-market and enter trades on a break of pre-market highs. This strategy is fast-paced and requires quick decision-making​​. - Opening Range Breakout (ORB): The ORB strategy uses the early trading range (high and low) to set entry points for breakout trades across all types of assets. The breakout from this range, typically the first 30 to 60 minutes of the session, often indicates the price direction for the rest of the session. Time frames like 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute are commonly used for ORB​​. - Gap Reversal: The gap reversal method is used when the price creates a gap, but then the range breaks in the opposite direction. If the gap is bullish and the price breaks the lower level of the opening range, it signals a gap reversal. The same concept applies to bearish gaps but in reverse. The Bottom Line In essence, understanding unique features of market open trading is vital for those participating in stock, forex, and commodity markets. The opening moments are characterised by heightened volatility and liquidity, driven by global events and sentiment. However, savvy traders may capitalise on these early market dynamics with effective strategies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
1