I’m reading NVIDIA through pure structureThis is NVDA on the 1-day with my Quant Master Trend System, and right now the message is simple: we’ve transitioned from impulse to instability.
The ribbon is still red from the recent flip, and every candle since that flip has respected the stop level. That’s the part most people miss — when the ribbon turns red while Market Weather is CHOPPY, it means the trend engine isn’t aligned. There’s pressure, but not clean momentum.
That’s exactly what you’re seeing here.
NVDA topped, printed a string of TP clusters during distribution, and then lost its green momentum base. Once that base broke, it instantly acted as resistance — a classic behavior in this model. The current deviation reading at Z ≈ -1.45 confirms price is stretched, but not in capitulation. This is structural unwind, not panic selling.
Look back at the last time NVDA printed this signature:
Green ribbon → long rally → heavy TP clustering → red flip → CHOPPY weather → multi-week digestion phase.
The system is showing the same rhythm right now.
So here’s how I see it:
The uptrend is no longer intact.
Momentum has shifted from expansion to dispersion.
Market Weather says don’t trust breakouts, don’t trust dips.
The clean trend is gone — this is recalibration.
And until NVDA builds a fresh green momentum base and holds above it, I’m treating every bounce inside red conditions as a continuation of the unwind.
Trade ideas
NVIDIA – Limited Correction or Sentiment Change?There is no getting away from it, NVIDIA’s earnings, which are due on Wednesday after the close are making traders nervous. The problem with being the largest company in the world by market capitalisation (approx.$4.53 trillion) with a roughly 7.5% weighting in the S&P 500 and closer to 10% weighting in the Nasdaq 100 is that everything related to your company matters, especially when you are seen as the global AI benchmark at a time when traders are wondering if lofty valuations given to the leading companies in the space are justified or not.
Suddenly, stories like Softbank selling its entire NVIDIA stake of $5.8 billion last week, gets more headline space in the financial press and now your Q3 earnings are potentially being seen as important to the direction of market sentiment and risk appetite as whether the Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates again at its final meeting of the year on December 10th.
The earnings, when they are released are anticipated to be strong, with Reuters reporting analysts expecting an average 54% year on year rise on Q3 earnings per share. However, while traders may be judging the actual results against market expectations, they may also be keen to hear the updates from CEO Jensen Huang regarding future revenue and chips sales moving forward.
With the potential for extra volatility in NVIDIA’s share price across the next 48 hours being apprised of the technical backdrop could be important.
Technical Update: Limited Correction or Sentiment Shift?
It has been a choppy period for the Nvidia share price since mid-September 2025, activity that has seen 3 distinct highs in price posted. As the chart below shows, these stand at 184.80 on October 10th, 212.19 from October 29th and 199.94, scored on November 10th.
As you can also see on the chart, the 2nd of these 3 peaks at 212.19, is higher than the other 2, which is important from a technical perspective. This may lead some analysts to suggest this activity could be forming a potential Head and Shoulders top pattern.
It is important to stress that a Head and Shoulders pattern must be completed by a close below the ‘neckline’ or the trend connecting recent price lows, which in the case of Nvidia currently stands at 179.99.
Even then, completion of such a pattern isn’t a guarantee of a sentiment shift, but as we approach Nvidia earnings on Wednesday, risks may turn towards increased price volatility, and being aware of potentially relevant support and resistance levels may prove useful.
[bWhat if Closes Below 179.99 Support are Seen?:
Having seen recent price weakness held and reversed to the upside by the uptrend currently standing at 179.99, this could now be viewed as the first support focus. However, with it also possibly being the neckline of a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, it may prove to be pivotal moving forward.
While there is no guarantee closes that below the support at 179.99 may lead to a further phase of price weakness, it might skew risks towards continued declines. Focus may then turn towards 164.05, a level equal to the 38.2% retracement level of April to October strength, possibly even towards 149.35, which is the 50% retracement.
What if 179.99 Support Remains Intact?:
As already said, any Head and Shoulders pattern must see closes below neckline support to suggest a completion and risks for further price declines. For Nvidia the 179.99 support is still intact on a closing basis, and it could be argued this is not yet a valid reversal pattern.
As such, while the 179.99 level holds, traders may view recent price declines as a limited correction within what could still be classed as an uptrend in price.
However, if a further phase of price strength is to materialise, traders may require closes back above the still rising Bollinger mid-average currently at 193.07. Such moves if seen, could then lead to tests of 199.94 the November 10th high, even on towards 212.19, the October 29th extreme.
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Nvda- Er this week I believe it has more in the tank!!Nvda smashes ER were going to see a massive inpulse! I don't see in heavy volume selling on the daily.. I think this one will be the last big pop we see before a major correction.. All other hyperscalers have performed and had major gaps on er.. Nvda is next bookmark this!!
Concerns on market specifically NVDA - Not financial adviceSome thoughts and concerns watching the market as an amateur investor looking at historical shifts and trends. This is not a prediction and not to be considered financial advice in any manner shape or form. It is simply a personal opinion based on my impression of the market. Please discuss any choice you make in the market regarding trades with a financial advisor or planner as this opinion is just an uneducated perspective to be taken with a grain of salt from someone who does not work in the financial industry. There are several factors I have taken into account regarding the economy, job losses, looming Debt Wall, real estate market concerns, tariff pain points for US, recession chatter, dollar weakness, US debt and my personal gut check.
Disclosure - I do not currently hold NVDA but I have a standing buy order for my personal account for NVDA at $50. I do not know the market well enough to short.
NVDA LongBroader Market Structure
NVDA has been in a short-term bullish corrective structure after forming a BOS at $179.91, which marked the end of the prior bearish leg. Since that break, price has been forming higher lows and higher highs on the intraday structure. However, the most recent swing into the $194–$195 supply produced a sharp rejection, showing that the bullish structure is still counter-trend relative to the larger bearish swing from the $202–$205 highs. No new CHoCH has printed yet, but the aggressive selloff from $195 signals a potential short-term shift in control back toward sellers unless demand holds.
Supply & Demand Zones
The upper supply zone at $194–$195 remains strong; price dropped sharply from this level with long-bodied bearish candles, showing active institutional selling and low willingness from buyers to absorb orders. The deeper supply above, between $199–$202, is an even stronger zone because it originated the major downside impulse that broke structure.
On the buy side, the demand at $185–$183 previously showed clear strength—buyers stepped in aggressively and pushed price upward with momentum—which tells us the zone still carries validity. The lower demand between $181–$178 is even more important, as it’s the origin of the BOS at $179.91 and represents the last confirmed defensive line for bulls.
Price Action Within the Marked Region
Price is currently falling from the $195 rejection and heading toward the $185–$183 demand you marked. Candles show increasing wick size on the way down, suggesting early signs of selling exhaustion but not yet a reversal. As price enters this demand, we should see either absorption or continuation. If buyers defend the zone as they did previously, a corrective bounce toward $192–$194 is likely. If demand fails, price will unwind quickly into the deeper $181–$178 liquidity pocket.
Expectation, Bias & Invalidation
Trade bias: short-term bullish, expecting price to dip into demand and bounce into the lower supply.
Expected direction: a pullback into $185–$183, followed by a rally into $192–$194.
Invalidation: a clean close below $183, which would signal sellers have regained full control and shift the outlook to bearish continuation toward $181–$178.
Momentum & Candle Behavior
Momentum currently favors sellers, given the fast drop from supply, but the decline is becoming more controlled—suggesting momentum is fading as price approaches demand. No confirming reversal candles have appeared yet; we will need to see a long-wick rejection, engulfing candle, or clear absorption footprint at demand to confirm the bounce scenario.
NVDA: The Bubble Beneath the Brilliance A deep dive into Nvidia’s AI-fueled rally — and the cracks forming under the surface.
🐺 Hello Traders 🐺
Nvidia’s been the poster child of the AI revolution — no doubt about it.
But every time a narrative gets “too perfect,” I hit pause… and zoom out.
Because NVDA’s been here before.
And every time, the chart whispered the truth long before the headlines caught up.
So let’s ask the real question:
Not “Is Nvidia a great company?” — we already know it is.
But rather:
“Are we pricing in a future that might not arrive fast enough?”
That’s where things get interesting.
🔹 The Hidden Cost of the AI Boom
AI is revolutionary — but it’s also a cash furnace.
Training, inference, datacenters, energy, hardware… it all comes with a brutal price tag.
And if returns don’t scale fast enough, guess where the market cuts first?
Hardware.
Which puts NVDA right at the heart of the risk zone.
Great company ≠ infinite valuation.
🔹 NVDA’s History of Hype & Hangovers
Let’s zoom out and look at the cycles:
1️⃣ Dot-Com Era (2000–2002)
Nvidia rode the internet wave hard.
Then the bubble popped — and NVDA got crushed.
Narrative > fundamentals… until reality showed up.
2️⃣ 2006–2007 GPU Mania
Gaming hype sent NVDA vertical.
Then came 2008 — and wiped the slate clean.
3️⃣ 2015–2018: Growth Meets Hype
This one was different.
Real growth + real hype.
Drivers included:
- 4K gaming and esports explosion
- AI research adoption
- Tesla’s self-driving push
- Crypto mining boom
- Datacenter demand
- Explosive revenue and margin growth
Outcome? A solid run with a mini-bubble at the tail end — which corrected during the crypto winter.
4️⃣ 2018 Crypto Crash
Mining demand collapsed.
NVDA dropped over 50%.
5️⃣ 2023–2024 AI Supercycle
The biggest rally in NVDA’s history.
Parabolic. Vertical. Narrative-fueled.
But here’s the thing:
Every vertical move in history cools off when expectations outrun execution.
🔹 Why This Cycle Feels Fragile
This isn’t just hype — it’s built on massive capex from Big Tech.
But capex isn’t infinite.
And the ROI of AI? Still foggy.
Here’s what’s brewing beneath the surface:
- Monetization is early
- Margins could shrink
- Custom chips are rising
- Spending could slow
And when it does, NVDA feels it first.
That’s why calling this an “unstoppable cycle” is dangerous.
🔹 My Technical View
I treat parabolic charts with caution — always.
- Strong trend ≠ invincible
- Steeper slope = weaker base
- Euphoria = warning sign
- Breaks are rarely gentle
NVDA still looks bullish long-term…
But no parabolic trend lasts forever.
I’m watching:
The price is currently reacting very well to the parabolic curves. Every time it hits the top, a downtrend begins, and the price crashes hard before retesting the support curve!
If AI spending slows even a little, NVDA will be the first domino.
🔹 Final Takeaways
Nvidia isn’t in trouble.
It’s one of the strongest tech players on the planet.
But history doesn’t care about greatness — it cares about gravity.
And every time NVDA flew too close to the sun, it came back down hard.
This cycle checks all the bubble boxes:
- Parabolic price
- Euphoric narrative
- Crowded positioning
- Sky-high expectations
- Capex dependence
As long as the slope holds, momentum traders run the show.
But when it breaks… it breaks fast.
That’s the bubble beneath the brilliance.
🎯 Why This Post Matters
Because most traders only see the surface.
They chase hype.
They follow headlines.
But they ignore the deeper forces — the ones that actually move the chart.
This post is a reminder:
Stay sharp.
Stay skeptical.
And never treat any narrative — even AI — as invincible.
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
#NVIDIA $NVDA The new leader!Nvidia is the world's number one after passing $MSFT.
-Valuation soars to $3.34 trillion.
Nvidia completed a 10-for-1 stock split on June 7. The chipmaker last month posted yet another blockbuster quarter, noting a 262% increase in revenue and a 462% increase in profits year-over-year.
I'm not going to write to much here. The market sentiment is clearly bullish and here are my projections for $NVDA.
The chart should speak for itself. Targets zone is shown on the chart.
Short term, expect price to consolidate withing the red projection marker based on divergences and anomalies in the relative strength index followed by a continuation of the upwards trend (green projection marker).
Targets: (-128),146,160,200
|----Range-----|
(alfa)
I will take a bullish longer term stand on NASDAQ:NVDA from where we currently sit. Short term, expect a pullback/consolidation at the current level before a possible continuation.
(Can add more intraday targets if requested).
Breaking: Nvidia ($NVDA) Crush Q3 Earnings Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock saw a noteworthy uptick of 5% in early Thursday premarket trading albeit market turmoil. The asset reported earnings yesterday after market close sparking bullish sentiment.
The asset is approaching the $200 resistant as the RSI is at 47 giving room for massive upside.
The Shares of Nvidia popped in premarket trade after the U.S. firm beat expectations in third-quarter results after the closing bell on Wednesday.
Shares were last trading 5.5% higher at 4:15 a.m. ET.
Nvidia topped forecasts for revenue, which jumped 62% to $57.01 billion year-on-year, and issued stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter sales guidance.
“There’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told investors on an earnings call, as the firm set out its view of the industry. “From our vantage point, we see something very different.”
Financial Performance
In 2024, NVIDIA's revenue was $130.50 billion, an increase of 114.20% compared to the previous year's $60.92 billion. Earnings were $72.88 billion, an increase of 144.89%.
Financial Performance
In 2024, NVIDIA's revenue was $130.50 billion, an increase of 114.20% compared to the previous year's $60.92 billion. Earnings were $72.88 billion, an increase of 144.89%.
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Centre accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms; and DGX Cloud computing services.
NVDA earnings thsi week - will that be catalyst for a move?Its been another few months of great bullish moves on NVDA, however the last couple of weeks have been choppy. We rejected the $200 level and now find ourselves sat above $180 and the Weekly 20MA.
If the numbers are good then I'm sure the giddiness will take us higher. If the numbers are poor the you have to ask will $180 and the Weekly 20MA act as support, or will they collapse? If they do, what will happen to tech and US markets in general? It means that its going to be an interesting week!
Markets are predictable. Trading S/D imbalances.Pre-election. 1200% extension after a 2-year rally. Facing ATH with strong trend and expectations.
This is a rule or factorial based approach. What most people think - is usually how most people are positioned, or usually also is the logical truth.
When something extends... and some risks emerge -- you can't really trust charts (ie demand strength). that's a prejudgement? ie sloppy way to look at things.
Also somewhat predictable is the 2 year rally, 3rd year weakness. If markets stall -- markets sells off on expectations of that "rule" lol
NVDA Rebounds From Demand Zone, Eyeing $210 Supply AreaNASDAQ:NVDA has shown a strong rebound from the $177–$180 demand zone, signaling potential bullish momentum after a steep correction. The 1-hour chart shows a shift in structure, with higher lows beginning to form, suggesting renewed buyer interest.
As long as the price holds above $182, the short-term outlook remains constructive. A breakout above $190 could accelerate the move toward the $210–$213 supply zone, where sellers previously regained control.
However, if NVDA fails to maintain above $182, the bullish setup may be invalidated, and price could revisit the $177 support.
🟢 Entry: $186–$188
🔴 Invalidation: Below $177
🎯 Target: $210–$213
Pop and drop part deuxLooks like that is possible, although right now it definitely feels more bullish than not. I think the market will be choppy the next few days at least. Gold is at resistance. VIX looks like an ABC forming. Oil falling but likely a test of the bottom before a rally. BTC could get to 92500 but it will find resistance there. Good luck!
$NVDANASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings next week, but I feel the hype is slowing down.
The only catalysts that could keep them strong are deeper ties with Israel’s defense systems and the new military tech initiatives they’re trying to build.
But even with that, the price needs a balance point.
NVDA is too extended it needs a healthy correction before the next leg.
NVDA Swing Trade Today✅ Positives / Bull Case
Strong recent earnings + guidance: NVIDIA beat in Q3 and the commentary is upbeat for Q4 (“crazy good” according to CEO Jensen Huang).
StockAnalysis
+4
Fox Business
+4
Investors
+4
Wall-Street bullish consensus: Analyst average target ~$243 from current ~$185-$195, suggesting ~30% upside in the medium term.
TipRanks
+1
Strong fundamental backdrop: Dominance in AI chips, data-centers, large TAM (total addressable market) etc. Makes for a good “momentum” swing candidate if you believe the thesis.
⚠️ Risks / Bear Case
Valuation & expectations are already very high: With consensus expecting big growth, there’s little margin for error. If guidance disappoints or general tech/macro weakens, it could pull back.
Sector/market risk: AI stocks are in “expectation land” to a large extent. Some analysts caution about a possible bubble.
MarketWatch
+1
Very volatile: As a swing trade you’ll need good risk control. Big moves both ways possible.
Short-term catalysts may be thin: Some notes (e.g., Goldman Sachs) suggest lack of new catalysts for near term.
Business Insider
🎯 Setup for a Swing Trade
Here’s how you might structure a swing trade given your approach:
Entry
Current price ~ US$195.67 (per latest)
You could wait for a pullback into a support zone (for example around US$180-190) to improve risk/reward.
Or if momentum is strong and you want to ride it you could enter near current levels—but expect higher risk.
Stop-Loss
For example, a stop could be placed just below a recent support: say US$175-180 zone (depending on your risk tolerance).
Given high volatility, a tighter stop may lead to getting whipsawed.
Target
Given the ~30% upside to ~$243 (consensus target) you could set a medium swing target around US$235-250. That gives about +20-30% upside.
Alternatively, for a shorter swing you may aim for +10-15% (US$215-225) and then re-evaluate.
Time Horizon
Since you said “swing trade”, perhaps 1-4 weeks depending on catalyst flow.
If using until next earnings/guidance or sector move, keep flexible.
Risk/Reward
Suppose you enter at US$195, stop at US$175 (≈10% risk) and target US$235 (≈20% reward) → ~2:1 R/R, decent.
But if you enter higher, risk increases quickly.
Market/Context Conditions
Ensure broad market tech/AI risk isn’t spiking down (i.e., avoid entering if tech is breaking down).
Watch for macro/interest-rate cues, since growth stocks are sensitive.
Keep an eye on news related to export rules (China), chip supply constraints, large customer guidance — any negative shock could hit.
🔍 My Verdict
I like NVDA as a swing trade candidate if you:
enter with risk control (stop in place),
accept the volatility,
have conviction in the AI/data-centre tailwinds.
However, I’d be somewhat cautious on entering right at the high unless you see a fresh catalyst or a strong pullback to reduce risk. If you’re more conservative, waiting for a retest of support or slight consolidation might be wiser.
If I were making a call today: enter around current levels or after a modest pull-back, stop-loss at ~$175-180, target ~$235 for the swing, and be ready to adjust if market tech sentiment weakens.
NVDA QuantSignals V3 — Katy Flags Subtle Reversal MoveNVDA (QuantSignals V3)
Market Structure:
NVDA is showing neutral-to-weak momentum with price hovering near short-term resistance at $189–190. Buyers are losing strength, and the tape shows lower high formations, signaling potential exhaustion.
Trend Outlook:
The Katy 1M model flags soft downside pressure. Despite the neutral trend reading, intraday structure leans toward a controlled pullback, supported by moderate volatility (16.5%).
Order Flow Insight:
Momentum flow appears to be slowing, with reduced upward volume. The micro-trend suggests fade-the-rip behavior—small rallies may get sold into.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $189.40 / $191.70
Support: $188.00 / $186.80
Short Trigger Zone: $188.50–$189.00
Vision Summary:
NVDA shows lower momentum, weak buyer conviction, and a short-biased micro-shift. Best setup aligns with a tight short scalp targeting the next liquidity pocket below $188.00.
NVDA Weekly Call Alert — AI Recovery + Institutional Flow🧭 Overview
Ticker: NVDA
Current Price (Entry): $187.50
Trend: Bullish (Analyst + AI recovery)
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (7D)
Strike: $187.50 (ATM, Delta 0.521)
Position Size: 4% of portfolio
📊 AI & Technical Forecast
Katy AI Target: Recovery sequence $185 → $190, timing for momentum reversal
Analyst Price Target: $250
PCR / Flow Intel: 0.33 → bullish institutional positioning
RSI: 80.9 → overbought, expect short-term dip before upward move
VIX: 19.84 → favorable volatility entry before expansion
Insights:
Friday entry captures weekend theta premium
Light weekly volume (0.6x) → monitor for institutional confirmation
Dip to $185.50 may provide optimal entry for maximum upside
🎯 Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Direction CALL
Strike $187.50
Entry $7.50
Target 1 $12.00 (+60%)
Target 2 $15.00 (+100%)
Stop Loss $4.50 (–40%)
Expiry 2025-11-21
Position Size 4% portfolio
Confidence 60%
⚡ Key Advantages
ATM call → balanced risk/reward vs OTM alternatives
Tight stop aligns with AI critical support at $184.44
Institutional bullish flow + AI recovery pattern → asymmetric reward potential
Timing advantage: Monday-Tuesday momentum reversal
🚨 Risk Notes
Low AI confidence (50%) → disciplined sizing required
Overbought RSI → short-term upside may be capped
Rising VIX → daily premium decay risk, consider scaling entry
Avoid holding past Wednesday if Target 1 isn’t reached
Summary
NVDA presents a medium-conviction weekly call leveraging AI recovery trajectory, institutional flow, and analyst support. Ideal for disciplined traders seeking timed momentum entry into a 7-day horizon.
Nvdia (NVDA): How Deep It Can Dip?The RSI is not buying the hype as it shows clear Bearish Divergence
This aligns with the current impulse wave count suggesting the 5 wave structure may now be complete and the orange uptrend has been broken
Last year a similar Bearish Divergence triggered a large consolidation phase marked in yellow
It may repeat again
First support is at 153 the top of the previous consolidation
Second support is at 87 the bottom of that consolidation
NVDA using TrenVantage LITEQuick look at nvidia using the TrenVantage LITE indicator. Clearly in a downtrend here, close levels plotted are daily's that have been tested, chances are they wont hold. Would expect to see the lower levels since this has already turned into a downtrend. Weekly Monthly and Daily Key Levels all plotted.
NVDA Montly Neg. Divergence?Sure, stocks will rise eventually and we have been in a strong bull market since autumn 2022 but how about this negative divergence on the monthly chart of NVDA? (Also on the weekly chart.) Monthly charts always shows us the direction and we just take action according that by looking at the daily. How long more the buyers are going to buy NVDA? Count the Elliott waves since Oct. 2022 on higher time frames as well. Indicators getting weak, Fibonacci is struggling around 161 level… Something has to cool off.
Nvidia - Squeezing every single bear!🧯NVidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Nvidia has been rallying +125%. Considering the market cap of Nvidia, this is already an insane move but clearly not the end. We can still see another +25% from here, before Nvidia will then retest the next resistance.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nvidia Denies $1B Mexico Plan, Eyes Key SupportNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) came under brief scrutiny on Wednesday after reports suggested a $1 billion investment in a new data center project in Nuevo León, Mexico. The tech giant has since denied any financial involvement, clarifying that its role in Latin America remains limited to collaborative initiatives, research, and talent development, not direct infrastructure spending.
The confusion began when the state’s governor, Samuel García, publicly announced the investment alongside individuals presented as Nvidia representatives. However, later corrections confirmed that the green hydrogen data center would actually be built by CIPRE Holding, utilizing Nvidia’s technology rather than capital.
Despite the miscommunication, the news had little fundamental impact on Nvidia’s long-term growth narrative. The company remains the dominant force in AI semiconductors, with global demand for GPUs powering everything from data centers to generative AI models. However, short-term volatility persists amid global tech supply pressures, tighter U.S.–China chip export controls, and broader market repricing ahead of potential U.S. interest rate cuts in December.
From a technical perspective, NVDA recently hit resistance near the $212 high before retracing. The chart suggests potential for a healthy correction toward the $155 support range, which coincides with a strong accumulation zone from mid-2025. A rebound from this level could fuel a continuation toward $230–$240, resuming Nvidia’s dominant uptrend.
Investors remain focused on upcoming quarterly earnings and the broader market’s reaction to monetary easing expectations. A confirmed rate cut could renew institutional appetite for high-growth tech names, keeping Nvidia positioned as one of the most favored equities in the AI sector.
Pre-Nvidia Q3 2025 EARNINGS - Two Scenarios to WatchNVDA is sitting right on the Anchored VP POC with an oversold Stoch RSI and price trading under the EMA-20 Bollinger band (1 std). That’s the same setup that has triggered reversion bounces multiple times this year.
Scenario 1 — Bounce and Band Chop (Green Path)
If NVDA holds the POC, the most natural move is a bounce back into the EMA-20 band's high.
From there, expect price to whip around inside the band because that’s been its early 2025 behaviour: revert → chop → retest.
The upper band sits just under $200, a psychological and structural resistance.
This is the high-probability scenario if earnings are neutral or strong.
Scenario 2 — Break Below POC and Turn It into Resistance (Red Path)
If earnings disappoint and NVDA gaps below the POC tomorrow, that same level becomes a potential resistance on any intraday bounce.
But — and this is the part many people miss —
Scenario 1 is still valid unless we get a clear rejection from the underside of POC.
Meaning:
A break below POC is not automatically a trend shift
A failed reclaim with a clean rejection is the real confirmation
Only then do we look toward the next structural level at the Jan Top zone around 155–160.
NVDA is at a decision point. Earnings drop after today’s close — the real move will be at tomorrow’s open. Whether we bounce into the band or reject off the POC will tell you everything about the next leg.






















