NVDA: Undervalued AI Chip Leader Amid #YoungInvestorPortfolio?NVDA: Undervalued AI Chip Leader Amid #YoungInvestorPortfolio? $209 Target in Sight? 🚀
NVDA trades at $178.19 (+1.45%), undervalued with dominant AI GPU demand tying into Reddit young investor buzz on portfolios—analysts forecast average $209 target, 17% upside from robust data center growth, questioning if Blackwell rollout sparks breakout. 📈
**Fundamental Analysis**
EPS $3.51 ttm with revenue $165.218B and 71.55% YoY growth; P/E 52.56 reflects relative undervaluation in high-growth tech, DCF models indicate 15-20% intrinsic premium on AI expansions.
- **Positive:** Leading AI market share; strong cash flow generation.
- **Negative:** High capex demands; supply chain vulnerabilities.
**SWOT Analysis**
**Strengths:** Innovative GPU technology; data center dominance.
**Weaknesses:** Valuation sensitivity to growth slowdowns.
**Opportunities:** Expanding AI adoption; strategic partnerships.
**Threats:** Regulatory scrutiny; intensifying competition.
**Technical Analysis**
Chart in uptrend with strong volume support. Price: $178.19, VWAP $177.
Key indicators:
- RSI: 53 (neutral, upside potential).
- MACD: Positive signal line.
- Moving Averages: Above 50-day $170, 200-day $150 (bullish).
Support/Resistance: $170/$185. Patterns/Momentum: Ascending triangle targeting $200. 📈 Bullish.
**Scenarios and Risk Management**
- **Bullish:** AI demand surge to $200; DCA on pullbacks below $175 for averaged gains.
- **Bearish:** Chip shortages drop to $160.
- **Neutral:** Consolidates at $180 awaiting earnings.
Risk Tips: Stops at 5% below entry, limit to 2% portfolio, diversify tech exposure, DCA to handle volatility. ⚠️
**Conclusion/Outlook**
Bullish if AI trends accelerate. Watch Q3 earnings. Fits tech theme with #YoungInvestorPortfolio upside. Take? Comment!
NVDA trade ideas
NVDA – Coiling Tight for a Big Move on Gamma Levels . Sep 29NVDA – Coiling Tight for a Big Move as Gamma Levels Draw the Battle Lines ⚡️
1-Hour Technical Outlook
NVIDIA has been grinding inside a narrowing descending channel after its recent selloff, with intraday price now stabilizing around $177–$178. A series of higher lows over the last two sessions hint at basing, but the short-term downtrend line from the $185 zone still caps upside. MACD histogram just turned positive and the Stoch RSI is pointing higher, signaling an early shift in momentum.
Immediate resistance sits at $180.2, followed by the heavy supply zone between $182.5 and $185. Key support levels are $175 (short-term pivot) and $172–$170 (structural demand).
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Confirmation
The options landscape reinforces these technical pivots:
* Major Call Wall / Max positive GEX is stacked at $185, with ~45% of call positioning concentrated there.
* Secondary call concentration: $182.5 (~39% call wall).
* Strong put support: $172.5 and $170, matching the lower trend channel and recent lows.
This setup suggests a gamma squeeze could ignite if NVDA breaks and holds above $180.2, where dealer hedging may accelerate upside toward $182.5–$185. Conversely, a loss of $175 would expose $172 and potentially $170 as downside magnets.
Trade Ideas & Option Plays for This Week
* Bullish Setup: Long above $180.2 with targets at $182.5 and $185. Ideal options: 1-week 180 or 182.5 calls, or 180/185 debit spreads to lower premium.
* Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $175 opens room to $172 and $170. Traders can look at short-dated puts or vertical spreads such as 175/170.
* With IVR around 5.3 and IVx near 39, premiums are still modest—an advantage for debit spreads.
My Take:
NVDA is in a classic coiling pattern. Momentum oscillators are leaning bullish, but price must clear $180.2 to validate a trend reversal. The gamma map perfectly matches these breakout levels, giving confidence to the setup. Keep a tight stop below $175 if going long, and be ready to flip short if sellers reclaim control.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NVDA Is Setup to Break New All-time Highs2025-09-26: NVDA Bullish Setup is Ready
1). Higher Lows Thursday ($173.13), Friday ($174.93). Will be perfect setup if next Monday close higher than $174.93.
2). Today vs Startup date Volume 23% Decrease 09-18: 191.76M vs 09-26 148.47M
3). Support Doji (Lower wig longer)
4). Close above all Moving Averages
Bullish Momentum Builds as Nvidia Exits Consolidation Phase🚀 Nvidia Nears Breakout: Strong uptrend with volume profile support. Consolidation phase close to completion. Entry $172.95 | SL $167 | TP $255.65 → Attractive risk/reward setup for continuation higher. Let the bulls do their work — update to follow.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
NVIDIA – Enormous Pressure After Reaching the Stretch LevelBetween July 31 and August 13, price kept nagging at the white U-MLH,
but there wasn’t enough strength to break through.
From there, price began to drift lower, pressing against the red U-MLH.
The close last Friday failed to break below the red U-MLH –
a clear sign of weakness!
If the green mini-trendline gives way and the white ¼-Line moves above price as well,
NVDA could be ripe for a short setup.
Let’s stalk the trade.
NVDA SELLIf you have not SELL NVDA, than be prepare to SELL NVDA riding it back down to 93.00 to 77.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss will be determine later!
If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the market, because the market is NOT a sure thing,
so it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
NVDA buy order
Price sold off at 178.04 the broke out showing that price is bullish the next time price is above 178.04
We see bullish structure (higher highs higher lows)
We see the textbook price action
Indication
Correction
Continuation
Good RR (1:3)
We also have Nvidia wanting to invest $100B into Chatgpt (Bit of fundamentals for ya)
$NVDA Cracks were already showing.NASDAQ:NVDA Cracks were already showing.
Momentum stalled, buyers hesitated, and the tape began to lean heavy.
That’s the trap.
Structure tells a different story.
When lower highs started stacking, the short wasn’t a guess — it was the only logical play.
The edge comes from seeing what others ignore:
That hesitation is often the first domino.
That failed breakouts fuel the breakdowns.
By the time the flush came, it looked obvious.
But the decision was made long before — risk mapped, bias clear, execution ready.
Most chase the move.
The prepared step into it.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 150usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $13.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
bull flag and inverse head and shoulder breakout retestOn monday 22sept we broke the bullflag/ descending channel and also inverse head and shoulders on the 4hour chart with high volume.
Yesterday we went for a retest of the breakout as expected to 177.6
the 4hours candle closed as a bullish hammer candle.
Todays expectation is nvidia to retest or break its ATH at 184.
If we break 184 today we are lookig at the target of the inverse head and shoulder by end of week wich is 195.
if you look at the rsi ,the rsi is not overbought anymore and made a higher high so no signs of the bears.
NVIDIA’s Decisive Battle at the $185 Resistance🔹 Short-Term Outlook (1–3 Weeks)
Current Situation:
NVIDIA (NVDA) is trading around $183.6, right below the critical $185 resistance—a level that has repeatedly capped the stock’s rallies.
Momentum & Pattern:
The price has reclaimed the 50-day moving average ($175.9) with a strong bullish candle, signaling renewed buying interest.
Bullish Scenario:
If NVDA breaks and holds above $185:
🎯 Target 1: $195
🎯 Target 2: $205
Bearish Scenario:
If the stock fails to break $185 and closes below $175:
❌ Short-Term Stop Loss: below $175
🎯 Downside Target: $165
🔹 Long-Term Outlook (2–6 Months)
Overall Trend:
The medium-term trend remains bullish, and a decisive breakout above $185 could ignite a new rally.
Bullish Scenario:
🎯 Medium-Term Target: $220
🎯 Long-Term Target: $250
Bearish Scenario:
If the stock loses the $160 support:
❌ Long-Term Stop Loss: below $160
🎯 Downside Target: $140
✅ Summary:
NVDA stands at a pivotal level. A breakout above $185 could open the door to $200 and higher, while rejection at this level risks a pullback toward $165.
$NVDA: The River Changes Course - A Mean Reversion IdeaThe Technical Landscape
Our prior long setup on NASDAQ:NVDA was invalidated, providing us with the invaluable information that the bullish momentum has stalled. Following the Fed's announcement, the market's breath has changed. We now see a potential downtrend forming on the daily chart, with price creating lower highs and respecting a new descending trendline. The bears, who have been slumbering, appear to be waking up.
Instead of fighting this new current, we look to flow with it. The thesis is no longer about bullish continuation, but about a potential reversion to the mean. Price has a memory, and we are targeting a return to the scene of the previous major breakout, the demand zone around the $152 level. This is simply one piece of the puzzle, viewed without bias or ego.
The Philosophy - Listening When The Market Speaks
The trend is your friend, until it isn't. Our job is not to predict when the friendship will end, but to recognize when the dynamic has changed and act accordingly.
Our previous attempt at a long wasn't a failure; it was the market telling us, at a very small cost, that our hypothesis was incorrect for the current conditions. A limitless trader embraces this information with gratitude, for it protects us from the much greater cost of being stubborn. We are not "flipping" from bull to bear out of emotion. We are simply listening, adapting, and aligning with the price action that is presenting itself right now. Don't be a salmon, stubbornly fighting a new and powerful current. A limitless trader considers all outcomes, and right now, the path of least resistance appears to be pointing down.
An Illustrative Setup
Style: Short / Mean Reversion
Entry: An area of confluence around $175, near the descending trendline resistance.
Stop Loss: A defined stop above recent highs and trendline resistance at $178.75. If price breaks this level, our bearish thesis is invalidated.
Take Profit: Targeting the area of prior breakout, around $152.50.
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1 : 5.9
A safer, more conservative entry could be sought on a break and hold below the $168 support level, but always remember to manage your own risk based on your personal strategy.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Nvidia and OpenAI Announce Partnership, NVDA Shares SurgeNvidia and OpenAI Announce Partnership, NVDA Shares Surge
Yesterday it was revealed that leading chipmaker Nvidia and leading artificial intelligence research laboratory OpenAI have announced a strategic partnership, under which Nvidia will invest $100 billion in OpenAI.
A network of data centres will also be created to train and operate the most advanced artificial intelligence models:
→ the network will be based on Nvidia’s next-generation platform, Vera Rubin;
→ the network’s total capacity is unprecedented, reaching 10 gigawatts;
→ the first phase of the project is expected to launch in the second half of 2026.
Nvidia (NVDA) shares reacted sharply to the news. During Monday’s trading, 22 September, the company’s stock price jumped by roughly 4%, climbing at yesterday’s high above $184.30 (marking a new all-time record, as shown on the chart). The chipmaker’s market capitalisation closed in on $4.5 trillion, cementing its status as the most valuable company in the world.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Chart
Previously, in our 1 September analysis of NVDA, we:
→ plotted an ascending channel describing NVDA’s price movements following the bullish impulse at the end of June;
→ noted unsuccessful attempts by the bulls to break resistance at $183, which provided grounds to view the chart in the context of a Triple Top pattern (1-2-3);
→ assumed that the bears were exerting pressure on an overvalued stock and considered a correction scenario.
Since then, the Nvidia stock price corrected to $165, from where it resumed its upward trend (shown with a broken arrow).
The new data provide grounds to:
→ expand the channel (shown in blue) without changing its slope, adding the QH and QL lines to divide the wider channel into quarters;
→ plot the trajectory of the correction (in red).
Within this context, it is reasonable to assume that:
→ the stock price of NVDA found support at the QL line and moved up towards the midline;
→ the red lines form a Bullish Flag pattern;
→ yesterday’s rise broke out of this corrective pattern, with the bulls attempting to resume the upward trend, though the $183 level still provides resistance.
It is not excluded that the strong fundamental background, the development of AI technologies, and the supportive driver of the Fed’s rate cut may ultimately enable the bulls to overcome the $183 level, paving the way for NVDA’s share price to approach the psychological $200 mark.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVIDIA (NVDA) – RSI Trendline Breakout Signals Momentum Shift NVIDIA has staged a sharp move higher, reclaiming momentum after weeks of sideways-to-lower action. What makes this setup notable is not just the price, but the RSI trendline breakout.
Key Points:
RSI Trendline Breakout: The RSI broke above a descending trendline, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favour of buyers.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout coincided with a strong volume spike – often an early tell that institutions are stepping in.
Price Action: Price is now retesting the all-time high zone (~$184–185). A sustained close above this level could open the door for further upside.
Short-Term View: As long as NVDA holds above the $175–177 support zone, the bias remains bullish with potential for acceleration if RSI pushes toward the overbought zone.
Watchlist Levels:
Upside breakout trigger: $185+ (new all-time high)
Immediate support: $175
Momentum invalidation: Below $175
This is a classic case of how RSI trendline analysis can provide an early signal, often before price fully confirms the breakout.
$NVDA 15-Min: The God Candle That Spoke Loudest NASDAQ:NVDA exploded on the 15-minute chart today.
One bar, full conviction — the type of move traders call a god candle.
But here’s the truth: it isn’t about chasing candles.
It’s about having a process that makes you ready when they appear.
The groundwork is done before the bell.
Pre-market calculations define the risk, filter the noise, and set the stage for the opening drive.
When the signal aligns, you don’t predict — you execute.
Most of the time, the market is noise.
Occasionally, it speaks clearly.
Your job is to cut the losers fast, let the winners breathe, and keep showing up until the edge reveals itself.
NVDA Oct 7–Coiling Tight for a Breakout! Watch $187.5 Pivot Zone15-Min Chart Analysis (Intraday Trading Setup):
NVDA is forming a symmetrical triangle, compressing between $185–$187.5 after several sessions of choppy consolidation. This coiling pattern reflects equilibrium between buyers and sellers — a setup that typically precedes a strong breakout or breakdown.
Price is currently sitting at $185.65, hugging the triangle’s apex. The MACD is neutral, showing declining momentum but no bearish crossover confirmation yet. Meanwhile, Stoch RSI is resetting mid-range (46.83 / 43.28), suggesting the potential for a new move in either direction once momentum triggers.
Short-term levels to watch:
* Upside breakout zone: $187.25 → $187.62. A break and hold above this level could quickly push NVDA toward $190–$192.50.
* Downside support: $182.93 → $180.50. If price loses $182.93 with volume, it opens room for a retest of the $178 zone where prior liquidity pools exist.
Given the wedge compression, traders should stay patient — the move that follows could be sharp and decisive.
1-Hour GEX Confirmation (Options Sentiment Insight):
GEX levels on the 1-hour chart reinforce the technical setup perfectly:
* Highest positive NETGEX / CALL resistance stands at $192.50, forming a key magnet zone if NVDA breaks out.
* The $185 area aligns with a neutral gamma transition point — a battleground between dealers hedging both directions.
* Strong PUT walls are concentrated around $180–$172.50, creating a solid downside floor.
This gamma structure implies a coiled spring scenario — a decisive break above $187.5 could unleash gamma-driven upside momentum toward $190–$192, while losing $182.9 could accelerate a gamma unwind to $180.
My Thoughts:
NVDA’s price action shows tightening volatility, a sign of energy building before expansion. With low IVR (14.8) and IVx (45.9) — volatility is compressed, making directional breakouts ideal for options traders.
I’m watching $187.50 as the key pivot. A breakout above it could trigger a short-term gamma squeeze toward $192.50, while a failure and rejection could lead to a fade toward $182–$180. This setup offers an attractive risk/reward in either direction — ideal for momentum traders.
Options Outlook (Oct 7–11):
* Bullish setup: Consider 187.5C or 190C (Oct 11 expiry) if price reclaims and holds above $187.5 with volume > average.
* Bearish setup: Consider 182.5P if NVDA fails at $187.5 and breaks below $183 with confirmed MACD divergence.
* Volatility note: With IVR at 14.8, option premiums are cheaper than usual — a good opportunity for directional swing entries.
Conclusion:
NVDA is consolidating tightly at a critical crossroad. The symmetrical triangle plus neutral gamma landscape signals a breakout is near — watch $187.5 for confirmation. Above it, bulls can push toward $190–$192.5; below $183, bears gain control. Stay alert — the next move could define NVDA’s direction for the week.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NVDA Long/Investment till mid nov. 2 entries: low probability of orders getting filled/high profit margin.
1. one for higher probability of getting filled. E: 174 SL: 166
2. better profit margin. E: 172 SL: 167
target is $200 - $220
only allowed to hold it till:
1. 15 of November
or
2. 3 of December
why not to hold it till 2026? competition of selling might get higher.
commercials and fund managers will take profit before the bearish seasonality starts.