TSLA 4hr Chart- Bullish Setup in Motion Ahead of Earnings Tesla (TSLA) is showing real strength heading into earnings week, closing Friday around $439.31 (+2.46%) with solid momentum. On the 4-hour chart, we’ve been trading inside a descending channel, and that’s important because while it may look bearish at first, this type of channel often leads to bullish breakouts once volume and structure align.
Right now, price is testing the upper side of that channel with a clean bounce from the recent demand zone and reclaiming both the 10 and 20 EMAs. That’s a strong technical sign heading into Monday.
Technical Breakdown
Pattern: Descending Channel (Bullish Continuation Potential)
Trend: Uptrend Confirmed
Momentum: Strong Buy (MAs showing 93.33%)
Oscillators: Leaning Bullish (27.27% Buy Bias)
Entry Zone: Around $435 – $438 (breakout retest area)
Stop Loss: Near $428 (below 61.8% Fib retracement)
Targets:
TP1 → $444.76
TP2 → $454.15
Extended Target → $469.95 (premium supply zone)
Resistance to Watch:
$443.52 – prior swing high
$454.15 – Fib confluence
$469.95 – premium zone and potential top block
Support Levels:
$428 – key breakout retest
$414 – lower boundary of the channel
$401 – major structure support
Heading Into Monday
Bulls are clearly back in control. The chart shows a steady reclaim of momentum with higher lows forming and volume starting to pick up. If price holds above $435, we could see continuation toward $444 – $454 early in the week. A breakout above $443.52 with strong volume would confirm that shift in momentum toward the next leg up.
If we see a short-term dip, I’ll be watching $428 – $414 as the key demand zone where buyers might reload before earnings.
Final Thoughts
Don’t sleep on descending channels — they often set up the biggest bullish reversals once the breakout happens. TSLA is sitting in that pocket right now, with multiple indicators flashing Strong Buy across timeframes. As long as $435 holds, this setup continues to favor the bulls into earnings.
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 4H leading into Monday
Expect some volatility, but the trend remains intact and momentum looks healthy.
📘 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trade decisions.
Trade ideas
$TSLA: bullishNASDAQ:TSLA we were/are in a Wave-4 correction. If NASDAQ:TSLA drops after ER, it'd be a buying opportunity.
Wave 5 will take NASDAQ:TSLA to/near all time high.
I already have NASDAQ:TSLA shares. I plan to harness the high time premium by buy covered stocks at $440 strike, equivalent to $422.50, with upside limited to $17.50 per share.
$TSLANASDAQ:TSLA earnings this week ⚡️
I passed through Tesla Texas and noticed their construction speeding up.
The average price of a new vehicle just topped $50K (Cox Automotive – Kelley Blue Book).
This could accelerate demand for affordable EVs and ease pressure on auto consumers.
Based on my observation, Tesla has strong momentum right now. 🚗
Account Blow Up 10/17/2025💥 Trading Is a Game of Survival
NASDAQ:TSLA blew up my account — I’ll be completely honest about that.
It hurts, but it also teaches. Every great trader has been here once.
I fund my account every two months, which means I won’t be trading until next month. That’s fine — I’m using this reset to rebuild cash flow and strengthen my system.
I promise to come back stronger, with cash in hand, discipline sharpened, and focus doubled.
The goal isn’t to win once — it’s to stay in the game long enough to master it.
This isn’t the end.
It’s just a reset.
#Trading #Discipline #RiskManagement #Comeback #TSLA #WaverVanir #VolanX
TSLA: Trade Plan 10/17/2025NASDAQ:TSLA – The Calm Before the Storm ⚡
Tomorrow could define the next leg. The structure is tight, momentum is fading, and macro pressure aligns with technical exhaustion.
Multi-Timeframe Outlook:
1D / 1W: Bearish continuation setup confirmed; equilibrium breached, liquidity void below remains unfilled (targets: $403 → $374).
4H / 15M: Series of lower highs with visible imbalance; RSI divergence confirms momentum exhaustion.
Fib Levels: 0.618 and 0.786 rejection zones hold — signaling institutional distribution rather than retail bounce.
VolanX DSS Probability Model
Bearish Probability: 82% (downward continuation)
Bullish Reversal Probability: 18%
Volatility Projection: +/- 4.6% intraday range expected
Macro & Catalysts
Rates & Yields: Rising real yields put pressure on high-beta tech.
Earnings Proximity: Market may be front-running a guidance downgrade.
Liquidity Flows: Options flow skewed toward puts since Oct 14 — institutional hedging confirmed.
Bias:
I’m fully committed to the short side here — structure, volume, and macro all align. “Go big or go home.”
If $428 fails to reclaim, the path to $403 → $374 opens.
🧠 This is my personal technical outlook, not investment advice.
#TSLA #TradingView #VolanX #AITrading #MacroStrategy #WaverVanir
$TSLA | Medium-Term Elliott Wave Outlook (2025–2026)🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Medium-Term Elliott Wave Outlook (2025–2026)
Price action shows a mature 5-wave structure approaching completion.
The next probable phase is a corrective ABC retracement before a new expansion leg begins.
🧭 Base Case (Most Probable ~60%)
End of current impulse around $527–$540
Correction to $380–$400 region (Wave A–B–C)
Mid-to-long-term expansion toward $615 → $705 → $869+ by late 2026
⚙️ Technical & Macro Confluence
RSI + volume divergence confirming wave exhaustion
Macro liquidity compression aligns with corrective phase
Institutional demand re-entry near $395–$400 zone
Fibonacci & structure symmetry consistent with this projection
📊 Bias: Short-term bearish → Medium-term accumulation → Long-term bullish.
📅 Cycle Horizon: 2025–2026
“Correction isn’t collapse — it’s the reload before expansion.”
#TSLA #ElliottWave #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
$TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection👇
🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection
The larger structure is forming a clean Elliott Wave sequence, suggesting a potential top near the completion of Wave (5) before a corrective phase unfolds.
🧩 Structure Overview:
Primary impulse appears complete between $527–$540
Corrective phase (ABC) projected toward $384 → $332 → $319
If confirmed, this would align with the macro liquidity contraction and potential market re-pricing post-Fed actions
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (5) targets align with 1.236–1.618 Fibonacci extensions
RSI divergence already forming — early weakness
Volume momentum decelerating across higher timeframes
🧭 Outlook:
Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish
Medium-term (1–3 months): Potential correction toward $380s
Long-term (Q2–Q3 2026): Bullish resumption possible if liquidity stabilizes
“Wave completion precedes transformation — patience pays.”
#TSLA #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
TSLA – Calm Before the Storm or Just Another Dip Buy?Tesla (TSLA) is trading around $315, bouncing off recent lows, but this isn’t just a clean technical setup. With Elon Musk’s political drama escalating (hello, “America Party”) and ongoing tension with Trump, TSLA is becoming a battleground stock with serious volatility.
As swing traders, that’s exactly where we thrive.
📍 Entry Plan
✅ Entry #1 – $315
✅ Entry #2 – $300
• Previous breakout zone — ideal for dip buyers
✅ Entry #3 – $265
• Strong macro support; only activated if market correction deepens.
🎯 Profit Targets
• TP1: $335
• TP2: $355
• TP3: 400+ – if sentiment + volume align with narrative momentum (think: Robotaxi or AI catalyst)
If $265 gets hit, I’m not panicking, I’m preparing for high-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m just sharing my plan and technical zones. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
📌 Follow for more ideas based on price, narrative, and timing. Trade smart — not loud. 🧭📈
$TSLA Eyes on the prize — AKA the GAP NASDAQ:TSLA
Eyes on the prize — AKA the GAP 🧠
This imbalance could fill tomorrow if momentum continues downward.
RSI cooling off, structure leaning bearish, and that liquidity pocket below looks too tempting to ignore.
Just watching price react to the zone — not financial advice.
#TSLA #VolanX #GapFill #LiquidityZones #AITrading
$TSLA Wave (B) rejection looks valid NASDAQ:TSLA
Wave (B) rejection looks valid — system preparing for Wave (C) extension. ⚠️
0.618 retrace rejection confirmed
RSI divergence remains bearish
Target → $418 → $405 liquidity zone
DSS short bias until structure breaks above $432
VolanX mode: “Drain before reversal.” 🧠
#VolanX #AITrading #TSLA #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts
$TSLA Symmetrical wedge still holdingNASDAQ:TSLA
Symmetrical wedge still holding — but liquidity structure is breaking down. ⚠️
Loss of equilibrium → signals start of the drain phase
RSI mid-compression, sellers gaining control
Targeting $415 → $405 zone (liquidity collection)
Invalidation above $432
VolanX DSS bias: Short until liquidity reclaims 🧠
#VolanX #AITrading #LiquidityZones #SMC #TSLA
TSLA: Trying to draw all the algos I know. NASDAQ:TSLA
Clean breakdown forming from the wedge 🧠
Price rejected perfectly near 0.618–0.702 retracement
Targeting $416–$415 (liquidity pocket)
RSI turning down, sellers taking control
If bulls can’t reclaim $432, this could accelerate fast.
Bias → Short ⚡
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #TSLA #SmartMoneyConcepts
TSLA ShortMarket Structure:
Tesla is currently in a bearish market structure following a failed attempt to sustain higher highs. After a Change of Character (CHoCH) around $443.55, price shifted from a bullish correctional phase into a downward sequence. The prior upward leg that established short-term higher highs has now been rejected decisively, and price is printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish control. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) is expected near $411.44, indicating that sellers regained dominance and are likely targeting liquidity beneath recent lows.
Supply & Demand Zones:
The supply zone between $435.00 and $439.00 remains significant—price dropped sharply from here after a clean retest, showing strong institutional selling pressure and minimal buying defense. This zone remains structurally strong and continues to cap upside attempts. Below, the demand zone around $425.00–$421.00 has provided short-term support in the past, but the reaction there was weak, suggesting that buyers stepped in cautiously rather than with conviction. The next deeper demand zone lies around $411.00–$407.00, where buyers previously showed more commitment with larger wicks and impulsive upward movement.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently pushing down toward the $425.00–$421.00 demand zone after rejecting the supply above. The short-term expectation is for a minor pullback toward $428.00–$430.00, potentially forming a lower high, before a continuation lower toward the $411.00 zone. The projection on the chart aligns with this view, anticipating a temporary pause before renewed selling.
Bias & Outlook:
The trade bias is bearish, with expectation of continued downside movement toward $411.00–$410.00. A confirmed close above $439.00 would invalidate this view and shift short-term sentiment back to bullish. Until that happens, sellers remain in control.
Momentum & Candle Behavior:
Momentum currently favors the sellers, as seen in consecutive bearish candles with solid body structures and smaller wicks. Bullish candles show limited follow-through, indicating fading demand strength. No strong reversal patterns are visible yet; only mild compression before another expected impulse down.
$TSLA: Symmetrical wedge breaking down. NASDAQ:TSLA
Symmetrical wedge breaking down. ⚠️
Volume confirms exit pressure — sellers controlling equilibrium.
Lower highs compressing liquidity.
Fib confluence supports a leg toward $411–$401 zone (1.0–1.272 extension).
RSI momentum flattening under 50.
DSS bias = short-term bearish continuation.
Target → $401–$400 liquidity pool
Invalidation above $436.50
This could be a slow liquidity drain before a bigger displacement. 🧠
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #TSLA #SMC
TSLA: SHORTNASDAQ:TSLA
Setup aligning with VolanX DSS bias → short confirmation zone active.
Rising wedge pattern breaking structure
CHoCH under equilibrium, signaling early distribution
Volume increasing on sell-side
RSI divergence + loss of bullish momentum
Targeting $415–$412 liquidity zone (discount area).
Invalidation above $437.50 — clean risk box.
Bias: Short
Strategy: Wait for 15m BOS + volume spike confirmation 🧠
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #TSLA
Tesla: Will It Blast Off or Fall Fast? The $404 Level Is the KeyTesla is at a big “make or break” point. If the price stays higher than $404, it could blast up to $437 or maybe even $478. But if Tesla drops below $404, watch out! It could fall down to $380 or even as low as $351.
Think about it:
What would you do if Tesla started moving toward those numbers? Do you think it will go up or will it go down?
If you’re not sure or have a question, send me a message! Sometimes asking one good question can help you make a smarter trade. What do you want to know about Tesla right now?
Mindbloome Exchange
Tesla (TSLA) — Momentum Reload or Major Cooldown?The Next $400–$450 Decision Zone!
🧭 Weekly Chart — Big Picture Momentum
Tesla has printed one of the cleanest BOS (Break of Structure) patterns on the weekly timeframe since the post-2023 recovery, confirming that the macro downtrend has flipped into a sustained bullish expansion. The stock ripped from its $216 CHoCH base and is now consolidating above the prior macro breakout line near $425.
However, the latest weekly candle shows stalling momentum, forming a short-term distribution near the $430–$440 region. That zone lines up perfectly with the previous supply structure and fib confluence from 2022 highs.
The MACD histogram remains strongly positive but is beginning to flatten — early warning that buying pressure might be easing. Stoch RSI is also hovering near overbought at 85+, signaling the need for a short-term reset before the next leg.
* Bullish scenario: A weekly close above $436–$440 would confirm strength continuation toward $488–$500, the next liquidity zone.
* Bearish scenario: A close below $410 opens the door for a healthy pullback to $367–$376, a major equilibrium level with demand imbalance and previous BOS base.
Weekly takeaway: Trend remains bullish, but short-term overextension hints at a pause or mild retracement before another drive up.
⚙️ Daily Chart — Structure and Cooling Phase
The daily chart confirms Tesla’s minor pullback within the larger bullish wave. After breaking above $400 with strong momentum, price is now consolidating just above its breakout order block ($415–$420).
The BOS on daily shows continuation potential, but MACD has started printing red bars — suggesting that momentum is fading and a retest is underway. The Stoch RSI sitting high around 93 indicates the correction may continue until momentum rebalances.
* Bullish case: If TSLA can hold $416 and print a higher low, the next upside targets are $442 → $455, then $488 (supply zone).
* Bearish case: A daily close below $414 would invalidate near-term bullish control, triggering a slide toward $400–$397, a major demand block that aligns with GEX PUT support.
Daily summary: Still in bullish structure, but short-term retracement needed for healthy continuation. Watch for $415 hold as pivot.
⏱ 1-Hour Chart — Trading Plan
On the 1-hour chart, TSLA is forming a short-term consolidation wedge between $420 and $436 after multiple CHoCH and BOS flips. The stock is bouncing between mid-range liquidity pockets, showing clear indecision from both sides.
MACD is recovering from a previous bearish cycle, while Stoch RSI has crossed up from mid-levels — showing early signs of a micro-bounce in progress.
Volume confirms that buyers are active at $424–$425 zone, but strong resistance remains near $436–$440.
Trading Plan:
* Bullish setup: Enter above $436 breakout with target $445 → $455, stop at $425.
* Bearish setup: Short if $420 fails with downside target $405 → $400, stop at $430.
This structure allows swing-to-scalp flexibility — traders can lean bullish above $425 but must stay cautious until price reclaims $436 decisively.
💥 Options GEX & Institutional Positioning
Based on the Options GEX chart:
* Highest Call Wall: $450 — heavy resistance and likely magnet if bulls push higher.
* Next positive GEX zone: $445, where gamma flips positive and market makers chase delta hedges upward.
* Major PUT Wall: $400 — strong defense area, aligning perfectly with chart structure and demand.
* IVR 25.7 / IVx 67.7 → volatility premium moderate, favoring directional plays with limited spreads.
Gamma interpretation: As long as price holds between $425–$440, market makers maintain positive gamma, keeping price pinned and range-bound. A clean breakout above $440 could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $455–$460.
🎯 Option Strategy Ideas
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Play:
* Buy $430C / Sell $450C (Oct 25 expiry) — risk ~$6 for a potential $14 reward if Tesla rallies to $450+.
* Aggressive intraday: Buy 0DTE/2DTE $430 Calls only if price reclaims $436 with volume.
2️⃣ Bearish Hedge:
* Buy $420P / Sell $400P (Oct 18 expiry) — ideal if $420 support fails and correction deepens.
3️⃣ Neutral Income Strategy:
* Expecting chop between $420–$440? Sell Iron Condor ($440C/$450C and $410P/$400P) to profit from time decay.
💬 Final Thoughts
Tesla remains one of the strongest setups in the market — the bullish macro trend is intact, but current levels are stretched. Expect sideways or minor correction before another breakout attempt. The $415–$425 area is the key battleground: lose it, and we test $400; reclaim $436+, and the rocket’s back on for $455–$480.
My TA continues to show high win-rate accuracy, and if you’ve followed previous analyses, you’ve seen how precise these levels play out.
If there’s any stock you want me to analyze next — even ones I don’t usually post — DM me and I’ll be happy to break it down for you.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Tesla reports Wednesday; analysts expect EPS of $0.55Tesla reports third-quarter earnings Wednesday after the close, with analysts expecting EPS of $0.55, down from $0.72 a year earlier, on revenue of $26.2B — up 4%. There’s room for an upside surprise after record Q3 deliveries of 497,099 vehicles, boosted by the now-expired $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit, which also trimmed inventories. Analysts will focus on Elon Musk’s plans for robotaxi scaling, autonomy progress, and upcoming models through 2026, along with updates on new “Standard” Model 3 and Y trims. Wall Street projects about 450,000 deliveries in Q4.
Tesla is holding firm near $418, with its RSI turning higher to signal improving momentum. A positive EMA crossover — along with clear angle and separation between the averages — would confirm a strengthening bullish trend.






















