Going Short TESLA HereTrading Fam,
I'm taking my first ever short here since implementing my new indicator. It has been killing it on the long side. We've exited our last 17 trades, all for wins, with an average profit of 30% per trade and our portfolio is up over 86% on the year. Now, it's time to test the short signals. We received two here on TSLA. I've taken a small entry since this is my first short, representing around 9% of the portfolio total. I'm going to target $350 but will not take more than a 7% loss, thus my stops are set at $476 bring the rrr on this trade entry to 1:3. Let's see how this goes.
✌️Stew
Trade ideas
Tesla (TSLA) – Technical Analysis OverviewHello friends, I haven't shared an analysis for a long time. I'm back in the market. Don't forget to follow me for my regular analysis.
The chart shows that Tesla continues to hold its medium-term upward trend. The price recently tested the 408–410 support zone, which aligns with the rising trend line, and has reacted from that level. This area is technically significant, as it coincides with both trend support and a region where short-term liquidity has accumulated.
On the upside, the first notable resistance appears around 462–465. The projected ~13% potential move on the chart also points toward this region, suggesting that a rebound toward this level is plausible as long as the trend support remains intact.
Looking at the indicators:
RSI is currently within the 41–48 range, not in oversold territory but reflecting weakened momentum. This supports the idea that price is stabilising near a meaningful support area.
MACD remains in negative territory, indicating that bullish momentum has not fully recovered yet. A clearer shift toward the zero line would help confirm any sustained upward move.
In summary:
* The 408–410 zone is acting as a solid support.
* The broader trend structure remains intact and upward.
* 462–465 is the first major target area.
* However, momentum indicators are still soft, so confirmation through stronger candles would be constructive.
Volatility may remain elevated in the short term, but as long as the price stays above trend support, upward attempts appear more likely.
Disclaimer: This is a technical assessment only and does not constitute investment advice.*
TSLA Weekly Trade Snapshot: Bullish MomentumTSLA Weekly Signal | 2025-12-01
Instrument: TSLA
Direction: CALL (LONG)
Strike Price: $430.00
Entry Price: $9.50
Profit Target 1: $15.20 (60% gain)
Profit Target 2: $19.00 (100% gain)
Stop Loss: $6.65 (30% loss)
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (4 days)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Confidence: 65%
Weekly Momentum: BULLISH (+1.07% 1W)
Flow Intel: Bearish, PCR 1.56
Katy AI Prediction: Neutral (-0.91% predicted move)
Risk Level: MEDIUM – conflicts between Katy AI neutral and bullish technicals
Tesla bullish momentum points to $435 test this weekCurrent Price: $402.77
Direction: LONG
Confidence Level: 66% (Several traders lean bullish with clear near-term upside targets, but mixed caution at resistance)
Targets:
- T1 = $418
- T2 = $435
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $397
- S2 = $382
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
I've been pulling together what multiple professional traders are saying about Tesla, and the collective picture leans bullish in the short term. Several traders noted higher highs, higher lows in recent sessions and upside potential toward $435, even as they warn of possible resistance around $440. That said, the consensus is that as long as price stays above key supports like $397 and the more distant $382 zone, the bulls have control in this current weekly window.
**Key Insights:**
Here's what's driving this view: The price action is showing a clean pattern of higher highs and higher lows, with a possible push into the 430s before facing any major resistance. Traders are watching the 418–420 zone as a near-term waypoint; holding above it keeps the rally intact. The bullish sentiment is supported by patterns like weekly inside bar breaks to the upside and even a potential monthly cup-and-handle if deeper supports hold.
What's interesting is that even the cautious voices—those pointing out the rising wedge formation—still expect a run into the 435 area before any meaningful rejection. This gives the long side some breathing room this week, especially with key support levels unbroken. The fact that several traders identified the same upside levels increases the conviction in these targets.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla gained nearly 10% recently, rebounding strongly from the lows and moving toward the important 418–420 support-resistance pivot. The stock is up significantly year-to-date—over 80% from certain analyses—with the latest breakout above prior consolidation bringing more buyers in. This rally is happening in line with broader market strength, as the NASDAQ, SPY, and even small caps have put in solid gains.
**Expert Analysis:**
Multiple traders see the near-term chart setup as constructive. A few pointed to a bullish breakout above $412.50 that sets the stage for higher moves, while others emphasized the importance of holding above the 50-day moving average. The $397 level repeatedly comes up as a line in the sand; lose that, and downside targets in the 370s might come back into play, but for now that level is intact. Upside calls cluster around $435, with extensions to $440 if momentum remains.
**News Impact:**
There's no major fresh headline driving Tesla right now, but the background tone includes optimism about potential chip partnerships and continued EV growth. Market-wide, traders are eyeing Fed policy signals from Jerome Powell's recent comments, which could influence momentum stocks like Tesla. With no adverse company-specific news, Tesla rides the tailwinds of a generally bullish tech market.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the collective trader analysis, I'd go LONG here with a first target at $418, locking in partial profits there, and a second target at $435. Stops go just below $397 to protect against sharp reversals, with a secondary stop near $382 if volatility spikes. The price pattern and widespread trader agreement on these levels make this a reasonable bullish setup for the week, but watch that 435–440 band closely for possible rejection.
TSLA: Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels for Future Mo
Title:
TSLA: Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels for Future Moves
Greetings, Traders!
🌟 Hello everyone,
As we analyze Tesla (TSLA), we observe critical support and resistance levels that are shaping the current price action. Understanding these levels can help traders navigate TSLA's potential movements effectively.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Key Observations:
- TSLA has moved significantly from ** 220 ** to ** 500 **, reflecting strong bullish momentum.
- The key support and resistance levels are identified between ** 366 ** and ** 430 **, providing crucial areas for potential price reactions.
- An upward channel with four distinct slopes—inner slope for short-term and outer slope for long-term—helps in identifying optimal entry and exit points.
Technical Analysis:
The price action of TSLA respects the upward channel, indicating that the stock is moving within defined boundaries. If TSLA breaks above the ** 430 ** resistance, the next target is ** 460 **. However, a minor pullback might occur before the upward movement continues.
Fundamental Factors:
While technical levels are crucial, it's also essential to consider Tesla’s fundamental strengths, including innovation, market share, and overall industry trends. These factors contribute to the long-term bullish outlook.
Trading Strategies:
Traders may consider positioning long near the support at ** 366 ** and watching for confirmation of the breakout above ** 430 **. If the price faces bearish pressure, ** 366 ** will serve as a critical support level.
In Conclusion:
With TSLA navigating key support and resistance levels, traders should stay alert to potential breakouts and pullbacks. By leveraging the channel slopes and maintaining a disciplined approach, traders can capitalize on the opportunities ahead.
Engage with Us:
🟢 If you find this analysis insightful, please give it a LIKE.
🟡 Don’t forget to FOLLOW for more updates.
🔵 SHARE with fellow traders who might benefit from this information.
🔴 Feel free to COMMENT with your thoughts and insights!
Your active participation enriches our trading community, fostering knowledge exchange and collective growth. Share your feedback and ideas in the comments below or by boosting this post.
Looking forward to connecting with you in the next post.
Happy trading!
$TSLA Weekend analysis - 30th Nov, 2025NASDAQ:TSLA broke out of its ascending triangle on Friday and is now pushing toward the 50D SMA. It needs to reclaim and close above 433.95 to keep the momentum going.
If it clears that level, the next targets I’m watching are 450.22 and 467.82. The MACD also confirmed a bullish crossover on Friday, which supports the case for more upside.
TSLA — Bullish Above 317.77, Targeting 544.53TSLA maintains a bullish structure as long as price holds above the key zone at 317.77.
This level represents the foundation of the current upward leg and serves as the invalidation point for the broader trend. As long as buyers protect 317.77, upside continuation remains the dominant scenario.
Price is currently reclaiming the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 424.43. A sustained close above this area strengthens bullish momentum toward 452.77 (0.618), followed by 472.47–484.48 (0.7–0.75). A breakout above these mid-range levels would open the path toward the major extension target at 544.53.
In a bearish scenario, price cannot break above the key support zone; any rally into it while trading below would be considered only a corrective bounce.
But as long as 317.77 holds, the primary outlook remains bullish.
TSLA at a Turning Point: Cup & Handle Breakout or Breakdown?The chart shows a clear Cup & Handle pattern forming on the daily timeframe. Price touched the descending resistance (blue line) and failed to break out, placing TSLA at a critical decision point.
Key Points:
• Main Resistance: 450–465 zone (descending trendline + neckline of pattern)
• Major Support: 395–400 zone
• The 50-day MA is currently acting as near-term resistance.
Bullish Scenario (If price breaks above 465)
A breakout with a daily close above 465 would likely trigger:
• Target 1: $500
• Target 2: $545
• Target 3: $600
Bearish Scenario (If 395 breaks)
A breakdown below 395 may lead to:
• Bearish Target 1: $360
• Target 2: $325
Suggested Stop-Loss:
• $394 (for long positions)
TESLA IS ENTERING A CRITICAL ZONETesla currently remains in an uptrend while moving inside the existing ascending channel. The most recent reaction came from the trendline, but an important structure has formed above: a clear double top pattern . After the pattern completed, price declined and is now retesting the neckline, which has already acted as resistance. The 50 EMA is also positioned at this same level, adding confluence.
According to the mechanics of the double top, the expected downward projection is typically equal to the distance between the top of the pattern and the neckline. That measured move aligns almost perfectly with the lower support zone and the 200 EMA , forming a strong confluence area.
Additionally, there is an imbalance inside that lower region, which commonly pulls price back to fill it. RSI has formed a downtrend and is moving toward the 30 level, which supports the likelihood of a continued decline.
If price breaks above both the RSI downtrend and the neckline, the move back upward along the channel becomes possible. However, the bearish confirmations remain strong unless a significant positive catalyst invalidates the setup.
Tesla Long Alert: Katy AI Projects Upward MomentumTSLA QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-11-26
Ticker: SPY
Signal Type: Daily / Weekly
Direction: BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL
Confidence: 0%
Current Price: $0.00
Entry: $0.00
Targets:
T1: $0.00
T2: $0.00
Stop Loss: $0.00
Expiry: (If using options)
📈 TradingView Information — Template 2 (Advanced)
📉 Trend:
Primary Trend: XX
Volume Strength: XX
Volatility Index: XX
Momentum Score: XX
🎯 Signal Levels:
Buy Zone: $0.00 – $0.00
Risk Zone: $0.00
Profit Zone 1: $0.00
Profit Zone 2: $0.00
📌 Analyst Note:
Short summary (e.g., “Momentum weakening, approaching supply zone.”)
🚀 TradingView Information — QuantSignals Style
Ticker: SPY
Final Prediction: $0.00 (±0.00%)
30min Target: $0.00 (±0.00%)
Trend: BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL
Confidence: 0.0%
Volatility: 0.0%
It will be a bumpy ride downhillTesla's fanboys would not like it.
The company is facing turbulent times ahead and is still failing to provide what was promised years ago.
1. The legislators won't approve SDC also known as autonomous cars in the near future, because a human supervision is required. So the robotaxi is just a fiction.
2. Robots development is way behind the competitors. We all see the Boston Dynamics' Atlas, Mercedes-Benz project and some other projects. Comparing the Optimus project with the best out there is non-sense, because it fails on all fronts. Considering NVidia now open-sourced their project and collaboration with Google and Disney, IMO Tesla is out of the robo market now.
3. We see clear signs of a distribution phase at the top, fuelled by a lot of insider sells.
*Support levels are shown on the chart as green boxes. .
It is NOT a TRADING ADVISE .
There is a HIGH RISK of losing money when trading.
TSLA stock might be considered UNSAFE right NOW.
TSLA at a Critical Pivot! TSLA at a Critical Pivot! Bounce Coming or Fake Pump Before a Bigger Drop? 🚀⚠️
Alright, TSLA traders… this one is getting interesting.
Based on the weekly, daily, hourly structure AND the GEX map you provided, TSLA is sitting right at a decision zone where institutions will either:
✅ push it toward $435–$450
or
❌ dump it back into the $390–$380 liquidity pocket
Let’s break it down clean and human — like we always do.
🟦 Weekly Timeframe (Big Picture)
TSLA finally broke out of the long consolidation and now pulling back into previous structure.
Key observations:
* Weekly candle rejecting near $475–$500 supply
* Price holding above key weekly support around $410–$417
* Rising trendline still intact
* No major breakdown yet
If the weekly holds above $410, the trend continues bullish.
If it loses $410, weekly structure turns bearish quickly.
🟩 Daily Timeframe
This is where it gets tricky.
Daily chart shows:
* CHoCH + BOS signals around $420
* Strong rejection at daily supply $470–$500
* Retest of demand zone $390–$405
* Price currently hovering in the middle
This daily structure tells me:
TSLA bounced, but it's not out of trouble yet.
We need a clean daily close above $425–$430 to unlock the upside again.
If daily closes below $410, sellers will take control fast.
🟨 1H Timeframe (Trader Zone)
On the 1H:
* Multiple CHoCH/BOS flips
* Price stuck in a range $410–$428
* Weak momentum on the latest bounce
* Overhead supply sitting right above current price
This looks like:
📌 accumulation OR distribution
1H will decide the next move:
✅ Break & hold above $428 = continuation toward $435–$450
❌ Reject $428 and break $410 = drop into $395–$385
🔥 GEX Outlook (Institutional Positioning)
Your GEX chart is very clear:
📈 CALL Walls:
* $428 / $435 / $450 cluster
* Highest positive NET GEX at $410–$420
📉 PUT Walls:
* $390
* $385
* $380 major support
Institutions are:
✅ defending $410–$420
✅ hedged heavily around $435
❌ willing to let price fall toward $390 if $410 fails
This aligns PERFECTLY with the price structure.
🧭 My Thoughts
TSLA looks stronger than NVDA and SPY in the short-term.
This bounce is not random — GEX shows real defense at $410 and buyers stepped in.
However…
If TSLA fails to break above $428 convincingly, this bounce becomes a trap, and that drop toward $390–$385 becomes very likely.
🎯 Trade Levels to Watch
Bullish Scenario
* Entry: above $428
* Target: $435 → $450
* Stop: below $417
Bearish Scenario
* Entry: below $410
* Target: $395 → $385
* Stop: above $423
🚀 Option Thoughts
If trading options:
Calls only make sense above $428
Puts become high conviction below $410
Inside that range = chop risk
✅ Conclusion
TSLA is sitting at the most important zone of the week.
If $428 breaks cleanly → continuation to $450
If $410 breaks → fast flush to $390–$385 liquidity
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Midterm Stock Forecast for TeslaNASDAQ:TSLA at $391 shows weakening technical structure, suggesting a continuation toward $340. H1 trendlines indicate fading bullish pressure. Fundamentals remain mixed: energy storage grows, but auto margins face pressure and competition intensifies. The $340 zone is a key demand area for potential midterm stabilization.
Tesla (1H) – Post-Distribution Breakdown vs NPC Equilibrium ZoneTesla is currently trading inside a NPC post-distribution compression range after breaking down from the upper volatility structure.
Instead of predicting direction, here’s the statistical positioning based on the NeuroPolynomial Channel:
Current Positioning:
• Price under NPC Core Cluster
• Distance to lower stress band: ~1.4%
• Distance to upper expansion band: ~3.2%
• Compression vs prior impulse: ~0.61
NPC Volatility Map:
• Upper Expansion Zone: +3% to +3.8%
• Core Equilibrium: 400–412 zone
• Lower Rejection Band: −1.4%
• Breakdown Continuation Zone: −2.8% to −3.5%
Interpretation (scenario-based):
– Sustained acceptance above core → structural rebuild attempt
– Rejection at core → continuation inside stress band
– Re-entry into strong-lower → extension zone unlock
This is a volatility structure map, not a prediction model.
Tesla downside momentum could extend before any reboundCurrent Price: $402.77
Direction: SHORT
Confidence Level: 62%
Targets:
- T1 = $380.00
- T2 = $368.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $410.00
- S2 = $420.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
The collective insights from multiple professional traders show a consistent short‑term bias to the downside for Tesla, even among those who are bullish longer term. Several traders focused on the $380 area as the first key level to watch, with many citing $368 as the major gap‑fill target for this week. While a few see buying opportunities lower, the weight of commentary points to more near‑term weakness before a sustainable rally sets in.
**Key Insights:**
Here’s what’s driving my view: across the trader community, Tesla is in a clear short‑term downtrend of lower highs and lower lows. Multiple traders marked $398–$400 as an overhead resistance zone with “a lot of supply,” making it hard for price to push higher before testing lower supports. There’s also consensus that any bounce here would likely be a “pump and dump” into resistance before the next leg lower.
Another important observation is that many traders see $380 as the immediate downside target, with $368 as a more aggressive move that fills the open daily gap. Quite a few expect that if the market shows further weakness, these levels could be reached within this week. The short‑term technical picture – failing rallies, resistance holding, and repeated tests of support – keeps me leaning to a short bias.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla has retreated from highs in the $460s into the low $400s over recent weeks. Last week’s action saw it struggle to hold intraday bounces, closing lower and respecting resistance in the high $390s to $400 range. The stock’s recent inability to follow through on rallies, despite broader market upticks, underlines the pressure sellers are applying.
**Expert Analysis:**
Several traders pointed to the break of a short‑term uptrend late last week, followed by confirmation of fresh downside momentum. $380 was highlighted repeatedly as a heavy buy interest zone – but crucially, that’s also where they expect price to gravitate to in the short term. The $368 gap is seen as a likely magnet if $380 fails to hold. Other market experts tied this weakness to double top patterns and broader tech weakness, adding fundamental headwinds like Bitcoin impairment impacts on Tesla’s net income.
**News Impact:**
While there were mentions of long‑term catalysts like robo‑taxis and updated FSD ratings, these are not expected to influence this week’s price action. Recent headlines about large stake sales by high‑profile investors and Tesla’s exposure to Bitcoin impairments have added a cautious tone. This news flow supports the case for near‑term softness as traders weigh potential earnings impacts.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Here’s my take: With heavy supply above $398–$400 and traders eyeing $380 and $368 as near‑term targets, I see a SHORT setup as the higher‑probability play for this week. A break under $382 could accelerate momentum toward $380 quickly, with $368 in play if selling persists. I’d keep stops above $410 to protect against a squeeze, with $420 as a hard‑fail level for the short thesis. Position sizing should be moderate given the potential for sharp bounces in a volatile name like Tesla.
TSLA – Dec 8–12: Breakout or Breakdown Week TSLA – Dec 8–12: Breakout or Breakdown Week (Full Technical Outlook + GEX Insight)
TSLA sits at a major decision point heading into the week. The trend beneath is still constructive, but price is now pressing directly into the 456–474 supply zone, a region that has repeatedly capped upside. How TSLA behaves at this ceiling will determine the tone for the rest of December.
Daily Timeframe (1D)
On the daily level, TSLA continues to build higher lows and defend the broader uptrend. Buyers are still active, and the overall structure remains supportive. However, TSLA is approaching heavy supply without having swept liquidity beneath the trend. When this happens, the market often pauses or pulls back before attempting a real breakout.
The key demand areas beneath current price are 451, 438, 429, and a deeper pool around 422. If TSLA rejects the 456–474 zone, these levels become natural magnets for a retracement. A controlled dip into 451 or 438 would be healthy and may even set the stage for the next breakout attempt.
A daily close above 474 would confirm a significant shift — unlocking a cleaner, less restricted uptrend.
1-Hour Timeframe (1H)
The 1H trend still leans bullish, but momentum has begun to slow as price continues to press into resistance. This often signals that buyers may need to regroup. A dip into 451 or 438 gives the trend room to breathe before trying again.
The key signal to watch intraday is whether TSLA can reclaim and hold 456. Until that happens, upside remains limited. A clean reclaim followed by a shallow retest would show intent and give buyers more confidence.
If TSLA spends too much time struggling below 456, the market is likely preparing for a rotation into lower demand zones.
15-Minute Timeframe (15M)
Intraday structure has tightened into a compression range. This coiling behavior typically appears before a larger directional move, but when it happens right under a major supply zone, it often leads to fake breakouts.
For that reason, the most reliable entries this week will come from either:
* A sweep into 451 or 438, followed by a clear shift in intraday structure
or
* A breakout above 456 that retests and holds
Trading inside the chop offers poor reward and unnecessary risk.
GEX Insight (Options Positioning Driving the Behavior)
Gamma exposure aligns almost perfectly with TSLA’s technical levels.
Above 456, gamma starts to thin out — which reduces dealer hedging pressure and allows cleaner upside movement. If TSLA can break through 474, price enters a low-gamma region where momentum typically accelerates and moves become more directional.
Below 450, the landscape shifts sharply. Put-heavy positioning tends to pull TSLA lower into the same liquidity zones highlighted by the chart: 438, 429, and 422. This adds weight behind any breakdown.
In short:
* Above 456 → upside opens
* Above 474 → momentum becomes much stronger
* Below 450 → pressure toward 438 → 429 → 422
GEX fully supports the technical story this week.
Trading Focus for the Week
The main objective is to avoid chasing strength directly into the 456–474 supply zone. The cleaner trades come from reacting to how TSLA behaves around the key levels.
* Look for buyers at 451 or 438 if price dips early.
* Treat 456 as the first confirmation level for any upside continuation.
* A breakout only matters if TSLA can hold above it.
* Rejecting 456–474 again puts the lower demand zones back in play.
This week favors disciplined, reaction-based trading rather than prediction.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and all traders should conduct their own research and apply proper risk management before entering any position.
TeslaNothing has changed in regard to my analysis last week. MACD is reset and could support a move higher or lower from here. We have pierced the top side of my target box but have yet to invalidate the white pattern. Orange has risen in probability but remains an ALT count at this time. Looking at the overnight market tonight, price is down by a little over $1. That isn't enough to have any real meaning.
Structure continues to have two different outcomes from here. However, until the white count gets invalidated, it will remain my primary analysis. That happens with a breach of $479.42.
TESLA: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the TESLA pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
tsla will soon make a decision on the daily we are waiting for conformation to new all time highs.
we will either sweep the highs on October 03 and November 03 and spill and create a inverted head and shoulder.
or get a bull break out and never see 450 again
both scenarios are super bullish just need conformation on smaller times to play out and see what kind of candle we get on closing for the week.






















