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TSLA trade ideas

Tesla (TSLA) Crash Ahead? $101.81 Retest in SightThe Tesla price chart appears to show a large flat correction labeled W-X-Y. Wave W consists of three downward waves from 2021 to 2023. (white) Wave X shows a three-wave upward retracement from 2023 to 2024, which even overshot the start of wave W. (blue) Now, we seem to be in the final leg of the third move: wave Y down. (yellow) Typically, wave Y retests the bottom of wave W. If that holds, we could see Tesla’s price revisit the 2023 low of $101.81. Is Tesla losing its appeal? I’d love to hear your thoughts.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by aibek
6
Tesla (TSLA) – VolanX Forecast: The Calm Before the Storm?📊 Tesla (TSLA) – VolanX Forecast: The Calm Before the Storm? Wave structure analysis + liquidity map + roadmap to $513 🧩 The Story So Far – Compressed Potential Tesla has spent the past three months inside a contracting triangle (ABCDE) — a classic Elliott Wave corrective pattern that signals energy compression before expansion. From the May high (Wave (1)), price has been coiling within tightening range boundaries, forming lower highs and higher lows. The triangle culminates with leg (E), now hovering near support. 🟠 VolanX flags this as a terminal wedge—an area where institutions test both sides of the book, hunting liquidity. 🌀 Wave Forecast – Impulse Awakening If the triangle completes as expected, we enter Wave (3)—typically the most explosive wave in Elliott sequences. Here's how the projected roadmap unfolds: Wave (2) ends around $288.20–$271.00 (key demand/liquidity zone) Wave (3) initiates from this springboard, aiming toward: 📈 1.0 Fib Extension at $367.71 📈 1.618 Extension at $457.84 Consolidation expected at that level forms Wave (4) Final thrust into Wave (5) targets $513.51, aligning with extended Fib projection and historical order block This sequence respects classical Elliott impulse structure: 5-wave motive into macro target zone. 🧪 Timing & Liquidity – Watch the Clock, Watch the Flow 🗓 Key Windows from chart verticals: Aug 27–Sep 1, 2025: Liquidity test at $288.20 zone Oct 1–15, 2025: Expansion toward Wave (3) By mid-November 2025: Completion of Wave (5) → exhaustion at $513 zone before probable macro retracement 🔍 Liquidity Zones: $288.20 – Institutional reaccumulation level (VolanX confirms large resting bids) $271.00 – Final sweep zone. Break below would invalidate bullish count Above, $336.70–$351.19 is the first liquidity magnet Major stops above $457.84, then final cluster $513.51 🧠 VolanX Opinion – AI View on Risk & Opportunity VolanX signals high-probability breakout setup, with confluence across: Liquidity clusters Fibonacci symmetry Elliott sequencing Gamma positioning (institutional hedging tilts long below $290) 📈 Current predictive bias: 68% probability of breakout from triangle resolving bullishly, conditional on $288 support holding. If tested and respected, AI favors aggressive repositioning in long gamma, echoing historical TSLA breakout behavior. 📌 Strategy Summary: “I think they shall test this… I could be wrong. But if momentum holds, $288.20 bounce is likely. If not, wait for structure to rebuild before long.” 🧭 Trade Setup (Not Financial Advice): Watch zone: $288–271 Confirmation: Strong rejection wick + volume delta flip Stop: Below $267.57 Targets: $367.71 → $457.84 → $513.51 🔻 Risk comes from invalidation below $271. ⚡ Reward stems from recognizing compression before expansion. #TSLA #VolanX #ElliottWave #LiquiditySweep #WaveAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #OptionsFlow #TeslaForecast #AITrading #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
$TSLA ~ Elliott Wave Updates.This whole wave is Wave C(Black) that started when Wave B(Black) was completed. This Wave C(Black) expresses itself in 5 main waves shown in Green. Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag and a Flat should be expected for 4(Green). Meanwhile, Wave 3(Green) expresses itself in a 5 wave move shown in Black- with Wave 2(Black) being a Zigzag, our 4 was a Flat. This Flat is shown as Blue ABC. When Wave 4(Black) completed, our Wave 5 began which upon completion, would be Wave 3(Green) of the main wave. Wave 2(Red) is a Flat and a Zigzag should be expected after 3(Red). Go to for more information of the same.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by machariavictor017
TSLA Breakout Watch: Symmetrical Triangle Squeeze!Trade Summary Setup: Symmetrical triangle pattern tightening since March; volatility compression signals an imminent breakout. Entry: On daily close above the triangle resistance (~$324) Stop‑loss: Below triangle support (~$305) Targets: • Target 1: $375 • Long-term: $500+ Risk/Reward: ~2.5–3:1 (Initial target), higher for long-term hold Technical Rationale 📈 Symmetrical triangle: Clear converging trendlines; price nearing apex after months of higher lows and lower highs 🔔 Volatility squeeze: Range compression increases odds of explosive move ⏳ Daily timeframe: Signals a swing/position trade opportunity with significant upside Catalysts & Context ⚡️ Earnings season ahead could trigger a breakout 🌱 EV sector momentum and renewed tech leadership 🏦 Analyst upgrades and potential for macro rate cuts Trade Management Plan Entry: Wait for a daily close and volume confirmation above $324 resistance Stop-loss: Tight initial stop below $305; trail to breakeven after breakout confirmation Scaling: Partial profits at $375; let remainder run for $500+ if momentum continues Poll What’s your view? Are you watching TSLA? Comment below or vote: 🔼 Bullish 🔽 Bearish 🔄 Waiting for confirmation Follow us for daily high-probability setups & real-time trade updates! Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NinjaCodeSolutions
5
Fibonacci Arcs in Stock TradingFibonacci Arcs in Stock Trading Fibonacci arcs, derived from the renowned Fibonacci sequence, offer a compelling blend of technical analysis and market psychology for traders. By mapping potential support and resistance areas through arcs drawn on stock charts, these tools provide insights into future price movements. This article delves into the practical applications of Fibonacci arcs in trading, their interplay with market psychology, and best practices for effective use. Understanding Fibonacci Arcs The Fibonacci arc indicator is a unique tool in technical analysis derived from the famed Fibonacci sequence. It’s crafted by drawing arcs at the key Fibonacci retracement levels - 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% - from a high to a low point on a stock chart. Each curve represents potential support or resistance areas, offering insights into the stock’s future movements. The art of arc reading, meaning interpreting these curves, is crucial for traders. When a stock approaches or intersects with an arc, it reflects a significant reaction level. For instance, if a stock price touches or nears an arc, it could face arc resistance, indicating a potential halt or reversal in its trend. Applying Fibonacci Arcs in Trading In the stock market, these arcs serve as a guide for traders seeking to anticipate future price movements. When applied correctly, they can provide critical insights into potential support and resistance levels. Here's a step-by-step look at how you may use them effectively: - Identifying High and Low Points: Begin by selecting a significant high and low point on the stock's chart. In an uptrend, it’s the most recent swing high to a previous swing low, and vice versa. These are the anchor points. - Drawing the Arcs: Once the points are selected, draw the arcs at the Fibonacci retracement levels of 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. They radiate from the chosen low point to the high point (or vice versa), cutting across the chart. - Interpretation: Watch how the stock interacts with these lines. When the price approaches an arc, it might encounter resistance or support, signalling a potential change in trend or continuation. - Timing Entries and Exits: Traders can use the arcs in the stock market as a tool to time their trading decisions. For instance, a bounce could be a signal to enter a trade, whereas the price breaking through might suggest it's time to exit. Fibonacci Arcs and Market Psychology The effectiveness of Fibonacci arcs in trading is deeply intertwined with market psychology. They tap into the collective mindset of traders, who often react predictably to certain price levels. The Fibonacci sequence, underlying this tool, is not just a mathematical concept but also a representation of natural patterns and human behaviour. When a stock nears a curve, traders anticipate a reaction, often leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy. If many traders make an arc stock forecast, they might sell as the price approaches a certain point, causing the anticipated resistance to materialise. Similarly, seeing support at an arc can trigger buying, reinforcing the tool’s power. This psychological aspect makes Fibonacci arcs more than just technical tools. They are reflections of the collective expectations and actions of market participants, turning abstract mathematical concepts into practical indicators of market sentiment and potential movements. Best Practices Incorporating Fibonacci arcs into trading strategies involves nuanced techniques for better accuracy and efficacy. Here are some best practices typically followed: - Complementary Tools: Traders often pair this tool with other indicators like moving averages or RSI for a more robust analysis. - Accurate Highs and Lows: It's best to carefully select the significant high and low points, as the effectiveness of the curves largely depends on these choices. - Context Consideration: Understanding the broader market context is crucial. Traders usually use Fibonacci arcs in conjunction with fundamental factors to validate their analysis. - Watch for Confluence: Identifying areas where Fibonacci levels converge with other technical signals can provide stronger trade setups. - Practice Patience: Traders typically avoid making hasty decisions based solely on Fibonacci levels. It's usually better to wait to see additional confirmation from the price action. Advantages and Limitations of Fibonacci Arcs Fibonacci arcs are a popular tool in technical analysis, offering distinct advantages and some limitations in analysing stock movements. Understanding these can help traders leverage the tool more effectively. Advantages - Intuitive Nature: The Fibonacci sequence is a natural pattern, making the tool intuitive for traders to understand and apply. - Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels: They provide dynamic levels of support and resistance, unlike static lines, adapting to changing market conditions. - Versatility: Effective in various market conditions, the arcs can be used in both trending and sideways markets. Limitations - Subjectivity in Selection: The effectiveness largely depends on correctly identifying the significant high and low points, which can be subjective. - Potential False Signals: Like all technical tools, they can generate false signals, especially in highly volatile markets. - Requires Complementary Analysis: To maximise effectiveness, these curves are usually used alongside other technical indicators, as they are not infallible on their own. The Bottom Line Fibonacci arcs are invaluable tools in stock analysis, providing insights into market trends and potential price movements. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
TSLA Long-Term Bold Projection (2025-2035)This is a long-term analysis of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the weekly timeframe, combining Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci extensions, and price structure (base formations) within a broad logarithmic trend channel. Key Highlights: 🔹 Base Formations: Base 1 (2010–2013): First consolidation before TSLA’s breakout. Base 2 (2014–2019): A wide triangle structure leading to explosive growth. Base 3 (2021–2024): Ongoing range suggesting wave (2) correction. Base 4 (2026–2032): Projected future range before a possible euphoric blow-off phase. 🔹 Elliott Wave Structure: Current wave count suggests TSLA is finishing wave (2) of a larger 5-wave structure. Bullish impulse expected with wave (3), (4), and (5) leading to new ATHs, potentially into the $8,000–$10,000+ range. A corrective ABC phase may follow, bringing price back toward key support (~$450 zone), aligned with Fibonacci retracements and channel support. 🔹 Fibonacci Levels: 0.618 and 2.618 extensions align with historical breakout points and future resistance zones. Long-term projection targets include $1,226, $4,400, and potentially $8,000+, with eventual reversion to the mean. 🔹 Log Channel: Price has respected a long-term ascending channel. Midline and upper resistance bands guide potential future resistance zones.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
25
Tesla - A story of an underdogSeveral of the Mag 7 are getting over heated, so I like to look at the ones that haven't caught up. Since I don't have a crystal ball, I must consider the bearish and bullish scenarios. As an investor I must pivot accordingly as one of these scenarios gets invalidated. So on my charts you'll always see both scenarios. Today I'm leaning towards the bull. Tesla just needs a narrative shift (ie -new invention etc), & price action changes in a heart beat. Yet, price action really has less to do with the news making Elon a hero, then a villain and then back and forth...but moreso to do with price action patterns that just keep repeating. So if we don't get a dead cat bounce, I believe Tesla could eventually head towards it's ATH, if this bull market continues.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
SLA Moderate Bullish Setup – Weekly Play for 08/01 Expiry ## ⚡ TSLA Moderate Bullish Setup – Weekly Play for 08/01 Expiry 🎯 *"Volume confirms it. RSI supports it. Time to strike—or stand by."* --- ### 🔍 Market Intelligence Snapshot: 📊 **Consensus**: Moderately Bullish 📈 **Weekly RSI**: Rising 📉 **Daily RSI**: Still Neutral (momentum building) 📉 **VIX**: Low → Great environment for call buying 📦 **Volume**: Strong institutional activity across models --- ### ✅ Recommended Trade Setup: **TSLA \$340 CALL (Exp: Aug 1)** 💰 *Entry*: \~\$0.88 📈 *Target*: \$1.38 🛑 *Stop*: \$0.35 📆 *DTE*: 3 Days 🎯 *Entry*: Market Open ⚖️ *Confidence*: 65% --- ### 🔧 Model Blended Strategy Notes: * Meta & Anthropic: Suggest ATM/ITM (\$327.50–\$330) → safer, higher cost * Google & xAI: Prefer \$340–\$342.50 for a better risk/reward * DeepSeek: Targets \$320 but with heavier premium 🧠 *Takeaway*: \$340 offers a balanced shot — affordable, but still responsive to upside flow. --- ### ⚠️ Risk Notes: * ⏳ Time Decay → Quick exits = better outcomes * 📰 External news or earnings reactions = watch for sudden volatility * 🎯 Position size = keep light due to only 3 DTE --- ### 📊 TRADE SNAPSHOT (JSON): ```json { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "call", "strike": 340.0, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.38, "stop_loss": 0.35, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.88, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-07-29 10:16:14 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- ### 🧠 Quick Captions for Social: * “TSLA bulls waking up? \$340C looks lit for the week 📈🔥” * “Call volume surging. RSI rising. Low VIX. This \ NASDAQ:TSLA 340C might run 💥” * “Risk-managed breakout shot — in and out fast 🎯”
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by quantsignals
$TSLA either one big flag or massive short setting upHello, Just some browsing, NASDAQ:TSLA hasn’t had any major moves prior to early May - June IMO. This is on my watch for a short swing setup. This is bull flagging but I see a short here. I’m conflicted. I do see the higher low but we are in a pitchfork and this has been consolidating in this $290-$340 area for about a month and half. There’s also a lower high. Just posting for some free dialogue and open ideas. Talk to me. Let me know what you see and think. We aren’t too far from 200EMA and 200SMA. It’s just curling above the 50 as well. Maybe we consolidate for another week or two? A massive move is brewing here I think. I’m talking $100 in a week up or down soon. WSL
NASDAQ:TSLA
by wallstreetloser001
1
TSLA - LONG Swing Entry Plan NASDAQ:META - LONG Swing Entry Plan Entry Zone 1: $307.00 – $302.00 → Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level. Entry Zone 2: $294.00 – $288.00 → If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry. → New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2. Edit Zone (Aggressive Demand): $247.00 – $243.00 → If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis. → Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone). Position Sizing Approach: Entry 1: 1x Entry 2: 1x Edit Zone: 2x → Total exposure: 4x → Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations. ______________________________________ Legal Disclaimer The information provided in this content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice or recommendations of any kind. The provider of this content assumes no legal or financial responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this information. Users are strongly advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with licensed financial advisors before making any financial or investment decisions. Sharia Compliance Disclaimer: The provider makes no guarantees that the stocks or financial instruments mentioned herein comply with Islamic (Sharia) principles. It is the user’s responsibility to verify Sharia compliance, and consultation with a qualified Sharia advisor is strongly recommended before making any investment decisions
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DrAlmansoori
2
TSLA WEEKLY OPTIONS SETUP ### 🚗 TSLA WEEKLY OPTIONS SETUP (2025-07-28) **Big Call Flow. Low VIX. Can Bulls Hold \$325?** --- 📊 **Momentum Overview:** * **Daily RSI:** 48.2 🔻 → *Neutral-to-Weak* * **Weekly RSI:** 57.1 🔻 → *Still bullish zone, but falling* ⚠️ **Interpretation:** Momentum is softening, trend in question. 📉 **Volume Context:** * **Volume Ratio:** 1.3x ⬆️ (vs. last week) * **Price Change:** -0.77% despite that volume 🔍 *Distribution Alert:* Institutions may be selling into strength. 📈 **Options Flow:** * **Call/Put Ratio:** **1.70** = 🚨 *Bullish flow confirmed* * **Volatility (VIX):** 15.16 🟢 Favorable for directional plays ✅ Strong setup for options traders riding short-term momentum --- ### 🧠 **Weekly Sentiment Scorecard:** * ✅ **Bullish Signals (2):** Options Flow, Volatility * ⚠️ **Neutral Signals (2):** Daily & Weekly RSI * ❌ **Bearish Signal (1):** Volume pattern = distribution risk **Overall Bias:** 🟢 *Moderate Bullish* --- ### 🔥 **TRADE SETUP IDEA:** 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Call Option * 📌 **Instrument:** TSLA * 💵 **Strike:** \$355C * 📅 **Expiry:** Aug 1, 2025 * 💸 **Entry:** \~\$0.75 * 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$1.50 * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.45 * 🔒 **Key Support to Watch:** \$327.50 — lose that = exit fast 📈 **Confidence Level:** 65% ⚠️ **Gamma Risk:** High → trade small, manage tight. --- ### 📦 TRADE\_DETAILS (JSON Format for Algo/Backtest): ```json { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "call", "strike": 355.0, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.50, "stop_loss": 0.45, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.75, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-01 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- ### 🧭 **Quick Notes for Traders:** * ✅ Bulls have short-term edge — but **momentum is fading** * ⚠️ If TSLA breaks below **\$325**, exit fast. * 🔍 Watch for fakeouts: options flow is bullish, but volume says “not so fast.” --- 📊 TSLA \$355C → Risk \$0.75 to potentially double 📈 💬 Will this hold, or is it a bull trap before a dump? 👀 Comment below ⬇️ and follow for Monday updates! --- **#TSLA #OptionsFlow #WeeklyTrade #TradingSetup #GammaRisk #AITrading #TeslaStock #UnusualOptionsActivity #SmartMoneyMoves**
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by quantsignals
Tesla Stock in Bearish Trend - Further Downside ExpectedTesla Stock in Bearish Trend - Further Downside Expected Tesla's (TSLA) stock price continues to display a clear bearish trend structure, characterized by the formation of consistent lower lows and lower highs on the price chart. This technical pattern suggests sustained selling pressure and indicates the downtrend will likely persist in upcoming trading sessions. Key Technical Observations: - Established Downtrend: The consecutive lower highs and lows confirm the bearish price structure remains intact - Weak Momentum: Each rally attempt has failed to gain traction, meeting selling pressure at progressively lower levels - Critical Price Levels: The stock has established well-defined resistance and support zones for traders to monitor Price Projections: - Downside Target at $272: The bearish momentum could drive TSLA toward the $272 support level, representing a potential 15% decline from current levels - Key Resistance at $370: Any recovery attempts will likely face strong selling pressure near the $370 level, which now serves as a major resistance barrier Market Implications: 1. Bearish Continuation Expected: The prevailing trend structure favors further downside unless a significant reversal pattern emerges 2. Breakdown Risk: A decisive move below current support levels could accelerate selling momentum toward $272 3. Short-Term Rally Potential: While the overall trend remains down, temporary rebounds toward $370 may present selling opportunities Trading Considerations: - Short Positions: Consider maintaining bearish exposure while price remains below the $370 resistance level - Stop Loss: A sustained break above $370 would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook - Profit Targets: $272 serves as the primary downside objective, with potential support levels to watch along the way Risk Factors to Monitor: - Market sentiment shifts in the EV sector - Changes in Tesla's production/delivery outlook - Broader market conditions affecting tech/growth stocks The technical setup suggests Tesla shares remain vulnerable to further declines, with $272 emerging as the next significant downside target. Traders should watch for either confirmation of the bearish continuation or potential reversal signals near key support levels. As always, proper risk management remains essential when trading in trending markets.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Brillant_Capital
14
A Strategic Long Opportunity Amid VolatilityCurrent Price: $316.06 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $324.00 - T2 = $328.50 Stop Levels: - S1 = $312.50 - S2 = $308.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla. **Key Insights:** Tesla’s stock presents both short-term risks and long-term upside opportunities. Despite recent earnings misses and margin compression, its pivot into AI and robotics offers significant growth opportunities. Upside resistance zones near $325-$330 create favorable price targets, while support levels at $307-$310 suggest strong buying interest. This environment could favor a long trading strategy, provided disciplined risk management is maintained. **Recent Performance:** Tesla recently experienced notable sell-offs following disappointing earnings, attributed to compressed margins and weaker EV demand. However, the stock rebounded 3.5% from last week’s lows, signaling resilience amid uncertainty. Year-to-date, Tesla remains one of the top-performing stocks with a 54% price increase, reflecting strong underlying investor confidence in its long-term story. **Expert Analysis:** Market experts are divided on Tesla’s trajectory. Near-term fundamentals appear challenging with declining revenue (-12% YoY) and price cuts impacting profitability. However, bullish projections from analysts such as Kathy Wood highlight Tesla’s potential for disruptive innovation in AI and robotics. Its ambitious initiatives like robo-taxi deployment add speculative appeal but also introduce scaling and regulatory risks. **News Impact:** Tesla’s upcoming robo-taxi launch in San Francisco is poised to impact market sentiment significantly. While safety drivers will be required during the initial rollout, scalability and regulatory challenges could limit the project’s immediate impact. Meanwhile, recent disappointing earnings results may weigh on sentiment in the short term while providing an opportunity for potential retrishments off support levels. **Trading Recommendation:** Given the current setup, Tesla appears poised for long-term growth, with upside resistance levels suggesting a viable rally opportunity. Investors should consider taking a bullish position while maintaining stops near key support zones to mitigate downside risks. This balanced approach aligns well with Tesla’s speculative appeal and broader investor sentiment.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading