Solana Wave Analysis – 25 September 2025
- Solana broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 187.20
Solana cryptocurrency recently broke the support area between the key support level 210.00 (former resistance from August), support trendlines of the 2 up channels from July and August and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The breakout of this ssupport area accelerated the active short-term ABC corrective wave iv from the middle of September.
Given the strong bearish sentiment seen across the cryptocurrency markets today, Solana cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 187.20.
SOLANA trade ideas
SOLUSD H4 | Bearish dropSolana (SOL/USD) has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and oculd potentially drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 217.255, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 231.317, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 188.19, which acts as an overlap support.
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SOLUSD H4 | Bearish dropSOL/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 230.926, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 250.04, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 201, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Solana in Target Box: Watching $228–$247 for a TopIn my last update, I raised the question: Is Solana About to Top?
Today’s price action has delivered as expected, with Solana now trading inside my anticipated target box for that potential top. Key resistance levels within the target box remain at $228, $232, and $247.
Over the coming weeks, I’ll be watching closely for signs of reversal. A clearly defined 5-wave micro pattern decline, would be the first indication that a top may be in place. True confirmation comes with follow-through below $155, and ultimately $125. Such a move should open the door to a deeper correction into the $70–$80 bottoming zone.
11-09-2025 SOLUSDAs shown in the figure: 4H Bearish Butterfly
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
SOL/USD – Testing Breakout Levels🟢 LONG above $225.80 – target $228
Solana trades at $225.43, consolidating just under resistance at $225.80–226. SMA200 provides support at $220.36. RSI climbing at 64, showing building bullish momentum.
📖 Keywords: #SOLUSD #Solana #CryptoBreakout #AltcoinMomentum #BullishSetup
SOL Short: follow me for more money losing tipsDisclaimer: I am an amateur at technical analysis and should be taught, not studied… unless you’re into studying train wrecks. This is not financial advice. Do your own research.
Big question: How long will it be before SOL retraces to 209 or 206?
I am certain I have made mistakes, but it will be up to you to point them out because I have no idea what I have done wrong.
9/6 @1pm: I noted what appeared to be a bounce off of major support at 200 and entered a Long position expecting to exit at 206. My trailing stop loss was too tight so I got stopped out around 202.50. Oddly enough, I might still be in that long if I hadn’t gotten stopped out.
9/8 @6am: on the back of good real world news and high volume, the price shot up to 215. My expectation was that this would retrace down to the 206 level so I shorted at 213. I was wrong. Price steadily rose.
At 216, I added to my short as I observed a bearish divergence on the RSI. I was correct. However, it only retraced to 210 and I was expecting it to go to 206 so I did not exit. I could have exited with a 2% gain, but did not and I’m wondering if I should’ve.
The price rebounded and continue to climb and at 219, I added to my short as it still appeared to show bearish divergence and looked like it would head down. I was correct. I was still targeting 206 as an exit so when the price rebounded to 212, I had not exited. Again, I could’ve exited here with a 2% gain but did not and I’m thinking I should’ve.
The price appeared to go into consolidation until a couple of big volume buys jumped the price up again. At this point, I was prepared to continue to add to my short until this thing takes a breath, so I set limits to add to my short. At 222, my short increased and I watched as the price started downward only to rebound at 219. At 225, my short increased again, and I am now watching as it dips to 221 and hopefully further down as my break even is now 219.
This thing could be on its way to an ATH, but everything I am seeing says that should not happen until BTC sets a new ATH and then ETH sets a new ATH. In other words, alt season has not started yet. Everything in me tells me that this thing will retrace to at least the 209 level and likely the 206 level before setting a new ATH. If I’m wrong, I’m about to get wrecked. If I’m right, and it takes too long, I still may get wrecked.
I think it is important to note that all of the price jumps happen around high volume spikes.
It also feels like I stay in my trades too long. Admittedly, I am still developing my approach.
This is why I would love to hear your assessment of this situation and what you think SOL is about to do? Thanks in advance!
SOL/USDT –> Double Bottom Breakout with Bullish DivergenceHello guys!
Solana has completed a double bottom pattern and broken above the neckline, signaling bullish momentum. Here’s the breakdown:
1-Pattern Formation
A clear double bottom has formed around the $200 zone.
The neckline breakout happened at ~$213–214, confirming the reversal.
2- Momentum Confirmation
Bullish divergence on RSI supported the double bottom.
While price made equal lows, RSI showed higher lows → early sign of trend reversal.
3-Entry Options
Market entry
Pullback entry: Around the $210 area, in case of a retest of the neckline zone.
5- Target
The projected move from the pattern points to $222.
This also aligns with the next resistance area.
Solana (SOL) – Chart AnalysisToday, I would like to share my current view of the Solana chart with you. I am currently tracking three possible scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Preferred: ABC correction to wave 2
In this scenario, I assume that Solana has not yet found its final bottom at around $95 on April 7, 2025.
In my opinion, wave A was only completed at that point.
We are currently moving correctively in wave B before a larger sell-off begins in wave 2.
For wave B, I expect targets in the range of $276–300.
If this range is clearly exceeded, a wave B extension to around $419 is also possible (regular chart).
Variant 2 – Long wave 4 (less preferred)
In this case, wave 4 would be completed on April 7, 2025, after an extended correction (ABC with overshooting wave B).
We would now already be in the final wave 5.
This would have potential up to the 0.618 level at around USD 516 or higher.
Important: I am looking at this variant in the logarithmic chart, as otherwise the levels do not fit neatly.
Nevertheless, this scenario is not my preferred assumption at present.
Variant 3 – very bullish scenario
Another possibility would be that wave 2 was already completed on April 7, 2025.
In this case, we would already be in a new uptrend with several 1/2 structures, which would make the chart look very bullish.
Confirmation would come if the $300 mark were to be sustainably exceeded – then this scenario could quickly become the primary one.
However, as the structure is not yet convincing, I remain cautious and continue to favor the ABC correction (scenario 1).
📌 Summary
My main scenario remains an ABC correction to wave 2 with a possible bottom between $50 and $30 (this is also where my long-term risk management lies).
Nevertheless, the various variants present exciting opportunities for traders, both in the short and medium term.
Solana therefore remains a coin that I continue to monitor very closely – especially in conjunction with the Bitcoin chart. This could also still be in a wave 4 correction before the final upward move takes place.
Solana’s Treasury Boom: Institutional Surge and Nasdaq MilestoneInstitution adoption and viewing of SOL as a major treasury asset have caused Solana's treasury economy to boom in September 2025, as shown by SOL Strategies' historic On September 9, Nasdaq debuted under the ticker STKE, becoming the first Solana-focused company to list there while still trading on the Canadian Securities Exchange under HODL; Ranking third among institutional holders, the corporation possesses 435,064 SOL worth nearly $94 million; validator activities delegated 3.62 million SOL throughout 8,812 wallets. backed also by Cathie Wood's ARK Invest, which moved 3.6 million SOL (roughly C$888 million) in July. Led by Upexi, corporate assets have exploded such that 13 public businesses currently handle almost $1.8 billion in Solana treasuries, or 8.90 million SOL or 1.55% of the circulating supply. With 2,000,518 SOL valued at around $444 million, Inc. and 1,988,170 SOL DeFi Development Corp. Forward Industries revealed a $1.65 billion private placement on September 8, led by Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital to help develop a Solana-centric treasury for digital assets. With Multicoin's Kyle Samani slated to become Chairman once completed, the Solana-centric treasury for digital assets.
Market Movements: Navigating the Price Trends of SOL
The SOL/USD surged more than 10% in the past two days. Near-term support is identified at $200, with a drop below this level potentially leading to targets of $180/$140/$123/$117/$100. Immediate resistance is noted at around $250, where a breach could push prices up to $265, or even $300.
It is good to buy on dips around $180, with a stop-loss set at $140 and a target price of $300.
SOL/USD – Momentum Fading After Push🔴 SHORT below $222.90 – target $216.40
Solana trades at $219.63, coming off a high near $222.89. SMA200 at $216.39 provides support. RSI slipped to 47 from earlier strength, momentum cooling. Failure to reclaim $222 likely sends price to $216.
📖 Keywords: #SOLUSD #Solana #CryptoCorrection #MomentumFade #BearishSetup
Long - Solana📈 Solana has a decent picture. It is at a local extreme, there is a lot of free space ahead. The price is being squeezed, which means they are accumulating a position. After a strong movement a few days ago, the price was held - ready to push it further.
Fundamentally, the Sol Strategies company is traded on NASDAQ, and funds are starting to take salt into circulation. This is also a sign that big guys are playing with the coin and there will still be liquidity in it.
In the medium term, I assume that ATH will be broken. Observe the risks, profits to everyone!
SOLANA Dream Buy ZoneSolana is currently forming a very interesting potential ABC corrective structure leading into the 1-1 trend based fibonacci extension being approx. $215. The end of this current Wave C is forming an ending diagonal nearing the apex.
According to Elliot Wave theory, ending diagonals (wedges) tend to occur when the existing directional trend is showing signs of exhaustion and requires a pricing reset/rebalance. This can occur as a very fast, sharp move downwards before continuing in the direction of the broader trend which remains to the upside.
What interests me is the several zones of confluence that line up just below $180, being the overall target of the wedge, as well as the location of both major VWAP's from the high and the low , that can act as major support zones for a bounce.
This drop could be fast and scary, likely to shakeout many traders and investors especially those on high leverage.
Ive set my alerts here at the zone for a major long trade that could sustain itself to new highs.
Solana — Buy Now or Wait for a Pullback to Channel Support?Overview:
The COINBASE:SOLUSD price is moving within a steady ascending channel. Currently, the asset is near the midline, and the trader faces a choice:
📌 Enter a long position now or
📌 Wait for a pullback to the lower channel boundary (~150–153) for a more optimal entry point.
Technical Setup:
• 🔵 Ascending channel has held since April.
• 🔴 Price is near the lower Bollinger Band.
• 🧭 Stochastic oscillator is in the overbought zone, but may indicate a reversal impulse.
Scenario 1 — Long from current levels:
• Entry: 163–164
• Stop: below 157
• Target: 180 / 200+
Scenario 2 — Wait for pullback:
• Entry: 150–152 (near channel support)
• Stop: <147
• Target: 170 / 190+
📌 The decision depends on your patience and strategy:
— Don’t want to miss the move? Consider partial entry now.
— Prefer a better risk/reward ratio? Wait for the dip.
Price is moving within an ascending channel (the rainbow-coloredCurrent Price: $214.14
Trend Direction: COINBASE:SOLUSD
Strong uptrend since mid-July, with a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows.
Price is moving within an ascending channel (the rainbow-colored lines on your chart).
This shows healthy bullish structure on a larger timeframe.
SOL PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $215SOL PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $215
Currently $215
Targeting $211 or Down
(Trading plan IF SOL go up to $219
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Solana - The future is clear!🎯Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) breaks out soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Solana is currently trading at the exact same level as it was about four years ago. In the meantime we witnessed crazy corrections and parabolic rallies, leading to another all time high retest. Quite likely therefore that Solana will break the previous all time high in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
You will ask yourself how did he know Sol would bounce & hit T1?In my previous chart I suggested that Sol was approaching an inflection point, in a typical bounce region. That anticipated bounce would lead Sol to climb up to T1 above the preivous local high. That has now been confirmed.
What do you think Sol will do from here? I 'd ike to here your thoughts?