Monthly Crypto Analysis: Solana (SOLUSD) – Issue 107 The analyst expects Solana’s price to decline by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level only highlights the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that the market will necessarily reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating just a portion of your funds helps keep overall risk low and ensures a more sustainable approach.
Our strategy is built on institutional portfolio management principles, not the high-risk, all-in trading styles often promoted on social media.
Results are evaluated over the entire analysis period, regardless of whether the take-profit level is reached.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 23 Dec 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Trade ideas
Solana Rejects Supply at 200 – Breakdown Just Getting Started?SOL rejected cleanly from stacked supply zones above 200 and confirmed a bearish market structure break on the 12H.
This rally looks exhausted, with a lack of momentum and no reclaim of key invalidation levels.
MACD is still trending down, RSI struggles to break 50, and previous support zones are now flipping resistance.
Unless bulls reclaim 150 fast, Solana could bleed back toward the 115–120 range.
No signs of strength yet. Bears holding the range.
Bias: Bearish
Pair: SOL/USDT
Timeframe: 12H
This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
Solana Wave Analysis – 24 November 2025
- Solana reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 144.0
Solana cryptocurrency recently reversed from support area between the strong long-term support level 128.30 (which stopped wave 2 in June) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous multi-week downward ABC correction (2) from September and started the active impulse wave 1.
Given the oversold daily Stochastic, Solana cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 144.0 (top of the latest uwpard correction iv).
SOL looks weak, lower in wave C?Price continues lower, a textbook ABC correction so far.
Wave B ended shy of all-time high. Price lost the daily 200EMA and is testing the major High Volume Node support. The probability is a continuation to the downside.
📈 Daily RSI reached oversold with no divergence
👉 Continued downside brings up the $112 target
Safe trading
SOL 1W Breakdown: Key Levels, What I’m Watching Next Nov 24 2025Here’s my read on Solana’s weekly chart using the same structure as the BTC and ETH analyses.
Blue = support, orange = resistance, and the dotted mid-range is acting like a pivot zone.
Support Levels (Blue)
$125.50: This is the line SOL is sitting right on top of right now. It’s been a key mid-range level for almost two years. Losing this on the weekly would be a clear bearish signal because there isn’t much structural support underneath until the next major zone.
$44.15: This is the big, deep support from the 2022–2023 accumulation base. I’m not calling for this immediately, but structurally there’s a lot of empty space between $125 and $44. If the macro rolls over and SOL can’t defend the mid-range, we could see a slow bleed or capitulation wick toward this zone.
Resistance (Orange)
$211: This is the major weekly resistance for SOL and has been the top of every rally since 2022. Until SOL can close above this level and hold it, any upside is still just range movement.
My Current Thoughts
SOL is in a tricky spot. We’re sitting right on that $125ish support, and this is basically the “bounce here or things get uncomfortable fast” level.
If we don’t get a bounce:
The chart opens up a pretty big air pocket down to the next structural support.
Weekly structure turns decisively bearish.
SOL likely enters a multi-month corrective phase similar to what it did in 2022/2023 (but obviously not the same magnitude).
If we do bounce:
SOL can chop around this mid-range again, possibly retesting $150–175.
But it still needs a clean reclaim of $211 to resume a real macro uptrend.
Overall View
SOL’s weekly chart is way less forgiving than BTC or ETH right now. The range is clear, but we’re testing the bottom of it, and losing this level puts a lot of downside in play. From a structural standpoint, this is the most important support SOL has tested in a long time. If it holds, cool, if it breaks, we probably enter a much deeper reset.
Slow grind or big drop, the next weekly close is going to be telling.
SOL Daily Outlook | November 23, 2025On the 1h, yeah SOL's showing bullish signs right now with that 2-4% pump today (trading ~$130-132), pushing back into the EMA-50 zone and fast EMAs (5/10) starting to hook up—validating your rule to stay bullish until we break below the EMAs cluster.The BOS at 128-130 still holds the structure bearish overall, but this bounce is countering it hard, mirroring BTC's own relief rally (up ~3% today too). Bias locked bullish above EMAs.Key magnets: Upside: 138-140, then 150
Downside (only on EMAs break): 122, then 115-118
Tight correlation means if BTC holds here, SOL grinds higher next.
SOLUSD WE SHUD SEE A PUSH DOWNWARDS, THE EDGE SPEAKSSOLUSD INSIGHTS
We see price go towards the LH(LOWER HIGH) and it gave us an opening for a sell position to the downside, we take a sell here and aim at TP1(128.72), and if price continue with the momentum we could see TP2 (127.28),
SL:(133.22)
LETS GO..
🍏✨🍏
TRUST THE SYSTEM
short term bearish the way the market is moving I strongly think we are going to see lower prices, seems like there is a lot of bull traps, and in my previous idea I mentioned the head and shoulders that formed that would send us to where were at today,
we have a high chance that were heading towards $119 , if we bounce back from there ,
we will bounce back and ascend around $150-130 level for a short period of time before the market decides to go towards $150-185,
or just continue to head lower if we cannot break the $130-$150 range
SOLANA to 185$!🟩 SOLANA LONG SETUP – Elliott Wave + PA
After a successful short as posted a couple of days ago, SOL is nearing the end of a W–X–Y corrective structure, with the final (Y)–C wave looking mature. RSI is printing a clear bullish divergence ⚠️, signaling fading bearish momentum.
The key trigger now:
➡️ A clean break above the blue channel-top trendline.
That’s the level where an impulsive reversal can launch 🚀.
Quick Highlights:
• 🌀 Corrective pattern nearly complete
• 📉 RSI bullish divergence forming
• 📈 Break above blue line = long confirmation
• 🎯 Impulsive upside likely once breakout holds
Watching for that breakout to flip bias from defensive to aggressively bullish.
Solana (CRYPTO: $SOL) ETFs Surge as Price Tests Major SupportSolana (CRYPTO: CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) trades at $127.45 after a sharp 31% decline over the past month, but institutional activity is telling a different story. While retail sentiment weakens, capital continues flowing into newly launched Solana ETFs—creating one of the clearest divergences in the crypto market heading into late 2025.
Six U.S. spot Solana ETFs are now live, with issuers including 21Shares, Fidelity, VanEck, Canary Capital, Bitwise, and Grayscale. Fidelity’s FSOL on NYSE Arca quickly captured attention thanks to its staking component, making it the largest traditional asset manager offering staked SOL exposure. 21Shares also added competitive pressure by launching its ETF with a 0.21% fee after securing Cboe approval.
Combined ETF holdings now exceed $2 billion, and the inflows haven’t slowed—Solana ETFs recorded $26.2 million in net inflows on November 18, marking the 15th consecutive positive day. Remarkably, these inflows outpaced those of Bitcoin and Ethereum for the week. When institutions accumulate during market selloffs, it often reflects long-term conviction in underlying fundamentals such as Solana’s high throughput, low transaction costs, and increasingly mature ecosystem.
Technicals
Despite the correction, SOL is testing a major ascending-trendline support that has been respected several times. Price recently dipped into liquidity near $127, a level that has previously marked swing turns.
If support holds, the bullish continuation scenario comes into focus. The first target stands at $253, followed by $295. A breakout above both levels would strongly support new all-time highs heading into 2026.
If support fails decisively, the next demand zone lies between $110 and $100. A breakdown of that zone increases the probability of a deeper move toward $80. For now, buyers continue defending trend support, keeping the broader structure intact.
SOLUSD BEARISH PUSH..We Take a Sell position to the downside, and set our TP at this areas.. we look to see price hit 140.50, if momentum remains we should see price push towards 138.12 SL can be set at 148.34 , as the system nd edge is consign all criteria's have been met, so the push downwards towards this levels shud begin.
*TRUST THE SYSTEM*
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SOLUSD Bearish ContinuationSOLUSD is firmly in a daily downtrend after sliding from above 250 to a recent low near 136.23. Price is now hovering around 141.43, consolidating in what looks like a classic bear flag under a fully bearish MA stack (MA20 at 154.14 below MA60 at 186.94 and MA120 at 193.07). With Squeeze Momentum showing a negative “squeeze release,” the backdrop still favors a continuation lower rather than a sustained recovery.
The primary path is simple: a daily close below 136.00 would confirm a breakdown from the flag and open the door toward 132, then 128, with an extended objective near the 120 zone. In that scenario, a reclaim of 144–148 would be the first warning that sellers are losing control, and a sustained move above 155–156 would invalidate the immediate bearish continuation idea and put 170–171 back on the map as a possible squeeze target.
Aggressive bulls only really get a counter-trend setup if SOLUSD can close above 155.00, clearing the declining MA20 and trapping late shorts, with 171 as the next major resistance. Until that happens, failed bounces into 148–155 are more likely to offer opportunities for trend-following shorts than a lasting bottom. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
Thought of the Day 💡
In strong trends, “no trade” is often better than fighting the tape.
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SOL PRICE-MOVEMENT COINBASE:SOLUSD BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDC
1) SHORT-TERM PRICE MOVEMENT (Next 6–18 hours)
SOL is currently consolidating after the breakout from the $136–$138 zone. The short-term structure across 15m/1h shows a healthy cooldown phase, not a reversal. Momentum is still positive, OBV is rising, and delta shows seller absorption around $142–$143.
Price is expected to dip into the micro demand zone at $140.2–$141.5, fill remaining liquidity pockets, and then attempt a re-push into the $144.5–$145 range.
As long as $139.8–$140.5 holds, the short-term bias is bullish continuation.
Short-term expectation:
Range → small dip → continuation upward
Immediate upside tag: $144.5 → $145.7
2) MID-TERM PRICE MOVEMENT (1–3 days)
The current market structure on 1H/4H shows a transition from CHoCH to early SMS. When SOL forms this pattern after a deep liquidity sweep, the next wave usually targets the nearest FVG and inefficiency levels.
The next magnets are:
$147.5 (first liquidity pool)
$150.2–$151.3 (major inefficiency fill)
$153.0 (HTF fib cluster + supply touch)
Mid-term bias remains bullish unless the $135 OB is broken.
Mid-term expectation:
$147.5 → $150 → $153 zone in sequence
3) HIGH-TIMEFRAME PRICE MOVEMENT (4–10 days)
The daily falling wedge bottom has been tapped. This wedge historically produces a multi-day bullish expansion once mid-structure flips. The next HTF level — and the one that decides the trend — sits at $156–$160, which matches the top wedge boundary, VPVR high-volume node, and macro resistance.
If SOL clears this region with strong candle bodies, a full HTF trend reversal will occur, opening the way to:
$165–$168 (HTF extension)
$178 (1.618 HTF fib)
If it rejects the $156–$160 range, it will retrace back to $147–$150 before the next attempt.
HTF expectation:
Primary target: $156–$160
Break → $165–$168
Full breakout → $178
LIQUIDATION & LEVERAGE MAP (Kingfisher-style projection)
Below Price
Light clusters at $141.2
Medium shelves at $139.6
Large cluster at $136.8–$137.4
Deep liquidity at $134.5–$135.3
If any bearish wick forms, price will likely stop at the first or second cluster ($140–$139.6). The heavy $135 zone is the “max pain” level and unlikely to be revisited unless Bitcoin breaks structure.
Above Price
Significant liquidation pool at $145.8–$147.5
Heavy cluster at $150.5
Massive build-up at $153.2–$154.4
Final HTF liquidation pocket at $156.5–$158
These will act as magnets during any bullish breakout.
WHALE MAP (CVD & VPVR Projection)
Whale behavior (from your delta charts + VPVR):
Whales accumulated at $136–$138 (clear delta spikes)
Absorption at $141–$143 (sellers trapped)
Minimal whale sell walls until $150–$153
Heavy whale resting liquidity at $156 (profit-taking zone)
Whale map direction:
Upward toward $147 → $153 → $156
TRADE PLAN
Direction: LONG
Entry Zones
Primary pullback entry: $140.2–$141.5
🔥🔥🔥Deep entry (if swept): $138.8–$139.6
🔥🔥🔥Breakout entry: Above $144.6 with retest
🔥🔥🔥Stop Loss
🔥🔥🔥Below $134.90
(Below OB, below liquidity shelves, below structure)
Take Profit
🔥🔥TP1: $147.5
🔥🔥TP2: $150.6
🔥🔥TP3: $153.2
🔥🔥TP4 / Cycle: $156–$160
Risk–Reward
3.1R – 6.2R depending on entry
Management
🔥🔥🔥🔥If price stalls at $147.5 → partial exit
🔥🔥🔥🔥If $150 rejects → expect pullback to $147
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥If $156 is broken with volume → SOL begins macro reversal
INVALIDATION
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨The price-movement expectation becomes invalid if:
SOL closes 1H below $134.90
OBV breaks demand-side trend
RSI prints H-Bear divergence on 1H & 4H simultaneously
BTC loses its mid-range and drops below $59k
SOL loses the daily wedge lower boundary (< $128)
COINBASE:SOLUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
Let me know what you think in the comments — your feedback helps me improve these analyses, and if you found this useful, a like or share would mean a lot.
SOL PRICE-MOVEMENT
1) SHORT-TERM PRICE MOVEMENT (Next 6–18 hours)
SOL is currently consolidating after the breakout from the $136–$138 zone. The short-term structure across 15m/1h shows a healthy cooldown phase, not a reversal. Momentum is still positive, OBV is rising, and delta shows seller absorption around $142–$143.
Price is expected to dip into the micro demand zone at $140.2–$141.5, fill remaining liquidity pockets, and then attempt a re-push into the $144.5–$145 range.
As long as $139.8–$140.5 holds, the short-term bias is bullish continuation.
Short-term expectation:
Range → small dip → continuation upward
Immediate upside tag: $144.5 → $145.7
2) MID-TERM PRICE MOVEMENT (1–3 days)
The current market structure on 1H/4H shows a transition from CHoCH to early SMS. When SOL forms this pattern after a deep liquidity sweep, the next wave usually targets the nearest FVG and inefficiency levels.
The next magnets are:
$147.5 (first liquidity pool)
$150.2–$151.3 (major inefficiency fill)
$153.0 (HTF fib cluster + supply touch)
Mid-term bias remains bullish unless the $135 OB is broken.
Mid-term expectation:
$147.5 → $150 → $153 zone in sequence
3) HIGH-TIMEFRAME PRICE MOVEMENT (4–10 days)
The daily falling wedge bottom has been tapped. This wedge historically produces a multi-day bullish expansion once mid-structure flips. The next HTF level — and the one that decides the trend — sits at $156–$160, which matches the top wedge boundary, VPVR high-volume node, and macro resistance.
If SOL clears this region with strong candle bodies, a full HTF trend reversal will occur, opening the way to:
$165–$168 (HTF extension)
$178 (1.618 HTF fib)
If it rejects the $156–$160 range, it will retrace back to $147–$150 before the next attempt.
HTF expectation:
Primary target: $156–$160
Break → $165–$168
Full breakout → $178
LIQUIDATION & LEVERAGE MAP (Kingfisher-style projection)
Below Price
Light clusters at $141.2
Medium shelves at $139.6
Large cluster at $136.8–$137.4
Deep liquidity at $134.5–$135.3
If any bearish wick forms, price will likely stop at the first or second cluster ($140–$139.6). The heavy $135 zone is the “max pain” level and unlikely to be revisited unless Bitcoin breaks structure.
Above Price
Significant liquidation pool at $145.8–$147.5
Heavy cluster at $150.5
Massive build-up at $153.2–$154.4
Final HTF liquidation pocket at $156.5–$158
These will act as magnets during any bullish breakout.
WHALE MAP (CVD & VPVR Projection)
Whale behavior (from your delta charts + VPVR):
Whales accumulated at $136–$138 (clear delta spikes)
Absorption at $141–$143 (sellers trapped)
Minimal whale sell walls until $150–$153
Heavy whale resting liquidity at $156 (profit-taking zone)
Whale map direction:
Upward toward $147 → $153 → $156
TRADE PLAN
Direction: LONG
Entry Zones
Primary pullback entry: $140.2–$141.5
🔥🔥🔥Deep entry (if swept): $138.8–$139.6
🔥🔥🔥Breakout entry: Above $144.6 with retest
🔥🔥🔥Stop Loss
🔥🔥🔥Below $134.90
(Below OB, below liquidity shelves, below structure)
Take Profit
🔥🔥TP1: $147.5
🔥🔥TP2: $150.6
🔥🔥TP3: $153.2
🔥🔥TP4 / Cycle: $156–$160
Risk–Reward
3.1R – 6.2R depending on entry
Management
🔥🔥🔥🔥If price stalls at $147.5 → partial exit
🔥🔥🔥🔥If $150 rejects → expect pullback to $147
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥If $156 is broken with volume → SOL begins macro reversal
INVALIDATION
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨The price-movement expectation becomes invalid if:
SOL closes 1H below $134.90
OBV breaks demand-side trend
RSI prints H-Bear divergence on 1H & 4H simultaneously
BTC loses its mid-range and drops below $59k
SOL loses the daily wedge lower boundary (< $128)
Let me know what you think in the comments — your feedback helps me improve these analyses, and if you found this useful, a like or share would mean a lot.






















