SOL | Network Strength Meets Market MomentumSolana (SOLUSDT) continues to show resilience as both technical and fundamental factors align for potential upside. On the technical side, the market has completed a controlled correction phase, suggesting liquidity buildup below recent lows. The structure remains bullish, with increasing volume and price stability hinting that buyers are regaining control. Fundamentally, Solana’s network growth and strong developer activity have reinforced investor confidence, supported by rising on-chain activity and ecosystem expansion in DeFi and NFTs. This combination of solid fundamentals and technical structure indicates the possibility of another bullish leg, with SOL positioning itself for a gradual climb toward the $240–$250 range in the near term.
Trade ideas
SOL – Everyone’s Bullish. I’m Not.When everyone’s screaming ‘alt season,’ I’m watching structure.
SOL just gave me what I wanted —
a clean retracement, rejection at key resistance, and confirmation of weakness.
That’s not hype. That’s setup.
Structure break ✅
Lower high formed ✅
Clear entry, tight stop ✅
I’m short here — small risk, asymmetric reward.
If it melts, great. If it bounces, I’m out quick.
Trading isn’t about being right, it’s about being disciplined.
Would you fade this move, or are you still buying the top?
Triggers: 4h-close below 235 and/or < 230.9 (Don20-Mid) with RSIWhat does it mean now
1. The structure is "bullish but thin": the price is at the tops of Donchian/BB/Keltner, ADX ~33 and CMF>0 confirm the trend, but the MACD-hist −0.11, a series of bearish divergences (RSI/MFI/OBV), and a low OI (z −1.34) indicate that the momentum is going without a noticeable set of futures positions.
2. Squeeze ON ~13 bars: the market is compressed, and an impulse exit is likely.
3. Profile: a strong HVN core of 202-208 (POC ~207.9), we are trading above, VAH ~239.7 near the current price → above the supply zone.
4. Premium to VWAP ~+1.1σ: there is upward space, but it is already "not cheap" relative to average demand.
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Key levels
• Resistance: 237.75 (Donch-High 20/55) → 239.66 (VAH) → 244.9–245.0 (LVN-thin zone).
• Supports: 235–231 (BB/EMA20/Don20-Mid 230.9) → 224.0–221.2 (BB-/KC-low) → 207.9 (POC) → 202–208 HVN-cluster → 197.9 (Don55-Low zone of the upper range).
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Scenarios and triggers (not financial advice)
A) Basic — rotation/balance above the averages with a check of 230–232
Why basic: Squeeze ON, MACD goes out, divergences are bearish, and OI is low — more often, the market "chews" the level before choosing a direction.
• Triggers: 4h-close below 235 and/or < 230.9 (Don20-Mid) with RSI<55 / MACD weakening, without OI growth.
• Targets: 231 → 224–221 (edge of bands/channels). Deeper — retest 207–208 (POC/HVN) if the impulse fades.
• Invalidator: quick return and fixing > 237.8.
B) Pulse break-up (Squeeze-release)
• Trigger: 4h-closing > 237.8 + buffer ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +0.45$ (i.e. > 238.25) and holding above 237.8 at CMF≥0, OBV↑, preferably OI↑.
• Targets: 239.7 (VAH) → 244.9–245.0 (LVN) → with good OI, expand to higher levels.
• Invalidator: return < 235 on increased volume.
C) Bearish reversal from VAH/Don-High
• Trigger: rebound from 237.8–239.7 with 4h-close < 235, RSI↓, MACD-hist in the red, OI↑ on the red candle (inflow of shorts).
• Targets: 230.9 → 224–221 → 207–208.
• Invalidator: re-capture > 238.3 with OI not falling.
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Tactics (example of logic)
• Pullback long (conservative): monitor demand in 231–232 (candle reaction + CMF≥0, OBV↑). Stop — below 224-221, targets — 235 → 237.8 → 239.7.
• Impulse long (aggressive): after 4h-close > 238.25 (breakdown with buffer), partial fixation at 239.7, trail to 244.9–245.0.
• Countertrend short: only with a clear rejection in the 237.8–239.7 zone + confirmation (RSI/MFI down, MACD-histo < 0, OI↑). Targets are 235 → 230.9 → 224–221; stop is at ~240–241.
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Briefly: what to expect
• Base: consolidation/rotation in 231–238 with a risk of moving to 224–221 until momentum and OI confirm a breakout.
• If we gain a foothold above 238.25, we can expect an upward move to 239.7 → 244.9–245.0.
• If we lose 230.9, we can expect an upward move to 224–221, and if we are weak, we can expect an upward move to 207–208.
SOL: Ready for a Big MoveWe can see CRYPTOCAP:SOL is currently in a period of accumulation, just like it was back in 2021 before a massive rally . The key rising support line has been holding up strong, and after periods of accumulation, the price has consistently exploded upwards, reaching new highs.
Right now , the price is approaching its previous all-time high (ATH), and if history repeats itself, we could be in for another "boom" phase. The price is holding well above the key support, which strengthens the bullish outlook.
Keep an eye on the price action around the ATH level, if we break through, it could signal the next major leg up. This setup looks very similar to past accumulation phases that led to significant price jumps.
#PEACE
Stay tuned for more updates
Bullish Reversal Ahead: Market Prepares for Sharp RecoveryThe market has been under consistent selling pressure, with a clear sequence of bearish breaks in structure confirming downside control. Price has now entered a zone where momentum shows signs of slowing, suggesting potential exhaustion in the recent decline. The sharp extension lower indicates that sellers may be reaching a short-term limit, creating conditions for a corrective rebound.
Market flow highlights that liquidity has shifted significantly downward, yet oversold conditions are building. This sets the stage for a possible recovery phase, where buyers may step in to reclaim lost ground. If this rebound develops, it could trigger a larger corrective leg to the upside, with momentum targeting higher levels.
In the near term, volatility is expected to increase as the market tests the strength of the current bottoming area. Sustained demand could shift sentiment back toward bullish recovery.
Solana SOL price analysis📞 Rumor has it that as soon as the global geopolitics reach a “temporary lull”, the following ETFs will be launched
Solana ETF is the most likely to be the next one (but there are at least 2 coins more on the list, which we will talk about in the coming days)
🪙 So, are you ready to buy CRYPTOCAP:SOL in your investment portfolio? For example, in the range of $117-123
🤖 Maybe we need to launch a long trading bot OKX:SOLUSDT so that it can buy in micro portions on the current possible price correction to get a “tasty price” as a result
◆ Would you like to join such a trading bot and copy them?
◆ And then compare the results with all “ETF candidates”
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SOL 03.10At 3 AM (when else, only when we're sleeping) R1 reacted, with weakness in beardivs + mfd divs 1-3-6-12-24m, and corrected by 3%.
BUT
1) they left almost equivalent positions,
2) the daily session closed almost without a shadow above,
3) there are no diversifiers on the indicator, and there are fat mfds on mfd 1h and higher.
I think we'll go to 240, but there's a slight correction right now. At 240, it will be possible to part-take profit from the main long from 192. But how and when we'll get there is unclear. If Bitcoin starts to move into the 117-115 zones today within the console, Salt could even move from the current levels to the key support zone around 210, but for now, it needs to lose another 220 and 216 to do so.
Support zones:
221-221.5
219-219.6
215-215.9
207-210.7
Resistance zones:
238.4-240
255-256.4
SOLANA LONG SETUP Liquidity Run: BTC & ETH swept lows to take out stops.
SMT Divergence: SOL held strong while majors dipped → bullish imbalance.
Bullish Order Block (OB): Price is rejecting from a demand zone after the SMT confirmation.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Above current price, likely to be rebalanced as SOL seeks higher prices.
🎯 Bias: Bullish on SOL
Entry: Off the OB rejection after SMT confirmation
Target: 240+ (premium array)
Invalidation: Below 228 (sell-side liquidity)
DeGRAM | SOLUSD fixed above the $200📊 Technical Analysis
● SOL/USD rebounded from the $200 key level and the ascending channel’s support, rejecting a deeper correction.
● The structure suggests upside continuation, with $230 and $250 as targets, while the $200 demand zone remains critical support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Solana’s growing DeFi activity and NFT volume support bullish sentiment, while broader crypto recovery improves risk appetite.
✨ Summary
SOL/USD holds above $200 support, eyeing $230–$250 on renewed momentum. Break below $200 invalidates the bullish scenario.
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SOL/USDT Wave C Still Unfolding | Short Bias Until $194–186 ZoneOL/USDT has completed a 5-wave push into the $253 top and is now unfolding a corrective A-B-C move. Price is breaking below the $200 psychological level, with liquidity resting at $197–194. If this zone fails, Fibonacci projections point toward $186–184 and even $174–160 for full C-wave completion.
Any bounce into $205–210 or $215–220 should be viewed as a bearish retest and potential short entry unless structure is reclaimed. For bulls, the first real opportunity comes only if a hammer/engulfing candle with RSI/MACD divergence forms at $194–186, or on a deeper flush into $174–160. A clean break and hold above $220 would be the first sign of bullish reversal. Until then, bias remains short into lower supports.
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#SOL #Solana #Crypto #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #SwingTrade #Bearish #ABCMove #TradingView