SOLUSDT: Retracing FVG, Touching Kumo Cloud – Key Zone 212–215?Hello everyone, let’s take a look at SOLUSDT on the H4 chart.
Structurally, the primary trend remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, while the current upward movement is mainly a pullback filling the Fair Value Gaps (FVG). The immediate resistance zone lies between 212–215, coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud boundary and previous balance areas. A decisive break above this range could open the path to 220–223 and further to 228–232 (the upper red FVG cluster). On the downside, support is found at 205–202 – a newly formed green FVG. A strong breach would expose 198–195 as the next floor, and deeper support around 190–188 – the recent swing low.
From a news perspective, market sentiment continues to revolve around risk appetite: Bitcoin movements, ETF inflows/outflows, the DXY, and US Treasury yields heavily influence altcoins including SOL. This week’s US economic calendar is dense with ADP, Jobless Claims, PMI/ISM, and Non-Farm Payrolls – strong data could reinforce USD/ yields, pressuring risk assets; weaker numbers would support the rebound. Solana-specific catalysts such as network performance, dApp/TVL metrics, airdrops, or congestion events can further amplify breakouts or rejections around the mentioned FVGs.
In the preferred scenario, SOL may pull back to 205–202 to fill the green FVG, creating a higher low before retesting 212–215. A break and hold above 215 with improving volume could target 220–223 and extend to 228–232.
Where do you see SOL heading? Will this rebound hold or will it test the 200 area soon? Share your thoughts!
Trade ideas
SOL TA 29.09The sectors are already 10% away from the important zone, and I don't see any signs of a decline from the current level. The most important resistance is R1 (211-212.5) – if we break it, there's a high chance we'll finally be able to renew the ATH. After R1, the nearest normal resistances are at 235-240.
The closest vital support zone is still relevant – 190-193. There's nothing particularly significant before it, just a couple of local minor ones, but they could trigger further growth.
SOL is messy but is going through a correction.SOLs last move up in white primary ((1)) was not as large compared to the move up prior to that, which we can't see on the picture. So I guess we still have a large 3rd of a 3rd to come in a move up.
But first we still need to finish this correction SOL is in right now.
I believe SOL is doing a flat correction in a primary degree, so it takes some time to get through.
It looks like the green (B) wave is finally done, and now we just need the green intermediate (C) to finish. The 1st wave of that c-wave is almost over if not already, so anticipate a correction up in purple 2nd wave.
When that 2nd wave is done, SOL will move into a strong move down in wave purple 3 following the yellow path.
double (()) indicates circle on chart.
SOLUSDT 1D - Bulls back in control with Golden Cross and channelOn the daily chart, SOLUSDT is forming a bullish continuation structure. After the Golden Cross (MA50 crossing MA200), the price is now pulling back toward the midline of the ascending channel and the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 166.38. This confluence with the broken trendline and 200 EMA makes this zone a prime technical area of interest.
Support: 166.38 (0.5 Fibo), EMA200 (161.77), broken trendline
Resistance: 182.84–189.67 (Fibo 0.705–0.79), 206.54, target - 255.93 (Fibo 1.618)
This retracement looks healthy, supported by higher volume during the prior bullish leg. As long as the 166.38–161.77 zone holds, continuation toward 206.54 and potentially 255.93 is on the table.
Fundamentally, Solana remains a key L1 narrative with strong traction in DePIN and AI-linked dApps. The rising TVL and investor sentiment support the trend.
Watch price action around 166 for confirmation - this is the battleground.
SOL/USDT 1D chart review 1. General trend
• A strong upward trend has been underway since June (orange trend marked).
• Recently, we had a very strong rally to around USD 250, but there was a violent correction.
2. Support and resistance
• resistance:
• USD 214 (local resistance, the market has bounced down here).
• 230 USD (strong resistance).
• USD 250 (peak, main resistance).
• Support:
• USD 193 (here the price is currently fighting).
• 176 USD (another strong support - earlier consolidation).
• USD 158 (key support, fracture could mean a change in the trend).
3. STOCHASTIC RSI
• Currently in the sales zone (nearly 0) → may suggest that the market is approaching a local hole and a potential reflection.
4. Scenarios
• Bullish:
If support is supported at 193 USD, possible reflection in the direction of USD 214, and after breaking this level - an attack on USD 230.
• Bearish:
If the price pierces $ 193 down, the next goal is 176 USD, and below even USD 158.
5. Summary
• The market is in correction after strong height.
• At the moment, the key level is 193 USD. Maintaining this support can be reflected.
• However, breaking 193 will open the road to 176.
• RSI shows the sale → short -term relief.
..../..../ SOLUSDT ..../..../..../..../..../..../so this is how i think i analyse with price action and i like to see how do you think so LEAVE A COMMENT
also be carefull now market is risky now we tought btc will go up but now we are going bearish but there is still a little hope that btc go up NOW and we are hiting some important support if we brake them we gonna have a whole new trend with a whole new plan
take care
$sol long SOL/USDT | LONG Position Active
Chart Time: Sep 26, 2025 | 09:56 UTC-4
Just entered a LONG position on SOL/USDT.
Current levels to watch:
Entry Zone: Around $192 - $196
Near-term Target: $215.02 (+21.0% from entry)
Key Support: $192.69 - $194.74
Price is showing strength after consolidating near the $195 region. The setup suggests momentum building toward the $215 resistance level.
Will monitor closely for any break above $199 for confirmation of continuation.
Risk Disclaimer: Trade with caution, set stops, and manage risk accordingly.
Solana I Daily Range I the discount - Manipulation phaseHi Traders, Solana is in the discount territory. Which means we are below a 50% of the latest up swing which is giving us nice trader probability for the patter.
📍
I have explained Premium / Discounts in this thread below
Price has created nice range which is being manipulated at this moment. In other words
market makers are loading liquidity.
📍I have explained liquidity in the thread below
📍At this stage when we are in the manipulation phase we dont know yet, if price will go up. Hence we must wait for the Order block confirmation which I explained in this thread bellow.
Once it all aligns and price switch in to the distribution phase there is a change for bullish move which is in sync with this HTF perspective.
💊 Note: this is just a probability. Win rate of this method is above 70% if you trade it with the right market context.
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔
SOLUSDT: Strong Uptrend with Solid SupportSOLUSDT is currently showing a strong upward trend thanks to the stability of the cryptocurrency market and a positive risk sentiment from investors. The Solana (SOL) token is receiving significant support from fundamental factors, such as a stable commodities market and the pressure on the US dollar due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
From a technical perspective, SOLUSDT is testing the important support level at $199.00. If this level holds, the likelihood of a rebound and continuation of the uptrend is very high. The next resistance level is expected to be at $218.00, and if this level is breached, the price could continue towards $230.00.
The upward trend line remains intact, providing positive signals for the next move. Based on both fundamental and technical factors, SOLUSDT is likely to maintain its upward momentum if the support at $199.00 holds.
SOL RSI Signals Sustained Bearish MomentumSolana’s daily chart paints a clear picture of weakening demand as its Relative Strength Index (RSI) plunges to 39.07.
The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures overbought and oversold conditions, with levels above 70 reflecting overbought territory and below 30 signaling oversold.
At its current reading, SOL sits firmly in bearish territory, showing that selling pressure is outweighing buying momentum.
While the market may not yet be facing a capitulation phase, the outlook remains tilted to the downside. If bearish sentiment lingers, downward momentum could persist in the near term.
#SOLUSDT SHOWING BULLISH DIVERGENCE AT 4 HOURS TIME FRAMECurrent Structure:
SOL is currently trading around $204.65, testing the lower range after breaking below a short-term trendline. The chart highlights a bullish divergence on RSI, suggesting potential upside momentum.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $213.22
Stop Loss (SL): $202
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $223.78
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $252
Market Context:
The chart shows a falling wedge breakout setup, often a bullish reversal pattern.
RSI has marked a bullish divergence, signaling potential strength building despite recent price drops.
Price is near a major demand zone (green area) around $200–$193, which adds confluence to the bullish case.
Bullish Targets:
TP1 ($223.78): Aligns with previous liquidity area and fair value gap (FVG).
TP2 ($252): Major resistance zone where sellers may step in again.
Bearish Risk:
If SOL breaks below $202 support, it could revisit deeper demand zones near $193 and even $185.
SOL at a Crossroads — Bounce or Breakdown AheadThe breakdown from the rising wedge is a bearish signal, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Immediate Support: The next strong support lies around $181, which aligns with both the 200-day EMA and the ascending trendline support. This confluence zone will be crucial in determining if the bulls can defend the uptrend.
Resistance Levels: On the upside, resistance is seen near $220, which was the lower boundary of the wedge and may now act as resistance. Stronger resistance remains around $240–260.
Outlook: If SOL holds the $180 support, it may attempt a rebound. However, a breakdown below this level could accelerate bearish momentum, targeting the $150–160 range.
SOLUSDT Strong Rejection at Key Support – 230.00 Incoming!Hey everyone, Ken here!
SOLUSDT has been quite interesting lately. After a sharp decline from the channel’s top, the price broke through the support zone, often referred to as the neckline, and reached a key support area below. Here, we saw a strong rejection wick, which clearly indicates that buyers have stepped in and are ready to take control of the market.
With this setup, I predict that the 230.00 level will be a reasonable target in the short term. The strong rejection at this support zone suggests a high potential for a reversal.
Feel free to leave a comment if you agree with this prediction, or if you have a different perspective. Let’s discuss and share our ideas!
Solana Eyes 14% Upside, Approaching $275 Breakout Target SoonHello✌️
Let’s analyze Solana’s price action both technically and fundamentally 📈.
🔍Fundamental analysis:
The SIMD-0326 upgrade could cut Solana’s block finality to just 150ms, possibly bringing big traders and fresh capital. But new validator fees might be tough on smaller player
📊Technical analysis:
SOL is trading within a strong ascending channel, nearing a breakout above the upper boundary, which could propel price toward $275 with at least 14% upside. 📈🚀
✨We put love into every post!
Your support inspires us 💛 Drop a comment we’d love to hear from you! Thanks , Mad Whale
SOLUSDT (4h) 07:00 close I built base scenarioSnapshot of the last 4h candle (and what it means)
• Price: ~210.56 — current base reference.
• VWAP (entire period): ~201.04; z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.25 — price above VWAP by ~9.5$, but "premium to VWAP" is lower than usual for the last 100 bars → space for medium return to the averages upwards without overheating.
• aVWAP (anchors): start 201.04, 60d 201.76, from swing low 223.35, from swing high 220.98 — we are below the swing anchors (locally the seller dominates) and above the global ones (start/60d).
* Donchian 20/55:
-20: High 241.70 / Mid 223.09 / Low 204.49 — trading between Mid and Low → frequent rotation to the Mid.
— 55: High 253.40 / Mid 228.94 / Low 204.49 — a more "distant" average target of 228.9.
• Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~203.21, VAL ~168.24, VAH ~239.71 — higher than POC, but still in the value price zone; POC often acts as a magnet/support.
• RSI(14): ~26.9 — oversold → increased risk of a rebound.
* MFI(14): ~17.9 — cash flow is oversold, similar to RSI but with volume consideration.
• CMF(20): ~−0.13 — total capital outflow, confirms seller pressure.
• MACD(12/26/9): line −6.93 below signal −5.75, hist. −1.18 — bearish momentum is active, but histogram is shrinking (weakening).
• ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~48.6; +DI ~4.7 / −DI ~38.5 — strong downward trend (−DI≫+DI).
* ATR(14): ~5.40$ — characteristic 4h range; useful for buffers.
• Keltner: Upper 232.25 / Mid 221.96 / Lower 211.66 — standing next to KC-Lower → typical rebound zone to Mid.
• Bollinger(20,2): Upper 245.91 / Mid 224.32 / Lower 202.73 — between BB-Lower and BB-Mid; mean-reversion up is a priority.
• BB-Squeeze: OFF — volatility is not compressed; the trend has already been established.
• z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.25 — the "premium" to VWAP is below the norm → no overheating, and there is room for подтягивания к средним.
• OBV z-scores: z50 −1.85 / z100 −1.39 / z200 −0.56, OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.78 — sales dominated, distribution; no fresh influx of buyers yet.
• Open Interest: ~7.95M, z(168) ≈ −0.11, ROC(5/10) ≈ +0.05 / +0.06 — moderate position set (non-aggressive), closer to neutral.
Latest divergences (auto-detector)
• RSI: bearish 13 Sep 03:00 → 14 Sep 03:00, bullish 17 Sep 03:00 → 17 Sep 15:00
• MACD: bullish 8 Sep 23:00 → 9 Sep 15:00, bearish 13 Sep 03:00 → 14 Sep 03:00
• OBV: bullish 30 Aug 15:00 → 1 Sep 03:00, bearish 13 Sep 03:00 → 14 Sep 03:00
• MFI: bearish 18 Sep 03:00 → 18 Sep 19:00, bearish 20 Sep 15:00 → 21 Sep 03:00
Reading divergences: fresh bullish signals are limited; some of the latest ones are bearish (especially on MFI/OBV), which restricts the scale of the rebound, but the oversold RSI/MFI still gives Edge to rotate to the averages.
⸻
What does this mean now
1. Mode: strong downtrend, but the price is pulled towards the lower shells (KC-Lower ~211.7 / BB-Lower ~202.7), the RSI/MFI is oversold, and the "premium to VWAP" is below normal → the base risk scenario is a rotation to the averages (221.9–224.3).
2. Profile: we are above POC ~203.2, inside the value-area (VAH ~239.7 / VAL ~168.2) → a POC retest is possible, but more often inside VA the market tends to average.
3. Derivatives: OI ≈ neutral/slightly ↑, OBV weak — a volume/capital inflow is needed for sustainable growth; otherwise, the rebound risks being “technical”.
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Key levels
Resistances: 221.96 (KC-Mid) → 223.09 (Donch-20 Mid) → 224.32 (BB-Mid) → 228.94 (Donch-55 Mid) → 232.25 (KC-Upper) → 239.71 (VAH) → 241.70 (Donch-20 High) → 253.40 (Donch-55 High).
Supports: 211.66 (KC-Lower) → 204.49 (Donch-Low 20/55) → 202.73 (BB-Lower) → 203.21 (POC / support) → 201.04 (VWAP) → deeper — liquidity pockets from the profile (see JSON).
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Scenarios and triggers (not financial advice)
A) Basic — rotation up to the middle / 222–224
• Trigger: 4h-close > 214.4 (≈ KC-Lower + 0.5×ATR) when RSI > 30, MFI > 25, hist. MACD↑, CMF → 0.
• Targets: 221.9–224.3 (KC/BB-Mid, Donch-20 Mid) → 228.9 → 232.3.
* Invalidator: return < 211.7 (KC-Lower) or sharp puncture < 209 (≈ KC-Lower − 0.5×ATR).
B) Continuation of the downward trend
• Trigger: 4h-close < 204.5 (Donch-Low) together with: ADX ≥ 40, OBV z50 ≤ −2, OI ROC+ on a red candle.
• Targets: 202.7 (BB-Lower) → ≈201.0 (VWAP) → with inertia — passes on LVN from the profile.
• Invalidator: return over 211.7 and hold.
C) Short-squeeze
• Trigger: impulse breakout and hold > 228.9 (Donch-55 Mid) or > 232.3 (KC-Upper) with OI falling on a green candle and OBV growing.
• Targets: 239.7 (VAH) → 241.7 → 253.4.
• Invalidator: fake breakout with return < 224.
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Tactics (example of logic)
• Impulse long: after confirmation > 214.4. Partial fixation at 221.9–224.3, then trail to 228.9 → 232.3; stop under 211.7 or ~0.8–1.2×ATR (4.3–6.5$) from the entry.
• Reversal long (conservative): zones 211.7 (KC-Lower) and 203–205 (POC/Donch-Low) only when demand reacts (RSI/MFI up, CMF→0/+) — targets 223 → 229.
• Contra-trend short: carefully on rejection 228.9–232.3 (RSI<50, hist. MACD↓, OI ROC+) — targets 224 → 222 → 215; stop at 232.5–233.
⸻
In short: what to expect
The base scenario is a technical rebound to 222–224.
• We will fix ourselves above 224 → 229 → 232, and a corridor will open to 239–242.
• We will lose 211.7 and fix ourselves < 204.5 with OI↑, and we will continue down to 202.7 → 201.0 and below through thin zones.
SOL/USDT (4H chart) Bearish Bias🔎 Technical Outlook
• Trend: After a strong rally toward $250, Solana has started forming lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of weakening momentum.
• Resistance Zone: Price faced rejection near $237 – $240, which aligns with a previous supply zone. This has turned into a ceiling for the market.
• Support Levels: Current price is hovering around $222, but if sellers maintain control, the next strong demand zone lies near $200 — also your marked target.
• Candlestick Behavior: The recent sharp decline shows strong bearish pressure, and recovery attempts have been weak, signaling more downside potential.
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📉 Trade Setup (Bearish)
• Entry Zone: $222 – $223 (current area)
• Stop-Loss: $238 (above resistance and last swing high)
• Take Profit 1: $210 (interim support)
• Take Profit 2: $200 (major support)
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2 (attractive setup)
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🛡 Risk Management
• 📉 Partial Profits: Secure partial gains at $210 before targeting $200.
• 🔒 Trailing Stop: Once $210 is hit, move SL to breakeven ($222) and trail down to lock profits.
• 🚫 Invalidation: A sustained break above $240 would cancel the bearish outlook and could push SOL back to $250+.
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✅ Summary
Solana looks weak after repeated rejections at $237 – $240, and bears are in control. If sellers maintain momentum, a drop toward $210 and $200 is likely. The setup favors shorting rallies with a tight stop-loss above resistance.
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