Trade ideas
Solana Eyes 14% Upside, Approaching $275 Breakout Target SoonHello✌️
Let’s analyze Solana’s price action both technically and fundamentally 📈.
🔍Fundamental analysis:
The SIMD-0326 upgrade could cut Solana’s block finality to just 150ms, possibly bringing big traders and fresh capital. But new validator fees might be tough on smaller player
📊Technical analysis:
SOL is trading within a strong ascending channel, nearing a breakout above the upper boundary, which could propel price toward $275 with at least 14% upside. 📈🚀
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SOLUSDT (4h) 07:00 close I built base scenarioSnapshot of the last 4h candle (and what it means)
• Price: ~210.56 — current base reference.
• VWAP (entire period): ~201.04; z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.25 — price above VWAP by ~9.5$, but "premium to VWAP" is lower than usual for the last 100 bars → space for medium return to the averages upwards without overheating.
• aVWAP (anchors): start 201.04, 60d 201.76, from swing low 223.35, from swing high 220.98 — we are below the swing anchors (locally the seller dominates) and above the global ones (start/60d).
* Donchian 20/55:
-20: High 241.70 / Mid 223.09 / Low 204.49 — trading between Mid and Low → frequent rotation to the Mid.
— 55: High 253.40 / Mid 228.94 / Low 204.49 — a more "distant" average target of 228.9.
• Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~203.21, VAL ~168.24, VAH ~239.71 — higher than POC, but still in the value price zone; POC often acts as a magnet/support.
• RSI(14): ~26.9 — oversold → increased risk of a rebound.
* MFI(14): ~17.9 — cash flow is oversold, similar to RSI but with volume consideration.
• CMF(20): ~−0.13 — total capital outflow, confirms seller pressure.
• MACD(12/26/9): line −6.93 below signal −5.75, hist. −1.18 — bearish momentum is active, but histogram is shrinking (weakening).
• ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~48.6; +DI ~4.7 / −DI ~38.5 — strong downward trend (−DI≫+DI).
* ATR(14): ~5.40$ — characteristic 4h range; useful for buffers.
• Keltner: Upper 232.25 / Mid 221.96 / Lower 211.66 — standing next to KC-Lower → typical rebound zone to Mid.
• Bollinger(20,2): Upper 245.91 / Mid 224.32 / Lower 202.73 — between BB-Lower and BB-Mid; mean-reversion up is a priority.
• BB-Squeeze: OFF — volatility is not compressed; the trend has already been established.
• z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.25 — the "premium" to VWAP is below the norm → no overheating, and there is room for подтягивания к средним.
• OBV z-scores: z50 −1.85 / z100 −1.39 / z200 −0.56, OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.78 — sales dominated, distribution; no fresh influx of buyers yet.
• Open Interest: ~7.95M, z(168) ≈ −0.11, ROC(5/10) ≈ +0.05 / +0.06 — moderate position set (non-aggressive), closer to neutral.
Latest divergences (auto-detector)
• RSI: bearish 13 Sep 03:00 → 14 Sep 03:00, bullish 17 Sep 03:00 → 17 Sep 15:00
• MACD: bullish 8 Sep 23:00 → 9 Sep 15:00, bearish 13 Sep 03:00 → 14 Sep 03:00
• OBV: bullish 30 Aug 15:00 → 1 Sep 03:00, bearish 13 Sep 03:00 → 14 Sep 03:00
• MFI: bearish 18 Sep 03:00 → 18 Sep 19:00, bearish 20 Sep 15:00 → 21 Sep 03:00
Reading divergences: fresh bullish signals are limited; some of the latest ones are bearish (especially on MFI/OBV), which restricts the scale of the rebound, but the oversold RSI/MFI still gives Edge to rotate to the averages.
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What does this mean now
1. Mode: strong downtrend, but the price is pulled towards the lower shells (KC-Lower ~211.7 / BB-Lower ~202.7), the RSI/MFI is oversold, and the "premium to VWAP" is below normal → the base risk scenario is a rotation to the averages (221.9–224.3).
2. Profile: we are above POC ~203.2, inside the value-area (VAH ~239.7 / VAL ~168.2) → a POC retest is possible, but more often inside VA the market tends to average.
3. Derivatives: OI ≈ neutral/slightly ↑, OBV weak — a volume/capital inflow is needed for sustainable growth; otherwise, the rebound risks being “technical”.
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Key levels
Resistances: 221.96 (KC-Mid) → 223.09 (Donch-20 Mid) → 224.32 (BB-Mid) → 228.94 (Donch-55 Mid) → 232.25 (KC-Upper) → 239.71 (VAH) → 241.70 (Donch-20 High) → 253.40 (Donch-55 High).
Supports: 211.66 (KC-Lower) → 204.49 (Donch-Low 20/55) → 202.73 (BB-Lower) → 203.21 (POC / support) → 201.04 (VWAP) → deeper — liquidity pockets from the profile (see JSON).
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Scenarios and triggers (not financial advice)
A) Basic — rotation up to the middle / 222–224
• Trigger: 4h-close > 214.4 (≈ KC-Lower + 0.5×ATR) when RSI > 30, MFI > 25, hist. MACD↑, CMF → 0.
• Targets: 221.9–224.3 (KC/BB-Mid, Donch-20 Mid) → 228.9 → 232.3.
* Invalidator: return < 211.7 (KC-Lower) or sharp puncture < 209 (≈ KC-Lower − 0.5×ATR).
B) Continuation of the downward trend
• Trigger: 4h-close < 204.5 (Donch-Low) together with: ADX ≥ 40, OBV z50 ≤ −2, OI ROC+ on a red candle.
• Targets: 202.7 (BB-Lower) → ≈201.0 (VWAP) → with inertia — passes on LVN from the profile.
• Invalidator: return over 211.7 and hold.
C) Short-squeeze
• Trigger: impulse breakout and hold > 228.9 (Donch-55 Mid) or > 232.3 (KC-Upper) with OI falling on a green candle and OBV growing.
• Targets: 239.7 (VAH) → 241.7 → 253.4.
• Invalidator: fake breakout with return < 224.
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Tactics (example of logic)
• Impulse long: after confirmation > 214.4. Partial fixation at 221.9–224.3, then trail to 228.9 → 232.3; stop under 211.7 or ~0.8–1.2×ATR (4.3–6.5$) from the entry.
• Reversal long (conservative): zones 211.7 (KC-Lower) and 203–205 (POC/Donch-Low) only when demand reacts (RSI/MFI up, CMF→0/+) — targets 223 → 229.
• Contra-trend short: carefully on rejection 228.9–232.3 (RSI<50, hist. MACD↓, OI ROC+) — targets 224 → 222 → 215; stop at 232.5–233.
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In short: what to expect
The base scenario is a technical rebound to 222–224.
• We will fix ourselves above 224 → 229 → 232, and a corridor will open to 239–242.
• We will lose 211.7 and fix ourselves < 204.5 with OI↑, and we will continue down to 202.7 → 201.0 and below through thin zones.
SOL/USDT (4H chart) Bearish Bias🔎 Technical Outlook
• Trend: After a strong rally toward $250, Solana has started forming lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of weakening momentum.
• Resistance Zone: Price faced rejection near $237 – $240, which aligns with a previous supply zone. This has turned into a ceiling for the market.
• Support Levels: Current price is hovering around $222, but if sellers maintain control, the next strong demand zone lies near $200 — also your marked target.
• Candlestick Behavior: The recent sharp decline shows strong bearish pressure, and recovery attempts have been weak, signaling more downside potential.
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📉 Trade Setup (Bearish)
• Entry Zone: $222 – $223 (current area)
• Stop-Loss: $238 (above resistance and last swing high)
• Take Profit 1: $210 (interim support)
• Take Profit 2: $200 (major support)
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2 (attractive setup)
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🛡 Risk Management
• 📉 Partial Profits: Secure partial gains at $210 before targeting $200.
• 🔒 Trailing Stop: Once $210 is hit, move SL to breakeven ($222) and trail down to lock profits.
• 🚫 Invalidation: A sustained break above $240 would cancel the bearish outlook and could push SOL back to $250+.
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✅ Summary
Solana looks weak after repeated rejections at $237 – $240, and bears are in control. If sellers maintain momentum, a drop toward $210 and $200 is likely. The setup favors shorting rallies with a tight stop-loss above resistance.
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Will Solana Break Above 250 After Its Pause?The Solana (SOLUSDT) market is entering an exciting phase, with price repeatedly testing key levels and forming a dramatic sideways range. After a strong rally, SOL is now consolidating within the 230–245 zone , where support and resistance are battling fiercely.
If the 230 level holds , it could serve as a launchpad for a move toward 242 (TP1) and potentially 250 (TP2) . Positive developments, such as major institutions accumulating SOL and the surge of stablecoin inflows on the network, continue to strengthen the long-term bullish outlook .
However, risks remain if SOL loses the 230 mark and breaks the trendline, which could trigger deeper corrections. In the short term, the market remains sideways, but the broader picture still points toward a potential breakout.
The big question: can SOL sustain its momentum and explode beyond 250, opening the door to a new rally?
SOLANA can hold the cycle trend to up $250Solana is now at an important level of trend, and can hold in the coming time the cycle key level for a new power trend increase to up $250 in the coming time.
On the low time frame $220 can be the next target, when BTC has a stability trend or an increase trend.
SOL/USDT | Solana at $220.5 – Bulls Preparing for Next Rally!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price started a correction and entered the $220 demand zone. After that, some buying pressure appeared, and SOL is now trading around $220.5.
If the price can hold above this level, we can expect the start of the next bullish wave. The possible upside targets are $230, $242, $254, and $262.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
#SOLUSDT: A Big Move In Making Crypto Market Is BullishCrypto market remain bullish and as for the SOLANA we remain quite optimistic; currently price is trading at critical level and waiting for liquidity to emerge. We need strong volume for big price movement. Follow a strict risk management while trading crypto market.
Good luck and trade safe.
Team Setupsfx
SOL/USDT: Pullback Toward Key Confluence Zone After Double TopSOL/USDT is currently retracing from the 250 resistance zone after forming a double top pattern, signaling near-term weakness. On the 4H chart, an upward channel intersects with a downward trendline, creating a critical confluence area between 200 and 210.
If the price rebounds from this zone, buyers may attempt a retest of 230, with potential to extend the move higher. The broader bullish structure remains intact as long as support at 200 holds, keeping the upside momentum in play
SOLANA → When will the sale end? Bullish trend...BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is testing the key support zone of 210-215 amid a market decline. However, it is too early to say that the correction is over; additional signs are needed...
Bitcoin is not slowing down yet, a small correction is forming, and there is a chance for the market to fall to 110K. This could also trigger a decline in altcoins before further growth. SOL has been hit by a general sell-off across the entire market. Technically, the chart shows a sell-off and a halt to the decline in the support zone of 212.22. A double bottom has formed, which may be tested before the price returns to growth.
The current consolidation in the range of 212.0 - 221.0, the boundaries of which are of interest to the market, gives hope.
Support levels: 212, 200, 197
Resistance levels: 221, 231.5
A breakout of the local consolidation resistance and a close above 223.5 - 224 could trigger further growth within the bullish trend. Otherwise, MM may test the liquidity and support zone of 212.0 before the coin begins its recovery phase.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOL/USDT: Correction or Ready for Further Upside?Hello everyone, today I’d like to share a brief analysis of Solana (SOL) and the current market dynamics.
Currently, Solana is experiencing a slight pullback after a strong rally in recent weeks. During this phase, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are forming, which could provide potential opportunities for the market to fill price inefficiencies and continue its previous bullish momentum.
Technical Perspective:
From a technical standpoint, Solana is trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, which is an important indicator for determining its next move. The cloud is still thick and red, indicating a potential resistance zone. However, we are seeing some FVGs around $218–$220, which suggests that this could be a key support area. If Solana fails to hold above this level, we could see a deeper correction toward $210–$212 to fill the remaining gaps before resuming the uptrend.
Macro Factors Impacting Solana:
Institutional Adoption: Big players like Galaxy Digital and Pantera Capital have been heavily investing in Solana, indicating strong long-term belief in its blockchain ecosystem.
SEC Regulations and Crypto ETFs: The approval of crypto ETFs and potential changes in SEC regulations will likely impact Solana’s market position. If Solana continues to see ETF inflows, it could significantly increase demand for SOL.
Crypto Market Sentiment: The overall strength of the crypto market, particularly the institutional support for blockchain technologies like Solana, will continue to be a crucial factor. Bitcoin’s dominance in the market also plays a role in pushing altcoins like Solana higher.
Solana Outlook:
Although Solana is currently in a slight pullback, I anticipate that after testing the key support levels between $218 and $220, it will find buying pressure and push back higher. If these levels hold, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum toward the next resistance levels, with a first target around $230–$235.
Therefore, if you're monitoring Solana, the $218–$220 range is a strategic area to consider buying, with expectations of continued upside momentum in the near term.
Wishing you successful trades and always exercise caution in your decisions!
Lingrid | SOLUSDT Pullback Opens Long OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:SOLUSDT is retracing from the 250 resistance zone after forming a double top structure. 4H chart highlights an upward channel intersecting with a downward trendline, creating a key confluence around 200–210. If price rebounds from this zone, buyers could retest 230 and potentially extend higher. The broader bullish structure remains intact as long as the 200 support holds, keeping upside momentum in play.
⚠️ Risks:
A breakdown below 200 may shift bias back to the 165 support area.
Broader crypto market weakness could suppress bullish continuation.
Macro headwinds like stronger USD or risk-off sentiment could pressure $SOL.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
SOL Market Update📊 CRYPTOCAP:SOL Market Update
If SOL keeps retracing and arrives at the green support zone, watch for confirmation before entering long, as this is where buyers could step in and push the price up again.
🔹 Second important level is the red resistance zone — sellers are still active there. If the price returns to this zone, be aware of a possible retracement, but it could also be a potential short opportunity.
SOL: Clear ReversalOn September 15, I opened a short on the 4-hour chart at $237 with 10x leverage. The move down was quick: TP1 was closed at $233 and TP2 at $230. A $7 difference per coin, amplified by leverage, delivered a solid result. The maximum of the trade came exactly at $230 before the market reversed.
The focus here was not on trying to take everything but on following structure. Levels had been mapped in advance, and I executed step by step according to plan. This allowed me to control the trade calmly, without panic or guesswork.
When trading is built systematically, even sharp moves become manageable. It’s clear where to take profit, where to hold, and where to stop. With leverage, this becomes especially critical: risk stays under control, and decisions are made without emotional pressure.
The market will always move in its own way, sometimes offering more, sometimes less. But discipline and consistency make the outcome predictable. Every such trade proves that success comes not from luck, but from a systematic approach and the ability to stay on course.
SOL: Controlled Growth On September 8, I entered a long on the 4-hour chart at $206.16 with 15x leverage. The trade is still active, but the fourth profit level has already been secured at $222. The move was strong: about $16 per coin difference, with the maximum push before reversal reaching $248.
The key in this trade was not trying to squeeze everything out but strictly following the plan. Levels were defined in advance, and each of them worked out clearly. This allowed me to hold the position calmly, even as the market accelerated.
When trading is built on a systematic approach, decisions are made without rush. Clear profit-taking points, well-defined control zones, and structured scenarios guide the process. Even when using leverage, risk stays manageable, and emotions do not interfere with logic.
The market will always deliver moves bigger or smaller than expected. But discipline and structure make the outcome predictable. When trading shifts from chaos to a plan, every position becomes a step in a consistent strategy where results are defined not by chance but by the system.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: SOLUSDT
Direction: Buyside trade
Date/Session: Sat 20th Sept 2025, NY Session AM
Timeframe: 15-Min
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 237.713
Profit Level: 281.830 (+18.53%)
Stop Level: 236.150 (-0.79%)
Risk-Reward (RR): 24.25
🔹 Technical Structure
Liquidity:
Price swept BSL (buy-side liquidity) before reclaiming demand.
Order Blocks / Demand Zone:
15m demand zone clearly defended at ~236–237.
Market Structure:
Consolidation → sweep → displacement higher.
Structure confirms buyside intent, aiming for 280+
🔹 Indicators
Volume: A spike at the sweep low indicates sell-side exhaustion and absorption.
Range Mapping: Previous highs aligned with profit target zone.
🔹 Narrative / Trade Rationale
Trade thesis based on stop run + reclaim of demand.
Target anchored to imbalance fill and range highs near 281.
Exceptionally high RR (24.25) due to tight stop relative to target.
✅ Bias: Long (buyside continuation).
📈 Target: 281.830 (+18.53%).
🛡️ Risk: -0.79%.
#SOL/USDT bullish structure formed at the chart#SOL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 216, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 218
First target: 227
Second target: 234
Third target: 244
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
SOL/USDT – Daily OutlookSolana is now facing a critical Quasimodo Level (QML) around 260 – 270, a historically significant supply zone.
A strong rejection here could trigger a major downside move, potentially driving price back toward the 111 – 115 support area.
On the other hand, a decisive breakout and sustained move above QML would invalidate the bearish setup, opening the path for further bullish continuation.
At this stage, the QML acts as a make-or-break level for Solana. The next few daily candles will be decisive in determining whether SOL resumes its bullish trajectory or enters a sharp correction.