SOLUSDT.3S trade ideas
80% drop into the abyss for Solana? - July 2025** The months ahead **
Examination of the 3-week chart for SOLANA reveals several compelling technical signals that suggest a potential bearish trend reversal. This analysis highlights crucial patterns traders and investors of Solana should consider.
1. Formation of a 3-Week Death Cross:
A notable bearish signal prints on the chart: a โ3-week death crossโ. This follows a โ2-week death crossโ that preceded a significant downward movement, just as in early 2022. The death cross, where a shorter-term moving average crosses below a longer-term one, is a strong indicator of a shift towards a bearish trend, especially on higher timeframes like this 3-week chart.
2. Broken Market Structure:
The chart clearly indicates a โbroken market structure.โ This typically occurs when the price fails to create higher highs and higher lows during an uptrend, or in this case, breaks below a significant support level that had previously held. It is absolutely possible price action backtests past support for a resistance confirmation, however on looking left, such a test never occurred on the last death cross.
3. Resistance from Previous Peaks (Head and Shoulders Pattern):
Price action leading up to the recent highs resembles a potential โHead and Shouldersโ pattern. The three distinct peaks, with the middle peak being the highest, suggest a classic reversal pattern. A subsequent break below the โnecklineโ (implied support level below the peaks) would confirm the bearish outlook.
4. RSI Oscillator (bottom of chart) resistance
The lower panel of the chart displays an RSI oscillator indicator, which shows a clear pattern of "resistance." following a period of support since 2023. The RSI has clearly confirmed resistance from almost 3 years of support.
5. Solana vs Bitcoin
All the bearish observations made on the SOL-USD trading pair can be observed on the same 3 week time frame for the SOLANA - BITCOIN trading pair:
6. Potential for Significant Downside Target:
Based on the measured move from the previous death cross and breakdown and Fibonacci extension, the chart illustrates a potential downside target of approximately -70% from current levels toward the $30-40 area. While this is a projected target and not guaranteed, the historical precedent following similar bearish signals provides a context for the potential severity of the downturn if the bearish momentum continues.
Conclusion:
Considering the confluence of a 3-week death cross, broken market structure, resistance from previous peaks (suggesting a potential Head and Shoulders pattern), and the confirmation of RSI resistance, the outlook for SOLANA on the 3-week timeframe appears distinctly bearish.
Is it possible price action continues upwards after a 3200% rally? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
SOL - Support Broke, Is This Just a Retest Before The Pump?Solana just lost a key structural level on the 4H chart โ the former range high (~163โ166), which had acted as resistance throughout June and flipped to support in mid-July. Price is now sitting just below this zone, forming a weak retest without any real bullish momentum.
This setup often leads to trap scenarios: either a fast reclaim (bullish deviation) or a clean continuation to the next demand. So far, the price is holding below the EMAs and failing to reclaim lost ground โ not a bullish look.
๐ Confluence for Further Downside:
Break and close below prior support
EMA 50/100 acting as dynamic resistance
No bullish divergence present (if RSI confirms)
Weak volume on current bounce attempt
If sellers stay in control, eyes are on the next demand zone around 144โ146, which supported the last major breakout. Conversely, a clean reclaim above 166 and back inside the range would flip bias neutral-to-bullish.
Bias: Bearish unless 166 is reclaimed
Invalidation: Break above 177โ180 (EMA cluster)
Next Key Support: 144โ146
Potential Setup: Short on failed retest / Long on demand reaction
Do you see this as a breakdown or a trap? Let me know ๐
#SOL Update #7 โ Aug 02, 2025#SOL Update #7 โ Aug 02, 2025
Solana has broken below the low of its last impulsive move, forming a new, deeper bottom. The first area where it may find support is the $158 level. If this fails, the next support level lies at $147. At the moment, Solana is clearly in a downtrend on the 4-hour chart. For Solana to resume its upward movement and confirm a trend reversal, it needs to break above the $206 level with a strong, high-volume candle. Currently, Solana might be considered a cheap opportunity only for those looking to hold spot positions long-term. Otherwise, I don't see it as a suitable option for trading.
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching
The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment.
Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level โ and more critically, below the red lower trendline โ would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term.
๐ฝ Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions.
๐ผ Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend.
๐งญ The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined โ green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum.
๐ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
SOL BEARISH CONTINUATIONAs the market continues to create new lows, something caught my eye.
3 areas of unwicked impulsive moves (FVG's) lying around 165.18 - 166.80, 167.65 - 169.69 and 170.32 - 172
With this, I identified two order blocks
.
I'm traditionally wired to prefer the latter because there's more confluence factors;
A liquidity pool 169.70 - 170.3 established by price struggling to close above that level followed immediately by a FVG into an OB.
Price would have an instant reaction downwards if it traded to those levels.
However, the buying pressure might not be sufficient to push price to those levels before the crash.
Hence the other order block.
I'd be paying close attention to observe how it plays out.
SOL 1H โ Bounce From Demand, Can It Reclaim the Breakdown Zone?SOL tapped into the key demand zone near $157 and is now showing signs of a reaction bounce. Price is approaching the former support-turned-resistance zone around $184 โ a critical level that marked the start of the previous breakdown.
A reclaim of that zone would suggest bulls are regaining control, opening up room toward the $190โ$200 region. Until then, it remains a lower high attempt inside a bearish structure.
๐ Demand bounce
๐ Bearish market structure
๐ Key resistance at ~$184
No confirmed reversal yet โ just a bounce until proven otherwise. Keep watching the structure evolve.
Chart Overview (SOL/USDT โ 1D, Binance)Key Insights:
Support Zone: Around $160โ165, aligning with Ichimoku support lines.
Fibonacci Levels: Price broke above the 1.618 level (~$175) and is now retesting.
Indicators Below: Showing a strong bullish crossover, supporting upward momentum.
Target Path: Drawn to reach $223, then $240โ260 if bullish trend continues.
๐ Bullish Scenario:
Bounce from $160โ165 zone
-Short-term target: $195โ200
-Mid-term target: $223
-Long-term: $240โ260
๐ Bearish Scenario:
If $160 support breaks:
Next support levels: $145, then $122
Worst-case retest: $95
โ
Conclusion:
Crucial zone now: Either a strong bounce or a bearish breakdown.
Current indicators and structure favor a bullish continuation if support holds.
Solana Update ยท Retrace, Bears & The Bullish BiasSolana had a retrace in May. Notice the 19-May date on the chart. This retrace produced four weeks red. The bullish move that led to this retrace lasted 6 weeks. The last rise lasted five weeks and the current retrace might last only two weeks, can be less.
We are seeing Solana rising but this rise is not a one-time off event, this is a trend that is developing. An uptrend as a long-term phenomena is different to a short-term bullish moves. A short-term move tends to be really fast, one strong burst and that's it. A long-term move is different. Instead of seeing 2-3 candles and Solana trading at $1,000, we see dozens and dozens of candles with prices slowly rising. There are strong fluctuations but the end result is always up. And that's how you see the fluctuations on the chart.
Solana moved up and then immediately started to retrace. Then another rise and another retrace again. This retrace will end and prices will continue to grow long-term. The bulls are in. The bull market is on. Solana, Bitcoin, Crypto and the rest of the Altcoins market is going up.
Namaste.
SOL/USDT: High-Probability Long from Major Support OversoldHello traders,
Here is a detailed analysis for a potential long setup on SOL/USDT (4H Chart). This trade idea is based on a strong confluence between my LSOB price action indicator and the MC Orderflow momentum oscillator.
1. Trend & Context (The "Why")
The overall structure on the 4H chart has recently shifted bearish, confirmed by a Bearish Change of Character (ChoCh). However, the price has now pulled back into a major area of interest where a bullish reversal is highly probable.
Here are the key confluence factors for a long entry:
Major Support Level: Price is currently reacting to the EMA 400, a significant long-term moving average that often acts as strong dynamic support.
Liquidity Sweep: We have a clear Liquidity Sweep (LQDT) below the recent lows, which is a classic institutional tactic to grab stop losses before a potential move in the opposite direction.
Momentum Exhaustion (MC Orderflow): This is the most crucial confirmation.
The MC Orderflow oscillator is deep in the OVERSOLD territory (below 20), signaling that downside momentum is exhausted.
The MTF Cycle Table provides powerful confirmation: both the 4H and Daily timeframes are showing an "Oversold" status. When higher timeframes align like this, the probability of a reversal increases significantly.
2. Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets (The "How")
While the signals are strong, a disciplined entry strategy is key.
Entry: Look for an entry around $168 - $170. A safer confirmation would be waiting for the MC Orderflow oscillator to cross back above its yellow moving average.
Stop Loss (SL): $165.50. This places the stop just below the wick of the recent liquidity sweep, invalidating the trade idea if that low is broken.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: $178.00 (Confluence of the Bearish ChoCh level and the 50/100 EMAs).
TP2: $192.00 (Targeting the next significant swing high/resistance area).
TP3: $202.00 (Long-term target at the major LSOB supply zone).
Conclusion
This setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity. The combination of a price action liquidity sweep into major MA support, confirmed by extreme multi-timeframe oversold readings on the MC Orderflow oscillator, creates a high-probability environment for a bullish reversal.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
SOL/USDT Analysis โ Breakdown or Bear Trap in the Making?The BINANCE:SOLUSDT price has tumbled more than 7.5% in the last 24 hours, breaking below its ascending wedge support on the daily chart. This technical breakdown has shifted market sentiment, with bears now pressing for deeper losses.
The Bull-Bear Power Index has flipped negative for three straight sessions, its longest bearish streak since June. This confirms growing sell-side dominance as BINANCE:SOLUSDT trades around $169, clinging to key support at $166. A clean break below this level could open the way to $156 or even $143, extending the downtrend.
While BINANCE:SOLUSDT price action dominates the picture, network demand has also weakened, with active addresses falling sharply since Julyโs highs. This dip in participation aligns with the breakdown, hinting that buyers lack the strength to defend key levels. Meanwhile, liquidation data shows that shorts significantly outweigh longs, adding pressure as bearish positions accumulate.
For this to become a classic bear trap , bulls need a swift rebound above $175โ$180, forcing shorts to unwind and flipping momentum back positive. Until that happens, the technical setup and order flow favor bears, keeping downside risk firmly in play.
SOL/USDT | NFP Volatility Could Trigger Drop Toward $154!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $169. If it fails to hold above the $168 level, a deeper drop could follow. With the upcoming NFP data release, increased volatility is expected across the markets. If Solana begins to decline, the potential correction targets are $163, $157, and $154. Watch the $145โ$154 zone closely for a possible bullish reaction and buy opportunity.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SOLUSDT-1D Liquidity Grab + CHoCH = Short Setup on SOL? SOL on the daily chart shows signs of a potential trend reversal:
๐ป Liquidity grab above previous highs
๐ CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed
๐ฅ Entry zone tapped, price showing early signs of rejection
๐ If supply holds, eyes on the $120 zone as next target
๐ RSI rolling over from highs = weakness incoming?
$SOL Loses Key Support | Eyes on $140 & $95 Zones๐ CRYPTOCAP:SOL Loses Key Support | Eyes on $140 & $95 Zones
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ On the daily timeframe, #Solana has officially lost its key support near $140, which previously acted as a strong bounce zone. A failure to reclaim this level could open the gates for a deeper drop toward the $95โ$100 support range.
๐ Indicators signal downside:
RSI is trending downward
MACD shows a bearish crossover
Stochastic RSI confirms continued selling pressure
โ ๏ธ Macro pressure adds fuel to the fire: August 1st tariff tensions, with expected news from Trump on charging Paris, are weighing down global risk assets. Historically, August tends to be a bearish month for crypto markets.
๐ฏ Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $140
Major Support: $95โ$100
๐ง Trade wisely and manage risk accordingly.
#SOL Update #6 โ Aug 01, 2025#SOL Update #6 โ Aug 01, 2025
Unfortunately, Solana failed to hold the last low where its most recent impulsive move had started, and it closed below that level. This close also occurred below the MA200 band. In other words, Solana broke a very strong support on the 4-hour chart and moved downward, reaching the previous K-Level zone. Itโs hard to say anything positive for Solana at this stage. If the current K-Level fails to hold, Solana may look for support around the $158 level. A long position on Solana is definitely not recommended. I also do not suggest a short position. However, unless thereโs a strong reversal, itโs safe to say that Solana has entered a bearish phase on the 4-hour chart.
SOL 4H โ 42% Win From Trend Filtered MACD Entry, But Is MomentumSOL just delivered a textbook 42.84% rally using the MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy (Normal Mode). Entry was triggered once MACD momentum aligned with the 60/220 EMA trend filters โ a clean breakout from consolidation with no noise or fakeouts.
The system captured the full leg up from ~$143 to over $205, holding through the expansion phase and exiting as bearish momentum began to show. Now, price has dipped below key EMAs and MACD is printing red โ signaling a possible shift in structure.
๐ Will bulls defend the $165โ$170 zone, or is a deeper pullback on deck?
๐ Strategy Settings:
MACD: 25 / 60 / 220
Trend Filter: 60 & 220 EMA
System Mode: Normal
Timeframe: 4H