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Solana at a Make-or-Break LevelSolana couldn’t sustain momentum above $200 and now holding the critical level $170. CRYPTOCAP:SOL is sitting at a make-or-break level — failure to reclaim the $200 zone or a clean break below $170 would be a concerning signal for bulls. A decisive breakdown below this area could trigger a deeper retracement toward $150, with the worst-case scenario being a full retest of the $130 range — aligning with the previous demand zone and high-volume node.
by Tealstreet
$SOL (DAILY): HIDDEN BEAR RSI divergence, $69M ETF inflows CRYPTOCAP:SOL has now got a spot #ETF (Bitwise), and that thing pulled in nearly $70 million in inflows on day one — not bad. People and institutions have clearly been waiting for this one. Normally, these types of events are textbook “sell-the-news” moments. However, in this case, if the inflows stay strong and even start growing day by day, that’s definitely not bearish. Chart-wise, I published my strategy for #Solana recently (quoted post), and the plan stays the same — patiently wait for a breakout, especially with the latest bearish hidden RSI divergence; I never ignore these. The bullish MACD crossover and hidden bullish OBV divergences can’t be ignored either, but I definitely won’t go long before a confirmed breakout. Rules are rules. #FOMC day today, so I’d rather not open any new positions until tomorrow. 👽💙
by ColdBloodedCharter
SOL LONG Concepts: ICT | SMC | Bill Williams SOL continues to respect bullish smart money structure after tapping into a well-defined demand zone around the 198 area. Liquidity was swept below the prior consolidation lows, leading to a bullish change of character (ChoCH) — confirming that the market is likely accumulating orders before expansion. ICT Perspective: Sell-side liquidity taken below previous range lows Strong displacement candle breaking short-term structure Entry refined on retracement into the FVG inside the demand zone Targeting buy-side liquidity resting above the 210 level SMC Confirmation: BOS confirmed on LTF Price retested the mitigation block and rejected strongly Entry: 202.00 Stop loss: 198.30 (below demand zone) Take profit: 210.90 (previous high / liquidity pool) Bill Williams’ Alligator: The Alligator is beginning to wake up — green (lips) leading red and blue lines upward, signaling that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. Once the lips cross above and the mouth opens, it often marks the start of a new impulsive wave. Trade Plan: 🟩 Long: 202.00 🔴 SL: 198.30 🎯 TP: 210.90 RR ≈ 2.8:1 📈 With bullish structure confirmed and Alligator alignment showing early trend development, SOL could aim for the 210–212 liquidity zone before the next retracement.
Long
by origami_capital33
SOL Consolidation — Watching 218 Target or 193 PivotLast week, the price also followed our orange plan. Right now, it’s in a phase of local consolidation. If the descending trendline breaks, the price is likely to continue rising toward the 218 target. If the local low breaks instead, a correction toward the weekly pivot point at 193 is possible — I expect to see a bounce and a quick recovery from there; otherwise, the price may continue falling toward the ascending trendline .
by trading_mura
Solana Price Action Turns BearishSolana’s market structure shows a gradual weakening of bullish momentum after an extended upward phase earlier in the month. The asset experienced a breakout that temporarily fueled optimism among traders, but recent sessions indicate a loss of strength as sellers began to dominate. The volume profile suggests that market participants are shifting focus from accumulation to potential distribution, reflecting caution ahead of broader market developments. Price movements over the past few weeks show that Solana has transitioned from impulsive bullish waves into a corrective environment. This phase reflects uncertainty and potential repositioning by large holders. The consolidation seen mid-cycle indicates a period of balance before a directional move resumes. Current activity implies that short-term liquidity adjustments are occurring, and volatility may expand in the coming sessions. Market sentiment remains sensitive, with investor confidence depending largely on macroeconomic flows and digital asset liquidity trends. Solana’s performance continues to mirror broader crypto risk appetite, where speculative behavior is being tempered by cautious profit-taking. If momentum continues to decline, extended corrective movement could unfold as participants await new catalysts. Overall, the report indicates that Solana is entering a controlled phase of distribution where institutional participants may be preparing for another medium-term adjustment in valuation.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
$solana long ### 🟢 SOLUSDT | 15-Minute Long Setup - Awakening from Accumulation **Concepts: ICT | SMC | Bill Williams** SOL is showing a compelling bullish structure after a period of consolidation. The price is currently testing the convergence point of the Bill Williams Alligator, indicating the market is "waking up" from its sleeping phase. The alignment of the Lips above the Teeth and Jaw suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse. **ICT & SMC Perspective:** * **Liquidity Sweep & Demand Zone:** A clear sweep of sell-side liquidity occurred below **194.91**, tapping into the previous demand zone and creating a mitigation block. The subsequent rejection confirms buyer presence. * **Break of Structure (BoS):** The swing high at **~196.07** has been breached, confirming a minor bullish shift in market structure. * **Fair Value Gap (FVG):** The strong bullish move from the lows has created an FVG which the price is now retesting, offering a potential premium entry for longs. * **Targeting Liquidity:** The next significant pool of buy-side liquidity rests above the **207.88** swing high. **Bill Williams’ Alligator Confirmation:** The Alligator is perfectly aligned for an upward move: * **Lips (195.24) > Teeth (195.03) > Jaw (194.91)** * This alignment, with price trading above all three, signals the Alligator is "awake" and hunting to the upside. The expanding mouth confirms building bullish momentum. **Trade Plan:** * **🟩 Entry:** On retest of the Alligator confluence zone (**195.20 - 195.00**) or a break above the local high (**196.10**). * **🔴 Stop Loss:** **191.50** (below the Jaw and the recent liquidity sweep low). * **🎯 Take Profit 1:** **202.00** (Previous resistance) * **🎯 Take Profit 2:** **207.88** (Key swing high and liquidity target) **RRR > 3:1** **Conclusion:** With a successful liquidity sweep, a confirmed Bullish BoS, and the Alligator fully aligned and awake, SOL is poised for a move toward the **202.00 - 208.00** resistance zone. Longs on a retest of the Alligator support offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity. ---
Long
by origami_capital33
$SOL (4-HOUR): LONG $187, reasoning. CRYPTOCAP:SOL has had $154M in #ETF inflows this week, not bad for the first few days on the market. But this is not a reason for a LONG ($187) I have just opened. The original plan was to LONG the $205 breakout for a while, but a HIDDEN BEARISH RSI divergence flashed and the $205 resistance got retested, printing a LOWER HIGH again, and the price dipped to retest the 200 MA + the ascending trendline (confluence of SUPPORT). It was the 4th retest this month and it has been solid, each time giving us a HIGHER LOW as well. I highlighted in light-blue also a horizontal SUPPORT ZONE and #solana has been sitting inside of it, so there is plenty of support of all kinds, including a GOLDEN POCKET ($172 - $176). A sequence of 2 HIDDEN BULLISH OBV divergences triggered this LONG at the end. And below the pocket is where I would EXIT this trade — 2 or 3 candle closes (4-hour ones, not the daily ones) and I'm out. I also highlighted an interesting fractal of price action: notice the Q4 2024 resemblance to the current behaviour — DOWNTREND toward the same horizontal support ZONE supported by the 200 MA, followed by a huge SURGE. This is quite a risky trade due to the general market circumstances, and I will monitor the reaction very closely around $200 again, and possibly add to size on a BREAKOUT as originally intended. 💙👽 #long
Long
by ColdBloodedCharter
CBDCs as Digital AssetsIntroduction In the rapidly evolving landscape of global finance, digitalization is redefining how value is created, stored, and exchanged. Among the most transformative innovations in this domain is the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) — a digital form of sovereign money issued by a nation’s central bank. Unlike cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, CBDCs are centralized, fully regulated, and backed by the monetary authority of a country. As financial systems shift toward more digital and decentralized infrastructures, CBDCs are emerging not only as new payment tools but also as significant digital assets that may redefine global trade, investment, and monetary policy. This essay explores the concept of CBDCs as digital assets, their structure, design models, global adoption trends, potential benefits, risks, and their future implications for economies and financial systems worldwide. Understanding CBDCs: Concept and Structure A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is a digital version of a country’s fiat currency, representing a direct liability of the central bank. It can be used by individuals, businesses, and financial institutions as a means of payment, store of value, and unit of account — the three fundamental functions of money. Unlike commercial bank deposits or cryptocurrencies, CBDCs are risk-free because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the issuing government. CBDCs typically exist in two primary forms: Retail CBDCs: Designed for public use, enabling citizens and businesses to conduct transactions directly with the central bank through digital wallets. Example: The Bahamian Sand Dollar, Nigeria’s eNaira, and China’s e-CNY. Wholesale CBDCs: Used primarily by financial institutions for interbank settlements, cross-border transfers, and clearing operations. Example: Project Helvetia by the Swiss National Bank and Project Jura by the Banque de France. As digital assets, CBDCs are tokenized representations of sovereign money that exist in digital form on a secure ledger — either centralized or distributed. They can integrate with blockchain technology or function on traditional centralized databases, depending on the design choice of the issuing central bank. CBDCs vs. Cryptocurrencies and Stablecoins To understand CBDCs as digital assets, it is essential to distinguish them from other digital currencies: Cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum) are decentralized, not backed by any authority, and rely on market demand for valuation. Stablecoins (e.g., USDT, USDC) are privately issued tokens pegged to fiat currencies but not directly guaranteed by central banks. CBDCs, on the other hand, combine the trust and stability of fiat currencies with the efficiency and speed of digital technology. This hybrid nature positions CBDCs as state-backed digital assets that can bridge the gap between traditional financial systems and the emerging digital economy. The Economic Rationale Behind CBDCs Central banks worldwide are exploring CBDCs for several economic and strategic reasons: Enhancing Payment Efficiency: Traditional payment systems, especially cross-border transactions, are slow and costly. CBDCs can streamline these processes by enabling real-time settlements and reducing dependency on intermediaries. Financial Inclusion: CBDCs can extend financial services to unbanked populations by allowing anyone with a mobile phone to access digital payment systems, especially in developing nations. Maintaining Monetary Sovereignty: The rapid rise of private digital currencies and foreign stablecoins poses a challenge to national monetary control. CBDCs enable central banks to retain authority over the money supply and ensure economic stability. Reducing Transaction Costs: With blockchain or distributed ledger technology (DLT), CBDCs can minimize clearing and settlement costs, promoting more transparent and efficient financial ecosystems. Combating Illicit Activities: Digital traceability enables better monitoring of transactions, helping authorities curb money laundering, tax evasion, and terrorism financing. CBDCs as Digital Assets in Financial Markets As digital assets, CBDCs possess unique attributes that can transform both domestic and international finance. Their programmable nature and compatibility with other tokenized assets open the door to new financial models and asset ecosystems. 1. Tokenization and Programmability CBDCs can be programmed with smart contracts, enabling automated execution of financial transactions — such as interest payments, tax collection, or subsidy distribution — without intermediaries. This programmable feature turns CBDCs into intelligent digital assets capable of interacting with decentralized finance (DeFi) systems, digital bonds, and other tokenized securities. 2. Integration with Digital Asset Markets CBDCs can serve as the foundation layer for broader digital asset ecosystems. They can facilitate instant settlement of tokenized assets, streamline securities trading, and enhance liquidity management. For example, central banks could use wholesale CBDCs to settle government bond trades in real time, reducing counterparty risks. 3. Cross-Border Payments In global trade, CBDCs could eliminate the inefficiencies of correspondent banking. Multi-CBDC arrangements, such as the mBridge project (involving Hong Kong, China, Thailand, and the UAE), are testing platforms where multiple CBDCs interact seamlessly. This could create a new class of digital reserve assets, enabling faster, cheaper, and more transparent cross-border settlements. Global Adoption and Case Studies Central banks across more than 130 countries — representing over 98% of global GDP — are exploring or piloting CBDC initiatives. Some notable examples include: China (Digital Yuan / e-CNY): The People’s Bank of China has been a pioneer in retail CBDCs, using the e-CNY for domestic transactions, public salaries, and pilot programs in major cities. European Union (Digital Euro): The European Central Bank aims to launch a digital euro to complement physical cash, ensuring privacy, security, and monetary stability in the Eurozone. India (Digital Rupee / e₹): The Reserve Bank of India launched pilot programs for wholesale and retail CBDCs in 2022, exploring use cases in interbank settlements, government payments, and retail transactions. United States (Digital Dollar): The Federal Reserve is researching potential frameworks for a digital dollar, emphasizing privacy, interoperability, and financial stability. Bahamas (Sand Dollar): The world’s first fully deployed retail CBDC, launched in 2020, aimed at improving financial inclusion across remote islands. These global experiments highlight CBDCs’ potential as national digital assets that could reshape the structure of global payments and reserves. Benefits of CBDCs as Digital Assets Trust and Stability: Being issued by central banks, CBDCs are backed by government guarantees, making them a more stable form of digital money compared to volatile cryptocurrencies. Interoperability: CBDCs can act as a universal settlement asset across various financial systems, improving coordination between banks, fintechs, and digital platforms. Transparency and Traceability: Digital ledgers enable authorities to monitor money flows in real time, enhancing fiscal transparency and reducing corruption. Resilience and Innovation: By introducing programmable features, CBDCs foster innovation in payment systems, encouraging new fintech products and digital services. Cost Reduction: The elimination of intermediaries lowers transaction fees and settlement times, particularly in international trade and remittances. Support for Digital Transformation: CBDCs align with broader trends toward digital economies, e-governance, and data-driven policy-making. Risks and Challenges While CBDCs offer vast potential, they also introduce new complexities and risks that central banks must manage carefully. 1. Privacy Concerns CBDCs could enable governments to track every transaction, raising concerns about surveillance and data privacy. Designing systems that balance transparency with anonymity is critical. 2. Cybersecurity Risks As digital assets, CBDCs are vulnerable to cyberattacks, data breaches, and technological failures. Ensuring secure, resilient, and tamper-proof systems is essential. 3. Financial Disintermediation If individuals hold CBDCs directly with central banks, it may reduce the role of commercial banks in deposit-taking, potentially destabilizing credit markets. 4. Technological Inequality Not all citizens have equal access to digital infrastructure. Poor connectivity and lack of digital literacy could limit CBDC adoption. 5. Global Fragmentation Different technological standards and regulatory frameworks across nations could create fragmented CBDC ecosystems, hindering cross-border interoperability. 6. Monetary Policy Complexity Introducing programmable money could complicate the transmission of monetary policy and raise new questions about interest rates on digital assets. CBDCs and the Future of Monetary Policy CBDCs provide central banks with new tools for implementing and monitoring monetary policy. For instance: Direct Stimulus Distribution: Governments could issue programmable CBDCs for targeted economic aid, ensuring efficient and transparent delivery. Interest-bearing CBDCs: Central banks could adjust interest rates directly on CBDC holdings, influencing spending and saving behavior more precisely. Real-time Economic Data: Digital transaction data could provide policymakers with real-time insights into economic activity, enabling faster responses to inflation or recession. However, this also raises concerns about excessive control and the need for robust governance frameworks to prevent misuse of power. CBDCs and the Digital Asset Ecosystem The emergence of CBDCs is not occurring in isolation. They are expected to interact with other components of the digital asset ecosystem, including: Tokenized securities and commodities Decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols Blockchain-based identity systems Digital wallets and payment gateways By enabling secure settlement and universal interoperability, CBDCs could become the anchor of the global digital asset infrastructure — ensuring stability in a marketplace otherwise characterized by volatility and fragmentation. The Future Outlook The evolution of CBDCs represents more than a technological upgrade — it signifies a shift in the philosophy of money. As digital assets, CBDCs have the potential to transform the global financial order by: Redefining the role of central banks in the digital economy Enhancing global financial inclusion and efficiency Introducing programmable, transparent, and instantaneous financial systems In the coming decade, the success of CBDCs will depend on how well central banks address privacy, security, interoperability, and governance challenges while ensuring public trust and economic stability. Conclusion CBDCs, as digital assets, stand at the intersection of technology, economics, and policy. They combine the reliability of state-backed money with the innovation of blockchain and digital finance. By doing so, they promise to modernize financial systems, expand inclusion, and strengthen monetary sovereignty. Yet, their implementation requires careful balancing between innovation and regulation, privacy and oversight, and efficiency and stability. Ultimately, CBDCs are more than just a new form of currency — they are the next evolution of money in the digital era. As nations continue experimenting and refining their models, CBDCs will likely play a pivotal role in shaping the future of the global financial system — transforming how we perceive, use, and store value in an increasingly digital world.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BEARISH Outlook – October 21, 2025Hello everyone, This idea is connected to the one shared on the 19th. I am still holding the short position that was entered based on the October 19 idea, and since some of the underlying reasons have been slightly revised, I’m sharing this as an additional update. Today, as of October 21, I would like to present my bearish (short) outlook on Solana. Basis — BEARISH BAT PATTERN / BEARISH 1.13 SHARK Solana is currently located in a zone where the Bearish Bat Pattern and the Bearish 1.13 Shark Pattern overlap simultaneously. Both patterns are typical top reversal structures that form in upper regions, and after the price entered the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), it has lost additional upward momentum and is suggesting the possibility of a bearish reversal. In particular, the completion area of the 1.13 Shark Pattern almost perfectly coincides with the PRZ of the Bat Pattern, and this structural confluence between the two patterns is generally interpreted as a classic reversal zone where selling pressure tends to strengthen. Therefore, the current area is considered a valid sell zone, with a high probability of a reversal from the overheated region. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 178.69 USDT. Depending on the future development of the chart, I will provide further updates regarding position management and any changes. Thank you.
Short
by SeoVereign