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SOL/USDT 4H AnalysisSolana continues its bearish correction phase after failing to hold above the premium zone (206–210 USDT). The price broke market structure (BoS) downward and is currently consolidating below the 186–187 resistance, which used to act as strong support. EMA and order blocks show clear dominance of sellers — every retest of the red supply zones leads to rejection. Now we see local demand (blue zone) around 145–155 USDT, where buyers are trying to defend liquidity. If SOL fails to hold 159–162, the next liquidity sweep could target 145–148 USDT before a potential rebound. For bullish confirmation, we’d need a strong candle close above 187, ideally with growing volume — that would open the way toward 194–206 zones. 🧭 Trading bias: Short-term → Neutral to Bearish Mid-term → Possible long opportunity only if price holds above 162 and breaks 187 with volume.
Short
by vasilevigor3
SOLUSDT | Short Setup | Value Cluster | Nov 5, 2025SOLUSDT | Short Setup | Channel Rejection at VWAP / Value Cluster | Nov 5, 2025 🔹 Thesis Summary SOL is bouncing inside a descending parallel channel. A push into the 188–203 supply band (VWAP/value cluster) offers a defined-risk short back toward 150/132 as broad crypto remains correlation-heavy and fragile. 🔹 Trade Setup Bias: Short Entry Zone: 188–203 (prior supply; confluence with anchored VWAP/upper channel) Stop Loss: 217 (acceptance above supply → invalidate short idea) Take-Profits: TP1: 150 (mid-channel / liquidity shelf) TP2: 132 (prior reaction / partial-TP on chart) TP3 (stretch): 114 (channel lower bound / “A+ long” area) Indicative R:R (mid-fill 195 vs 217): If filled closer to 1.88, R:R compresses; closer to 203, it expands. Laddering helps execution. 🔹 Narrative & Context Structure: Clear lower highs/lows within a well-defined downward channel. The 188–203 zone aligns with prior distribution, multiple failed breakouts, and a visible liquidity pocket just under 200. VWAP & Value: Price frequently mean-reverts to the anchored VWAP from the prior breakdown; 188–195 is the first area where sellers historically regain control. Correlation: Crypto remains tightly co-moving; beta shocks propagate across majors. Breadth is weakening on alts first—typical of the distribution → correction phase. Execution: Look for a bounce into 188–203 with positive funding and rising OI (late longs) and fading spot CVD—then fade the move with tight invalidation. A clean break/hold above 217 flips bias. 🔹 Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, Framed Simply) Perp Funding → Peer/Historical: Positive/expanding into resistance vs neutral on BTC → crowded long into supply → increases squeeze-then-fade odds → supports short timing. Open Interest → Regime Check: OI rising with price into 188–203 vs flat spot flows → leverage leading → greater liquidation risk on pullback → aligns with targets 150/132. SOL/BTC Cross → Relative Strength: Underperformance on bounces vs BTC/ETH → weaker risk appetite for SOL beta → rallies likely sold at value → fits channel-fade plan. Basis (Perp Premium) → Thresholds: Premium > ~10–15% annualized vs spot → stretched leverage → signals to scale shorts; flat/discount basis → stand aside. 🔹 Contrarian Angle (Your Edge) Consensus leans “SOL leadership continues.” Our read: supply sits heavy at 188–203, VWAP caps, and leverage rebuilds into resistance. That combination often precedes a second leg lower toward 150 → 132, with an extension to 114 before any durable base. Long-term bull case remains intact after a proper reset (W-base risk). 🔹 Risks Impulsive risk-on (index squeeze, dovish macro) forcing acceptance above 217. SOL-specific catalysts (ecosystem launches/flows) that negate supply. Liquidity gaps/wick risk: thin books can overshoot levels; size and ladder accordingly. 🔹 Macro Considerations DXY firm + VIX bid support a broader correction; a vol crush or dollar fade weakens the short. Semis/NQ drive cross-asset beta; strength there argues patience. BTC dominance up → alt underperformance risk; BTC breakdown, however, accelerates the path to 150/132. 🔹 Bottom Line Tactical short the rip into 188–203 with hard invalidation at 217. Manage into 150/132, stretch to 114 if macro stays risk-off. Keep sizing conservative, respect correlation, and hedge. 🔹 Forward Path If this gains traction (10+ likes), I’ll post: A weekly-frame update of the channel/VWAP map Playbook if 217 breaks (what flips the bias) Execution notes (laddering, hedge overlays, basis/funding triggers) Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research. Charts may include AI-assisted enhancements. 🔹 Footnote Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits. P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency. FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested. ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital. ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge. Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative. R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
Short
by Risk_Adj_Return
2
Solana shows potential second‐wave riseIn the previous review, we examined two probable SOL moves. When the price leveled off closer to the 0% move, we performed an urgent analysis of a price reversal down before the move began, as the movement continued within the descending expanding wedge pattern, along the Elliott corrective wave trajectory, indicated in gray. The ascending corridor also formed a bearish flag pattern Now, the movement is more likely to follow the corrective wave outlined in the previous analysis. A more localized bullish flag has also formed within the pattern, so the move is more likely to go higher Probable downward movement is along the corrective wave below its base More detailed analysis, additional charts, and key levels to watch are available on our site
Long
by c_views
$SOL (DAILY): my LONG has TRIGGERED SL ($165)My CRYPTOCAP:SOL LONG from $187 triggered its STOP LOSSES after three 4-hour candles closed in the EXIT zone, average SL price: $165. Thankfully a modest-size trade, the confluenced SUPPORT area finally gave way to a wider market bloodshed (including TECH stocks, after TRUMP's #AI chip restrictions on #china yesterday). The $154 mark has been holding (Fib 0.786), let's see for how long as the STRUCTURE remains BEARISH, a LOWER LOW yesterday following a LOWER HIGH after a Hidden BEAR RSI divergence recently. The GOLDEN POCKET ($171 to $176) with the lost 200 MA at $180-, this is the immediate resistance zone to cross above before the bias can change to bullish again. Possible shorts utilizing the resistance mentioned, but I would need some bearish divergences first, not any yet. 💙👽 #solana
by ColdBloodedCharter
SOL 1H OutlookSOL just raided weekly sell-side liquidity and reacted instantly — algorithmic accumulation signature. Looking for bullish continuation into premium levels. 📍Levels Entry: $156.90 – $159.61 Stop: $145.74 First Target: $168 – $170 Main Target: $189.73 liquidity cluster ✅ Confluence • Weekly sell-side liquidity swept • Bullish displacement after the sweep • Alligator curl + early expansion phase • Demand zone reclaimed • Liquidity void above → draw on liquidity • Fractal shift at lows → accumulation phase signal As long as price holds above reclaimed liquidity zone, expecting delivery higher. Partial profits at $168–$170 region, let the rest ride to $189.73. 🚀 #SOL #SmartMoneyConcepts #ICT #BillWilliams #CryptoTrading #PriceAction
Long
by origami_capital33
SOL USDT LONG SIGNAL --- ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis represents personal technical opinion only and is not a buy or sell signal. Please review the chart carefully and use proper risk management before entering any trade. --- 📢 Signal Alert 🔹 Pair: SOL / USDT 📈 Trade Type: Long 💰 Entry: 158.08 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1 = 160.69 TP2 = 164.06 TP3 = 167.54 🛑 Stop-Loss: 153.15 📊 Timeframe: 1H ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 5.7 📌 Suggested Leverage: 5x–10x 🔄 After TP1 is reached, move Stop-Loss to Entry to protect profits. --- 🧠 Technical Analysis Summary: SOL is currently showing strong bullish momentum, maintaining its structure of higher lows and higher highs. The price is supported by the EMA50 on the 1H timeframe, which continues to act as a dynamic support zone. Momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD confirm the ongoing bullish bias — RSI is above the 50 mark and trending upward, indicating increased buying pressure. The entry at 158.08 lies close to the breakout retest zone, making it an optimal position for a continuation toward upper resistance targets. The stop-loss at 153.15 is placed below a key support level and swing low to avoid false breakouts. --- ⚙️ Trade Management Tip: Wait for a bullish confirmation candle (e.g., 1H engulfing or hammer formation) before entry. Secure partial profits at each TP level, and once TP1 hits, move SL to entry to reduce risk exposure. ---
Long
by mastercrypto2020
SOL/USDT (Solana vs Tether) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Pattern....SOL/USDT (Solana vs Tether) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Exchange: Binance Analysis tool: Ichimoku Cloud + trendlines Pattern: my drawn a descending triangle or bearish pennant that recently broke downwards. Current Price: Around $153.67 Target Point (marked): Around $135 – $137 zone 🎯 Target Zone From my chart, the “Target Point” label is placed approximately at: > $135 USDT This aligns with a measured move projection from the height of the triangle (around $200 down to ~$160), giving a target near $135 — a typical price objective for a bearish breakout. 🧠 Quick Breakdown: Price broke below support near $160. The Ichimoku Cloud turned bearish (price below cloud, red span ahead). Momentum and volume confirm downside continuation. Target completion likely around $135 – $137, unless support appears earlier.
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
6
Why SOL is my bet for the next leg of the cycle Where some people are afraid and selling, others see an opportunity. Moments like this allow us to accumulate spot positions at good prices. They also help identify obvious market leaders — those who hold stronger than others. Today I will explain why, after analyzing the market, I came to the conclusion that SOL currently looks stronger than Bitcoin and why I’m placing my bet on it. Last week there were days when SOL dropped less in percentage than BTC. Which is basically nonsense for crypto. ➡️ This is primarily related to the newly launched SOL ETF, which has seen inflows from the very first days. And, you know, this is actually the most successful start for a crypto ETF. Because BTC and ETH saw only outflows during the first weeks. ➡️ What we see on the chart: first — yes, a liquidity divergence on the Money Flow has formed. But this is not a secret to anyone, liquidity really leaves the market during such periods and starts returning closer to the bottom. ➡️ Next — the drop was extremely uneven. Despite the lack of major selling volumes, there are a lot of rumors about liquidations and market makers exiting the market, which in turn removed liquidity and now the price moves 10% per day. ➡️ Also, we see harmony in the selling volumes throughout the entire correction. This means the correction is not near its end and sellers are still in control. But no one said SOL will rocket tomorrow. The first thing to look at — where the price may potentially reverse. And the first of such levels is $147. This is a key level of one of the ATHs of the current cycle, which later became an important support level. Below that, there is an order block on the daily timeframe at $135–132. This is where the new impulsive move started back in April this year, therefore the level is important. ➡️ The Supply & Demand indicator shows that major demand has formed around $154–146, confirming the first target where a reaction may occur. I expect Bitcoin to at least retest $99,000 before showing any meaningful bounce. Therefore, the current target levels for SOL look logical. Drop a comment if you’re still alive in this market! 👇
Long
by Crypto_Inside_trading
sol usdt pattern identified inverse head and shoulders with chan🧠 Technical Analysis (SOL/USDT – 4H Timeframe) 🔍 Pattern Identified: Inverse Head & Shoulders Left Shoulder: Around $137 Head: Dipped to ~$126 Right Shoulder: Formed around $135 Neckline Breakout: Successfully broken near $148–$150 zone This classic bullish reversal pattern indicates a potential trend shift from bearish to bullish. 📈 Trend & Channel The price was previously trading inside a descending parallel channel (marked in yellow). The breakout from the upper channel boundary confirms strength and momentum shift. 🚀 Price Targets (Resistance Levels Ahead): $158.36 – First resistance level (short-term target) $168.52 – Mid-level resistance (medium-term) $187.56 – Key resistance (long-term target area) ✅ Bullish Confirmation: Breakout with volume from both descending channel and head & shoulders neckline Price holding above neckline now acting as support ⚠️ Risk Note: A retest of the breakout zone ($148–$150) can occur before moving higher Invalid if SOL drops back below neckline and fails to hold above $145 support zone
Long
by RajaSaien
2
SOL USDT LONG SIGNAL--- ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal opinion only and is not a financial advice or buy/sell signal. Please analyze the chart carefully and apply strict risk management before entering any trade. 📢 Signal Alert 🔹 Pair: SOL / USDT 📈 Trade Type: Long 💰 Entry Price: 157.07 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1 = 160.68 TP2 = 164.06 TP3 = 167.60 🛑 Stop-Loss: 155.30 📊 Timeframe: 1H ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 6.29 📌 Suggested Leverage: 10x 🔄 After TP1 is reached, move Stop-Loss to Entry to secure profits. --- 🧠 Technical Analysis Explanation: SOL is showing bullish continuation signals after successfully holding above the 155.00 support zone, which has been tested multiple times with strong buying pressure. The price structure remains in a clear uptrend, forming higher lows and maintaining movement above both the EMA 50 and EMA 200, which are acting as dynamic supports. The RSI has bounced from the 50–55 zone, confirming renewed bullish momentum, while the volume profile suggests accumulation at the current level by smart money. The entry point at 157.07 aligns closely with a previous breakout retest, offering a high-probability setup with minimal downside risk. Profit targets are based on key resistance levels and Fibonacci extensions from recent swings. The stop-loss at 155.30 is placed just below the last local low, protecting against false pullbacks. ⚙️ Trade Management Tip: Wait for a bullish confirmation candle (1H engulfing or strong rejection from support) before entry. Secure partial profits at each TP and adjust SL to entry after TP1 for maximum safety. ---
Long
by mastercrypto2020