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SOLF0 / USTF0

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Triggers: 4h-close below 235 and/or < 230.9 (Don20-Mid) with RSIWhat does it mean now 1. The structure is "bullish but thin": the price is at the tops of Donchian/BB/Keltner, ADX ~33 and CMF>0 confirm the trend, but the MACD-hist −0.11, a series of bearish divergences (RSI/MFI/OBV), and a low OI (z −1.34) indicate that the momentum is going without a noticeable set of futures positions. 2. Squeeze ON ~13 bars: the market is compressed, and an impulse exit is likely. 3. Profile: a strong HVN core of 202-208 (POC ~207.9), we are trading above, VAH ~239.7 near the current price → above the supply zone. 4. Premium to VWAP ~+1.1σ: there is upward space, but it is already "not cheap" relative to average demand. ⸻ Key levels • Resistance: 237.75 (Donch-High 20/55) → 239.66 (VAH) → 244.9–245.0 (LVN-thin zone). • Supports: 235–231 (BB/EMA20/Don20-Mid 230.9) → 224.0–221.2 (BB-/KC-low) → 207.9 (POC) → 202–208 HVN-cluster → 197.9 (Don55-Low zone of the upper range). ⸻ Scenarios and triggers (not financial advice) A) Basic — rotation/balance above the averages with a check of 230–232 Why basic: Squeeze ON, MACD goes out, divergences are bearish, and OI is low — more often, the market "chews" the level before choosing a direction. • Triggers: 4h-close below 235 and/or < 230.9 (Don20-Mid) with RSI<55 / MACD weakening, without OI growth. • Targets: 231 → 224–221 (edge of bands/channels). Deeper — retest 207–208 (POC/HVN) if the impulse fades. • Invalidator: quick return and fixing > 237.8. B) Pulse break-up (Squeeze-release) • Trigger: 4h-closing > 237.8 + buffer ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +0.45$ (i.e. > 238.25) and holding above 237.8 at CMF≥0, OBV↑, preferably OI↑. • Targets: 239.7 (VAH) → 244.9–245.0 (LVN) → with good OI, expand to higher levels. • Invalidator: return < 235 on increased volume. C) Bearish reversal from VAH/Don-High • Trigger: rebound from 237.8–239.7 with 4h-close < 235, RSI↓, MACD-hist in the red, OI↑ on the red candle (inflow of shorts). • Targets: 230.9 → 224–221 → 207–208. • Invalidator: re-capture > 238.3 with OI not falling. ⸻ Tactics (example of logic) • Pullback long (conservative): monitor demand in 231–232 (candle reaction + CMF≥0, OBV↑). Stop — below 224-221, targets — 235 → 237.8 → 239.7. • Impulse long (aggressive): after 4h-close > 238.25 (breakdown with buffer), partial fixation at 239.7, trail to 244.9–245.0. • Countertrend short: only with a clear rejection in the 237.8–239.7 zone + confirmation (RSI/MFI down, MACD-histo < 0, OI↑). Targets are 235 → 230.9 → 224–221; stop is at ~240–241. ⸻ Briefly: what to expect • Base: consolidation/rotation in 231–238 with a risk of moving to 224–221 until momentum and OI confirm a breakout. • If we gain a foothold above 238.25, we can expect an upward move to 239.7 → 244.9–245.0. • If we lose 230.9, we can expect an upward move to 224–221, and if we are weak, we can expect an upward move to 207–208.
by AlexeyBullBear0297
SOL 03.10At 3 AM (when else, only when we're sleeping) R1 reacted, with weakness in beardivs + mfd divs 1-3-6-12-24m, and corrected by 3%. BUT 1) they left almost equivalent positions, 2) the daily session closed almost without a shadow above, 3) there are no diversifiers on the indicator, and there are fat mfds on mfd 1h and higher. I think we'll go to 240, but there's a slight correction right now. At 240, it will be possible to part-take profit from the main long from 192. But how and when we'll get there is unclear. If Bitcoin starts to move into the 117-115 zones today within the console, Salt could even move from the current levels to the key support zone around 210, but for now, it needs to lose another 220 and 216 to do so. Support zones: 221-221.5 219-219.6 215-215.9 207-210.7 Resistance zones: 238.4-240 255-256.4
Long
by BorjaCipher
SOLANA LONG SETUP Liquidity Run: BTC & ETH swept lows to take out stops. SMT Divergence: SOL held strong while majors dipped → bullish imbalance. Bullish Order Block (OB): Price is rejecting from a demand zone after the SMT confirmation. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Above current price, likely to be rebalanced as SOL seeks higher prices. 🎯 Bias: Bullish on SOL Entry: Off the OB rejection after SMT confirmation Target: 240+ (premium array) Invalidation: Below 228 (sell-side liquidity)
Long
by origami_capital33
SOL/USDT Wave C Still Unfolding | Short Bias Until $194–186 ZoneOL/USDT has completed a 5-wave push into the $253 top and is now unfolding a corrective A-B-C move. Price is breaking below the $200 psychological level, with liquidity resting at $197–194. If this zone fails, Fibonacci projections point toward $186–184 and even $174–160 for full C-wave completion. Any bounce into $205–210 or $215–220 should be viewed as a bearish retest and potential short entry unless structure is reclaimed. For bulls, the first real opportunity comes only if a hammer/engulfing candle with RSI/MACD divergence forms at $194–186, or on a deeper flush into $174–160. A clean break and hold above $220 would be the first sign of bullish reversal. Until then, bias remains short into lower supports. Tags: #SOL #Solana #Crypto #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #SwingTrade #Bearish #ABCMove #TradingView
Short
by keyvankho
SOL Bullish Momentum Weakening – CMF Shows Bearish DivergenceSOL’s recent rally could be at risk as the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) shows signs of weakening. Currently at 0.03 and trending lower, the CMF is below the zero line, signaling reduced capital inflow despite rising prices. The CMF measures money movement into and out of an asset. When it turns negative while the price continues to climb, it forms a bearish divergence, suggesting that liquidity is weakening. This pattern indicates that although buyers are still pushing SOL higher, the declining inflow of capital may set the stage for a potential reversal in the near term.
by BeInCrypto
Solana Breaks $220 on ETF HypeSolana Breaks $220 on ETF Hype, Can the Momentum Sustained? Solana has broken through the critical resistance at $220, fueled by growing excitement over a potential ETF. Price hit an intraday high of $226.7 as bullish sentiment takes hold. At press time, SOL is trading at $224.35 On the 2-day chart, we can say that the bullish momentum remains intact as the liquidity curve is being respected. The resistance that we need to break is $230, a break above $230 could pave the way toward $260-$270. If we can establish the $200 as base support, buyers remain in control. However, a drop below $200 might stall the bullish momentum and a possible retest of $160.
by Tealstreet
Support near 222.61 is key Hello, fellow traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (SOLUSDT 1D chart) There are many lines drawn, but the important area is ultimately the 179.74-247.50 range. Among these, a rise above 236.88-247.50 is necessary for a stepwise uptrend to continue. The key is whether the current 202.45-222.61 range, i.e. the DOM (60) ~ HA-High range on the 1W chart, can provide support and allow for an upward movement. Therefore, based on the 202.45-222.61 range, we need to monitor whether the price rises above 236.88-247.50 or falls below 179.74. - To break through this critical point or range and continue the uptrend, - The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should be below the overbought level. - The On-By-Significant Volume indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Why Solana Could Surpass $300 in 2025–2026Hey guys, today I want to share my full view on Solana (SOL) . For a long time, my main focus as an investor and trader was always on Bitcoin and Ethereum. But in the last 12 months, I started massively investing into Solana. The reason is simple: the ecosystem is not only recovering from its darkest days but is now proving real resilience, adoption, and growth. When FTX collapsed in November 2022, Solana took one of the hardest hits. FTX and Alameda were among the biggest backers of the Solana ecosystem. When they went bankrupt, SOL crashed under $12 and many people stopped believing in its future. The market saw Solana as “FTX’s chain.” But fast forward to today, and we are witnessing a complete turnaround. Users are coming back, new protocols are being launched, and on-chain activity is stronger than ever. In our crypto prop trading company , we’re building new infrastructure for our traders, and after careful research, we chose Solana as the best chain for implementation . Its speed, scalability, and near-zero fees make it the most practical blockchain to build on. And it’s not just us — many other companies and institutions are starting to integrate with Solana, which will bring even more growth in the months ahead. ⚠️ Quick disclaimer: This is not financial advice — only my humble opinion based on research, analysis, and experience. Solana Price Action & Key Events (2022–2025) To understand Solana’s current position, let’s look back at its journey over the last few years: Bridge Breach (Feb 2022): The Wormhole bridge hack stole ~$325M, hurting trust in Solana DeFi. DeFi Winter (May 2022): The Terra UST/LUNA collapse triggered a full liquidity crisis across all DeFi. Solana’s TVL drained fast. FTX Implosion (Nov 2022): The turning point. FTX and Alameda went bankrupt, SOL crashed under $12, and the bear market bottom was defined. Meme Season (Early 2024): Retail users came back with BONK and other meme coins. Solana’s speed and low fees made it the perfect hub for speculation. WIF Mania (Spring 2024): Dogwifhat (WIF) went viral, volumes on Solana even surpassed Ethereum at times. Pump.fun Frenzy (Apr 2024): Millions of tokens launched through Pump.fun, onboarding hundreds of thousands of wallets and driving record on-chain activity. Full Recovery (2025): After two years of stagnation, SOL broke above $200 again, fully recovering to pre-FTX levels and proving that it can thrive as a community-driven, retail-driven chain. Solana On-Chain TVL (Total Value Locked) TVL (Total Value Locked) shows how much capital is locked in DeFi protocols on Solana — lending, staking, DEXes, and yield farming. 2021–2022: First boom, TVL surged past $10B. 2022–2023: Collapse after Terra and FTX, TVL fell close to zero. 2024–2025: Strong recovery — TVL passed $9–10B again, showing users are back and Solana DeFi is alive. Why this matters: TVL growth proves Solana is not only about meme coins. Capital and liquidity are returning, and users are once again trusting the chain with real money. Solana DEX Volume & Pump.fun Impact In just one day, DEXs on Solana processed $10.3B in trading volume. Pump.fun alone made up ~80% of that ($7.93B). Pump.fun is unique because it allowed anyone to instantly create and trade tokens, onboarding massive numbers of new users. At its peak, Pump.fun had over 400,000 weekly active addresses , and even today it still makes up around 10% of all Solana DEX activity . This shows two things: Solana is the clear leader in retail-driven trading. The ecosystem still needs broader use cases to sustain growth once meme speculation slows. Futures Open Interest – Market Confidence Open interest (OI) in Solana futures collapsed after FTX, but in 2024–2025 it came roaring back, growing alongside SOL’s price. Positive: Rising OI shows traders trust Solana again, and rallies are backed by real activity. Risk: Very high OI means higher liquidation risk. If markets turn, leveraged positions could cause sharp corrections. Pump.fun Traders Data – Not Everyone Wins According to Dune Analytics, 99.6% of Pump.fun traders never made more than $10K in realized profits . Only a small fraction hit big wins, while most made little or lost money. This highlights the gambling-style nature of meme trading: it drives huge network activity but is not sustainable long-term. For Solana, the key is converting this short-term hype into long-term adoption. Why Solana Could Rise in Late 2025–2026 Looking forward, here are the main reasons I believe Solana has strong upside potential: 1. Tokenization Boom By 2033, $20T in assets could be tokenized. Solana has the scalability, low fees, and adoption needed to be the leading infrastructure. 2. On-Chain Usage Solana already surpasses Ethereum in active addresses and transactions (100M monthly users, 3.5B monthly txs). More usage → more fees → higher staking yield → stronger SOL demand. 3. Institutional Adoption Major players like BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, Visa, and PayPal are already launching tokenized products or stablecoin integrations on Solana. 4. Ecosystem Growth Solana dominates in trading, token creation (60% of new tokens), and new sectors like AI agents. From Pump.fun (retail) to xStocks and OnRe.finance (institutional), Solana is proving versatile. 5. Technology Roadmap With Firedancer and other upgrades, Solana is moving toward 100k–1M TPS capacity, making it “internet-scale finance.” 6. Investment Case SOL is scarce (~750M fixed supply), yield-bearing (7–13% staking), and directly tied to network growth. Analysts project potential 4x–30x appreciation (short-term ~$900, medium ~$2,000, long-term ~$6,000). Outlook – Target $300+ If 2022–2023 was about survival, and 2024–2025 was about recovery, then 2026 could be Solana’s breakout moment as the backbone of digital finance. With on-chain activity at record highs, institutional adoption growing, and scalability improvements rolling out, a move above $300 in late 2025 or 2026 is not only possible but realistic.
Long
by SamDrnda
3
SOL/USDT: Breakout or Pullback? Key Levels AheadOn the 1H timeframe, Solana is showing a clear bullish structure with consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). The ascending trendline is well respected, supporting the bullish move. 🔎 Technical Outlook Price recently made a new HH at 221 before pulling back. Current retracement is testing the Fib 0.382 level around 214.5 which also aligns with dynamic support from the EMA cluster. Deeper retracement levels to watch: Fib 0.5 (212.5) Fib 0.618 (210.5) – strong confluence with trendline support. RSI (62): Slight bearish divergence forming, suggesting short-term pullback possible. 📈 Bullish Scenario If SOL holds above 214–212 support, we may see a continuation toward 225–230 next resistance zone. 📉 Bearish Scenario A break below 210.5 and trendline would invalidate bullish structure → price could retest 204–205 support zone. ⚡️ Fundamentals Solana continues to gain traction with high DeFi and NFT activity. Overall sentiment in altcoins remains bullish, supporting continuation. ✅ Trading Plan Watch 214–212 as key support. Long entries possible near Fib 0.5–0.618 with tight SL below 204. Target: 225 / 230. 💬 What do you think? Will SOL hold the trendline for another leg up, or is a deeper correction coming? Drop your thoughts below and follow for more updates! 📌 Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Trade safe and manage risk. solusdt, solana, solanausdt, solanalysis, solchart, solanacrypto, solbullish, solbearish, solsetup, solanatrend, crypto, cryptotrading, cryptomarket, cryptocurrency, altcoins, altcoinanalysis, altcoinseason, altcoinsetup, altcoinguide, defi, nft, bullrun, breakout, trendline, fibonacci, support, resistance, ema, rsi, divergence, higherhighs, higherlows, technicalanalysis, chartanalysis, tradingsetup, cryptotrader, tradingview, tradeideas, bullishsetup, bearishtarget, cryptosignals
Long
by asimafridi
SOL/USDT | Solana Correction Could Spark Rally to $262 (READ)By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price has continued its correction and is now trading around $194. As you can see, it’s getting close to the $173–$186 demand zone, and we need to watch whether this zone can trigger new buying pressure. Personally, I expect a strong reaction from this area. If the price stabilizes here and shows the first signs of growth, the possible upside targets will be $205, $230, $242, $254, and $262. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that an arbitrary wave m has formed a 1:1 length ratio with another wave n. In addition, the Crab pattern at the 1.618 level has also been fully confirmed, further supporting the possibility of additional downside. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 212.94 USDT. Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.
Short
by SeoVereign
Solana Price Struggles as Crucial Holders’ Sentiment SplitsSolana is trading at $209, holding above the $206 support level and testing its uptrend line. The steady recovery underscores investor commitment to maintaining bullish momentum after brief interruptions caused by increased selling pressure from LTHs. The mildly bullish outlook could extend Solana’s rally. If momentum holds, SOL could climb past $214 and $221 resistance levels. A push beyond those thresholds would open the path to $232, reinforcing optimism about further gains in the coming weeks. However, if selling pressure from long-term holders intensifies, Solana risks slipping below $206. A drop to $200 would invalidate the bullish thesis, signaling weakness and potentially sparking renewed bearish sentiment in the altcoin’s market structure.
by BeInCrypto
1