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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 21 November 2025 - S&P 500 index reversed from strong support level 6555.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 6800.00 S&P 500 index recently reversed from support area between the strong support level 6555.00, lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August. The upward reversal from the support level 6555.00 stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2 from the end of October. Given the clear daily uptrend, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 6800.00 (former top of wave (3) from October).
FXPRO:USSPX500Long
by FxPro
S&P500 H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud. Sell entry: 6,706.19 - Strong pullback resistance - 61.8% Fib retracement - 100% Fib projection Stop Loss: 6,790.06 - Swing high resistance Take Profit: 6,602.91 - Swing low support High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:SPX500Short
by Tradu
1
SPX500 – Key Levels After 3.5% Drop | Bearish Below 6578SPX500 | OVERVIEW U.S. index futures declined as Nasdaq and S&P500 faced renewed selling pressure, with tech names — including Nvidia — continuing to weaken after Thursday’s sharp drop. Concerns over stretched valuations remain a key driver of the pullback. SPX500 – Market Outlook | Bearish Below 6578 SPX500 and Nasdaq futures fell again as tech stocks remain under pressure following Thursday’s selloff. Market sentiment continues to weaken due to concerns over stretched valuations. Below 6578: Bearish continuation toward 6510 → 6425 Above 6578 (1H close): Short-term correction toward 6610 → 6635 Pivot: 6578 Support: 6510 · 6425 Resistance: 6610 · 6635 SPX500 stays bearish as long as price remains below the pivot. A break above 6578 would only allow a short correction, not a trend reversal. previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
US500 Price Showing Bullish forming a reversal patternUS500 price action moving within a broad ascending channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower trend boundaries. Recent momentum has shifted downward, bringing price toward the mid-range of the channel after failing to break above the upper resistance line. A key support zone sits around 6,550–6,500, highlighted by a shaded region where previous buyers stepped in. The projection on the chart suggests a potential dip into this support area, forming a reversal pattern before pushing higher. If a bullish rebound occurs from this support, the next critical level is the mid-range supply zone around 6,690 / 6,720. A successful breakout above this zone could open the path toward the major resistance area near 6,802, which is clearly marked as the upper target. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of luck buddies, Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by MrMartin_11
14
S&P500 crashes! Due relief rally or further pain?Nvidia delivered impressive earnings, but the stock reversed and closed nearly 3% lower, triggering heavy selling across tech and risk assets as odds for a December rate cut have collapsed to just 34%, with policy uncertainty amplified by the cancelled October NFP report. Despite a strong market and rising unemployment in September's NFP report, traders remained defensive and fuelled the declines. Key drivers: Nvidia beat earnings, but post-report selling intensified sector losses. The Fed’s odds for a December rate cut have dropped to 34%, amplifying caution. The abrupt cancellation of the October NFP means the market lacks fresh labour data, fuelling defensive positioning. S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin broke major supports, confirming risk-off conditions. Right now, the S&P 500 has broken below channel support near 6,600 and failed to climb back in. If prices stay below this threshold, expect another sharp move lower targeting 6,500 and possibly 6,350. There’s potential for upside, given momentum divergence on the RSI 4-hour chart. If we see a short-term bounce and a return to the channel, a move toward 6,682 is possible, which sets up a tactical short opportunity. Trade idea: Entry: Midpoint of 23.6/38.2 Fibonacci (6,655–6,682 area) Stop-loss: Above 61.8% Fib (6,775) Take Profits: TP1 6,500 (recent low/support), TP2 6,440 (major support), TP3 trail stop to 6,170 (long-term support) Risk-off drivers are in control. Earnings reversals, Fed uncertainty, and cancelled NFP data are fuelling this price action. Technically, it comes down to whether we see a return inside the channel for a relief bounce or a sharp continuation downward. Watch your levels, remain nimble, and let fundamentals and technicals, not emotions, guide your trade. Let me know your setups in the comments, and follow for more high-action technical and macro trade ideas. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by ThinkMarkets
1
US500 retreated on a hawkish Fed shift and a tech-sector fall September nonfarm payrolls rose by 119k (cons. 51k), but August was sharply revised down to -4k from 22k, while continuing jobless claims increased by 28k from the prior week. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.4% (prev. 4.3%, cons. 4.3%), the highest in four years, further weighing on sentiment. Fed commentary added to the pressure. Cleveland Fed President Mester noted that, despite signs of labor-market cooling, inflation remains elevated. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee also cautioned that inflation has not yet reached the 2% target, signalling reluctance toward additional rate cuts. Today’s PMI and consumer expectations data will be key indicators of current US economic conditions. US500 broke below the lower boundary of the ascending channel, extending its sharp decline. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential continuation of the downtrend. If US500 breaks below 6500, the index could retreat toward the next support at 6430. Conversely, if US500 closes above 6650, where EMA21 intersects, the index may advance toward the following resistance at 6700.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by inkicho_exness
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.Dear colleagues, according to the last forecast the price is at the support level, but as it turned out, the correction in wave “4” is a bit more complicated than I thought. Wave “4” consists of three waves “ABC” and should be over soon. The upward movement is still in priority, but I will target the not so distant resistance area of 6775. Once it is reached, we will think about how to reach higher levels. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
9
Commodity Supercycle Trends1. Understanding the Concept of Supercycles Commodities traditionally move in cycles based on supply–demand fluctuations, but a supercycle is different in scale and duration. Price trends in supercycles tend to: Last for 10–20 years See sustained upward trajectories Be driven by massive structural demand Cause large-scale capital investments and supply expansions Supercycles usually involve multiple commodities rising together, including crude oil, copper, aluminum, iron ore, wheat, corn, and rare earth metals. 2. Historical Commodity Supercycles Economists identify four major commodity supercycles in the past 150 years: a. Late 19th-Century Industrialization Supercycle (1890s–1910s) This era coincided with the rapid industrial expansion in the US and Europe. Demand surged for coal, metals, and agricultural output to support railway construction, electricity expansion, and manufacturing. b. Post-WWII Reconstruction Supercycle (1945–1970) After World War II, Europe and Japan undertook large-scale rebuilding. This sharply increased the demand for energy, steel, and industrial metals. The global population was also rising rapidly, driving agricultural commodity consumption. c. China-Led Supercycle (2000–2014) Perhaps the most notable modern supercycle, driven by: China’s industrialization and urbanization Massive infrastructure investment Globalization and trade expansion Strong energy demand, especially crude oil Metals like copper, iron ore, and aluminum saw exponential price growth during this period. d. The “Green Transition” and Renewables Supercycle? (2020s–ongoing) There is debate over whether the post-2020 environment constitutes a new supercycle. Still, strong demand for battery metals, rare earth elements, lithium, nickel, copper, and silver—essential for clean energy technologies—suggests a potential long-duration upward trend. 3. Drivers Behind Commodity Supercycles Supercycles are created by mega-trends rather than short-term economic fluctuations. Key drivers include: a. Industrialization and Urbanization Emerging economies (e.g., China in the 2000s, India in the 2020s) undergo phases where construction, manufacturing, and infrastructure grow at a rapid pace. This increases demand for: Steel and iron ore Cement Base metals Energy fuels b. Technological Shifts New technologies can reconfigure commodity demand: Electric vehicles → lithium, nickel, cobalt Solar energy → silver, polysilicon Semiconductor demand → rare earths Technological revolutions often create entirely new commodity markets. c. Population Growth and Changing Consumption Patterns Growing populations increase demand for: Food grains (wheat, rice, corn) Protein (soybean, livestock feed) Energy (oil, natural gas) Urban lifestyles also increase per-capita metal and energy consumption. d. Underinvestment in Supply Supercycles often begin after years of: Low commodity prices Reduced mining investment Capacity shrinkage Supply chain disruptions When demand picks up suddenly, supply cannot catch up, causing prices to surge. e. Monetary and Fiscal Stimulus Loose monetary policy or money supply expansion can raise: Inflation Liquidity in markets Investment in commodity funds This increases speculative and real demand for commodities. 4. The 2020s: Are We in a New Commodity Supercycle? Analysts worldwide debate whether the 2020s reflect the start of a new supercycle. Several powerful forces suggest this possibility: a. Energy Transition and Green Technologies The transition to a low-carbon global economy hugely increases demand for: Copper (electric grids, EVs) Lithium (EV batteries) Nickel, cobalt (battery chemistry) Silver (solar panels) Rare earths (wind turbines, electronics) Estimates show the energy transition may require 3–10 times more metals compared to the current baseline. b. Supply Constraints This decade faces: Mine depletion Scarcity of high-grade ores Stringent environmental rules Slow permitting processes Geopolitical resource nationalism (Africa, Latin America) Supply shortages amplify price pressures. c. Geopolitical Shifts Conflicts and tensions between major powers affect commodity flows: US–China rivalry impacts rare earths Middle East tensions influence oil Russia’s sanctions affect natural gas and metals Realignment of supply chains supports longer-term price elevation. d. Climate Change Disruptions Extreme weather affects: Agricultural output Mining operations Shipping routes More frequent droughts, floods, and storms disrupt supply and raise volatility. 5. Major Commodities Likely to Dominate the Coming Supercycle 1. Copper Considered the “new oil” of the green economy, copper demand is expected to surge due to: EVs requiring 2–4 times more copper Renewable energy grids Electrification of industries 2. Lithium A core input for batteries, with demand expected to grow 10–15x by 2035. 3. Nickel and Cobalt Key metals for high-density battery chemistries. 4. Crude Oil Despite renewable energy growth, oil demand remains strong due to: Aviation Petrochemicals Industrial use Slow transition in developing countries 5. Natural Gas and LNG Seen as a “bridge fuel” in the transition away from coal. 6. Agricultural Commodities Food prices are rising due to climate volatility and rising global population. 7. Precious Metals (Gold, Silver) Investors hedge against inflation, currency depreciation, and geopolitical uncertainty. 6. Investment and Trading Implications a. Long-Term Opportunities A supercycle supports multi-year rallies in: Mining stocks Metal ETFs Energy companies Commodity indices b. Volatility Will Remain High While long-term trend is upward, short-term fluctuations will be sharp due to: Interest rate swings Policy changes Currency volatility c. The Role of Emerging Markets India, Indonesia, Vietnam, and parts of Africa are entering new phases of: Industrialization Infrastructure spending Urbanization This will add structural demand to the global commodity landscape. d. ESG and Sustainability Constraints Environmental regulations limit new mining capacity, pushing prices higher. 7. Conclusion Commodity supercycles represent long-term, structural shifts in global economic dynamics. They arise when powerful forces—industrialization, population growth, technology transitions, geopolitics, and supply constraints—drive sustained commodity demand. The world today is experiencing pressures that resemble previous supercycle conditions, especially with the rise of green energy, supply chain restructuring, and climate-driven disruptions. Whether or not this evolves into a full-fledged supercycle, commodities like copper, lithium, nickel, crude oil, natural gas, and agricultural products are likely to experience elevated demand and significant price appreciation in the years ahead. Understanding these trends helps investors and policymakers strategize effectively in a resource-constrained and rapidly evolving global economy.
SP:SPXEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
$SPX: A worrying Intraday Turnaround!While everyone, even the taxi driver, was celebrating NVDA's positive earnings report, the SP:SPX suddenly reversed. After touching the 20-day simple moving average, it dropped sharply with no buyers stepping in. With a 3.5% swing between the intraday high and low, the SP:SPX closed slightly below the horizontal support level at 6,550 and the 100-day moving average. It's unfortunate that the right shoulder is missing, as it would otherwise form a perfect head and shoulders pattern—though it might be more accurately described as the head of a one-armed head and shoulders. Jokes aside, the technical outlook for the SP:SPX has significantly deteriorated. The market's bullish sentiment has evaporated, making it more challenging to establish a bottom. If the S&P 500 doesn’t recover and consolidate support around 6,550 by Friday—an extremely important level that also aligns with the 1:1 extension below—we could face an “Air Pocket” of approximately 175 points. Within this Air Pocket area, we have extensions at 1.382, 1.5, and 1.618. The 14-period RSI is approaching oversold conditions, but it's not quite there yet.
SP:SPX
by OLIV2020
Ray Dalio’s bubble warning aged fast today Ray Dalio’s warning not to “sell just because there’s a bubble” didn’t land today as a delayed September jobs report showing 119,000 new jobs cut into hopes of a December Fed rate cut. The S&P 500 swung from a 1.9% gain to a 1.1% loss, and the Nasdaq flipped from up 2.6% to down 1.5%. The S&P 500 chart now shows declining momentum with lower highs forming. That kind of engulfing behaviour can mark exhaustion phases in extended rallies. Bitcoin also unraveled, dropping nearly 5% and sinking back under 87,000 as liquidations accelerated. The current monthly candle could be confirming a potential shift in trend momentum after a multi-year climb.
SP:SPX
by BlackBull Markets
4
SPX 500: Bullish Rebound to 6760?FX:SPX500 is priming for a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , where price has pulled back to a critical support zone following a sharp decline, forming a potential bounce setup amid a broader uptrend—highlighted by the rebound pattern near key levels that could ignite buying if buyers defend against further downside. This confluence at the support offers a high-reward long opportunity in the index's volatile range. Entry zone between 6530-6550 for a buy position. Target at 6760 🎯near the resistance zone, delivering a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:4 .Set a stop loss on a close below 6500 📊 to manage risk effectively. Watch for confirmation via a strong bullish candle with rising volume above the entry, capitalizing on the index's resilience despite recent pressures🌟. Fundamentally , the S&P 500 closed at around 6646.7 on November 19, 2025, down over 2% in November amid economic concerns and high valuations, particularly in AI stocks, with the index dipping below its 50-day moving average for the first time since April—yet historical patterns suggest a median 15% upside to 7710 over the next year if it follows median rebounds. Earnings growth remains robust at 16.9% YoY, beating estimates, supporting potential recovery despite tariff worries. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry Zone (Buy): 6530 – 6550 🎯 Target: • TP: 6760 (major resistance) ❌ Stop Loss: Close below 6500 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:4 What's your outlook on this rebound? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
FX:SPX500Long
by Master_Hunter
13
S&P500 Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6780 Resistance Level 2: 6805 Resistance Level 3: 6830 Support Level 1: 6700 Support Level 2: 6675 Support Level 3: 6638 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by Trade Nation
US500: Strong Reversal Zone Holding | Potential Rally AheadUS500 – Strong Reversal Zone Holding | Potential Rally Ahead US500 has once again reacted strongly from the major support zone marked on the chart — an area that has held multiple times in the past. Buyers stepped in aggressively, preventing further downside and maintaining the broader bullish structure. After forming a broadening wedge pattern followed by a sharp decline, price has stabilized and is now showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal. If momentum continues building, the next upside targets are: 6,800 6,870 6,985 (major target) You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
6
SPX500 – Key Breakout Levels Ahead of NFP | Bearish Below 6734SPX500 | OVERVIEW Stocks soar on Nvidia earnings relief as the company delivered forecasted quarterly revenue well above Wall Street expectations, easing recent concerns over AI-sector valuations that had contributed to a market pullback. Markets now shift focus to the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is expected to generate strong volatility across indices. Technically: Stocks rally after Nvidia’s strong earnings forecast, easing some AI-valuation concerns. Markets now await the NFP report, which could fuel major intraday volatility. Below 6734: Bearish continuation toward 6670 → 6635 → 6610 Above 6754: Bullish breakout toward 6800 → 6844 Pivot: 6734 Support: 6670 · 6635 · 6610 Resistance: 6769 · 6800 · 6844 SPX500 stays bearish under 6734, and only a strong candle close above 6754 will confirm bullish momentum.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi