SPX500 Technical Setup – Eyes on 6365 and 6399 TargetsSPX500 – Overview
The price has stabilized above the key pivot level at 6341, maintaining a bullish bias. As long as the price holds above this level, the upward momentum is expected to continue toward 6365 and potentially 6389 or 6399.
However, a 1H close below 6323 would signal a possible trend reversal, opening the door for a deeper correction toward 6283.
🔹 Pivot: 6341
🔹 Resistance: 6365, 6399, 6427
🔹 Support: 6323, 6283
Trade ideas
S&P500’s Bullish Island Turns Risky: Elliott Wave Says “Top”The S&P500 Index( SP:SPX ) started to rise and even created a new All-Time High(ATH=$6,428) with the help of the Bullish Long Island Pattern , as I published in my previous idea on May 14, 2025 .
The S&P500 Index is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , upper line of the ascending channel , the Important Resistance line , and the Yearly Resistance(1) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the S&P500 Index appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the S&P500 Index to correct at least -4% and fall to the lower line of the ascending channel .
First Target: $6,233
Second Target: $6,033
Note: Stop Loss(SL) $6,513
Do you think S&P500 Index can create a new ATH above $6,500 !?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), Daily time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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US500 Bearish Idea: Waiting for Structure Break ConfirmationWatching the SPX US500 right now 📈 — it’s rallied hard with strong momentum and is pushing into a key resistance level ⚠️. Since price is overextended, I’m expecting a pullback towards equilibrium on the current move 🔄. My bias is bearish from this level 🔻, with entry dependent on a break in structure on the 30-min timeframe ⏳.
All is explained in the video 🎥 (not financial advice).
SP500 reinforcing a bearish short-term trendThe S&P 500 retreated in the final session of July, weighed down by renewed tariff concerns and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s next policy move. Despite the late pullback, the index remains positive for the month overall.
From a technical perspective, the index has declined approximately 2.5% since yesterday, reinforcing a bearish short-term trend. The bearish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays below 6220.
Immediate Support: 6220 – A break below this level could lead to further downside. Next Downside Target: 6150 – If the bearish momentum continues past 6220. if price closes above this, 6250 short-term bullish momentum may build. 6300 – A major resistance; a close above this would invalidate the current bearish outlook.
we have Some Tips about SO500 But Trading range is small Traders.
Ps; Support with like and comments for more analysis.
$XLV vs $SPY at multi year low. Is more downside expected? In this space we talk a lot about the market outperformance and how this has resulted in indexes at ATH. The SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX and their corresponding ETFs: NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY have also made ATHs. But if peel under the surface we can observe that very few sectors have consistently outperformed the S&P 500. The Technology sector represented by AMEX:XLK has consistently outperformed the $SPY. The $XLK/ AMEX:SPY is in a upward channel depicted by the purple line. The SPDR select sector Technology sector has consistently increased its weightage on AMEX:SPY and the ratio $XLK/ AMEX:SPY is currently at 0.41 which is an ATH.
But the same cannot be told about the SPDR Healthcare Sector. The ratio between $XLV/ AMEX:SPY is making multi year low. With the ratio currently at 0.21 it is approaching its multi-year lows of 0.1975. The ratio was so low last in Sept 2000. Hence the question comes what should we expect the AMEX:XLV which is making new lows against the AMEX:SPY ? Will we visit the lows of 0.1975? If it happens then can we expect a upward momentum from his double bottom situation?
In my estimate in this bull market and Tech sector outperforming the AMEX:XLV will make new lows vs AMEX:SPY and the ratio will revisit the 2000 lows. But if on the macro front we have weak jobs numbers and recession risk rising then the AMEX:XLV can in fact draw inflows and outperform the index. Hence my estimate $XLV/ AMEX:SPY will sweep the multi-year low and then bounce back into 2026.
Verdict: Still more downside possible in $XLK/$SPY. Go long AMEX:XLV when the ratio is @ 0.1975 and into 2026.
US Stocks on Watch as Momentum ShiftsAfter a resilient summer run, US equities are now facing a new wave of pressure. Friday’s slide was more than just a reaction to headlines, it may be the first sign of a deeper shift in sentiment.
Jobs Data Disappoints as Tariff Tensions Rise
Friday’s US jobs report was a jolt. Just 73,000 nonfarm payrolls were added in July, well short of the 110,000 expected. But the real gut punch came from the revisions. June’s figure was slashed from 147,000 to just 14,000 and May’s total was lowered by another 125,000. Taken together, that is over a quarter of a million fewer jobs than previously reported. The softening labour market has now pushed the probability of a September rate cut to 66%, as traders start to price in a more cautious Fed response.
If that was not enough, President Trump added fresh fuel to the fire by announcing a new round of tariff hikes. Imports from Canada will now face a 35% levy, up from 25%, while goods routed through third countries to avoid duties will be hit with a 40% charge. These measures come at a time when the global economy is already under strain, and investors wasted no time in pulling back. Tech and financials bore the brunt, with Amazon and JPMorgan among the hardest hit.
Short Term Momentum Breaks Down
Last week’s price action marked a clear change in tone. The S&P 500 attempted to break to fresh highs on Thursday but was met with a wave of selling on increased volume, forming a bearish engulfing candle. That move was followed by a sharp decline on Friday after the jobs data landed. This two-day drop, coming on elevated volume, stands out as a clean reversal in short term momentum and is most visible on the hourly chart.
That kind of shift raises an important question about timeframes. If you're a short-term trader focused on hourly candles and below, you will likely be watching for bearish continuation patterns. That could mean looking for brief pauses in the selling, flags or consolidations, before another leg lower.
Longer term traders will be reading the chart differently. While short term momentum has clearly turned, the longer-term structure is still intact. The market is now pulling back into a key zone of former resistance from earlier in the year. This cluster of highs, once broken, now acts as support, and just so happens to line up with the 50-day moving average. For those taking a wider lens, this is the kind of area where trend followers could look to reload.
US500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
US500 Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹♂️💎 “SPX500 Vault Breach – Layered Robbery in Progress!” 💼📈
(Thief Trader's Multi-Limit Entry Bullish Blueprint – No Mercy, Just Money)
📍Asset: SPX500 / US500
🎯Plan: Bullish Heist
🧠Style: Layered Limit Orders | Thief Strategy Entry | Zero Mercy Execution
📈Target: 6600.00
🛑Stop Loss: 6200.00
💣Entry: Any level — thieves adapt, not wait!
🌍 Welcome to the Global Robbery Room, Traders!
It’s your boy Thief Trader, back in the vault with another plan to crack the SPX500 like a safe on Wall Street. This one’s for the bold bulls who like to rob with precision, not permission. 🎯💰
💼 The Setup – High Stakes, High Floors
SPX500 is lining up for a classic breakout breach. This isn’t just technical — it’s tactical warfare. Market noise? Ignore it. We operate on strategy and steel nerves. 🧠🔫
🔥 Entry Protocol – Layer Up or Miss Out
🧱 Multiple limit orders across price zones — like planting C4 charges on every door.
🎯 Enter wherever price dips — don’t wait for permission from retail traders.
🎯 No fixed entry — this is Thief Layering: get in where you fit in.
🚪 Escape Plan – Stop Loss Strategy
📍 SL: 6200.00
Why? That’s where the guards start showing up. If price drops below, we vanish.
💡 Be flexible — smart robbers don’t get caught, they regroup.
💎 Target Loot – The Golden Zone
📍 Primary TP: 6600.00
Once we breach the 6500+ resistance, it's a moonwalk. Lock gains or trail with confidence.
📢 Warning for Scalpers & Swing Thieves Alike:
Only play Long-side. Don’t try to rob both ends — that’s suicide.
Big wallet? Scale heavy. Small bag? Layer light but tight.
Always use trailing stops — never trust the market with your escape bag. 🎒💸
📊 Thief Intel – Why We’re Bullish
✅ Index rotation favors large-cap strength
✅ Macro sentiment + institutional bias points UP
✅ No bearish COT signals in sight
✅ Fed tone & economic backdrop: neutral to supportive
This isn’t hopium. It’s strategy.
🚨 NEWS FLASH – Stay Stealthy!
Do NOT enter during economic bombs 💣 (NFP, CPI, Fed minutes, etc.)
Market noise kills precision. We only move in silence and with SLs trailing tight.
💬 Smash that BOOST 💖 if you’re riding with the Thief Army.
Share this plan, spread the word, and let’s rob the markets the smart way.
📢 Tag your crew, stack your layers, and let’s hit 6600 like pros.
📌Disclaimer: Not financial advice — this is a market operation plan for educational use. Trade at your own risk. Smart thieves plan exits before entries. 💼📉📈
🦹♂️ Thief Trader out.
💸 Rob smart. Rob clean. Rob global.
SPX Breakdown or Another Push Higher?Hi y'all thanks for tuning in! Here are a few written notes to sum up the video.
Indecision at New Highs
After breaking out to new all-time highs, SPX printed a doji on the weekly chart, signaling indecision. This hesitation could mark the start of digestion.
Still Structurally Bullish, but Extended
The weekly chart shows SPX is still holding trend structure, but price is notably extended from the 10EMA. Historically, when price moves too far from key short-term EMAs, it tends to reset either via time (sideways chop) or price (pullback).
Daily Chart Shows a Shelf Forming
On the daily chart, price has been consolidating just under the prior high with small-bodied candles. This is forming a “shelf” around the 6,260–6,280 zone. It’s acting like a pause, not a breakdown. Holding above this zone keeps the trend intact.
Pullback Risk Increases Below 6,232
If price loses 6,232 (last week's breakout area and short-term shelf), it increases the likelihood of a pullback toward the 6160 or even deeper toward the 5970. That lower zone also marks the bottom of the prior consolidation box from earlier this year.
Seasonality Reminder
Historically, July is strong in the first half, with weakness (if it shows up) arriving mid-to-late month. So far, price has tracked that seasonal strength. Any weakness from here would align with that typical timing.
SPX CORRECTIONThe S&P 500 Index (SPX) faced strong rejection at the upper resistance zone near 6,400, where -243B was sold, signaling aggressive institutional distribution. This area aligns with the broader -3.4T monthly level, confirming it as a significant ceiling.
Multiple support levels lie below. The first key zone near 6,200 is being tested. If broken, deeper liquidity pockets are visible around 6,000 and 5,700, where 162B was previously absorbed. Further down, the high-volume August 2023 level near 5,000 remains a macro support with 920B of institutional activity.
Upside target (if reclaimed): 6,400
Downside target (if breakdown continues): 5,700 → 5,000
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SPX500 Dips Ahead of NFP as Tariff Risks RiseSPX: S&P 500 Dips to Close July — Still Positive for the Month Amid Tariff Tensions & Fed Uncertainty
The S&P 500 retreated in the final session of July, weighed down by renewed tariff concerns and lingering uncertainty around the Fed’s next move. Despite the late pullback, the index remains positive for the month overall.
Looking ahead, non-farm payrolls (NFP) and U.S. jobs data are expected to have a strong impact on market direction. In addition, August 1st marks a key date for potential tariff developments, which could trigger further volatility.
Technical Outlook – SPX500
The index has dropped approximately 2.5% since yesterday and maintains a bearish bias as long as it trades below 6283. If the price continues to slide, the next downside target is 6246, with further support at 6223.
However, if the price manages to close above 6289 on the 1H timeframe, it could trigger a bullish recovery toward 6320 and 6341.
Pivot Line: 6283
Support Levels: 6246 • 6223
Resistance Levels: 6320 • 6341
SPX: Investors` defensive positioning? The past week brought a flurry of important US macro data and a high market volatility in line with it. In addition, the FOMC meeting brought up increased nervousness regarding Fed's view on current and future macroeconomic developments. As Fed Chair Powell informed the public, the inflation is perceived to pick-up a bit as a reflection of imposed trade tariffs, but the Fed is not expecting that it will have a significant effect on increasing inflation, but only the one-off effect. Future Fed moves will continue to be data dependent and risk-assessed, in which sense, a direct answer to potential September rate cut was not provided by Fed Chair Powell.
Although Friday brought up some major market corrections in the S&P 500, Thursday's trading session was the one to bring major sentiment and indication over forthcoming correction. Namely, Thursday started in a positive manner, where the index reached a new all time highest level at 6.427, but soon after the market tumbled down, ending the trading day at 6.333. Futures were traded lower on Friday, where the S&P 500 was opened by 1,5% lower, ending the week at 6.238. These movements during the last two trading days are quite important because such strong moves in the value of index could be imposed only by institutional investors, showing their sentiment regarding the macro environment expectations at this moment.
Much of the negative market sentiment was driven by surprisingly weak non-farm payroll data of only 73K in July, which was below market estimate of 110K. At the same time, the unemployment rate modestly picked up in July to 4,2%, from 4,1% posted previously. Some analysts are noting that this could be a summer seasonal effect, however, investors are concerned that this could be a sign of a weakening US economy, due to implemented trade tariffs. During the time of writing this article, CNBC posted a news that the U.S. President Trump ordered immediate release of a duty of a Commissioner of labor statistics, due to continued posts of inaccurate labor data and its frequent revisions, also putting doubts that the July figure of 73K is accurate.
Regardless of actual accuracy of the US jobs data, investors continue to be concerned regarding the effects of implemented trade tariffs on earnings and growth of US companies. As analysts are noting, some of them are trying to lock in gains as earnings risks emerge, but with future uncertainties, a defensive positioning of investors might be wider in the coming period.
The $CURE For Your Healthcare PortfolioHey team,
Everyone knows how the health sector is beat up.
The Trump administration hasn't shown any mercy to the health and pharma sectors. They’ve been hammering Big Pharma with a mix of fiery rhetoric and aggressive policy moves. Trump has brought back his “most favored nation” drug pricing plan, tying Medicare reimbursements to what other countries pay, slashing profits for drugmakers who’ve been charging Americans a fortune.
As a result, some of the top health stocks such as NYSE:PFE , NYSE:LLY , NYSE:JNJ , and NYSE:UNH , among many others, have been suffering.
We need, however, to understand that healthcare is sometimes cyclical, and there are some clues that tell us what's likely to happen next:
For most years, AMEX:XLV (health index ETF) is highly correlated with the $SP:SPX. Historically, when this correlation breaks, it's either because healthcare is lagging behind the S&P 500, or because the S&P 500 is crashing, and healthcare is holding well because healthcare is recession-resistant. Typically, these moments of uncorrelation are followed by a very well-performing healthcare sector.
AMEX:XLV / SP:SPX is now at a 25-year low! Healthcare stocks have never been so low in 25 years compared to the benchmark.
While the S&P P/E ratio is at 28, healthcare is at 14. This shows a potentially underdeveloped sector.
The spread between healthcare and the rest of the stock market is very large and unnatural. Considering this, it's more likely that it will regress to its mean and recover. You can see this in the Dual Z-Score indicator in the chart.
Additionally, the US midterms are coming, which can bring policy changes that might favor healthcare again.
Now, you might be wondering: Why invest in AMEX:CURE and not in AMEX:XLV ?
I plan to allocate around 2% of my portfolio to CURE, the 3x leveraged ETF, because it's an easier way to achieve the proper Kelly allocation to this sector, a sector that I believe will recover over the next couple of years. The leverage provided by this ETF will help compound returns.
Is this strategy risky?
Well, CURE is 3x more volatile than XLV, but this is the way I see it: healthcare is already too beat up to continue declining sharply from here. Additionally, healthcare is recession-resistant, meaning that it should not be too affected if the US economy suffers, enters a recession, or if unemployment numbers increase.
I think CURE gives me a potentially good risk/reward ratio, considering that if healthcare catches up with the S&P 500, CURE could return approximately (and very roughly) 100%.
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
S&P 500 Bullish Rounding Bottom in PlayS&P 500 continues its upward trajectory, supported by a clearly defined rounding bottom formation. Price has successfully broken above the neckline resistance, followed by a technical pullback which was met with a strong buy reaction, validating this zone as a key demand area.
This pullback area now acts as a critical structural base and the current bounce reinforces bullish continuation bias. The active plan is to accumulate within the buy-back zone and follow the path laid out in the chart towards the projected upside targets.
Drop your stock requests in the comments for a quick analysis, only US-listed stocks will be reviewed under this post.















