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Is Gold Setting Up for a Bearish Move?Gold has faced rejection from the 30-minute resistance area near 4,012, followed by a break of structure to the downside indicating renewed bearish momentum. The market structure suggests a potential short-term continuation toward the 3,968 support zone as sellers regain control. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 4,000 Take Profit: 3,968 Stop Loss: 4,012 Reasoning: Technically, XAUUSD has rejected the resistance zone and confirmed a break of the structure, suggesting sellers are stepping in after a failed attempt to push higher. Lower highs and increasing bearish candles reflect momentum shifting in favor of the downside. Fundamentally, gold remains under mild pressure as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data, while a slightly firm U.S. dollar limits bullish extension in the short term. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
Gold bulls are strong; is 4100 still far away? News： Gold rallied after testing the 3915 area again, breaking through resistance levels at 3975-80 and 4030 throughout the day, closing with a large bullish candlestick and forming a bullish engulfing pattern. This morning, it rose to around 4046 before falling back and breaking below the key support/resistance level of 4005-10. Technology manifestation： From the 1-hour chart, the current short-term resistance level to watch is 4035-4030, with a key resistance level at 4060-4055. If this area is broken, the gold price may reach 4100. The short-term support level to watch is 3960. The recommended strategy is to buy on dips, and to observe more and trade less in the middle, avoiding chasing the market and patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide specific operational strategies in the channel, so please pay attention. Trading strategy: Buy:3989-3986, SL: 3975, TP: 4010-4020-4030
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )Status: Active Reversal Protocol Symbol: Gold Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window) Confidence Level: ★★★★★ ( Hanzo Volume Detected ) ☄️ Bearish Reversal 4004 Reasons ☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs ☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open ☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified ☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above ☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance ☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed 🚀 Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction. 🚀 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Gold failed breakout and rejected zone $4030 - $4050🧭 Chart Analysis (XAUUSD – 1H with structure context) Market Structure That means momentum continues downward as long as price stays below 4030–4050. 🔑 Key Levels Level Type Expectation 4050 Resistance / SL zone If broken, bears invalidated 4000 Minor resistance Retest zone after rejection 3920 Target 1 Previous swing low liquidity 3880–3850 Target 2 Measured move of the channel / full extension 3820 Extreme Final downside sweep before reversal possible 📉 Projection If price closes below 3920 (cleanly on 4H or D1), next leg likely extends to 3850 — the lower boundary of your yellow trend channel. That level aligns with: Previous liquidity grab zone from October 22 low. Channel bottom support. Fibonacci extension 1.272 from the 4050 swing high. ⚙️ Trading Setup Idea Bias: Short (continue existing sell bias) Sell zone: 4000–4020 (retests possible) SL: 4060 TP1: 3920 TP2: 3886 TP3: 3850 TP4: 3820 (extended) Risk–Reward ≈ 1:3.8 ✅ Structure = Bearish ✅ Rejection = Confirmed ✅ Target = 3850 realistic if 3920 breaks
TVC:GOLDShort
by phaneth2014
2
XAUUSD Best level to sell is this.Gold (XAUUSD) has turned bearish, at least on the short-term, as it broke below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in a month and is headed for its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Having made a Double Top at the start of the downtrend, the pattern that seems to be emerging is a Channel Down, with the last such formation seen in April - May. So far the 4H RSI sequences between the two patterns are identical, so we expect a rebound now, which can give us the most optimal level to short again near the top of the Channel Down. A break above 0.786 invalidates this, but as long as it holds, our Target will be the -0.236 Fibonacci extension at 3920 just like on May 15, which also hit its 1D MA50 (red trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
If You're Not Just Hearing About Options —But Actually Diving InYou’ve moved beyond indicators and noise. You’re stepping into the world where smart money operates. Because options are not just tools for betting. They’re a mirror of institutional intent — of hedges, positioning, and hidden signals. And if you learn to listen to this market, you gain a real edge — even if you never trade an option yourself. You’ll see what’s coming on spot Forex, gold, or indices — before the crowd notices anything. This isn’t theory from a textbook. It’s a practical guide forged from over 5 years of daily analysis of CME reports, exchange data, and real-world observation. Let’s break it down — step by step. 🔍 Step 1: Can You Identify the Player by Option Delta? Yes — and it starts with understanding delta. Delta = Sensitivity of an option’s price to changes in the underlying asset. 0.05–0.10 (5–10%) → Deep out-of-the-money (far OTM) 0.15–0.30 (15–30%) → Moderately OTM ~0.50 (50%) → At-the-money (ATM) >0.50 → In-the-money (ITM) Now — who trades what, and why? 0.05–0.10 ->Tail-risk hedgers, "lottery" traders Protection against black swans or cheap speculative bets 0.10–0.20 ->Aggressive speculators, potential insiders Betting on explosive moves — possibly with inside conviction 0.20–0.35 -> Regular speculators, funds Expecting moderate rallies — balanced risk/reward 0.40–0.60 - > Institutions, hedge funds Portfolio hedging, delta-neutral strategies >0.60 Arbitrageurs, hedgers Deep ITM options as synthetic positions ⚠️ Important Nuance: Delta is not absolute. Large players may use deep OTM options — but not for speculation. These could be tail-risk hedges (e.g., protection against crash scenarios). 🔮 Predictive Power Isn’t Just About the Trade — It’s About the Timing The forecast value of an individual option increases dramatically when you ask: When did this position appear — relative to price action? ✅ Before a move? → High predictive power ❌ After a big rally? → Likely FOMO or profit-taking ✅ On a pullback? → Could signal support/resistance IMPORTANT! Timing turns noise into signal. 📌 To be continued in the next update…
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
2
Gold 1H - Intraday Trading Plan 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Price of gold (XAUUSD) recently reached multi-year highs above $4,000/oz, driven by safe-haven flows, weak U.S. dollar and expectations of monetary easing. However, near-term headwinds are visible: optimism on U.S.–China trade negotiations, and some pull-back from record highs have switched sentiment from pure “buy the rally” to “buy the dip or maybe sell the bounce”. There’s also focus on upcoming macro releases (e.g., U.S. Producer Price Index, Fed commentary) which could trigger swings in yields/dollar and thus gold. Sentiment currently: Slightly risk-off supportive for safe-havens like gold, but with caution creeping in given profit-taking and potential dollar/rate reversal. Session expectation: With London session opening soon and NY later, expect increased volatility around U.S. data and Fed-related news. Macro bias: Mildly bullish, as long as the key support zones hold; but neutral/bearish risk increases if support breaks and dollar/yields strengthen. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE) Structure: After the strong impulse up, price is in a corrective phase (range/flag) rather than clean uptrend. The prior strong high now acts as potential liquidity trap (smart money exhaustion). Key zones to monitor: Support zones where demand may appear: look for sweep of liquidity at previous lows or structural support. Supply zones above where untested liquidity resides – places big players may unload. Confirmation of SMC: Watch for signs of liquidity sweep (WSB/SSL), false breakout (fake BOS), or trap (smart money manipulating stop-hunts) in M15/H1. For example: if price revisits a support zone and shows a wick below then closes back above → potential mitigation → buy scenario. Conversely, if price rallies to a supply zone then reverses sharply → possible trap → sell scenario. 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES $4,120–4,140 ▶️ Supply zone – near recent highs; potential profit-taking and stop-hunts above. $4,000–3,980 ▶️ Important Support – psychological $4k level + prior swing area. $3,935–3,905 ▶️ Strong Support – deeper structural demand zone + previous channel base. $3,860–3,840 ▶️ Lower Support / liquidity sweep zone – if the major supports fail, this is next. $4,200–4,230 ▶️ Extended Resistance – higher untested supply if momentum returns. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS ✅ BUY SCENARIO – Demand Bounce Entry: ~$4,020–4,018 zone Stop-loss: ~$4,013 TP1: ~$4,120 TP2: ~$4,200 Logic: Price holds above key support, shows mitigation (wick below then back), CHoCH from bear-correction to bullish bias. ✅ BUY SCENARIO 2 – Deeper Support Entry Entry: ~$3,920–3,918 zone Stop-loss: ~$3,911 TP1: ~$4,020 TP2: ~$4,120 (trail) Logic: If first support fails, look for deeper structural support and sweep of liquidity before large players ramp. ✅ SELL SCENARIO – Supply Rejection Entry: ~$4,140–4,138 zone Stop-loss: ~$4,147 TP1: ~$4,000 TP2: ~$3,920 Logic: Price rallies into supply, shows reversal (e.g., bullish candle followed by strong bearish candle) during NY session — high-risk, high-reward trap. ⚠️ SCALPING SELL – If sees quick spike above ~$4,140 (into ~$4,160) then rapid rejection → short-term sell targeting ~$4,060. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Focus trade entries during London ↔ early NY session, especially around macro events. Be ready for spikes/whipsaws given current macro uncertainty. Wait for confirmation on M5/M15 before entering: don’t jump purely on zone touches. Avoid entering just before major data or Fed release; be cautious of fakeouts. Risk-management: Use tight stop losses, keep trade size moderate given higher volatility. 🏁 CONCLUSION The bias for XAUUSD remains mildly bullish, conditional on key support holding. The market is treading a line between safe-haven demand and profit-taking exhaustion. Primary focus is on the support band ~$4,000-$3,980 for long entries; conversely, the supply zone ~$4,120-$4,140 serves as a potential reversal/trap area. Enter with confirmation, manage risk tightly, and beprepared for sharp moves from macro triggers. FOLLOW KHANG_TRADER for precision market insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Lucy_Avana
2
Methodology: Smart Money Concept (SMC) 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Analysis 1. Market Context • The chart is XAU/USD on the 5M timeframe. • A BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside was followed by a ChoCH (Change of Character) to the downside. • This shows a possible liquidity trap where buyers were induced before price shifts bearish. 2. Liquidity Zone • Below the marked lows there is Sell-Side Liquidity, where retail buy-side stop losses are resting. • A Fake Out already occurred, sweeping liquidity. 3. Point of Interest (POI) • A 5M Order Block (OB-5M) is marked inside the Resistance Zone. • This is the key institutional area for a potential rejection. • Planned Sell entry: 3,997. 4. Trade Management • Stop Loss (SL): 4,013, above the resistance zone. • Take Profit (TP): 3,951, aligned with liquidity targets. • Risk/Reward (R/R): 1:2.88, solid for intraday setups. 5. Price Narrative • Price is expected to retest the OB-5M rejection zone at 3,997. • After that, the projection is a bearish move with a distribution phase. • Final target: liquidity sweep around 3,951. 🚀 Motivational Note “Patience is your edge: wait for price to reach your zone, trust the plan, and let risk management protect you. Consistency comes from discipline, not prediction.” ✨📉💪 GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
1
Title: Gold Pullback to Key Fibonacci Zone — Is $3900 the BottomAfter a 10% correction, gold is now pulling back toward the $4150–$4200 Fibonacci retracement zone. If the price extends to around $4300, it could signal that the recent low near $3900 was the true bottom and that the bullish structure is recovering. The next few candles will confirm whether this move is just a technical pullback or the start of a new uptrend. As long as the daily RSI stays above 50, the bullish trend remains valid. (This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.) #Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Markets #Investing
FX:XAUUSD
by Ario_pinelab
1
XAUUSD: Will Gold Continue to Rise or Fall?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? As of writing, gold is trading around $4115, partially recovering from the sharp decline of the past few days. To explain the steep drop in gold prices on Tuesday, there’s no need for any conspiracy theories — the previous meteoric rise was already a big enough reason. Earlier, gold reached extremely high levels, and the rally had matured; any irrational market could fall without a clear reason. Despite this, while gold remains under technical selling pressure after the shock, the market is holding the initial support level above $4,000. After this volatility, it may take longer than expected for precious metals to regain stability. However, it’s still too early to conclude whether this is a "market crash" or just a short-term correction. From a technical perspective, gold is reacting well to the $4000 support I had previously anticipated . If it can hold, the next challenge to watch will be the first resistance zone around $4200 - $4230. As long as the support holds, I’m still betting on an upward trend. What about you? What do you think about gold prices? Will it continue to rise or fall? 💬Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
48
XAUUSD – Gold Eyes a Breakout Above $4,030: Momentum Still Build🟢 XAUUSD | Gold Breakout Setup – Educational Analysis Gold continues to show constructive price action following sustained bullish momentum across intraday timeframes. After a healthy consolidation phase, the market is now testing a critical resistance zone around $4,030. A clean breakout and confirmed 1H close above $4,030 would signal renewed strength, aligning with the broader bullish structure observed on higher timeframes (4H & Daily). 🔹 Technical Outlook The current structure suggests the potential for continuation toward higher liquidity zones if the breakout holds. Sustained trading above $4,030 would confirm buyer control, invalidating the short-term correction phase. 📈 Trade Plan (Educational Setup) Entry (Buy Stop): $4,030 Stop Loss (SL): $4,000 Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1 → $4,060 TP2 → $4,090 TP3 → $4,120 TP4 → $4,150 TP5 → $4,180 TP6 → $4,210 💡 Analyst’s Commentary This setup aims to capture the potential breakout continuation, with risk contained below the $4,000 psychological support. Momentum confirmation on H1 and H4 closes will be key for trade validation. Traders may consider partial profit-taking along the way and trailing stops to secure gains. ⚖️ Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.5 🕓 Timeframe: H1 – Short-Term Swing ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only as part of Middle East Trading Academy’s ongoing market study. It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by MiddleEastTradingAcademy
2
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO BEFORE FOMC LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO BEFORE FOMC - $3840 Level Awaits Bottom Fishing Reaction Wave Hello traders community, The Gold market is showing a strong and sustainable downtrend. We are witnessing a crash after prices broke through key support zones. With the upcoming FOMC event, our strategy is to seek Buy opportunities at deep liquidity zones and continue Selling when prices recover to retest the broken trend. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS & CASH FLOW CONTEXT Gold is currently under dual pressure: Downward Pressure 🔴: Optimism about the US-China trade progress has significantly weakened the demand for Gold, a safe-haven commodity. Spot Gold prices have fallen below $3950, hitting a three-week low, down about 0.78% on the day (28/10). Short-term Support 🟢: Bets on the possibility of a Fed rate cut continue to weaken the US Dollar (USD), which is the only factor that could potentially support this precious metal. Conclusion: This tug-of-war makes it difficult to determine the bottom. The bearish scenario remains the top priority. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: THE DOWNWAVE CONTINUES Based on the H4 chart (image_5fa7fa.png): Current Trend: The price has successfully broken through the key liquidity support zone near $3950 and is continuing its downtrend. Current Fibonacci Level: The price is touching and reacting at the 1.618 Fibonacci zone (around $3950). Next Level: The next level Gold is targeting will be the 2.618 Fibonacci zone (around $3840), which is a large liquidity area expected to see a strong reaction. Main Strategy: We focus on two scenarios: Bottom fishing reaction at 3840 and continuing to Sell when the price recovers. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN) We have two detailed scenarios based on the current price level: 🟢 BUY Reversal Scenario We wait for the price to hit the deep liquidity bottom zone of 3840 to execute a buy order with the expectation of a technical recovery. Entry Zone: 3840 Stop Loss (SL): 3832 (tight SL) Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $3872 | TP2: $3898 | TP3: $3925 | TP4: $3950 🔴 SELL Retest Scenario If Gold recovers without breaking the downtrend structure: Entry Zone: Watch for a Sell retest at $4091 Stop Loss (SL): $4099 Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $4065 | TP2: $4033 | TP3: $4004 | TP4: $3965 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note) Gold is in a strong fall ahead of the FOMC, with significant volatility expected. Capturing deep Fibonacci and Liquidity zones is key. Note: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. Capital management is the number one priority, risking only 1-2% of the account per trade. Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
1
Does gold correct? Hi my dears After a good bullish rally in gold, we should probably see a decline and correction in gold, which of course is consistent with the fundamental news we hear about the balanced relationship between the US and China. Therefore, we should look for more sales entries. Whenever the price of gold closes below the blue line, there is a possibility of reaching the specified prices, so we should keep an eye on the chart and open a sell trade after the specified condition is activated.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by hamidreza_FX
2
( Gold Protocol ) Bullish & Bearish Reversal Detected➕ Bearish Reversal " 4115 Zone ➕ Bullish Reversal : 3990 🩸 Volume Surge Confirmed — Institutional buyers active 🩸 Session Aligned — Timing matches liquidity expansion window 🩸 Cluster Shield Formed — Demand imbalance verified 🩸 Delta Shift Positive — Accumulation phase confirmed 🩸 POC Retest Completed — Weak shorts absorbed 🩸 Structure Break Pending — Bullish intention verified Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction. 💯 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
46
Don't rush into gold; it's still going to fall!Although current market news is generally bullish for gold, the recent decline in gold prices is primarily driven by large-scale profit-taking and a technical correction that has been stronger than expected. Gold is currently at a critical turning point. Tuesday's sharp drop has indeed weakened the short-term trend, but Wednesday's rebound and the bullish engulfing pattern formed on the 4-hour chart clearly indicate solid buying support below. Overall, gold prices are likely to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term between 3980 and 4145-4155, awaiting new directional catalysts. Gold is currently in a correction cycle, with overall momentum weak. Therefore, the recommended trading strategy is to short on rallies. Sell on rallies!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PalmerRobert6064
1