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SPY trade ideas

SPY setup 9/4/25PMH 645.27 PML 644.01 POI 645.24 PM Gap Fill 643.40 Range is between 6.43.17-645.27 Look for SPY to go back and retest PMH before coming back down to 644.70. If it breaks through look for it to go to PML 644.01 or Fill the Gap at 643.40. Wait for clear signs before hopping in. If it breaks, retest and hold PML look for PUTs to 642.90-642.20 T/P 1. If it breaks PMH and pullback and hold look to enter for CALL 646.10 T/P 1. You can also use the 9/13 EMA as entry. Use S/L and manage risk properly. Let’s Goooo! “Discipline is the tithe you pay, The reward is financial freedom.” - #You Got Options
AMEX:SPYLong
by tmac1914
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book — traders want to see if Thursday’s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown. 🏦 Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX. ⚙️ Productivity & costs add another layer to the inflation debate. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Trade Balance (Jul) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Productivity & Unit Labor Costs (Q2, rev.) ⏰ 11:00 AM — Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #joblessclaims #labor #economy #bonds
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY SEP 3rd 3 scenarios. No guessing. Just react. 🟢 Bull Case Trigger: Clears + holds 644 (PMH) ↳ Buyers show up, QQQ & NVDA strong, VIX chill. Play: • Long 644+ • Targets: 648 / 650 • Risk: <642 ⚖️ Chop Zone Trigger:Stuck 637–644 ↳ No real push either way, just range + noise. Play: • Scalp 637 → 644 • Light size or sit out • Avoid forcing 🔴 Bear Case Trigger: Loses 637 ↳ Volume picks up, VIX >17.5, macro weak. Play: • Short <637 • Targets: 634 / 630 • Risk: >639 🔍 Flow Clues • DP walls: 643–648 = tough resistance • Big puts stacked at 615/635 • Seasonality leans red ⚠️ 📌 TL;DR > 644+ = bulls push > 637–644 = chop zone > 637 = bears in charge
AMEX:SPYShort
by davekclinton76
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🏦 Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header — ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Friday’s NFP. 📉 Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss — markets looking for confirmation of labor cooling. 💻 Tech earnings rotation continues — volatility in AMEX:XLK spilling into broader tape. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications ⏰ 🚩 8:15 AM — ADP Employment Report (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — ISM Services PMI (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — Fed Beige Book ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #ADP #BeigeBook #Fed #labor #ISM #bonds #economy
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY Technical Analysis-September 3SPY is rebounding strongly off the 633–634 demand zone, reclaiming ground after the recent selloff. Price is now pressing into the middle of the broader ascending channel, with momentum shifting back toward the bulls. * Resistance: The key zone sits at 644–647, where prior supply converges with the midline of the channel. This is also where sellers previously capped rallies. * Support: Immediate support lies at 640–641, the pivot level that bulls must defend. If this breaks, downside flows reopen toward 639 → 637 → 634. * Indicators: MACD has flipped bullish with rising histogram, showing positive momentum. Stoch RSI is overbought, suggesting some near-term exhaustion risk unless price pushes through resistance quickly. 🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation * Resistance: * 644–647 matches a heavy call wall cluster, confirming overhead resistance. * Dealers are short calls here, creating a ceiling unless broken with volume. * Support: * 641 aligns with the 3rd put wall and heavy negative gamma → if this level fails, hedging accelerates downside. * 637–634 confirmed as the next strong support band. This confirms the chart view: 641–647 is the critical battleground. 🎯 Trade Scenarios * Bullish: Hold above 641 and break through 647 with strong volume → upside opens toward 650–652. * Bearish: Failure at 644–647 or breakdown under 641 → downside targets 639 → 634. 🧠 Final Take SPY’s rebound has momentum, but the 644–647 zone is the make-or-break level. Clearing it would shift the bias back to the upside, targeting 650+. Failure to do so likely triggers a rejection and renewed selling pressure back toward 634.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
“From Mountain to Collapse: SPY Faces 630 Test”📖 Crown Point Research 1️⃣ Date & Time Date: 2nd September 2025 Time: Pre-Market | 09:15 PM IST 2️⃣ Fundamental News No major Fed statements or policy updates overnight. This move is purely structural: technical rejection at higher chambers + pre-payroll caution across markets. 3️⃣ Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour Retail psychology: Traders treated $640–645 as breakout continuation zones, rushing in. Institutional behaviour: Institutions sold into resistance, distributing supply near 645–650. Social Signal: Headlines still project bullish “market strength,” but structure = pullback, not extension. 4️⃣ Current Structure Macro Resistance: 645–650 Support: 630–628 Stage: Macro = Mountain Maturity → Exhaustion. Micro Resistance: 640–642 Support: 630 → 628 zone. Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks, failed rescues, collapse candles on intraday. 5️⃣ Projection Primary Path (65%): Continuation lower to $630–628 support. Alternate Path (25%): Bounce if $640 reclaimed, capped at $645. Low Path (10%): Breakout above $650 only with rescue event (policy or global shock). 6️⃣ Pullback Levels Shallow: $640–642 Medium: $635 Deep: $628 (critical Sea anchor zone). 7️⃣ Final View Bias: Bearish short-term → Path remains toward $630 unless $645+ 8️⃣ Essence (Philosophy Line) “Macro still near the Mountain, but microframes are in Collapse. Pullbacks are rebalances, not rescues. Until gates reopen, bearish flow dominates.” 9️⃣ Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Sturdy_Intraday_Trading
SPY washed away the Stops, and now rinse supportAt the U-MLH the air is very, very thin now. SPY is experience this and it looks like this market shows it's hand. It's the second time where the breakout failed. A classical Double-Top. Today SPY will open back into the Fork, which is a very bad sign for climbing markets. And if SPY can't close outside the Fork today, it would be a clear short to me. So, after the Wash of the Stops at the Top, what follows is the "Rinse" of the support level and then way down to the PTG1, the 1/4 line, and further to the PTG2 at the Center-Line.
AMEX:SPYShort
by HowToChart
2
SPY Aug 28thI missed the opening pre mkt high (PMH) rejection (648 to 645) but remained patient and waited for buyers to enter at 645 demand, which is what happened. 1. As soon as it touched the 4 hour level (red line) I waited 15 minutes for the candles to hold above it to confirm that it was valid. Jumping in sooner could be a fake-out. 2. I entered and began trimming as it went up. 3. The tricky part was deciding to get out of ALL contracts or leave runners. Note. I'm testing the 20 EMA as my backup confirmation to the 9 EMA, so this time I kept several runners through the slight dip. In the past I would have gotten out completely and re-entered on the PMH retest, which isn't a bad strategy but I noticed panicking to always get out, left me with smaller profits. 4. I continued to trim all the way up to resistance (red line) for bigger profits. Excellent trade! Overall takeaway: A. Don't get mad & frustrated because you missed a move off the open. Wait for the next setup. B. Establishing valid levels on higher timeframes allows you to profit on intraday trades.
AMEX:SPY
by Allyvyne
Consolidation and pullback before a new wave highSPY is at a 3-year-old upper resistance line at ATH. RSI and MACD have negative divergences, which indicate possible weakness and a potential cooling with an expected drop of the index. Possible cooling down to the 0.5 FIB retracement of the last wave, which would be very desirable and healthy for a further stronger rise of the stock market and the index. Advance decline line is at ATH, which is very bullish because it shows the strength of the index and indicates that there is still room for growth. Overall bullish, but cooling is needed, which I estimate with 80% certainty due to the above-mentioned factors
AMEX:SPYLong
by Consistent_Trades
SPY: RISK MODELING...📊 SPY Macro Risk Map | Positioning for Global Capital Flows The S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) is testing premium levels near the 1.0 Fibonacci extension (649). My risk model highlights a potential liquidity sweep before deeper retracements toward the 0.786–0.702 zones (631–601). These levels represent equilibrium realignments where high-probability institutional accumulation often re-emerges. 🌍 Global Macro Alignment US Macro: Sticky inflation, Fed policy uncertainty, and fiscal imbalances may cap upside in the near term. Liquidity stress will likely fuel tactical drawdowns. UAE Positioning: Sovereign wealth capital (ADIA, Mubadala, ICD) is actively rotating into AI-driven infrastructure, global equity overlays, and commodity hedges. Their deep liquidity seeks asymmetric risk-adjusted returns while maintaining exposure to dollar assets. Capital Intelligence Play: By framing SPY drawdowns as structured entry opportunities, we align with UAE’s appetite for risk-managed US exposure—bridging tactical market volatility with long-term sovereign allocation needs. ⚖️ Risk Pathway Short-term rejection at premium zones → corrective wave toward 600–620 liquidity pockets. Potential macro catalyst alignment around October (IMF/WB meetings, Fed forward guidance). Re-accumulation phase into year-end, targeting 670+ if global liquidity stabilizes. 📌 Financial Intelligence Insight This is less about chasing trend tops and more about positioning in volatility as an entry vehicle. For UAE-based allocators, the current SPY setup is a live case study in tactical liquidity provision—risk is not avoided but engineered. 💡 Key takeaway: SPY is not just a chart—it’s a capital flow model. Anticipating global sovereign rotation allows us to build strategies that resonate with investors sitting on deep pools of capital.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY Retesting An 18 Year Long CeilingPrice has remained in this channel since the 2008 Recession, and we have finally reached the upper channel once again. Ask yourself, with all things considered, is the current state of the American economy truly well enough off that we could see a strong breakout, and then witness a parabolic rally upwards? My opinion is a resounding NO. This bullish rebound rally that this market has shown in the past 5 months since the March/April crash won't be sustainable for the long run, and the fact that it's been a melt upwards with such low volume is a telling sign. I am expecting a 30%-40% drop within the next 6-7 months-as early as Q4 this before year's end, or no later than the end of Q1 next year.
AMEX:SPYShort
by CJBlueNorther
6