S&P 500 May Show Signs of FatigueS&P 500 has rallied steadily since April, but some traders may see signs of fatigue.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the large bearish candle last Friday, October 10, as trade wars resurfaced. Prices have remained trapped inside the range since. Does the sideways trend mark an end to the six-month uptrend?
Second is the high on September 22, higher high on October 9 and lower high on October 15. That may be viewed as a potential rounded top. A pair of bearish outside bars could also be viewed as reversal signals.
Third is the October 3 weekly close of 6,715. SPX peaked near the same level on Wednesday and Thursday, which may suggest resistance has been established at a lower level.
Fourth, you have the September 26 weekly close of 6,644. The index plunged beneath that price last Friday and tried unsuccessfully to rebound above it in the first half of this week. That may reflect a lack of new support.
Next, SPX is potentially breaking a rising trendline that began in late May.
Finally, MACD has recently turned negative and prices may be stalling at the 8-day exponential moving average.
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Trade ideas
SPXShift prediction to the right a bit. I think almost everyone in these markets are waiting to sell.... I'm thinking if SPX closes below $6650 today, that will give the signal the wolves are looking for.
Still anticipating brief freefall on crypto ~1 week and brief correction on stocks ~1 month.
Short timeframe, but huge drop. Good luck.
SPX500 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 6,699SPX500 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 6,699
U.S. stock futures opened the week flat, as easing U.S.–China trade tensions offered some relief to markets.
Investors are now turning their focus to a busy earnings week and upcoming inflation data, while diplomatic meetings between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng aim to further defuse tensions ahead of a potential Trump–Xi summit later this month.
🕯 Technical Outlook
SPX500 remains under bearish momentum while trading below 6,699, targeting 6,670 → 6,633 → 6,610.
If the price closes a 1H candle above 6,716, it would shift momentum bullish, with upside targets at 6,754 and beyond.
Pivot: 6,699
Support: 6,670 – 6,633 – 6,610
Resistance: 6,716 – 6,731 – 6,755
S&P500 - $8.000 is the ultimate target!🎊S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) continues the bullrun:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, the S&P500 has been rallying +40%. However, this does not mean that the bullrun is over any time soon. Since the S&P500 perfectly respects the rising channel pattern, a move to the upper trendline is the target.
📝Levels to watch:
$8,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
SPX500 Slips as Netflix Earnings Cool Wall Street OptimismWall Street Futures Struggle as Netflix Results Weigh on Sentiment
U.S. stock index futures fluctuated on Wednesday as investors moved cautiously through a heavy earnings season, with Netflix’s weaker-than-expected profits cooling risk appetite and adding pressure to market sentiment.
🕯 Technical Outlook
SPX500 has collected volume below the 6,754 pivot line, suggesting potential bearish correction ahead.
As long as the price trades below 6,754, the bias remains bearish, targeting 6,738 → 6,717 → 6,699.
Conversely, a 1H close above 6,771 would confirm a bullish continuation, paving the way toward 6,792 → 6,838.
Pivot: 6,754
Support: 6,738 – 6,717 – 6,699
Resistance: 6,771 – 6,792 – 6,838
Major Macroeconomic Data Delayed Due to the US govt ShutdownThe recent shutdown of the U.S. government has triggered a domino effect on the release of key macroeconomic indicators. Due to the temporary closure of several federal agencies — notably the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) — a series of crucial statistics have been delayed, making it more difficult to assess the real-time economic situation of the United States.
A Severely Disrupted Economic Calendar
From early October, several major releases were postponed. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for October 3 was the first casualty and the CPI and PPI inflation indicators on October 15 and 16.
These consecutive delays have disoriented financial markets, depriving them of the statistical benchmarks essential to anticipate the Federal Reserve’s decisions. As a result, visibility on inflation, employment, and consumption trends has been significantly reduced, fueling volatility in U.S. equity markets.
The Fed in the Dark
This disrupted schedule complicates the Fed’s task ahead of its October 29 monetary policy decision, followed by the PCE inflation release on October 31.
Without fresh data, FOMC members will have to rely on partial or outdated information to decide on the path of interest rates. This lack of reliable data could lead the institution to adopt a more cautious stance, postponing any major adjustment to its monetary policy.
Cascading Effects in the Coming Months — Unless the Shutdown Ends in October
The November 7 NFP report and Supreme Court hearings on tariff policies, scheduled for the same week, may also be affected if the shutdown continues. Similarly, November inflation data (CPI, PPI, and PCE) could face further delays, undermining the accuracy of economic forecasts for year-end.
Finally, the December releases — notably the December 5 NFP report and the December 10 Fed meeting — could mark a return to calendar normality, provided the affected agencies manage to catch up on lost time.
In short, the sooner this shutdown episode ends, the faster the overall publication of macroeconomic figures will return to normal.
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SPX500 NEW HIGHSAccording to Gann: The high came at 6766--a cardinal level. Thereafter, SPX sold off and found support at 6602--another cardinal level. This shows you that the SPX is vibrating to the Static Sq9--very nice! That is what we need here. It means that once we start the correction all the levels you see listed here will become important. It doesn't mean that every level will offer support, but it does mean you need to pay close attention to each one as we go down. You can trade off them. Oddly enough, markets often become easier to trade the more volatility you have.
S&P 500 Index Shows Elevated VolatilityS&P 500 Index Shows Elevated Volatility
On the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the ATR indicator with standard settings has not fallen below the 30 mark, signalling higher current market volatility compared to previous periods. Traders’ decisions are being influenced by the ongoing government shutdown, developments around a potential US-China tariff deal, and an increasingly active earnings season. Market sentiment has also been shaped by renewed concerns over regional bank stability and profit-taking in AI-related stocks.
Looking ahead, the new week is also expected to bring heightened volatility, as:
→ US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng are set to meet in the coming days, paving the way for a potential meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this month.
→ Attention will also turn to quarterly results from Netflix, Coca-Cola, Tesla, IBM, and Intel. With key US economic data releases suspended due to the government shutdown, investors are likely to look to corporate earnings for direction.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Major turning points on the 4-hour S&P 500 chart, highlighted in bold, outline a broad ascending channel that reflects the market’s expanded price swings.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The price remains in the upper half of the channel.
→ Market sentiment is improving, with prices moving closer to last week’s highs during the European session.
→ As indicated by the arrow, a wide bullish engulfing pattern formed near the lower boundary of the channel, confirming strong buying interest around the 6,560 level.
From a bearish standpoint:
→ Selling pressure was particularly aggressive near 6,720, pushing the price lower on 10 October.
→ Last week, this level once again acted as resistance, suggesting that bears maintain control there, limiting near-term upside potential.
Given these dynamics, traders may wish to adjust their strategies to account for the prevailing volatility. Should positive headlines emerge on US-China trade progress, supported by upbeat corporate forecasts, the S&P 500 could make a push towards the upper channel boundary, potentially setting a new record near the 6,800 mark.
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SPX500 Drops as Regional Banking Worries Shake Wall StreetSPX500 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 6,578
U.S. stock futures fell nearly 2% as regional banking concerns resurfaced following disappointing earnings and early signs of credit stress across smaller U.S. lenders.
The selloff reignited fears about credit quality and dragged global markets lower, while traders now shift focus to upcoming earnings from regional banks and American Express for further clues on financial stability.
🕯 Technical Outlook
SPX500 maintains bearish momentum while trading below 6,578, targeting 6,550 → 6,527 → 6,506.
A 1H close above 6,578 would shift sentiment bullish, opening the path toward 6,609 → 6,635 → 6,670.
Pivot: 6,578
Support: 6,550 – 6,527 – 6,506
Resistance: 6,609 – 6,635 – 6,670
SPX500 NEW HIGHSThis picture includes the 50 day moving average. In addition to Static Sq9 support at 6602, keep an eye on the 50dma at 6549. A close below the 50dma will get the attention of a lot of traders. Once the SPX closes below the 50dma, look for a waterfall decline as traders and investors start to panic.
S&P500 Can the 1D MA50 save the day?The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a 5-month Channel Up and last Friday's flash crash touched its bottom making a new Higher Low. At the same time, it hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time May 01 2025.
As long as the market keeps closing the daily candles inside the Channel Up, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start and as the shortest ones did within the pattern, target at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level at 6850.
If a 1D candle closes below the Channel Up though, there are higher probabilities to see a stronger dip to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) a 6400.
On a sidenote, the 1D RSI hit and rebounded on Friday on its Lower Lows trend-line, favoring at the moment a bullish continuation.
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SPX — Still Below Anchored VWAP, Eyes on Lower Channel BoundSPX remains capped below the anchored VWAP — sellers still dictating flow. If price can’t reclaim above, a move toward the lower bound of this descending channel remains in play. Watching for a reaction near channel support.
Macro Backdrop:
Sticky yields: 10Y holding near cycle highs keeps pressure on equity multiples.
Fed tone: “Higher for longer” stance limits risk appetite and valuation expansion.
Slowing growth: Softening ISM and consumer data hint at cooling demand.
Earnings compression: Margin pressures building as labor and input costs stay elevated.
Geopolitical overhangs: Middle East tensions and trade friction adding to risk-off tone.
SPX500 Weakens as Markets Focus on Fed Rate-Cut HintsSPX500 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 6,699
Markets are focusing back on the Federal Reserve after Chair Jerome Powell hinted at the possibility of further rate cuts, calming investor sentiment despite lingering U.S.–China trade tensions.
For now, optimism around policy easing is offset by uncertainty in risk assets.
🕯 Technical Outlook
The price has reached resistance at 6,699 and is now stabilized below it, suggesting potential for further downside.
As long as price trades below 6,699, momentum remains bearish, targeting 6,670 → 6,634.
A 1H close above 6,700 would shift momentum bullish, opening the path toward 6,754.
Pivot: 6,699
Support: 6,670 – 6,635 – 6,609
Resistance: 6,717 – 6,754 – 6,791
SPX is weakening at a very dangerous price level🔱 SPX is at a very dangerous price level ⚠️
...right at the Upper Median Line Parallel.
💰 If this market turns, the Centerline becomes the next target.
The 0-5 Count is also a good indication when prices start to turn at these extreme levels.
⚠️ Stay sharp — momentum is fading.
I wish you all a relaxing weekend.
Breakdown in SPX is a possibility Observation on SPX
1) Since 25TH April the SPX was bouncing on its 20 Ema . In fact if you bought every time SPX touched the 20 EMA you would have made money .
2) The 20 Ema acted as a support 6 times .
3) But notice the last three bounces were weaker and weaker .
4) 7 time the 20 Ema broke with increasing volume .
Conclusion the probability of a break down is very high almost 75%
From 'pullbacks' to a 'correction' (S&P 500)Setup
Still Bullish. Be patient for entry near end of the corrective move lower
Evidence..
-Trend is up, no top pattern
-No longer 'dips' to 50 DMA, now into a 'correction' with possible move towards 100 DMA
-Large bearish engulfing weekly candle
-The 4 month old trendline has broken.
-RSI has dropped under support - but not yet characteristic of bearish trend by going oversold
-Price has landed at a demand zone under 6500 (could rebound from here)
Signal
Looking to go long on another test of the demand zone OR
at next supports found at matching lows of 6350 then 6200
Market Pulse: Cracks in the Bull?We kick off the week with the S&P still riding its two-month uptrend, supported by the 55-day MA at 6541. But signs of fatigue are emerging.
📉 Amazon is slipping below its 200-day MA 📊 NVIDIA’s recent high at 195.62 hovers near the 197 Fibonacci extension and the 200 psychological level
Technically, the uptrend holds—and if 6765 the recent high breaks, the bull may charge on. If the 55-day MA erodes, brace for a correction.
🔍 Keep chart levels in focus 📌 Tighten stops ⚠️ Not investment advice
#TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #Amazon #NVIDIA #MarketUpdate #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Fibonacci #BullMarket #ChartWatch #FinanceTwitter #LinkedInFinance
W Pattern In SPX/USD Good day or night fellow traders and followers!
I see a W pattern on the 4hr chart in SPX/USD. Who wants to make around 176 points? I know I do so if price can break out over the break-line @ 6,691.6 then it's going to 6868.9 area like it or not, as it looks like Institutional buying coming in.
Follow the rules wait for 4hr chart to show price clearing the break-line on a 4hr candle close before going long. Don't bother with chop if it occurs. Waiting is the stress free way to insure direction.
Best of luck in all your trades $$$