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S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Weekly Forecast# S&P 500 (US500) Technical Analysis: Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy & Weekly Forecast Current Price: 6,464.4 (As of August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4) Asset Class: US500 / S&P 500 Index Analysis Date: August 30, 2025 --- Executive Summary The S&P 500 continues to demonstrate strong bullish momentum, currently trading near all-time highs at 6,464.4. Our comprehensive technical analysis utilizing Japanese Candlestick patterns, Harmonic analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, Wyckoff methodology, W.D. Gann principles, and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook with key resistance levels approaching. The index has successfully achieved conservative targets around 6,474-6,504 level, with the next major target zone near 7,000. --- Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Analysis The S&P 500 appears to be in the final stages of a major impulse wave (Wave 5) within a larger degree cycle. The wave structure suggests: Primary Count: Currently in Wave 5 of (5) of Target Zone: 6,800-7,000 for wave completion Invalidation Level: Break below 6,147 (July low) Wyckoff Market Structure The current phase aligns with Wyckoff's Distribution Phase characteristics: Phase: Late Markup Phase transitioning to potential Distribution Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on recent highs suggests weakening demand Price Action: Narrowing trading ranges indicating potential climax conditions W.D. Gann Analysis Applying Gann's comprehensive methodology: Square of 9 Analysis: - Current price 6,464.4 sits at a significant Gann square level - Next major resistance: 6,724 (45-degree angle projection) - Time cycles suggest potential reversal window: September 15-20, 2025 Angle Analysis: - 1x1 angle support from July low: 6,200-6,250 - 2x1 angle resistance: 6,700-6,750 Price & Time Harmonics: - 90-day cycle completion due mid-September - Price squares suggest natural resistance at 6,561 and 6,724 --- Japanese Candlestick & Harmonic Patterns Recent Candlestick Formations (Daily Chart) Spinning Top: August 28-29 showing indecision at highs Long Upper Shadows: Indicating selling pressure at resistance levels Volume Confirmation: Bearish divergence with declining volume Harmonic Pattern Recognition Potential Bat Pattern: Completion zone 6,480-6,520 ABCD Pattern: Active completion at current levels Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension target at 6,756 --- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Current Cloud Structure Price Position: Above Kumo (bullish) Tenkan-sen: 6,431 (short-term trend) Kijun-sen: 6,378 (medium-term trend) Senkou Span A: 6,405 Senkou Span B: 6,341 Chikou Span: Positioned above price action (confirming bullish sentiment) Future Kumo: Thinning cloud ahead suggests potential volatility increase --- Key Technical Indicators Analysis RSI (Relative Strength Index) Daily RSI: 68.7 (approaching overbought territory) Weekly RSI: 71.2 (overbought but not extreme) 4H RSI: 72.1 (overbought with bearish divergence forming) Bollinger Bands Analysis Position: Price trading at upper band Bandwidth: Contracting, suggesting low volatility environment Squeeze: Potential breakout setup forming VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) Daily VWAP: 6,442 Weekly VWAP: 6,398 Volume Profile: Low volume acceptance above 6,450 Moving Average Structure 20 EMA: 6,419 (immediate support) 50 SMA: 6,371 (key support level) 200 SMA: 6,198 (major trend support) Golden Cross: 50/200 cross remains intact (bullish) --- Support & Resistance Levels Primary Resistance Levels 1. R1: 6,480 (immediate resistance - Harmonic completion) 2. R2: 6,520 (psychological level) 3. R3: 6,561 (Gann square resistance) 4. R4: 6,724 (Major Gann angle resistance) 5. R5: 6,800-7,000 (Elliott Wave target zone) Primary Support Levels 1. S1: 6,431 (Tenkan-sen support) 2. S2: 6,378 (Kijun-sen support) 3. S3: 6,300-6,150 (Monthly pullback zone) 4. S4: 6,200-6,250 (1x1 Gann angle) 5. S5: 6,147 (July low - critical support) --- Multi-Timeframe Strategy Framework Scalping Strategy (5M & 15M Charts) 5-Minute Timeframe: Entry Signals: Look for pullbacks to 20 EMA with RSI oversold (<30) Profit Targets: 15-25 points per trade Stop Loss: 10-15 points below entry Volume Confirmation: Above average volume on breakouts 15-Minute Timeframe: Range Trading: 6,440-6,480 current range Breakout Strategy: Volume spike above 6,480 for continuation Mean Reversion: Fade moves beyond 2 standard deviations from VWAP Intraday Strategy (30M, 1H, 4H Charts) 30-Minute Strategy: Trend Following: Long above 20/50 EMA confluence Target: 6,520 initial, 6,561 extended Risk Management: 2:1 reward-to-risk minimum 1-Hour Strategy: Pattern Recognition: Monitor for bull flag formations Volume Analysis: Require volume expansion on breakouts Time-Based Exits: Avoid holding through 3:30 PM ET volatility 4-Hour Strategy: Swing Setup: Long on pullbacks to Ichimoku cloud support Momentum Confirmation: Wait for RSI to reset below 50 Position Sizing: Adjust for overnight gap risk Swing Trading Strategy (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) Daily Chart Strategy: Trend Continuation: Long on breaks above 6,480 with volume Pullback Entries: 6,378-6,300 zone for swing longs Profit Targets: 6,724 (primary), 6,800-7,000 (extended) Weekly Chart Strategy: Long-Term Trend: Remains intact above 6,200 Position Management: Scale out at resistance levels Risk Assessment: Monitor weekly RSI for extreme readings --- Daily Trading Plan: September 2-6, 2025 Monday, September 2, 2025 (Labor Day - Markets Closed) Pre-Market Preparation: - Monitor overnight futures for gap scenarios - Review weekend news for market-moving events - Prepare watchlists for Tuesday's session Tuesday, September 3, 2025 Market Outlook: Post-holiday session with potential low volume Key Levels: Resistance: 6,480, 6,520 Support: 6,431, 6,378 Strategy: Morning: Range-bound trading likely; fade extremes Afternoon: Watch for institutional flows post-holiday Entry Zones: Long 6,430-6,440 area, Short above 6,480 Wednesday, September 4, 2025 Market Outlook: Mid-week momentum session Key Events: Monitor for any Federal Reserve communications Strategy: Breakout Play: Above 6,480 targets 6,520-6,561 Volume Confirmation: Required for sustained moves Risk Management: Tight stops in low-volume environment Thursday, September 5, 2025 Market Outlook: Potential volatility increase ahead of Friday Key Levels: Critical Resistance: 6,520-6,561 zone Support: 6,400-6,378 (buy zone) Strategy: Trend Following: Momentum plays above key resistance Counter-Trend: Fade moves on declining volume Friday, September 6, 2025 Market Outlook: Weekly close positioning and potential NFP impact Strategy: Early Session: Position for weekly close Late Session: Prepare for weekend risk management Options Expiry: Monitor for pinning effects at key strikes --- Geopolitical & Macroeconomic Considerations Federal Reserve Policy Impact President Donald Trump has called on the Fed to cut rates by 3 percentage points, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noting that "any model" would put the benchmark federal funds rate at least 1.5 percentage points lower than its current level of between 4.25 percent and 4.50 percent. This political pressure on the Fed could create market volatility as investors weigh the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts. Key Risks to Monitor 1. Federal Reserve Policy Divergence: Potential conflicts between Fed independence and political pressure 2. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical fragmentation is being fueled by COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, U.S.-China relations and more 3. Economic Data: Any significant deviation from expected economic indicators 4. Market Structure: Elevated valuations increase sensitivity to negative catalysts Earnings Season Considerations - Q3 earnings season approaching in mid-October - Current valuations require strong earnings growth for justification - Sector rotation potential based on earnings guidance --- Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Guidelines Scalping: 0.5-1% risk per trade Intraday: 1-2% risk per trade Swing Trading: 2-3% risk per position Maximum Portfolio Risk: 6-8% total exposure Stop-Loss Protocols Scalping: 10-15 points maximum Intraday: 25-40 points based on volatility Swing: Below key support levels (6,300 for current longs) Profit-Taking Strategy Scale Out Approach: Take 50% at first target, 25% at second target Trailing Stops: Implement once position moves 2:1 favorable Time-Based Exits: Close positions before major news events --- Weekly Outlook Summary Bullish Scenarios (Probability: 60%) - Break above 6,480 with volume expansion - Federal Reserve maintains dovish stance - Strong technical momentum continues Targets: 6,520, 6,561, 6,724 Bearish Scenarios (Probability: 40%) - Failure at resistance with volume decline - Geopolitical shock or Fed hawkish surprise - Technical breakdown below 6,378 Targets: 6,300, 6,200, 6,147 Base Case Expectation: Continued range-bound trading with upward bias, eventual breakout to 6,520-6,561 zone before more significant pullback to test 6,300-6,200 support area. --- For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by sunya
(Alchemy Markets) SP500 Elliott Wave Going into US Jobs ReportPrior to the open of the US session tomorrow, the US non-farm payrolls report is released. How will these numbers fair with a new chief labor statistician in place? We'll find out tomorrow. Meanwhile, SPX appears to be carving a wedge. In Elliott wave terms, it would be an ending diagonal pattern. The rally this week appears to be wave 5 of the five-wave pattern. RSI is diverging which is common on the final highs of this pattern. This implies an ending wave may be underway. One of the rules of Elliott wave is that wave 3 cannot be the shortest between waves 1, 3, and 5. Therefore, since wave 3 is shorter than wave 1...this implies wave 5 must be shorter than 3. Plopping that onto the chart, the current wave labeling shows a max price of 6,525. Now, of course price can go higher than 6,525, which would then require us to adopt an alternate wave count. If 6,525 is broken, then I would label the rally from Aug 19 thru today as wave 3. Still more upside, but similar outcome when the pattern does complete. After the ending diagonal is finished, a swift retracement typically is experienced back to 6,212.
SP:SPX
by AlchemyMarkets
SP500 4H Trading Outlook for Major Currency Pairs and Indices, Especially Gold and Silver, in the Upcoming Week In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and market outlooks. As can be seen, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance area near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or break of these levels will determine the subsequent price trend up to the next specified levels. Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to identify key price levels and potential market reactions, and the analyses provided should not be considered as trading signals.
VANTAGE:SP500
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
Green Energy & Carbon Credit TradingIntroduction The 21st century has been defined by two monumental shifts: the urgent need to combat climate change and the technological transformation of how we produce, distribute, and consume energy. At the center of these developments lies green energy, a term that embodies renewable, sustainable, and low-carbon energy systems. Alongside it, carbon credit trading has emerged as one of the most innovative market-based solutions for mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Together, green energy and carbon credit trading form a powerful duo: while renewable energy reduces direct emissions, carbon credit markets provide financial incentives and frameworks for industries and countries to reduce or offset their carbon footprints. Understanding both requires exploring the dynamics of global energy systems, environmental policies, financial markets, and international cooperation. Part I: Green Energy 1. Defining Green Energy Green energy refers to power derived from renewable, natural sources that are not only sustainable but also generate minimal or no greenhouse gas emissions during operation. Common forms include: Solar Power – harnessing sunlight through photovoltaic panels or concentrated solar thermal plants. Wind Energy – converting wind’s kinetic energy into electricity via turbines. Hydropower – generating electricity using water flow in rivers or dams. Biomass & Bioenergy – energy from organic material such as crop residues, wood, or algae. Geothermal Energy – tapping the Earth’s internal heat for heating or power generation. Ocean Energy – wave and tidal systems converting marine energy into power. Green energy distinguishes itself from fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) by being replenishable and having a substantially lower carbon footprint. 2. Drivers of Green Energy Adoption Several forces are driving the adoption of green energy worldwide: Climate Change Awareness – Rising global temperatures, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events demand urgent emission reduction. Energy Security – Countries aim to reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels. Technological Advances – Falling costs of solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries have made renewables cost-competitive. Policy Support – Governments incentivize renewables through subsidies, tax credits, and renewable portfolio standards. Corporate Commitments – Multinationals pledge to shift toward 100% renewable energy (RE100 initiative). Consumer Demand – Citizens increasingly prefer sustainable energy and products. 3. Global Green Energy Landscape (a) Europe The European Union (EU) has been at the forefront, with policies such as the European Green Deal aiming for carbon neutrality by 2050. Countries like Germany (Energiewende), Denmark (wind leader), and Spain (solar power) dominate renewable penetration. (b) United States The U.S. has seen a major green energy boom, led by solar and wind, despite political swings. States like California and Texas lead, and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA, 2022) provides historic renewable energy subsidies. (c) China China is the world’s largest investor and producer of solar panels, wind turbines, and EV batteries. Its ambitious goal is to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. (d) India India aims for 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030, with strong growth in solar and wind, supported by policies like the National Solar Mission. (e) Rest of the World Africa shows potential in solar, the Middle East is diversifying from oil into renewables, and Latin America (Brazil, Chile) is expanding hydropower and solar. 4. Challenges in Green Energy Intermittency – Solar and wind are weather-dependent, requiring backup systems or storage. Storage – Battery technology is improving but still expensive at scale. Grid Infrastructure – Old grids need modernization to handle variable renewable energy. Investment & Financing – Upfront capital costs can be high, requiring supportive financing models. Land Use & Environmental Concerns – Large solar or wind projects may affect ecosystems. Policy Uncertainty – Inconsistent policies discourage long-term investment. Part II: Carbon Credit Trading 1. Concept of Carbon Credits A carbon credit represents the right to emit one metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO₂e). These credits are part of market-based mechanisms to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. There are two key approaches: Cap-and-Trade Systems (Compliance Markets) Governments cap total emissions and issue allowances. Companies must hold enough allowances to cover their emissions, but they can trade if they emit less or more. Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCMs) Corporations and individuals purchase carbon offsets voluntarily to neutralize their emissions, often funding renewable energy, reforestation, or clean technology projects. 2. Origins of Carbon Credit Trading The concept was popularized under the Kyoto Protocol (1997), which introduced three flexible mechanisms: Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) – Developed countries invest in emission reduction projects in developing nations. Joint Implementation (JI) – Projects between developed countries. Emissions Trading – Countries with surplus allowances can sell to others. Later, the Paris Agreement (2015) established a more global framework with Article 6, which enables international cooperation through carbon markets. 3. How Carbon Trading Works Example: A cement factory emits 1 million tons CO₂ annually. Government sets a cap of 800,000 tons. The factory must reduce emissions or buy 200,000 credits from another company that reduced emissions below its allowance. This system incentivizes efficiency and low-carbon investment while rewarding overachievers. 4. Compliance Markets vs Voluntary Markets Feature Compliance Market Voluntary Market Basis Regulation (laws, caps) Voluntary CSR, sustainability goals Participants Governments, industries Corporations, NGOs, individuals Examples EU ETS, California Cap-and-Trade, RGGI Gold Standard, Verra (VCS), Climate Action Reserve Size Larger, more liquid Smaller but growing rapidly Objective Meet legal emission targets Achieve carbon neutrality & branding 5. Carbon Credit Standards & Certification For credibility, carbon credits must meet strict criteria: Additionality – Reductions wouldn’t have happened without the project. Permanence – Reductions are long-term (e.g., forests not cut down later). Verification – Independent third-party audit of projects. Leakage Prevention – Emission reduction in one area shouldn’t cause increases elsewhere. Prominent standards include: Verra’s Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) Gold Standard (WWF-supported) Climate Action Reserve American Carbon Registry (ACR) 6. Criticism & Challenges of Carbon Trading Greenwashing – Companies may buy cheap offsets instead of real emission cuts. Double Counting – Same credit claimed by two entities. Project Integrity – Some projects (like forest offsets) face permanence risks. Price Volatility – Carbon credit prices vary widely, affecting planning. Equity Issues – Developing countries may face exploitation if credits are undervalued. Part III: Intersection of Green Energy & Carbon Credits Green energy projects often generate carbon credits by displacing fossil fuel energy. For example: A solar farm replacing coal power saves emissions, generating credits. A biogas project using agricultural waste reduces methane emissions, creating tradable credits. Thus, green energy is both a direct decarbonization strategy and a carbon credit revenue generator. Many corporations purchase renewable energy certificates (RECs) or carbon offsets from green projects to meet net-zero pledges. Part IV: Global Case Studies 1. European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) World’s largest compliance carbon market. Covers ~10,000 installations in energy, industry, aviation. Credits traded across EU countries, providing billions in green investment. 2. California Cap-and-Trade Program (USA) Launched in 2013. Includes industries, fuel distributors, and electricity providers. Linked with Quebec’s carbon market. 3. China’s National ETS Started in 2021, initially covering power plants. Expected to expand to cement, steel, and aviation. Will be the world’s largest market by emissions coverage. 4. India’s Green Energy & Carbon Trading Push Renewable energy projects (solar, wind) generate millions of CERs under CDM. India plans a national carbon trading scheme aligned with its 2070 net-zero goal. Part V: Economic & Financial Dimensions Carbon Pricing as Economic Signal Carbon credits put a price on pollution, internalizing environmental costs. This incentivizes cleaner technologies. Investment in Green Projects Carbon revenues make renewable energy and reforestation projects financially viable, especially in developing countries. Emerging Financial Instruments Green Bonds Carbon ETFs Carbon futures and options on exchanges like ICE and CME Corporate Net-Zero Strategies Companies like Microsoft, Google, and Shell rely on both green energy and carbon credits to achieve carbon neutrality. Part VI: Future Outlook Growth of Voluntary Carbon Markets Expected to grow from ~$2 billion (2022) to over $50 billion by 2030. Digital Carbon Trading Blockchain and tokenization are enhancing transparency and traceability of credits. Integration with ESG Investing Carbon performance will be a key metric in investment decisions. Global Cooperation More linkages between national carbon markets (e.g., EU, China, North America). Corporate Accountability Greater demand for high-quality credits and real emission reductions rather than symbolic offsets. Conclusion Green energy and carbon credit trading represent two sides of the same coin in the global climate action narrative. Green energy reduces emissions at the source by replacing fossil fuels, while carbon markets provide flexible, market-driven tools to finance emission reductions and incentivize global cooperation. However, both face challenges—technological, economic, and ethical—that must be addressed. Transparency, integrity, and equitable benefit-sharing will be essential to ensure that these systems truly help achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement. The future will likely see tighter integration between renewable energy expansion, carbon pricing mechanisms, and sustainable finance, creating a global ecosystem where climate responsibility and economic opportunity go hand in hand.
SP:SPXEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
SPX500 & NAS100 AT RESISTANCE CROSSROADS, GOLD GAINING STEAMIn this weekend's analysis on the SPX500 and NAS100 indices, I see a potential bullish trend continuation but also at a key resistance level with hidden bears ready to attach bulls. This is one of the setups that patience is more rewarding than taking a bet. Gold is gaining strength to the upper range and still in the sideways channel. Here too patience for a clear breakout will be more rewarding. I think based on the length of the sideways, once there is a clear breakout, Gold will really rally to it's next targets. Please watch the entire video to understand my analysis and thoughts. Cheers and have a great trading week.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by RICHINVESTOR
1
Why Stocks Often Drop in September — And Why Algos Make It WorseSeptember has historically been a challenging month for stocks, especially indexes like the S&P 500. While several human behavioral factors contribute, algorithmic trading significantly amplifies this effect. I am expecting S&P to retreat to 5900 lvls and stocks to drop heavily alreadt end of this week. Algos Are Programmed to React to Seasonal Patterns: Many trading algorithms are trained on historical market data that include the “September Effect”—the well-known tendency for stocks to dip during this month. As a result, these algorithms trigger sell signals simultaneously as September approaches, cascading into accelerated selling pressure. Profit Taking at Summer’s End: Institutional investors and traders often take profits at the end of August after strong summer gains, reducing exposure before expected volatility. This human behavior feeds into the algo models, reinforcing selling trends. Order Splitting and Speed Amplify Moves: Algorithms slice large orders into smaller ones to minimize market impact, but when many algos do this in sync, it leads to sharp intraday swings. High-frequency trading can exacerbate rapid price drops as sell orders pile up quickly. Hedging and Risk Controls Kick In: As prices fall, algos are programmed to cut risk by selling to limit losses. These automated sell-offs can create feedback loops, pushing prices down faster than human emotions alone would. Volatility Spurs More Selling: Increased price swings prompt further algorithmic adjustments and human caution—creating a self-reinforcing cycle of volatility and declines. Bottom Line: With profit-taking wrapping up August and algo-driven selling ramping up, the S&P 500 is likely to begin a retreat of at least 5% soon, echoing historical September patterns. For disciplined investors, this period is an opportunity to consider taking profits or reducing risk before broader market weakness potentially sets in.
SP:SPXShort
by jamissonbond
S&P500 at Resistance: Nvidia Earnings Could Decide the Next Move📊 US500 (S&P 500) has rallied recently 📈, but it’s still struggling to break through the current highs 🔼🧱. 💡 I believe the next move could hinge heavily on Nvidia’s earnings report tomorrow 🖥️💵. 👉 If the report is positive, watch for a break and retest above the current range to position long 🚀. 👉 If the report is negative, we could see the broader stock market sell off 📉. ⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice 📚🔒
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by fxtraderanthony
S&P500 3-month Channel Up still valid. Buy.The S&P500 index (SPX) kept its 3-month Channel Up intact last week despite a short-term correction as the price stopped exactly on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and following Chair Powell's remarks on rate cut possibilities, it rebounded aggressively. Given also that the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been its long-term Support since May 01, the stage is set for the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last one being +8.80%, we expect the index to hit at least 6750 next. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
SP500's Final Bull Run and the Looming 2030sFollowing up on the analysis of the Russian market, let's synchronize our view with the situation in the US. Technical Perspective: Based on the wave structure, the price appears to be completing a diagonal pattern (likely an Ending Diagonal). This final topping process is expected to be a drawn-out affair. Near-Term Fed Impact: Following yesterday's dovish commentary from the Fed, which signaled a more accommodative policy stance, the market will likely continue to drift higher for some time. We can expect several bear traps: price will complete nested wave patterns and experience sharp, short-lived sell-offs, only to snap back and make new highs. Conclusion: Much like the Russian market, the final stage of the current bull market is likely to culminate around the end of this year or the beginning of the next. The Big Picture: On a macro scale, this is likely not the final cycle top. The true major reversal is not expected until the 2030s.
FX:SPX500
by Energeia_Charta
SPX: Powell saved the weekThe US equity markets were traded in a more pessimistic way during the previous week, however, a speech held by Fed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole Symposium changed the sentiment on Friday. The market turned from pessimistic to optimistic, after Chair Powell signalled the possibility of easing monetary policy in the coming period, implying potential rate cut. The market expectations shifted, as posted by CME Fed WatchTool investors sentiment jumped to 83% odds for a rate cut in September. All US equity indices gained on Friday, with S&P 500 adding 1,52% and closing the week at 6.466. However, with Friday's move the index only covered losses from the previous four days of the week, adding a modest 0,3% for the week. Stocks of tech companies traditionally surged on positive news on potential rate cuts. However, this time the market was also driven by a surge in stocks of construction companies as well as the financial industry. Namely, the market estimated that these industries might benefit the most from decreased interest rates. It might be expected that the positive sentiment will hold on financial markets at least for the week ahead. It should be considered that Friday brings the PCE Price index in July, in which sense, some higher volatility might be expected on this day, in case that July figures do not meet market expectations.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 22, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading activity of the previous week, the S&P 500 Index experienced significant volatility before reestablishing its strong bullish trend. Initially, the Index faced a substantial decline, reaching our designated target of Mean Support at 6370. Subsequently, it rebounded vigorously, attaining our target of Mean Resistance at 6470, and is currently aiming for the Outer Index Rally target of 6543. It is essential to recognize, however, that there remains a possibility of a decline to Mean Support at 6426 before the upward trajectory resumes.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SPX500 Hits 6,495 Before Pullback, Key Pivot at 6,468SPX500 Futures – Overview The S&P 500 continues to record new highs, peaking at 6,495 before pulling back for a correction. Price action has since settled above 6,485 on the 4H candle — the previous high — and is now correcting back toward this level, preparing for a potential new upward move. 🔹 Technical Outlook Holding above 6,485 will support bullish continuation toward 6,512 → 6,528 new ATH. ⚠️ A break below 6,485 and a confirmed 1H close under 6,468 (pivot) would signal a new decline toward 6,425 support. Key Levels Pivot: 6,468 Resistance: 6,512 – 6,528 Support: 6,485 – 6,468 – 6,438 – 6,425 ✅ Summary: SPX500 remains in a bullish structure after reaching new highs. Watch 6,485 as the key decision level — holding above favors continuation higher, while a drop below 6,468 could trigger a deeper correction.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX500USD – Holding Above 6,490, Targeting 6,540The S&P 500 Index has cleared the 6,490 resistance level, confirming bullish strength. Price is now holding above this zone, with momentum building toward the next upside target at 6,540. Support at: 6,490 / 6,440 🔽 Resistance at: 6,540 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: Sustained strength above 6,490 keeps 6,540 in focus. 🔽 Bearish: A break back below 6,490 and 6,440 would weaken momentum. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SPOT_FX
SPX500 Weekly Trend AnalysisSPX500 Weekly Trend Analysis The SPX500 on a weekly timeframe continues to show an upward trend within a rising channel that has been in place since 2020. The price behavior in relation to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement levels is particularly interesting—the previous two pullbacks both stopped at this key level, confirming its significant role as support. As a reminder, after forming a low in 2020, the SPX500 entered a long bullish trend that lasted until December 2021, when it recorded its first high at 4500.00. After that, the index pulled back to the 50.0% Fibonacci level and then continued with a new bullish rally. A new higher high was formed around 6000.00, which is again connected to the -50.0% Fibonacci level. The next pullback, similar to the previous one, found support at the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend. Based on this pattern, there is a realistic possibility of a new bullish rally with a potential target of 7500.00 (-50.0% Fibonacci level). Following the previous cycles from low to high and pullback, the average interval is approximately 920–930 days, which provides a rough time projection: Next high: By the end of 2026 Next pullback: First part of 2027 or, at the latest, by October 2027 This pattern confirms the strong long-term growth structure and implies that the SPX500 will likely maintain its positive momentum for several more years, with periodic corrections that rely on key Fibonacci levels.
FX:SPX500Long
by Aleksin_Aleksandar
SPX500 Awaits Breakout Ahead of Nvidia EarningsSPX – S&P 500 Futures Update After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech pumped markets on Friday, traders rushed into risk assets, lifting the Dow to fresh records. Powell didn’t commit to cuts, but also didn’t rule them out — which was enough for buyers. Now, the focus shifts to Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings on August 27, arguably the most important event of the quarter. 🔹 Technical Outlook The price has stabilized below 6,468, which signals potential downside toward 6,425. A clean break below 6,425 would confirm continuation of the bearish move toward 6,389. Conversely, a 4H candle close above 6,468 would shift momentum back to the upside, opening the path to 6,528 and a possible new ATH. 🔹 Key Levels Support: 6,425 – 6,389 Resistance: 6,486 – 6,528 ✅ Summary: The market is consolidating under the pivot. Watch for a decisive 4H close to confirm the next leg — either a downside extension or a breakout to fresh highs.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
NVDA Earnings, US GDP, US Core PCE - August Wrap-UpAs if Jackson Hole noise wasn't enough, sprinkle in some additional major news for this week. NVDA Earnings (After Close Wednesday) US GDP (Thursday) US Unemployment Claims (Thursday) US PCE / US Core PCE (Friday) NVDA at nearly 8% market cap for S&P can certainly move the market Look at NVDA, MAGS, SPY, QQQ and they all look like 50/50 charts - price could go either direction NVDA expecting +/- 11.00 points on the week, average earnings move is around 12.66 points I'm looking to fade any big gap on NVDA into September monthly and quarterly expirations with low risk options trades and I'm also deleveraging some of my naked puts and ratio spreads to take profits and add more buying power for the end of year I'll be watching - let's see how everything shakes out
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver